Alert archive / New York / Frost Advisories in 2016
Frost Advisory 7, NWS Buffalo, NY
NWS Buffalo, NY issued this frost advisory at Oct 9, 2016, 3:48 AM EDT for 4 counties in New York. It took effect at Oct 10, 2016, 1:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 9, 2016, 3:48 AM EDT (07:48 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 10, 2016, 1:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 10, 2016, 9:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Buffalo, NY
Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY
The radar
The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 131 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1356 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 32 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 162 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
047 WWUS71 KBUF 090748 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 348 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 NYZ020-021-091600- /O.NEW.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 348 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO, POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ NYZ007-008-091600- /O.NEW.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 348 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO, POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ HITCHCOCK
5 follow-up statements
711 WWUS71 KBUF 091442 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1042 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 NYZ020-021-092245- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1042 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ NYZ007-008-092245- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 1042 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$
831 WWUS71 KBUF 091912 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 312 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 NYZ020-021-100315- /O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 312 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S TONIGHT AND LOWER 30S MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. AREAS OF POTENTIALLY KILLING FROST MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NYZ008-100315- /O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 312 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... ...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S TONIGHT AND LOWER 30S MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. AREAS OF POTENTIALLY KILLING FROST MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NYZ007-100315- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 312 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON AND LEWIS COUNTIES...INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ TMA/WCH
529 WWUS71 KBUF 100207 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 1007 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 NYZ020-021-101015- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 1007 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... ...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S TONIGHT AND LOWER 30S MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. AREAS OF POTENTIALLY KILLING FROST MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NYZ008-101015- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 1007 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... ...FREEZE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... * LOCATIONS...LEWIS COUNTY. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. THE FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S TONIGHT AND LOWER 30S MONDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. AREAS OF POTENTIALLY KILLING FROST MONDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WATCH MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE. THESE CONDITIONS COULD KILL CROPS AND OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION. && $$ NYZ007-101015- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.161010T0500Z-161010T1300Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 1007 PM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT MONDAY... * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...FROM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ THOMAS
490 WWUS71 KBUF 100755 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 355 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 NYZ020-021-101600- /O.UPG.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161010T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 355 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE FREEZE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...PATCHY FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. MORE WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN MORE DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ008-101600- /O.UPG.KBUF.FZ.A.0002.161011T0500Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161010T1300Z/ LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LOWVILLE 355 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY. THIS UPGRADES THE FREEZE WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...LEWIS COUNTY. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. IN THE UPPER 2OS TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. MORE WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN MORE DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ007-101600- /O.NEW.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161010T1300Z/ JEFFERSON- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN 355 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...THE FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING. THE FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S EARLY THIS MORNING. IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION TONIGHT. MORE WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN MORE DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-019-085-101600- /O.NEW.KBUF.FR.Y.0008.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 355 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FROST ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...GENESEE VALLEY...WESTERN FINGER LAKES...AND AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO, POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ HITCHCOCK
461 WWUS71 KBUF 101304 NPWBUF URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 904 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 NYZ020-021-102115- /O.EXP.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161010T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE 904 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY IN THE TYPICALLY COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS. * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ007-008-102115- /O.EXP.KBUF.FR.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161010T1300Z/ /O.CON.KBUF.FZ.W.0002.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ JEFFERSON-LEWIS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE 904 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... ...FROST ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... * LOCATIONS...JEFFERSON COUNTY INLAND FROM THE IMMEDIATE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 30. * IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE CONDITIONS TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZE WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO THREATEN OUTDOOR PLANTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA YOU SHOULD PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO...POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES. && $$ NYZ001>006-010>014-019-085-102115- /O.CON.KBUF.FR.Y.0008.161011T0300Z-161011T1300Z/ NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-NORTHERN ERIE- GENESEE-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-SOUTHERN ERIE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER... NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...OSWEGO...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW... GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...JAMESTOWN...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE 904 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016 ...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...GENESEE VALLEY...WESTERN FINGER LAKES...AND AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. * TIMING...FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 30S. * IMPACTS...AREAS OF FROST WILL RESULT IN DAMAGE TO COLD SENSITIVE VEGETATION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FROST ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN FROST IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP DURING THE GROWING SEASON. IF YOU ARE IN THE ADVISORY AREA YOU SHOULD TAKE STEPS TO PROTECT TENDER VEGETATION. ALSO... POTTED PLANTS NORMALLY LEFT OUTDOORS SHOULD BE COVERED OR BROUGHT INSIDE AWAY FROM THE COLD. && $$ RSH
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this frost advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this frost advisory went out at Oct 9, 3:39 AM EDT, 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 9, 3:39 AM EDT, 9 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
339 AM EDT Sun Oct 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Much cooler air will produce lake effect clouds and possibly a few
sprinkles or light showers today southeast of the lakes. Lake effect
clouds will linger for much of the area tonight, while some clearing
across the North Country and interior Southern Tier allows for some
frost to develop. High pressure will then bring dry weather for the
first half of the week before a cold front arrives with a chance of
rain showers by Thursday.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Radar imagery not showing any lake effect rain showers yet off Lake
Erie or Ontario, but Canadian radars do show a few scattered showers
off Lake Huron and Georgian Bay. As cold air deepens through this
morning, expect a few scattered sprinkles and light showers to
develop southeast of Lake Ontario, and eventually southeast of
Lake Erie. Lake effect clouds will continue to fill in southeast of
the lakes through this morning. A large shield of dense cirrus over
much of the area is due to an interaction between upper level outflow
from Matthew and an upper level jet over New England. This thick
cirrus shield will move east of the area this morning as both Matthew
and the upper level jet move northeast.
A mid level trough will sharpen over Quebec and southern Ontario
today, before moving into New England tonight. This trough will
deliver a chilly airmass to the region, with 850mb temps bottoming
out around -2C this evening. The cold air aloft will support a
modest lake response, with lake induced equilibrium levels peaking
around 8K feet today. An equilibrium level of this height during
winter would support more lake response, but is marginal for lake
effect rain given the different cloud microphysics in play at these
milder temperatures. Limited background synoptic scale moisture and
a short northwest fetch will also limit lake effect rain potential.
The best lake effect rain potential will likely be tied to an
upstream connection that briefly develops with Georgian Bay. This
will be directed into the Rochester area and western Finger Lakes
initially this morning, then drift west across the Niagara Frontier
through late morning and midday before ending up in Chautauqua
County later this afternoon as boundary layer flow slowly veers with
the passage of a subtle low level trough. Even so, given the
negatives mentioned above, have limited POPS to the 20-30 percent
range with widely scattered light showers and sprinkles. Lake
effect and upslope clouds will remain fairly widespread today, with
just a few brief breaks of sun at times.
Any lake effect sprinkles or light showers across Chautauqua County
early this evening will end, with lowering inversion heights
precluding any further lake effect rain overnight. Boundary layer
flow will continue to veer to the north/northeast, and will continue
to support lake effect and upslope clouds from western Oswego county
westward across the Finger Lakes, Genesee Valley, and western NY.
Clearing will develop across the North Country with no off-lake
flow, and also possibly across portions of Cattaraugus and Allegany
counties.
Temperatures will be on the cool side today, with highs in the upper
50s on the lake plains and low to mid 50s across higher terrain.
Lows tonight will be dependent on the amount of lake effect clouds
and breeze that lingers. The cloud cover will likely keep temps in
the upper 30s to lower 40s for most of Western and Central NY. The
interior Southern Tier valleys of Cattaraugus and Allegany counties
may see more clearing, which would allow for some mid 30s and frost
to develop. The North Country will also see clearing, with lows in
the low to mid 30s and frost developing as long as the wind
decouples enough. With this in mind, frost advisories have been
issued for these areas.
&&
.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
High pressure will control the weather Monday through Wednesday
bringing a stretch of fair weather and day-to-day warming through
mid-week.
Looking into the details, Monday will see any lingering lake
cloudiness south of the lower Great Lakes dissipate as drier air and
subsidence under the building ridge make for an afternoon with
brilliant sunshine. Despite the plentiful sunshine, afternoon high
temperatures will only top out in the mid to upper 50s as the
shallow cool airmass associated with the surface high settles across
the region.
The surface high will be squarely over the region by Monday night
providing optimal radiational cooling conditions in an already
chilly airmass. While Sunday night should be rather cool, it is
Monday night that should result in some of the coolest readings
we've seen yet this fall. A freeze is possible in the interior
Southern Tier Valleys and eastern Lake Ontario region, while patchy
frost is possible across much of the forecast area. While we've
enjoyed an extended growing season thus far this fall, it will
finally be time to protect any sensitive vegetation.
By Tuesday into Wednesday, the surface high will slide off the New
England coast while deep southwesterly flow will develop across the
region ahead of the next trough approaching the Great Lakes
Wednesday night. The result will be day-to-day warming as 850 mb
temps recover to around +10C Tuesday and +11/+12C Wednesday. This
will result in daytime high temperatures in the mid 60s Tuesday and
near 70 Wednesday. Nighttime lows will also moderate with a warming
airmass and light southerly downslope flow each night, resulting in
lows in the 40s to near 50. Both days will offer mostly sunny skies,
with just some mid and high level cloudiness increasing later in the
day Wednesday ahead of the next approaching trough.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A weak, positively tilting trough will drag a weak surface cold
front across the region Wednesday night into Thursday, which will
result in some widely scattered showers with the frontal passage. A
large surface high will then build across the region for the end of
the week and into the weekend resulting in fair weather.
Temperatures will return to slightly below normal values on Friday
and near normal values on Saturday. Another frost/freeze may be
possible Friday night into Saturday morning as the large surface
high moves over the region.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Cold air will continue to deepen this morning with lake effect
clouds developing and expanding southeast of the lakes. This will
produce some lower end VFR and MVFR CIGS this morning southeast of
the lakes, with a few widely scattered sprinkles and light showers
also possible. Lake effect and upslope clouds will linger through the
day, with CIGS improving to VFR across lower elevations during the
afternoon, with some lingering MVFR across the higher terrain.
Boundary layer flow will continue to veer to the north/northeast
tonight and continue to support some lake effect clouds south of
Lakes Erie and Ontario. This will bring a mix of lower end VFR and
MVFR CIGS at times.
Outlook...
Monday through Wednesday...VFR.
Thursday...MVFR with a chance of showers.
&&
.MARINE...
Moderate northwesterlies on Lake Ontario early this morning will
diminish temporarily during the midday and afternoon. Winds will
become north/northeast this evening and increase again on Lake
Ontario, bringing winds and waves back up to Small Craft levels
along the south shore of the lake. With this in mind, have extended
the Small Craft Advisories along the south shore through early
Monday morning. Winds will be a little lower on Lake Erie, but will
still produce choppy conditions at times.
High pressure then builds into the Lower Great Lakes Monday through
the middle of the week with light winds.
&&
.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...Frost Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Monday for NYZ007-008-020-
021.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Monday for LOZ042>044.
&&
SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...HITCHCOCK
SHORT TERM...CHURCH
LONG TERM...CHURCH
AVIATION...HITCHCOCK
MARINE...HITCHCOCKHazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 6:21 AM EDT, 21 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 621 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 NYZ001>005-010-011-091030- NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE- 621 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF NYZ006>008-012>014-019>021-085-091030- OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-WYOMING-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA- CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE- 621 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. AREAS OF FROST ARE POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING. ANOTHER ROUND OF FROST IS POSSIBLE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-091030- UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK- LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO- LOWER NIAGARA RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY- LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG- SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS- 621 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE ONTARIO...AND THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF HITCHCOCK
The office that day
Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 3:12 PM EDT | Freeze Watch | BUF | Allegany, Cattaraugus, Lewis | 13 hr |
Nearby
Frost Advisories in New York, 2016Every frost advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.