Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Watches in 2016
Lake Effect Snow Watch 4, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this lake effect snow watch at Jan 16, 2016, 4:00 AM EST for 8 counties in New York. It took effect at Jan 17, 2016, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 16, 2016, 4:00 AM EST (09:00 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 17, 2016, 4:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 16, 2016, 3:09 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Cattaraugus County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Oswego County, NY, Wyoming County, NY
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 88 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1558 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 281 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 312 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
993 WWUS41 KBUF 160900 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 NYZ007-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T0000Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160116T1500Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY...MAINLY ALONG THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING THEN MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. * TIMING...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN CHANGING TO SOME SNOW THIS MORNING THEN A POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW STARTING SUNDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH THIS MORNING FOLLOWED BY A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF SNOW TODAY. ACCUMULATIONS FROM LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MAY REACH MORE THAN A FOOT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE TUG HILL. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE UPPER 20S IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING THEN WARMING INTO THE MID 30S THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL THEN FALL BACK AND REMAIN BELOW FREEZING FOR THE LAKE EFFECT EVENT. * WINDS...NORTHEAST WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY TODAY 5-15 MPH. WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH DURING THE LAKE EFFECT EVENT. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES IN HEAVY BANDS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW. * IMPACTS...A LIGHT COATING OF FREEZING RAIN COMBINED WITH LIGHT SNOW CAN CAUSE SLIPPERY ROADS...BRIDGES...RAMPS AND OVERPASSES ALONG WITH UNTREATED WALK WAYS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW... SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV... POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ010-011-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160118T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE AS THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT OVER AND EAST OF BUFFALO ON SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ012-085-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T1200Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 OR MORE FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ019-020-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T1700Z-160119T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 OR MORE FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ008-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T0000Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 OR MORE FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ006-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160120T0000Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 OR MORE FEET ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ004-005-161700- /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.A.0005.160118T0600Z-160120T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 400 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ SMITH
2 follow-up statements
190 WWUS41 KBUF 161425 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 NYZ007-162230- /O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160116T1500Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T0000Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV... POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ010-011-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160118T0000Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM CONFIDENCE AS THE LAKE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT OVER AND EAST OF BUFFALO ON SUNDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ012-085-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T1200Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...11 TO 21 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ019-020-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T1700Z-160119T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 17 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ008-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T0000Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL LEWIS COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...9 TO 17 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ006-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160120T0000Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM TO HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ004-005-162230- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.160118T0600Z-160120T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 925 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ TMA
778 WWUS41 KBUF 162009 WSWBUF URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 NYZ012-085-170415- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0004.160117T1200Z-160119T1200Z/ WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...WYOMING AND SOUTHERN ERIE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES SUNDAY...4 TO 7 INCHES SUNDAY NIGHT...3 TO 6 INCHES MONDAY...3 TO 5 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT... AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX && $$ NYZ007-008-170415- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160119T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0004.160117T1200Z-160118T1800Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 1 PM EST MONDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY...7 TO 13 INCHES SUNDAY NIGHT...AND 1 TO 3 INCHES MONDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 16 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX && $$ NYZ019-020-170415- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T1700Z-160119T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0004.160117T1800Z-160119T1200Z/ CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA AND CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO 2 INCHES SUNDAY...5 TO 9 INCHES SUNDAY NIGHT...4 TO 7 INCHES MONDAY...3 TO 6 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT... AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX && $$ NYZ006-170415- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160120T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.W.0004.160117T1200Z-160120T0000Z/ OSWEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...OSWEGO 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...OSWEGO COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES SUNDAY...7 TO 14 INCHES SUNDAY NIGHT...4 TO 8 INCHES MONDAY...4 TO 7 INCHES MONDAY NIGHT...2 TO 4 INCHES TUESDAY...AND AN INCH OR LESS TUESDAY EVENING... LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 12 TO 24 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL RESULT IN VERY DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. IF YOU LOSE POWER AND PLAN ON RUNNING A GENERATOR...MAKE SURE THAT THE GENERATOR IS LOCATED OUTDOORS AND IS PROPERLY VENTILATED. SPACE HEATERS SHOULD ALSO BE PROPERLY VENTILATED AND USED ONLY IF THEY ARE OPERATING PROPERLY. MAKE SURE SNOW DOES NOT BLOCK EXHAUSTS AND FRESH AIR INTAKES FOR HIGH EFFICIENCY FURNACES AND WATER HEATERS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX && $$ NYZ010-011-170415- /O.UPG.KBUF.LE.A.0004.160117T0900Z-160118T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.LE.Y.0008.160117T0900Z-160117T2300Z/ NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...BATAVIA 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...AN INCH OR LESS OVERNIGHT AND 3 TO 6 INCHES SUNDAY...LEADING TO STORM TOTALS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG BUFWX && $$ NYZ003-170415- /O.EXB.KBUF.LE.A.0005.160118T1200Z-160120T0000Z/ MONROE- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ROCHESTER 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. * LOCATIONS...MONROE COUNTY. * TIMING...FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 14 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ NYZ004-005-170415- /O.CON.KBUF.LE.A.0005.160118T0600Z-160120T0000Z/ WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN 309 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * LOCATIONS...WAYNE AND NORTHERN CAYUGA COUNTIES. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY EVENING. * ACCUMULATIONS...11 TO 21 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE SNOWS. * WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...AS LOW AS A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. * IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH LOW VISIBILITIES. * FORECASTER CONFIDENCE...HIGH AS THE FORECASTED WEATHER PATTERN IS SIMILAR TO THAT OF PREVIOUS SIGNIFICANT EVENTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER IS POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO. && $$ TMA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow watch went out at Jan 16, 12:09 AM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 12:09 AM EST, 3 hours 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1209 AM EST SAT JAN 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...ENDING THE
BRIEF PERIOD OF MILD TEMPERATURES WHILE SENDING A PERIOD OF
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION. A LITTLE FREEZING RAIN WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY OVERNIGHT...OTHERWISE
RAIN WILL TAPER OFF AS POSSIBLE WET SNOW BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. COLDER AIR WILL THEN FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
REGION THIS WEEKEND AND MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ONCE AGAIN BECOMING ESTABLISHED BY SUNDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
SHORTWAVE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL PUSH A COLD FRONT
EASTWARD ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS COLD FRONT AN AREA
OF LIGHT SHOWERS WILL FORM. THE SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK BY TO OUR
NORTH...AND WEAKEN AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE OVER THE CAROLINAS
DEEPENS A STORM SYSTEM OFF THE EASTERN COASTLINE. WITH THE TRACK OF
THE SURFACE LOW TO OUR NORTH...AND WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES
ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK...THE PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL REMAIN PLAIN RAIN
THROUGH A GOOD PORTION OF THE PRECIPITATION EVENT TONIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE SOME SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE
HILLS EITHER SIDE OF THE GENESEE VALLEY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER.
BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY. HERE IS WHERE THE CONCERN WILL BE FOR A WINTRY MIX
OF BOTH FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW. WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION
SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED...COUPLED WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A
LITTLE SNOW TO MIX IN...AND IN COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING
OFFICES WE HAVE ELECTED TO REPLACE THE FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FOR
JEFFERSON COUNTY WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...COVERING BOTH THE
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN AND LIGHT SNOW. WARM LAYER ALOFT TOOL
SHOWS A SUFFICIENTLY WARM LAYER TO MELT SNOW ALOFT TO RAIN FOR
A PERIOD...THEN COOLING TO ALLOW SLEET AND THEN EVENTUALLY COOLS TO
FREEZING AND EXPECT SNOW BY 12Z. WILL START THIS ADVISORY AT 07Z
SATURDAY MORNING.
THE MAIN SLUG OF PRECIPITATION WILL CROSS THE CWA BETWEEN 06Z AND
15Z SATURDAY. AS COLD AIR WRAPS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TRAILING
RAIN WILL LIKELY END AS LIGHT SNOW WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION
ACROSS WNY...AND UP TO AN INCH EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THROUGH THE
DAY SATURDAY LIGHT SHOWERS OF SNOW WILL LINGER ACROSS THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST OF BOTH LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE DAY.
DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY SATURDAY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE
TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE REGION WITH 850 HPA TEMPERATURES FALLING FROM
-2 TO -4C DOWN TO -12 TO -14C. THE SHARPNESS OF THIS COLD AIR
ADVECTION COMBINED WITH A STILL DECENT PRESSURE GRADIENT AROUND
THE SURFACE LOW WILL ALLOW FOR GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY...WITH
SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH ACROSS TYPICAL WINDY
AREAS DOWNWIND OF THE LAKES.
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL ALSO MAINTAIN STEADY TO FALLING AIR
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID
30S SATURDAY. THE COLD AIR DEEPENING OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
WILL TRANSITION THESE LINGERING LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO LAKE EFFECT
SNOW BY SATURDAY EVENING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
IN THE WAKE OF SATURDAY/S COLD FRONT...A GENERAL WESTERLY FLOW OF
COLDER AIR WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS OUR REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. WITH
850 MB TEMPS DURING THIS PERIOD AVERAGING BETWEEN -12C AND
-14C...THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SOME MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES...THOUGH WITH A 3-5 KFT CAP IN PLACE AND
A RELATIVELY SHALLOW DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION FOUND BELOW THIS
LEVEL...THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BECOME OVERLY IMPRESSIVE. AT THIS
POINT IT APPEARS THAT ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD RANGE ON THE ORDER OF
AN INCH OR TWO ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF LAKE ERIE AND 2-4
INCHES ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO... WITH THE
LAKE ONTARIO ACTIVITY BENEFITING FROM A LITTLE BETTER FETCH ACROSS
THAT LAKE. OTHERWISE EXPECT A GENERALLY DRY AND QUIET NIGHT WITH
THE COLDER AIRMASS ALLOWING NIGHTTIME LOWS TO FALL BACK INTO THE
UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S.
SUNDAY MORNING...UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING AND AN ATTENDANT FRESH
BATCH OF MUCH COLDER AIR WILL DROP ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
GREAT LAKES...AND WILL TRIGGER THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER WEAK
CLIPPER SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES AND SOUTHERN ONTARIO.
IN RESPONSE TO THESE DEVELOPMENTS...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW ACROSS OUR
REGION WILL BACK TO SOUTHWESTERLY AGAIN...WHICH WILL CAUSE THE
MODEST LAKE SNOWS EAST OF THE LAKES TO MIGRATE NORTHWARD TO AREAS
NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES AGAIN...WITH THE LAKE ERIE ACTIVITY
GRADUALLY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED DUE TO BOTH A LITTLE BUMP IN
LAKE EQLS AND THE INCREASING FETCH ACROSS THE LAKE.
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THINGS WILL BECOME EVEN MORE
ACTIVE AS THE CLIPPER SYSTEM PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH...WHILE
SWINGING ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT THROUGH OUR REGION. INCREASING
SYNOPTIC-SCALE LIFT AND MOISTURE AND LAKE EQLS RISING TO BETWEEN
10-15 KFT OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN THE LAKE EFFECT
OFF BOTH LAKES EXHIBITING A MARKED UPTICK IN BOTH ORGANIZATION AND
INTENSITY...WITH THIS HAPPENING FIRST TO THE LAKE ERIE ACTIVITY
DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND THE LAKE ONTARIO ACTIVITY SUNDAY
EVENING. INITIALLY THE MORE ORGANIZED LAKE SNOWS SHOULD BE FOUND
NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES ON A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...BEFORE
QUICKLY SHIFTING SOUTHWARD AGAIN TO AREAS EAST AND THEN EAST-
SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY NIGHT AS
THE LOW LEVEL FLOW VEERS MORE WESTERLY AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY
BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT.
GIVEN THE INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT AND WHAT SHOULD BE
THE INCREASINGLY BETTER ORGANIZED STATE OF THE LAKE SNOWS EXPECTED
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...IT IS LIKELY THAT LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES
WILL EVENTUALLY BECOME NECESSARY FOR THIS TIME FRAME. THIS
STATED...PLENTY OF FORECAST UNCERTAINTY ALSO STILL EXISTS WITH
RESPECT TO THE EXACT TIMING OF THE CLIPPER...EXACTLY HOW MUCH
WINDS WILL BACK OUT AHEAD OF IT...AND HOW MUCH SHEAR IT WILL
INTRODUCE INTO THE COLUMN SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING... ALL OF
WHICH ARE FACTORS THAT WILL HAVE A GREAT INFLUENCE ON BAND
PLACEMENT... INTENSITY...AND RESIDENCE TIME OVER ANY GIVEN
LOCATION...WHICH IN TURN WILL HAVE CONSIDERABLE IMPACT ON THE
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS THAT WE CAN EXPECT. WITH THIS IN MIND...HAVE
CONTINUED TO HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY LAKE EFFECT HEADLINES AT THIS
TIME...AND WILL INSTEAD CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIAL FOR
NOTEWORTHY LAKE SNOWS IN THE HWO.
OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...THE PASSING CLIPPER WILL
BRING A GENERAL LIGHT SNOWFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO SUNDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT... OTHERWISE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY WITH JUST
SOME VERY SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE-
WISE...READINGS SHOULD PEAK IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S ON
SUNDAY AS THE CLIPPER TEMPORARILY DRAGS SLIGHTLY MILDER AIR BACK
INTO OUR REGION...BEFORE FALLING INTO THE TEENS SUNDAY NIGHT AS
STRONGER COLD AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPS IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS HAS BEEN PREVIOUSLY STATED IN THIS SPACE...THE LARGE-SCALE
PATTERN THROUGH MIDWEEK WILL FEATURE A DEEP BUT PROGRESSIVE MID
AND UPPER LEVEL CLOSED LOW AND ASSOCIATED POOL OF COLD CANADIAN
AIR DRIFTING FROM THE LOWER LAKES REGION ON MONDAY TO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL MAINTAIN A
GENERAL WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AIR ACROSS OUR
REGION...WITH EMBEDDED WEAK DISTURBANCES PROVIDING PERIODIC BOOSTS
IN LARGER-SCALE LIFT AND MOISTURE. THIS WILL RESULT IN PERSISTENT
LAKE SNOWS EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...WITH THE LARGE-SCALE
ENVIRONMENT REMAINING FAVORABLE ENOUGH TO POTENTIALLY SUPPORT
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH MIDWEEK. AT THIS POINT THE MOST
FAVORED AREAS FOR THESE APPEAR TO BE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO
FROM THE ROCHESTER AREA EASTWARD TO OSWEGO COUNTY AND POSSIBLY
INTO THE NORTHERN FINGER LAKES...AND EAST/SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE
ALONG THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE. OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS
EXPECT MUCH MORE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY...WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE SOLIDLY BELOW NORMAL FOR ALL WITH HIGHS
ONLY IN THE TEENS MONDAY ONLY SLOWLY MODERATING BACK INTO THE
LOWER HALF OF THE 20S BY WEDNESDAY.
LATER ON IN THE WEEK...MODEST HIGH PRESSURE AND INCREASING SHEAR
SHOULD RESULT IN THE LAKE SNOWS FINALLY DIMINISHING DURING
THURSDAY... BEFORE THE NEXT WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BRINGS A
GENERAL CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY. OTHERWISE
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE A SLOW UPWARD TREND...WITH MERCURY
LEVELS RISING INTO THE UPPER 20S BY FRIDAY.
&&
.AVIATION /05Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
RAIN SHOWERS ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE OF THE NIAGARA FRONTIER WITHIN
THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. EXPECT VFR
CEILINGS WITHIN THIS WARM SECTOR UNTIL THE COLD FRONT CROSSES THE
REGION BETWEEN 06Z AND 09Z...THEN CIGS SHOULD DROP TO IFR CATEGORY
ABOUT THREE HOURS FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION TOMORROW MORNING...
SENDING PRECIPITATION EASTWARD AND CHANGING RAIN TO SNOW BY THE END
OF THE DAY. ALSO...EXPECT WINDS TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WITH SOME GUSTS CLOSE TO 30 KNOTS ACROSS KBUF/KIAG.
WINDS RELAX AND LOW MVFR CEILINGS REMAIN FOR SATURDAY EVENING
THROUGH 06Z.
OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...MVFR/IFR WITHIN LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW EAST
OF THE LAKES (KJHW/KART)...OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR.
SUNDAY...IFR IN
LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES...OTHERWISE MVFR IN CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR/IFR IN DIMINISHING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF
THE LAKES.
&&
.MARINE...
BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES REGION LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...A
FRESHENING COLD AIRMASS WILL BRING WESTERLY WINDS SATURDAY THAT
WILL NEAR 30 KNOTS ON THE LAKES. WILL HOIST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
FOR BOTH WINDS AND WAVES ON THE LAKES...STARTING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
ON LAKE ERIE...AND EARLY SATURDAY MORNING ON LAKE ONTARIO. WILL
ALSO ISSUE A SCA FOR THE NIAGARA RIVER FOR TOMORROW FOR WESTERLY
WINDS OVER THE RIVER THAT MAY EXCEED 20 KNOTS AT TIMES.
THE WINDS AND WAVES WILL RELAX SOME LATER SUNDAY...ALLOWING FOR
THE SMALL CRAFTS ON LAKE ONTARIO TO COME DOWN BRIEFLY...WHILE THE
FLOW WILL REMAIN JUST STRONG ENOUGH TO MAINTAIN SCA ON LAKE ERIE
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONAL SCA ARE LIKELY
FOR LAKE ONTARIO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
NYZ007.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR LEZ020.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST TUESDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ030.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY FOR LOZ042.
&&
SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...THOMAS/WCH
SHORT TERM...JJR
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJR
AVIATION...WCH
MARINE...THOMASHazardous weather outlook, Jan 15, 4:06 PM EST, 11 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 406 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2016 NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-162115- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS- ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP NORTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE SUNDAY...THEN SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL VEER TO WEST OR NORTHWEST...DIRECTING MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ007-162115- JEFFERSON- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 10 AM EST SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR WATERTOWN...THEN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS WINDS TURN MORE WESTERLY AND THEN WEST NORTHWESTERLY. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY...WHICH SHOULD DIRECT THE SNOW ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ003>006-008-013-014-162115- MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-LEWIS-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR WATERTOWN...THEN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE TUG HILL TO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY AS WINDS TURN MORE WESTERLY AND THEN WEST NORTHWESTERLY. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY...WHICH SHOULD DIRECT THE SNOW ACROSS AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-162115- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- 406 PM EST FRI JAN 15 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE ONTARIO. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. IN THE WAKE OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM...WINDS COULD APPROACH GALE FORCE LEVELS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF JJR/APFFEL
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 4:00 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Watch | BUF | Cayuga, Monroe, Wayne | 36 hr |
| Jan 16, 3:09 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Warning | BUF | Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chautauqua, Erie, Jefferson, Lewis and 4 more | 3 days |
| Jan 16, 3:09 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | BUF | Erie, Genesee, Niagara, Orleans | 27 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Watches in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.