Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016

Winter Storm Warning 1, NWS Burlington, VT

February 15, 2016Franklin County, St. Lawrence County, New York

NWS Burlington, VT issued this winter storm warning at Feb 15, 2016, 3:35 PM EST for Franklin County, St. Lawrence County, New York. It took effect at Feb 15, 2016, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr. 19 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 15, 2016, 3:35 PM EST (20:35 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 15, 2016, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 16, 2016, 9:27 PM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Burlington, VT

Counties Franklin County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 16, 6:15 AM ESTSNOW 3Massena, NY
Feb 16, 7:36 AM ESTSNOW 1.5South Colton, NYCHANGED TO RAIN
Feb 16, 7:59 AM ESTSNOW 4Canton, NY
Feb 16, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.6Massena, NY
Feb 16, 8:27 AM ESTSNOW 4Dickinson, NY
Feb 16, 8:56 AM ESTSNOW 5Bangor, NYFREEZING RAIN NOW
Feb 16, 9:53 AM ESTSNOW 6.5Massena, NYSTILL HEAVY SNOW
Feb 16, 10:30 AM ESTSNOW 6.5Massena, NYMIXED TO SLEET
Feb 16, 11:31 AM ESTSNOW 5Canton, NYNOW A MIX OF SLEET AND FREEZING
Feb 16, 11:37 AM ESTSNOW 5Gouverneur, NYMIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
Feb 16, 12:56 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.12Massena Airport, NY
Feb 16, 12:59 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.11Adirondack Airport, NY
Feb 16, 1:11 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.5Hammond, NYMODERATE FREEZING RAIN
Feb 16, 1:15 PM ESTSNOW 51 Wnw Fort Covington, NYCOMBINATION OF SNOW AND SLEET
Feb 16, 1:19 PM ESTSNOW 2.5Star Lake, NYLIGHT RAIN WITH TEMPERATURE OF 34F
Feb 16, 1:56 PM ESTSNOW 6.9Ogdensburg, NY
Feb 16, 2:32 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.33Canton, NYCURRENTLY MODERATE FREEZING RAIN WITH TEMPERATURE OF 30.
Feb 16, 4:09 PM ESTFREEZING RAIN 0.46Massena Airport, NY
Feb 16, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 10.9Ogdensburg, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 115 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1741 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

536 
WWUS41 KBTV 152035
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-161000-
/O.UPG.KBTV.WS.A.0001.160216T0300Z-160217T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KBTV.WS.W.0001.160216T0300Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
335 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET
  SNOW...ALONG WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH
  OF ICE MAINLY IN THE IMMEDIATE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. 
  SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN LATER TUESDAY 
  MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. 
  SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS TRAVEL AND POTENTIAL 
  FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE RISING THROUGH THE
  EVENING...THEN HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

NYZ028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0005.160216T0000Z-160216T1800Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
335 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION...FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY IN NEW 
  YORK AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF HEAVY 
  DENSE SNOW...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY
  DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS LATE THIS EVENING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH 
  ACROSS THE AREA. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH SLEET AND 
  FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON TUESDAY. ICING 
  COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SLOW AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW
  COVERED AND ICY ROADS. THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING TUESDAY
  PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE BELOW FREEZING SO ANY
  RAIN THAT FALLS ON UNTREATED SURFACES COULD FREEZE AND MAKE
  SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS EVEN AFTER TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE
  FREEZING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING THROUGH THE 20S
  THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND TOMORROW WILL WARM INTO THE LOW TO
  MID 40S.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW 1 MILE AT TIMES EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

RDEAL
6 follow-up statements
609 
WWUS41 KBTV 160210
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
910 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.160216T0300Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
910 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN...UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET
  SNOW...ALONG WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH.
  GREATEST ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO BE MAINLY IN THE IMMEDIATE SAINT
  LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY TUESDAY 
  MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...SNOW DEVELOPS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. 
  SNOW WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN LATER TUESDAY 
  MORNING. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING 
  TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...FREEZING RAIN WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. 
  SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL CAUSE DANGEROUS TRAVEL AND POTENTIAL 
  FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE RISING THROUGH THE 
  EVENING...THEN HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 30S.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET... AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

NYZ028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-161000-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160216T1800Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
910 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION...UNTIL 1 PM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY IN NEW 
  YORK AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF HEAVY 
  DENSE SNOW...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY 
  DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON TUESDAY.

* TIMING...SNOW HAS ALREADY BEGUN FALLING ACROSS SOUTHERN RUTLAND
  AND WINDSOR COUNTIES IN VERMONT AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
  NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. SNOW
  WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT INTO
  THE TUESDAY MORNING COMMUTE. ICING COULD CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SLOW AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW
  COVERED AND ICY ROADS. PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
  BELOW FREEZING THROUGH EARLY MORNING TUESDAY. THEREFORE...ANY
  RAIN THAT FALLS ON UNTREATED SURFACES COULD FREEZE AND MAKE
  SLICK TRAVEL CONDITIONS EVEN AFTER AIR TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE
  FREEZING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING THROUGH THE 20S
  OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...RISING INTO THE LOW TO MID 40S THROUGH
  TUESDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW 1 MILE AT TIMES OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

LOCONTO
083 
WWUS41 KBTV 160758
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
258 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-161800-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
258 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN...UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND
  SLEET...ALONG WITH ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY THIS
  MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. 

* TIMING...SNOW BECOMES STEADY IN TIME FOR THE MORNING
  COMMUTE...AND WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING
  RAIN LATE THIS MORNING. PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SLEET AND
  FREEZING RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL
  CHANGE BACK TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA OWING TO
  SNOW COVERED AND ICY ROAD CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL
  ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
  MPH...BECOMING NORTH TOWARD THIS EVENING. 

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S THIS MORNING...WITH HIGHS
  30 TO 32 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. 

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT TIMES IN SNOW TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

NYZ028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-161800-
/O.CON.KBTV.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160216T1800Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
258 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION...UNTIL 1 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN VALLEY IN NEW 
  YORK AND ALL OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN VERMONT.

* HAZARD TYPES...MIXED WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES OF HEAVY 
  DENSE SNOW...ALONG WITH AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY 
  EARLY THIS MORNING.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL GRADUALLY MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN
  TIME FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE. ICY ROAD CONDITIONS COULD CONTINUE THROUGH
  EARLY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SLOW AND POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW
  COVERED AND ICY ROADS. PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
  BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE REGION ALL MORNING AND INTO EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...ANY RAIN THAT FALLS ON UNTREATED SURFACES
  COULD FREEZE AND MAKE ICY TRAVEL CONDITIONS EVEN AFTER AIR
  TEMPERATURES WARM ABOVE FREEZING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...RISING THROUGH THE 20S THIS MORNING. HIGHS IN THE
  40S THIS AFTERNOON. 

* VISIBILITIES...BELOW 1 MILE AT TIMES THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

BANACOS
480 
WWUS41 KBTV 161757
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

NYZ028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-161900-
/O.EXP.KBTV.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160216T1800Z/
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-
EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLATTSBURGH...SARANAC LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...PORT HENRY...
TICONDEROGA...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT...
ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...
MONTPELIER...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES...BRADFORD...RANDOLPH...
RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD...WHITE RIVER JUNCTION...ENOSBURG FALLS...
RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...
KILLINGTON
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED UP ABOVE FREEZING FOR THE ADVISORY AREA
AND SO THE THREAT FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN HAS COME TO AN END.
HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE HOWEVER AS PAVEMENT
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS VERMONT AND NORTHERN
NEW YORK SO RAIN MAY FREEZE ON ANY UNTREATED SECONDARY ROADS OR
SIDEWALKS.

$$

NYZ026-027-029-087-170600-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
1257 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN...UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY 
  WET SNOW...ALONG WITH AROUND ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY LATE THIS
  AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

* TIMING...SNOW HAS MOSTLY BECOME FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE SAINT
  LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY
  AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN. PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE BACK TO
  SNOW BEFORE ENDING DURING THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA OWING 
  TO SNOW COVERED AND ICY ROAD CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT ICING 
  WILL ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND 1 MILE IN THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AT TIMES
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$
191 
WWUS41 KBTV 161942
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
242 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-170600-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
242 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF HEAVY WET SNOW AND FREEZING
RAIN...UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OF HEAVY WET
  SNOW...ALONG WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
  POSSIBLE LEADING TO TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS IN THE 0.25-0.60"
  RANGE. LATEST REPORTS INDICATE ONE THIRD OF AN INCH HAS ALREADY
  ACCUMULATED IN CANTON NY WITH REPORTS OF UP TO ONE HALF AN INCH HAS
  ALREADY ACCUMULATED IN HAMMOND NY.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY 
  THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.

* TIMING...SNOW HAS MOSTLY BECOME FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE SAINT
  LAWRENCE VALLEY AND WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE MODERATE TO HEAVY
  AMOUNTS OF FREEZING RAIN. PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE BACK TO
  SNOW BY 4PM THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST
  HALF OF TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA OWING TO
  SNOW COVERED AND ICY ROAD CONDITIONS. SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL
  ALSO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. A FEW
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ALONG THE
  SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...AROUND 1 MILE IN THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AT TIMES 
  THROUGH THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$
925 
WWUS41 KBTV 162308
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
608 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-170600-
/O.CON.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
608 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR THE COMBINATION OF MODERATE SNOW AND LEFTOVER
ICE...UNTIL 1 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...SAINT LAWRENCE COUNTY AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY 
  IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO AN ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ON TOP
  OF THE SNOW AND ICE WHICH HAS ALREADY ACCUMULATED TODAY. LATEST
  REPORTS INDICATE 5 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW AND UP TO ONE HALF INCH
  OF ICE IN MOST OF THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY.

* MAXIMUM SNOWFALL RATE...UP TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR...MAINLY
  THIS EVENING.

* TIMING...FREEZING RAIN HAS TRANSITIONED BACK TO SNOW...WHICH
  WILL FALL AT MODERATE INTENSITY AT TIMES THROUGH 11 PM. SNOW
  WILL GRADUALLY TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA OWING TO
  SNOW COVERED AND ICY ROAD CONDITIONS. WHILE THE RISK OF
  ADDITIONAL ICE ACCUMULATION HAS ENDED...SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES
  ARE STILL POSSIBLE GIVEN THE SIGNIFICANT ICE ACCUMULATIONS
  COATING POWER LINES IN THE WARNING AREA.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1 MILE AT TIMES...MAINLY THROUGH THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

PLEASE STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR
GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BURLINGTON FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SITUATION.

&&

$$

LOCONTO
341 
WWUS41 KBTV 170227
WSWBTV

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
927 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

NYZ026-027-029-087-170330-
/O.CAN.KBTV.WS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160217T0600Z/
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE...
OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR
927 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY.

WHILE PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW CONTINUE...SNOW INTENSITY IS
DIMINISHING AND AREAL COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH
MIDNIGHT. ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION THROUGH MIDNIGHT WILL BE
LIGHT. THEREFORE...THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Feb 15, 12:53 PM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 12:53 PM EST, 2 hours 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1253 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION TODAY AND GRADIENT PICKS
UP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF NEXT APPROACHING SYSTEM. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL TRACK FROM WEST VIRGINIA TO NORTHERN TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY AND BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW TO THE REGION INITIALLY BEFORE
CHANGING TO MIXED PRECIPITATION AND EVENTUALLY RAIN. THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY WILL EXPERIENCE THE MOST IMPACTS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 11 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1226 PM EST MONDAY...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE FORECAST. CURRENT TEMPERATURE AND
DEW POINT TRENDS ARE IN LINE WITH SURFACE OBS. LATEST BANDS OF
LIGHT SNOW ARE STARTING TO LIFT NORTH INTO CENTRAL NEW YORK BUT
THE BULK OF THE PRECIP AND THE SIGNIFICANT PORTION IS STILL WELL
TO THE SOUTH JUST MOVING TOWARDS PENNSYLVANIA NOW. EXPECT
PERSISTENT LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND SPREAD
NORTHWARDS. DRY AIR WILL STILL BE A CHALLENGE BUT THE WARM
ADVECTION BURST SHOULD SEE THE DRY AIR ERODING FAST ENOUGH TO
START SEEING ACCUMULATING SNOW THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN
VERMONT.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS:

HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST AND AWAY FROM THE AREA TODAY. THIS WILL
MAKE ROOM FOR APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE AREA
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW AS HIGH
MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION WILL USHER IN SOME MORE MILD AIR AND
CLOUDS ON GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF NEXT APPROACHING
SYSTEM. LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS WILL SEE WARM
AIR ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS MAKING WAY INTO OUR AREA. OVERNIGHT
WARM AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES AND WARM NOSE WILL CAUSE MIXED
PRECIPITATION FOR OUR AREA...MAINLY SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN IN
SOUTHERN VERMONT. WILL HAVE A NON- DIURNAL TEMPERATURE CURVE WITH
OVERNIGHT TEMPS RISING TONIGHT. OUR MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR TODAY
WILL BE VERY NEAR TO OUR MINIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /11 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 312 AM EST MONDAY...WINTER STORM WATCH POSTED FOR ST.
LAWRENCE AND NORTHERN FRANKLIN NY COUNTIES THRU 06Z WEDNESDAY FOR
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN
EFFECT 00-18Z TUESDAY FOR THE REMAINDER OF NY ZONES AND ALL VT
ZONES FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL...AND ICY
ROADS...ESPECIALLY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...BEFORE WARMER AIR
ARRIVES DURING THE AFTERNOON HRS.

NEGATIVE TILT 500MB TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AT 12Z TUESDAY WILL LIFT NNEWD THROUGH
THE DAYLIGHT HRS...WITH SURFACE LOW EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS
E-CENTRAL NY AND THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY BY 00Z WEDNESDAY. IMPRESSIVE
QG DYNAMICS COMBINED WITH MOISTEN LADEN SYSTEM (PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES OF 0.9" TO 1.0") WILL BRING MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING THE DAY TUESDAY INTO
TUESDAY EVENING...WITH PRECIPITATION WINDING DOWN FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH DURING LATE TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL ABOUT MIDNIGHT OR SO.
LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED TO BE HEAVIEST
ACROSS ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY/ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY REGION...WHERE
STRONG DEFORMATION/850-700MB FRONTOGENESIS WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL
MESOSCALE FORCING FOR HEAVY PRECIPITATION NW OF THE EXPECTED
SURFACE LOW TRACK. TOTAL QPF RANGES FROM 1.00 TO 1.25" ACROSS
CENTRAL AND NRN VT...TO 1.25 TO 1.75" FOR NRN NY (HIGHEST ACROSS
ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY).

IN TERMS OF PRECIPITATION TYPE...SEVERAL FACTORS ARE IN PLAY.
FIRST...WE ARE COMING OUT OF AN ARCTIC AIR MASS AND THE COLDEST
TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON...AND GROUND/PAVEMENT TEMPERATURES WILL
BE BELOW FREEZING FOR ALL AREAS AT 12Z TUESDAY. AT THE SAME
TIME...60-70KT SOUTHERLY 850MB JET FROM THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST NWD
INTO WRN NEW ENGLAND WILL BRING RAPIDLY WARMING TEMPERATURES IN
900-800MB LAYER...LIKELY ALREADY +1C TO +3C WITHIN THE WARM LAYER
ALOFT AT 12Z TUESDAY. BY 18Z...WARM LAYER TEMPS REACH +7 TO +8C
ACROSS MOST OF VERMONT...PER 00Z GFS AND +8 TO +10C IN THE 00Z
ECMWF. SO...DURING THE MORNING HRS TUESDAY...ANTICIPATE A RAPID
TRANSITION TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND GENERALLY ALL RAIN BY
EARLY AFTERNOON FROM THE ADIRONDACKS EWD ACROSS THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY AND ALL OF VERMONT. AGAIN...GROUND IS PARTICULARLY
COLD...SO SOME ICY SPOTS COULD LINGER ON THE ROAD SURFACES...SO
ADVISORY IS GOOD THRU 18Z TUESDAY...WITH BIGGEST TRAVEL CONCERNS
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE HRS TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON EXPECTED WELL INTO THE 40S ACROSS VT...AND COULD REACH
50F IN A FEW VALLEY SPOTS OF WRN RUTLAND COUNTY INTO THE SRN
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY...ESPECIALLY BASED ON 00Z ECMWF FORECAST.

IN THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY AND ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY NY...STRONG
WEST TO EAST THERMAL GRADIENT IN PLACE ALOFT AND AGEOSTROPHIC NELY
LOW- LEVEL EXPECTED TO PERSIST ALL DAY IN THE IMMEDIATE ST.
LAWRENCE VALLEY...BASED ON EXPECTED LOW TRACK JUST EAST OF THE
AREA. THIS MEANS SNOW/SLEET WILL PERSIST INTO 15-16Z TUESDAY IN
THAT AREA...AND THEN TRANSITION TO FREEZING RAIN LATER IN THE
MORNING...WHICH COULD BE MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES. POTENTIAL
EXISTS FOR UP TO 0.50" ICE ACCUMULATION IN THE IMMEDIATE ST.
LAWRENCE VALLEY IF NELY PBL FLOW HANGS ON AS EXPECTED.
ALSO...COULD SEE MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATION ACROSS FAR WRN PORTION
OF ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY. A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE LOW TRACK COULD
AFFECT THESE PROJECTIONS...BUT GIVEN POTENTIAL HEAVY SNOW AND/OR
FREEZING RAIN...A WINTER STORM WATCH WAS NECESSARY AT THIS TIME
FOR NRN FRANKLIN AND ALL OF ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY WITH POTENTIAL
IMPACT TO ROADS (SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION) AND POSSIBLE IMPACT
FOR UTILITIES WITH POTENTIAL ACCUMULATION OF WET SNOW AND ICE ON
TREES AND POWERLINES IN NRN FRANKLIN NY/ST. LAWRENCE COUNTY NY.
HIGH TEMPS AROUND KMSS SHOULD PEAK AROUND 32F.

THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW PULLS NNEWD AWAY FROM THE NORTH COUNTRY
THRU SRN QUEBEC TUESDAY NIGHT (979MB PER 00Z GFS BY 06Z WED).
COLDER AIR SWEEPING EWD ON BACK SIDE OF THE SYSTEM MAY ALLOW
PRECIPITATION TO END AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF WET SNOW...BUT GENERALLY
SEEING STRONG DEEP-LAYER DRYING AND NOT EXPECTING MUCH
ACCUMULATION AS PRECIPITATION CUTS OFF QUICKLY FROM S-N. LOWS
TUESDAY NIGHT GENERALLY 29-32F ACROSS VT...AND IN THE LOW-MID 20S
FOR NRN NY.

QUIETER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY...BUT WEAK TRAILING 700MB TROUGH
MOVING EWD FROM THE ERN GREAT LAKES/SERN ONTARIO COULD BRING A FEW
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS - ESPECIALLY BY AFTERNOON ACROSS NRN NY. HAVE
INCLUDED 30-40 POPS NRN MTNS OF NY/VT TO ACCOUNT FOR POTENTIAL
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY GENERALLY IN THE 35-39F RANGE
ACROSS VT...AND IN THE LOWER 30S ACROSS NRN NY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 312 AM EST MONDAY...700-500MB TROUGH AXIS MOVES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A FEW LINGERING SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION. THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL SEE
BRIEFLY COLDER CONDITIONS WITH NWLY WINDS. HIGHS THURSDAY
GENERALLY IN THE LOW-MID 20S ACROSS VT...AND UPR TEENS FOR NRN NY.
IT APPEARS SFC ANTICYCLONE WILL BUILD DIRECTLY OVERHEAD FOR
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH POTENTIAL FOR GOOD RADIATIVE COOLING. THIS
RESULTS IN LOW TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO.
MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY ZONAL WITH QUICK MOVING
CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM AFFECTING THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. IT APPEARS THE SFC LOW TRACKS TO OUR NORTH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...MEANING JUST LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS...AND
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN/SNOW WITH MARGINAL THERMAL PROFILES.
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND WITH
CONTINUED ZONAL FLOW PATTERN ACROSS THE NRN TIER OF THE CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z...THEN TREND TOWARD MVFR AS CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES LOWER IN SNOW THROUGH ABOUT 03Z. BETWEEN 03Z AND 06Z
IFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AND THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL
CONSIST OF IFR AND LIFR CONDITIONS AS STEADIER PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA. PRECIPITATION BEGINS AS SNOW...THEN
TRANSITIONS TO SLEET...FREEZING RAIN...AND RAIN FOR MOST LOCATIONS
BETWEEN 08Z AND 14Z. KMSS WILL STAY IN THE COLD AIR AND SHOULD SEE
SNOW GOING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THIS TIME PERIOD.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT SPEEDS
AROUND 10 KNOTS...BUT EXPECT NORTHEAST WINDS TO PERSIST AT KMSS.
IN ADDITION...AFTER 08Z THERE MAY BE SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT
ALL SITES WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT.

OUTLOOK 18Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR AVIATION
WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON NIGHT AS STORM
CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA. A CLIPPER SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY MAY BRING SOME MVFR CONDITIONS. VFR FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     TUESDAY FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
     TUESDAY FOR NYZ028-030-031-034-035.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
     TUESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ026-027-029-087.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...DEAL/NEILES
SHORT TERM...BANACOS
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...EVENSON/NEILES
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 3:30 PM EST, 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

NYZ028-030-031-034-035-VTZ001>012-016>019-162030-
EASTERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-GRAND ISLE-WESTERN FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-
WESTERN CHITTENDEN-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-WESTERN ADDISON-
ORANGE-WESTERN RUTLAND-WINDSOR-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND-
330 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK...CENTRAL
VERMONT...NORTHEAST VERMONT...NORTHWEST VERMONT AND SOUTHERN
VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ026-027-029-087-162030-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-
330 PM EST MON FEB 15 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Burlington, VT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 15, 4:07 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchBTVFranklin, St. Lawrence11 hr
Feb 15, 4:07 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryBTVClinton, Essex, Franklin33 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.