Small Craft Advisory 30, NWS Brownsville, TX

323 
WHUS74 KBRO 100025
MWWBRO

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
725 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...WINDS AND SEAS WILL LOWER TONIGHT...

.A WEAKER PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALLOW WINDS AND SEAS TO DECREASE
TONIGHT.

GMZ130-132-135-100130-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SI.Y.0024.000000T0000Z-160510T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
725 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE LOWERED BELOW CRITERIA.

$$

GMZ150-155-170-175-100130-
/O.EXP.KBRO.SC.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-160510T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
725 PM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE LOWERED BELOW CRITERIA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
633 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...UPDATED FOR LATEST AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
&&

.AVIATION...VERY FEW CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS SUITE OF TAFS.
CONVECTION CONTINUES TO AFFECT MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...AND SHOULD REMAIN AWAY FROM THE THREE MAJOR
AERODROMES. VFR IS FORECAST FOR TODAY WITH BREEZY SURFACE WINDS
AND NO CEILING ISSUES. THE LOWER LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD FADE
AROUND SUNSET WITH CIRRUS STREAMING OUT OF MEXICO ANTICIPATED
FOR THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 416 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016/

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...A WEAK 500 MB TROUGH IS
EXPECTED TO RIDE WITHIN A MID-LEVEL SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST FLOW
OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TODAY. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST IN ANTICIPATION OF THE
APPROACH AND PASSAGE OF THIS DISTURBANCE. THE PROGRESSION OF THE
500 MB TROUGH INTO THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL LEAVE DRY WEATHER
FOR THE BRO CWFA TONIGHT. ALTHOUGH ANOTHER 500 MB PERTURBATION
WILL TRACK WITHIN THE MID-LEVEL FLOW ON TUESDAY...IT WILL BE
FARTHER NORTH AND MORE OF A THREAT FOR THE EWX CWFA...REFLECTED IN
THE CURRENT DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK FROM THE STORM PREDICTION
CENTER...WITH A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER FOR THE
LONE STAR STATE EAST OF THE TEXAS BIG BEND. TEMPERATURE-
WISE...DAYTIME HIGH AND OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE IN
THE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVEL.

LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...500MB LOW/TROUGH
ACROSS NORTHWEST UNITED STATES TUESDAY WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS WEDNESDAY. SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS TUES NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. THERE ARE SOME
DIFFERENCES IN THE AMOUNT OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
SOUTH TEXAS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO NORTH TX LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. AN EASTERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS AT THE SURFACE THURSDAY AS A WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT
PREVAILS. THE FLOW ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO VEER TO THE NORTHWEST
FRIDAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
THURSDAY MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST U.S. FRIDAY. WINDS AT
THE SURFACE ARE PROGGED TO VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST SATURDAY AS
ANOTHER WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES INTO NORTH TX. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHWEST TX SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY. WILL MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS WELL AS SUNDAY EVEN THOUGH RAIN CHANCES DO
NOT LOOK FAVORABLE THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

MARINE...
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BUOY 42020 REPORTED SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 6 KNOTS GUSTING TO AROUND 8 KNOTS WITH SEAS SLIGHTLY
OVER 5 FEET WITH A PERIOD OF 7 SECONDS AT 02 CDT/07 UTC. HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO INTERACT WITH
LOW PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND THE CENTRAL PLAINS DURING THE
PERIOD...HOWEVER LESS INTENSELY THAN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. STRONG
WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ARE ANTICIPATED...BUT SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE
CAUTION SHOULD SUFFICE IN COVERING THE EXPECTED MARINE CONDITIONS
AT LEAST FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS TUES NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
AS LOW PRESSURE ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO AND DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO PROVIDES A STRONG
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF. A WEAK COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTH TX THURSDAY AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL WEAKEN ACROSS THE LOWER TX COAST. WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND
BACK TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY AS A RESULT. LIGHT TO MODERATE EAST
WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES.
&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
402 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ248>257-101100-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
402 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE
ISLAND AND AT BOCA CHICA BEACH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS POSSIBLE AT THE LOCAL BEACHES
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-101100-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
402 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
536 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ248-249-252-091115-
ZAPATA TX-JIM HOGG TX-STARR TX-
536 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 535 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MORALES-SANCHEZ...OR NEAR LOPENO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ZAPATA...LOPENO...BUSTAMANTE...MEDINA...GUERRA...ZAPATA MIDDLE SCHOOL...
MORALES-SANCHEZ...LAS PALMAS...ESCOBAS AND ZAPATA HIGH SCHOOL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

IF ON OR NEAR FALCON LAKE...GET OUT OF THE WATER AND MOVE INDOORS OR
INSIDE A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE OUT TO 10 MILES
FROM THE PARENT THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE
CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE TO SAFE SHELTER NOW! DO
NOT BE CAUGHT ON THE WATER IN A THUNDERSTORM.

&&

LAT...LON 2716 9882 2686 9865 2656 9917 2662 9918
      2668 9921 2672 9921 2675 9924 2679 9924
      2682 9926 2685 9927 2686 9929 2687 9932
      2688 9933 2691 9932 2693 9935
TIME...MOT...LOC 1035Z 245DEG 38KT 2678 9916

CASTILLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
543 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ249-250-091130-
JIM HOGG TX-BROOKS TX-
543 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN STARR...CENTRAL
BROOKS AND SOUTHEASTERN JIM HOGG COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

AT 543 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
SAN RAFAEL RANCH AIRPORT...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF AGUA NUEVA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENCINO...RACHAL...SAN RAFAEL RANCH AIRPORT...EL COYOTE RANCH AIRPORT...
HIDALGO CITY PARK AND PUESTA DEL SOL AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2721 9820 2696 9799 2695 9799 2678 9835
      2678 9857 2692 9860
TIME...MOT...LOC 1043Z 239DEG 34KT 2685 9848

CASTILLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
550 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ248-249-252-091130-
ZAPATA TX-JIM HOGG TX-STARR TX-
550 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN STARR...SOUTHEASTERN
ZAPATA AND SOUTHWESTERN JIM HOGG COUNTIES UNTIL 630 AM CDT...

AT 549 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
LOPENO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LOPENO...VIBORAS...GUERRA...MORALES-SANCHEZ AND NEW FALCON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 2713 9867 2672 9861 2653 9908 2696 9923
TIME...MOT...LOC 1049Z 245DEG 32KT 2670 9902

CASTILLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
616 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ249-250-252-253-091200-
JIM HOGG TX-HIDALGO TX-BROOKS TX-STARR TX-
616 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN STARR...SOUTHWESTERN
BROOKS...NORTH CENTRAL HIDALGO AND SOUTHERN JIM HOGG COUNTIES UNTIL
700 AM CDT...

AT 616 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES EAST OF VIBORAS...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VIBORAS...AGUA NUEVA...GUERRA...SAN RAFAEL RANCH AIRPORT...SAN ISIDRO...LA
REFORMA...SANTA CATARINA...SANTA ELENA...LA GLORIA AND DELMITA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 2670 9809 2658 9886 2695 9890 2715 9848
TIME...MOT...LOC 1116Z 261DEG 38KT 2672 9869

CASTILLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
619 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ250-251-091200-
KENEDY TX-BROOKS TX-
619 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN KENEDY AND EASTERN
BROOKS COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM CDT...

AT 619 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ENCINO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENCINO...SARITA...KENEDY COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE AND FLOWELLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2710 9753 2687 9823 2703 9832 2726 9803
      2726 9799 2721 9799 2721 9797 2724 9792
      2724 9789 2725 9782 2727 9781 2728 9779
TIME...MOT...LOC 1119Z 243DEG 36KT 2701 9812

CASTILLO

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
650 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

TXZ251-091230-
KENEDY TX-
650 AM CDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 650 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
SARITA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SARITA AND KENEDY COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2726 9773 2728 9765 2724 9763 2723 9755
      2728 9735 2720 9737 2719 9738 2724 9737
      2725 9742 2722 9743 2721 9739 2721 9743
      2717 9745 2701 9795 2708 9799 2721 9799
      2723 9795 2725 9783 2728 9779 2728 9776
TIME...MOT...LOC 1150Z 243DEG 36KT 2715 9782

CASTILLO