Alert archive / New York / Freezing Rain Advisories in 2016

Freezing Rain Advisory 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

February 18, 201613 counties in New York

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this freezing rain advisory at Feb 18, 2016, 3:37 PM EST for 13 counties in New York. It took effect at Feb 19, 2016, 5:00 AM EST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 18, 2016, 3:37 PM EST (20:37 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 19, 2016, 5:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 19, 2016, 12:30 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

Counties Allegany County, NY, Cattaraugus County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chautauqua County, NY, Erie County, NY, Genesee County, NY, Livingston County, NY, Monroe County, NY, Niagara County, NY, Ontario County, NY, Orleans County, NY, Wayne County, NY, Wyoming County, NY

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 56 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

893 
WWUS41 KBUF 182037
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

NYZ019-190445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1000Z-160219T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES
  SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY SLICK
  RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-190445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES
  SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY SLICK
  RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-190445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T2100Z/
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FROM EARLY FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES
  SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY SLICK
  RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-190445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1400Z-160219T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...FROM MID FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES
  SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY SLICK
  RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS, BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD, PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT, BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-190445-
/O.NEW.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.160219T1700Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...FROM NOON FRIDAY THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS. ICE
  ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED SURFACES
  SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY SLICK
  RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW, BLOWING SNOW,
SLEET, FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT, THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

JJR/HITCHCOCK
5 follow-up statements
018 
WWUS41 KBUF 190234
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

NYZ019-191045-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1000Z-160219T1800Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-191045-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-191045-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T2100Z/
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-191045-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1400Z-160219T1800Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...FROM MID FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY 
  AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE
TREES AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK
SPOTS ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD
THEREFORE BE DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-191045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.160219T1700Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
934 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...FROM NOON FRIDAY THROUGH OVERNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING AN INCH OR LESS. ICE 
  ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$
059 
WWUS41 KBUF 190819
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

NYZ019-191600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1000Z-160219T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ020-021-191630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T1800Z/
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...CATTARAUGUS AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-191630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1400Z-160219T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-191630-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1200Z-160219T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS
MORNING TO 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ICE ACCUMULATING A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-191630-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.160219T1700Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
319 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...FROM NOON TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN. ICE ACCUMULATING UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

APFFEL
426 
WWUS41 KBUF 191233
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

NYZ019-191600-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
733 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ001-002-010>012-020-021-085-191800-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CATTARAUGUS-
ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...ORCHARD PARK...
SPRINGVILLE
733 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE NIAGARA FRONTIER.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.160219T1400Z-160219T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
733 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS..TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION.

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-192045-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.160219T1700Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
733 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
1 AM EST SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...FREEZING RAIN...AND SLEET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN. TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$
523 
WWUS41 KBUF 191427
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

NYZ001-010-020-085-191530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
NIAGARA-NORTHERN ERIE-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...BUFFALO...OLEAN...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ019-191530-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1600Z/
CHAUTAUQUA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JAMESTOWN
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.


$$

NYZ002-011-012-021-191800-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...ORLEANS...GENESEE...WYOMING AND ALLEGANY COUNTIES.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TRACE AMOUNTS OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192000-
/O.CON.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE GENESEE VALLEY AND FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* ACCUMULATIONS...TRACE AMOUNTS OF ICE. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN ICING IS EXPECTED IN THE
AFFECTED AREAS...BUT NOT ENOUGH TO DISRUPT TRAVEL OR DAMAGE TREES
AND POWER LINES. INSTEAD...PATCHES OF ICE WILL CAUSE SLICK SPOTS
ON ROADWAYS AND SIDEWALKS. WALKING AND DRIVING COULD THEREFORE BE
DIFFICULT...BUT NOT IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006>008-192230-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.160219T1700Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
927 AM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN. TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$
262 
WWUS41 KBUF 191730
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1230 PM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

NYZ003>005-013-014-191830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T2000Z/
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
1230 PM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ002-011-012-021-191830-
/O.CAN.KBUF.ZR.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160219T1800Z/
ORLEANS-GENESEE-WYOMING-ALLEGANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDINA...BATAVIA...WARSAW...WELLSVILLE
1230 PM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE
FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ006>008-200130-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160220T0600Z/
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
1230 PM EST FRI FEB 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING 1 TO 2 INCHES...MAINLY ACROSS
  HIGHER TERRAIN. TRACE ICE ACCUMULATION. 

* IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADWAYS...AND ESPECIALLY ELEVATED 
  SURFACES SUCH AS BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...COULD BECOME VERY 
  SLICK RESULTING IN HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this freezing rain advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this freezing rain advisory went out at Feb 18, 3:22 PM EST, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 18, 3:22 PM EST, 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
322 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK WILL SLIDE EAST TO NEW
ENGLAND TONIGHT AND ALLOW A WARM FRONT TO LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION
ON FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR
MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL THEN
CLIMB WELL ABOVE FREEZING THIS WEEKEND WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AS AN
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES ACROSS ONTARIO AND QUEBEC. A COLD FRONT
TRAILING FROM THIS LOW WILL THEN SAG SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION BY THE
END OF THE WEEKEND...WITH TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO NEAR NORMAL FOR
THE START OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
TONIGHT...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED DIRECTLY OVER WESTERN NEW YORK
WILL SLOWLY DRIFT EAST INTO NEW ENGLAND. ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS HIGH...
DEVELOPING WARM AIR ADVECTION ALOFT AND THE APPROACH OF A SURFACE WARM
FRONT FROM THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL RESULT IN INCREASING MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS FROM THE LATE EVENING HOURS ONWARD...THOUGH THE WARM FRONT
ITSELF SHOULD REMAIN FAR ENOUGH TO OUR WEST TO RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING RIGHT THROUGH THE NIGHT. NIGHTTIME LOWS WILL GENERALLY RANGE
FROM ZERO TO FIVE BELOW ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TO THE MID TEENS ALONG
THE LAKE ERIE SHORELINE...AND WILL GENERALLY OCCUR BETWEEN 10 PM AND
3 AM BEFORE GIVING WAY TO SLOWLY RISING READINGS LATE...IN RESPONSE TO
A DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTERLY/SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW AT THE LOWER LEVELS.

ON FRIDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT EAST AND OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COASTLINE...WHILE ALLOWING THE AFOREMENTIONED WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO
BODILY LIFT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THIS FEATURE REACHING
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO/CENTRAL NEW YORK BY 00Z SATURDAY. OVER THE PAST
24-36 HOURS THE SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE HAS CONSISTENTLY TRENDED WETTER
WITH THIS BOUNDARY...WITH THE BULK OF THE GUIDANCE NOW OFFERING LIGHT BUT
MEASURABLE PRECIP FOR PRETTY MUCH OUR ENTIRE AREA. GIVEN OTHER MODEL TRENDS
TOWARD INCREASED MOISTURE AT THE LOWER AND MID LEVELS AND STRONGER LARGE-
SCALE LIFT ALONG THE FRONT...THIS SCENARIO LOOKS PRETTY REASONABLE. AS
SUCH...WE HAVE BUMPED POPS UP TO THE HIGH CHANCE/LOW LIKELY RANGE FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH THE HIGHEST POPS PRECEDING/ACCOMPANYING THE
FROPA ITSELF...THEN FALLING OFF TO LOW CHANCE IN ITS WAKE.

GIVEN WHAT WILL STILL BE A VERY DRY AND COLD BOUNDARY LAYER INITIALLY...
THE APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT WILL BE LIKELY TO GENERATE
A BRIEF PERIOD OF LIGHT...BUT MEASURABLE...FREEZING RAIN ACROSS AREAS
SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ON FRIDAY...AND A PERIOD OF LIGHT MIXED PRECIP
ACROSS THE EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT. GIVEN THIS...WE HAVE ELECTED TO HOIST FREEZING RAIN ADVISORIES
FOR AREAS SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO FRIDAY...AND A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
FOR AREAS EAST OF THAT LAKE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. FOR
MORE SPECIFICS ON THE TIMING OF THESE...PLEASE REFER TO THE WATCH/
WARNING/ADVISORY SECTION BELOW.

AS STATED ABOVE...THE PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN SHOULD TEND TO BE ON THE
SHORT SIDE SOUTH OF LAKE ONTARIO...AS STEADY BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING
SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO INDUCE A CHANGEOVER IN PTYPE TO JUST PLAIN
RAIN/RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS THIS ENTIRE REGION BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.
ON A STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE FLOW...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO
SURGE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN ON FRIDAY...
AND INTO THE LOWER TO MID 40S ACROSS THE LAKE PLAINS OF FAR WESTERN
NEW YORK.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FRIDAY EVENING THE SURFACE WARM FRONT AND FIRST MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
WILL STILL BE IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE NORTH COUNTRY. ASCENT
FROM DPVA AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE IN THE WARM
ADVECTION REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIP ACROSS
THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE EVENING. FORECAST TEMPERATURE PROFILES
SUGGEST A VARIETY OF PRECIP TYPES...WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS WHERE THE ENTIRE COLUMN
REMAINS BELOW FREEZING...AND JUST RAIN NEAR LAKE ONTARIO WHERE THE
COLUMN WILL STEADILY WARM. BETWEEN...THERE MAY STILL BE A NARROW
ZONE FROM THE TUG HILL TO THE THOUSAND ISLANDS REGION WHERE A WARM
NOSE ALOFT COMBINES WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING TO
CONTINUE A RISK OF VERY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. WITH THIS IN MIND THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 06Z SAT FOR THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION TO COVER THE POTENTIAL FOR SPOTTY LIGHT
ICING.

OTHERWISE OVERNIGHT WARM AIR WILL CONTINUE TO POUR INTO THE LOWER
LAKES REGION. TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN NY WILL SLOWLY RISE
OVERNIGHT ON STEADY WARM ADVECTION...WITH MID 40S BY SATURDAY
MORNING ON THE LAKE PLAINS AND LOWER 40S INTERIOR SOUTHERN TIER.
THERE STILL MAY BE A FEW SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT WITH
BROAD WARM ADVECTION AND THE APPROACH OF A MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE BY
SATURDAY MORNING...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE TIME WILL BE RAIN FREE.
IT WILL BE QUITE WINDY FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
CROSSES THE AREA. THE WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL PREVENT STRONG
MIXING WITH STRATIFIED LOW LEVELS...BUT STILL EXPECT SOME GUSTS TO
35-40 MPH OVERNIGHT.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT A RATHER POTENT CLIPPER WILL MOVE EAST
ACROSS QUEBEC. THE MAJORITY OF THE STRONGER FORCING AND DEEPER
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. WEAKER
FORCING ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY MAY PRODUCE A FEW SCATTERED
LIGHT SHOWERS...MAINLY SATURDAY MORNING AS A STRONG MID LEVEL
SHORTWAVE CROSSES THE LOWER LAKES. PRECIP COVERAGE WILL BE A LITTLE
GREATER ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO DEEPER
MOISTURE AND BETTER FORCING. MOST OF THIS WILL FALL AS RAIN...
ALTHOUGH SOME WET SNOW MAY STILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN
EARLY.

TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SATURDAY WITH DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. EXPECT MANY AREAS IN WESTERN AND CENTRAL NY TO
REACH 50...WITH LOWER 40S ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. A SOUTHWEST FLOW
OFF COLD LAKE ERIE WILL KEEP THE IMMEDIATE BUFFALO AREA COOLER.

BY SUNDAY JUST A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH REMAINS ACROSS THE LOWER
LAKES AND NEW ENGLAND. THIS MAY PRODUCE A FEW WIDELY SCATTERED RAIN
OR WET SNOW SHOWERS...BUT NOTHING OF ANY CONSEQUENCE. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN TO TREND DOWNWARD WITH WEAK COLD ADVECTION. EXPECT HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S IN MOST AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
SUNDAY NIGHT A WEAK TROUGH WILL PASS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN GEM ARE
STRONGER WITH THE SURFACE SYSTEM THAN THE GFS...TAKING A SURFACE LOW
ACROSS SOUTHERN PA WITH A SHIELD OF LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NY. THE GFS WOULD HAVE A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AS WELL WITH
A WEAK WAVE FOLLOWED BY WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW LAKE EFFECT.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND BACK DOWN TO ABOUT AVERAGE BY MONDAY WITH A
FEW LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS QUEBEC AND
NEW ENGLAND AND WILL PROVIDE A DRY STRETCH OF WEATHER WITH NEAR
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE DECREASES BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A
POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT SYSTEM MOVING ALONG THE EAST COAST. MODEL
GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE...WITH BIG RUN TO RUN CHANGES AND A
WIDE VARIETY OF POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS IN ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE. VIRTUALLY
ALL OF THE GUIDANCE HAS SHOWN A SYSTEM OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...BUT
POSSIBILITIES RANGE FROM LOW PRESSURE OUT TO SEA WITH MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS OVER THE LOWER LAKES...TO A LOW MOVING NORTHWARD ALONG
THE COAST AS IN INLAND RUNNER WHICH WOULD BE A FAVORABLE TRACK FOR
ANOTHER HEAVY SYNOPTIC SNOW IN OUR AREA. GIVEN THE MODEL
UNCERTAINTIES FOR NOW WILL KEEP THE FORECAST SIMILAR TO
CONTINUITY...WITH CHANCE TO LOW LIKELY POPS WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. EVEN WITH THE MODEL UNCERTAINTY...GIVEN AT LEAST A LOW
POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT EVENT WILL CONTINUE WITH MENTION IN THE
HWO.

BY THURSDAY COLDER AIR WILL FILTER BACK INTO THE LOWER LAKES BEHIND
THE POTENTIAL EAST COAST SYSTEM WITH A FEW LIMITED LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS ON NORTHWEST FLOW.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS OUR REGION WILL
DRIFT EASTWARD AND INTO NEW ENGLAND...AND WILL ALLOW A WEAK WARM FRONT
TO LIFT ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE COURSE OF FRIDAY. AFTER AN EVENING
OF MOSTLY UNLIMITED VFR CONDITIONS...THE WARM FRONT WILL BRING THICKENING/
LOWERING MID AND HIGH CLOUDS INTO OUR REGION OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY...
ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF LITTLE LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AS IT CROSSES THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WHICH MAY BE MIXED WITH A
LITTLE LIGHT SNOW OR SLEET ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. THROUGH ALL THIS
THOUGH...FLIGHT CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN VFR.

AS A LOW LEVEL JET DEVELOPS AND INCREASES IN STRENGTH ACROSS THE REGION
DURING FRIDAY...LLWS MAY ALSO BECOME A FORECAST ISSUE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS FAR WESTERN NEW YORK...HOWEVER THIS CURRENTLY LIES BEYOND THE
END OF THE VALID TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY NIGHT...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LLWS POSSIBLE.
SATURDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO...WITH MVFR AND RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE DRAPED ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES WILL SLIDE EASTWARD TO
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND THEN OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE FRIDAY...
WHILE A SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS STATES TRACKS TO LAKE
SUPERIOR. AS A RESULT...GENERALLY LIGHT TO MODEST WINDS ACROSS THE
REGION THIS EVENING WILL FRESHEN OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND THEN SOUTH
LATER TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS
OUR REGION...WITH THESE BECOMING BRISK ENOUGH TO WARRANT THE HOISTING
OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ON LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO...EVEN THOUGH
THE BEST WAVE ACTION WILL BE FOCUSED ON THE CANADIAN LAKESHORES.

LOOKING A BIT FURTHER OUT INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND...THE AFOREMENTIONED
SURFACE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS ONTARIO PROVINCE AND INTO QUEBEC DURING
SATURDAY. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A BRISK SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES INTO SATURDAY...BEFORE A WEAKENING PRESSURE
GRADIENT IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM ALLOWS WINDS TO DIMINISH LATER
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ACCORDINGLY...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
MENTIONED ABOVE WILL EXTEND THROUGH MUCH OF SATURDAY AS WELL.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY
     FOR NYZ006>008.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR
     NYZ003>005-013-014.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ001-
     002-010>012-085.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ020-
     021.
     FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ019.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY FOR
         LEZ040-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 10 AM FRIDAY TO 7 PM EST
         SATURDAY FOR LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY
         FOR LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR
MARINE...JJR
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 18, 3:37 PM EST, 0 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

NYZ006>008-192045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 1 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST INLAND
OF THE EAST COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A
GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE LOW TAKES A FAVORABLE TRACK IT MAY PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-192045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST INLAND
OF THE EAST COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A
GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE LOW TAKES A FAVORABLE TRACK IT MAY PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-021-192045-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST INLAND
OF THE EAST COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A
GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE LOW TAKES A FAVORABLE TRACK IT MAY PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003>005-013-014-192045-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST INLAND
OF THE EAST COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A
GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE LOW TAKES A FAVORABLE TRACK IT MAY PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-192045-
CHAUTAUQUA-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY.

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE ALONG OR JUST INLAND
OF THE EAST COAST NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THERE REMAINS A
GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
OF THIS SYSTEM. IF THE LOW TAKES A FAVORABLE TRACK IT MAY PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-192045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
337 PM EST THU FEB 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 18, 3:31 PM ESTSmall Craft AdvisoryBUF56 hr
Feb 18, 3:37 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBUFJefferson, Lewis, Oswego36 hr

Nearby

Freezing Rain Advisories in New York, 2016Every freezing rain advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.