Alert archive / Massachusetts / Winter Storm Watches in 2016

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

February 3, 20167 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut

NWS Boston/Norton, MA issued this winter storm watch at Feb 3, 2016, 3:08 PM EST for 7 counties in Massachusetts; 5 counties in Rhode Island; Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut. It took effect at Feb 5, 2016, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2016, 3:08 PM EST (20:08 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 5, 2016, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Feb 4, 2016, 2:45 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS Boston/Norton, MA

Counties Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Barnstable County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Dukes County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Bristol County, RI, Kent County, RI, Newport County, RI, Providence County, RI, Washington County, RI

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Chatham, MA (KCHH), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2016-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Chatham, MA at 12:00Z on 2016-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 203 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1173 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
343 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

800 
WWUS41 KBOX 032008
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
308 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

MAZ018>023-040415-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0700Z-160205T2000Z/
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...
NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN
308 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND ALONG AND EAST OF NEW BEDFORD
  TO PLYMOUTH INCLUDING CAPE COD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE CAPE COD CANAL.

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPING THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW AFTER
  MIDNIGHT AND BY DAYBREAK OVER CAPE COD. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW
  IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL
  RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE FRIDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE WILL BE AFFECTED. IN ADDITION...THIS WILL BE A WET SNOW
  AND THE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES COULD RESULT IN
  ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

* CONFIDENCE...THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN PRECIPITATION
  AMOUNTS ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM. AS A RESULT...IF THE
  STORM TRACKS A BIT FURTHER EAST...LESS SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED.
  HOWEVER...IF IT IS FURTHER WEST THIS WOULD RESULT IN HEAVY SNOW
  EXTENDING FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND INCLUDING
  BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE...WITH MORE RAIN OVER THE CAPE AND
  ISLANDS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
605 
WWUS41 KBOX 040330
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1030 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

MAZ018>023-041130-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0700Z-160205T2000Z/
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...
NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN
1030 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND ALONG AND EAST OF NEW 
  BEDFORD TO PLYMOUTH INCLUDING CAPE COD AND MARTHAS VINEYARD. 

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE CAPE COD CANAL. 

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPING THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT AND BY DAYBREAK OVER CAPE COD. A PERIOD OF 
  HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING 
  WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR. 

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE FRIDAY 
  MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE AFFECTED. IN ADDITION...THIS WILL BE A 
  WET SNOW AND THE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES COULD 
  RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

* CONFIDENCE...THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN PRECIPITATION 
  AMOUNTS ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM. AS A RESULT...IF 
  THE STORM TRACKS A BIT FURTHER EAST...LESS SNOWFALL IS 
  EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF IT IS FURTHER WEST THIS WOULD RESULT IN 
  HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 
  INCLUDING BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE...WITH MORE RAIN OVER THE CAPE 
  AND ISLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$
311 
WWUS41 KBOX 040904
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
404 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

MAZ017-RIZ002-004>008-041715-
/O.EXB.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...
BRISTOL...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
404 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS
  INCLUDING THE CITY OF PROVIDENCE.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
  HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPING THURSDAY NIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW AFTER
  MIDNIGHT. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY
  NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER
  HOUR.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE
  WILL BE AFFECTED. IN ADDITION...THIS WILL BE A WET SNOW AND THE
  ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES.

* CONFIDENCE...THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN PRECIPITATION 
  AMOUNTS ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM. AS A RESULT...IF 
  THE STORM TRACKS A BIT FURTHER EAST...LESS SNOWFALL IS 
  EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF IT IS FURTHER WEST THIS WOULD RESULT IN 
  HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 
  INCLUDING BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE...WITH MORE RAIN OVER THE CAPE 
  AND ISLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$

MAZ018>023-041715-
/O.EXT.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...
NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
VINEYARD HAVEN
404 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND INCLUDING CAPE COD AND
  MARTHAS VINEYARD.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR THE CAPE COD CANAL. 

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPING TONIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW AFTER
  MIDNIGHT AND BY DAYBREAK OVER CAPE COD. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW
  IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL RATES
  UP TO ONE TO TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS DRIVING
  CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE
  WILL BE AFFECTED. IN ADDITION...THIS WILL BE A WET SNOW AND THE
  ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED
  POWER OUTAGES.

* CONFIDENCE...THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN PRECIPITATION 
  AMOUNTS ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM. AS A RESULT...IF 
  THE STORM TRACKS A BIT FURTHER EAST...LESS SNOWFALL IS 
  EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF IT IS FURTHER WEST THIS WOULD RESULT IN 
  HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 
  INCLUDING BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE...WITH MORE RAIN OVER THE CAPE 
  AND ISLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$
842 
WWUS41 KBOX 041500
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1000 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND
LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

MAZ017>023-RIZ002-004>008-042300-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1000 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING THE CITY OF PROVIDENCE. 

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPS TONIGHT...CHANGING TO SNOW AFTER
  MIDNIGHT. A PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
  AND FRIDAY MORNING WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.

* IMPACTS...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED WITH HAZARDOUS 
  DRIVING CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. THE FRIDAY 
  MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE AFFECTED. IN ADDITION...THIS WILL BE A 
  WET SNOW AND THE ACCUMULATION ON TREES AND POWER LINES COULD 
  RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES. 

* CONFIDENCE...THERE WILL BE A SHARP CUTOFF IN PRECIPITATION 
  AMOUNTS ON THE WESTERN FRINGE OF THE STORM. AS A RESULT...IF 
  THE STORM TRACKS A BIT FURTHER EAST...LESS SNOWFALL IS 
  EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IF IT IS FURTHER WEST THIS WOULD RESULT IN 
  HEAVY SNOW EXTENDING FURTHER WEST ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND 
  INCLUDING BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE...WITH MORE RAIN OVER THE CAPE 
  AND ISLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF ACCUMULATING
SNOW OF 6 OR MORE INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...OR 8 OR MORE
INCHES IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD. ANYONE TRAVELING IN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO MODIFY
TRAVEL PLANS SHOULD WINTER WEATHER DEVELOP.

&&

$$
152 
WWUS41 KBOX 041645
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1145 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENGLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

CTZ004-MAZ012-013-015-016-RIZ001-003-050045-
/O.EXA.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
WINDHAM CT-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...WEST GREENWICH
1145 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND AND
  PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBLE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPS TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW AFTER
  MIDNIGHT. HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 5 AM AND 10 AM FRIDAY
  WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE MOST AFFECTED DUE
  TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. WET SNOW ACCUMULATING ON TREES
  AND POWER LINES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN
SIX INCHES OF SNOW. STAY INFORMED. PLAN ON A SLOWER THAN USUAL
COMMUTE FRIDAY MORNING...OR TELECOMMUTE IF POSSIBLE.

&&

$$

MAZ017>023-RIZ002-004>008-050045-
/O.CON.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...PROVIDENCE...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
1145 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF RHODE ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST 
  MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...POSSIBLE SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN DEVELOPS TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW FRIDAY
  MORNING. HEAVY SNOW IS POSSIBLE DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE WITH SNOWFALL RATES UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE WILL BE MOST AFFECTED DUE
  TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. WET SNOW ACCUMULATING ON TREES
  AND POWER LINES COULD RESULT IN ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE THAN
SIX INCHES OF SNOW. STAY INFORMED. PLAN ON A SLOWER THAN USUAL
COMMUTE FRIDAY MORNING...OR TELECOMMUTE IF POSSIBLE.

&&

$$
027 
WWUS41 KBOX 041945
WSWBOX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WILL BRING HEAVY WET SNOW TO MUCH OF SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY...

MAZ023-RIZ005-008-042045-
/O.CAN.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
DUKES MA-BRISTOL RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VINEYARD HAVEN...BRISTOL...BLOCK ISLAND
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WATCH. RAIN WILL NOT CHANGE TO SNOW UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...
WHICH WILL RESULT IN LOWER SNOWFALL TOTALS THAN PREVIOUSLY
FORECAST.

$$

CTZ004-MAZ012-013-015>018-RIZ001-002-050345-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
WINDHAM CT-SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...MILFORD...
WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...
BROCKTON...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHEAST CONNECTICUT...MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
  MASSACHUSETTS...AND NORTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS NEAR
  INTERSTATE 95.

* TIMING...RAIN BEGINS LATE TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDDAY FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE FRIDAY
  MORNING COMMUTE. PLACES THAT RECEIVE MORE THAN 5 INCHES OF SNOW
  ARE PRONE TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS OR
  WIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW.
TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AND DIFFICULT DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
POOR VISIBILITY. PLAN ON DOUBLING YOUR NORMAL DRIVE TIME
FRIDAY...OR TELECOMMUTE IF POSSIBLE.

&&

$$

MAZ004>007-014-026-050345-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-
EASTERN ESSEX MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...
LOWELL...LAWRENCE...GLOUCESTER...CAMBRIDGE...AYER
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM EST
FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST TOTALS NEAR
  INTERSTATE 95.

* TIMING...RAIN BEGINS LATE TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF AROUND MIDDAY FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL...ESPECIALLY DURING THE FRIDAY
  MORNING COMMUTE. PLACES THAT RECEIVE MORE THAN 5 INCHES OF SNOW
  ARE PRONE TO ISOLATED POWER OUTAGES FROM DOWNED TREE LIMBS OR
  WIRES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR MORE THAN 6 INCHES OF SNOW.
TRAVEL WILL BE SLOW AND DIFFICULT DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
POOR VISIBILITY. PLAN ON DOUBLING YOUR NORMAL DRIVE TIME FRIDAY...
OR TELECOMMUTE IF POSSIBLE.

&&

$$

MAZ019>022-RIZ003-004-006-007-050345-
/O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0002.160205T0600Z-160205T2000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0006.160205T1200Z-160205T2000Z/
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-WASHINGTON RI-
NEWPORT RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PLYMOUTH...FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...
MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...PROVINCETOWN...
WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 3 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 3 PM
EST FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN BEGINS LATE TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW FRIDAY
  MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING
  COMMUTE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...SLOW TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR
  VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW WHICH CAN AFFECT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PLAN ON EXTRA TRAVEL TIME
DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. BE ALERT FOR SLIPPERY ROADS.

&&

$$

CTZ002-003-MAZ011-050345-
/O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0006.160205T0600Z-160205T1800Z/
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...SPRINGFIELD
245 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY.

* LOCATIONS...NORTH CENTRAL CONNECTICUT AND ADJACENT SOUTH CENTRAL
  MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...RAIN BEGINS LATE TONIGHT AND CHANGES TO SNOW EARLY
  FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE FRIDAY
  MORNING COMMUTE...BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY MIDDAY FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...SLOW TRAVEL DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR
  VISIBILITY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS ISSUED FOR MINOR ACCUMULATIONS OF
SNOW WHICH CAN AFFECT TRAVEL CONDITIONS. PLAN ON EXTRA TRAVEL TIME
DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE. BE ALERT FOR SLIPPERY ROADS.

&&

$$

JWD/MD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Boston/Norton, MA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 3, 1:34 PM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 1:34 PM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
134 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXPECT WIDESPREAD RAIN WITH POSSIBLY A
RUMBLE OF THUNDER. THE COLD FRONT WILL STALL JUST OFF THE COAST
THURSDAY AND LINGER THERE UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
BRINGS DRY WEATHER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A DEVELOPING COASTAL STORM
MAY AFFECT THE REGION BY TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
130 PM UPDATE...RAIN HAS BEEN RELATIVELY SLOW TO PROGRESS
EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. RAIN REMAINS ROUGHLY WEST
OF A BEVERLY MA TO WORCESTER MA TO HARTFORD CT LINE. CURRENT
MOVEMENT TO THE NORTH AND EAST SHOWS VERY LITTLE EASTWARD
PROGRESSION.

RAINFALL: AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WE ANTICIPATE HEAVY RAINFALL. HIGH PWATS AROUND 1.3
INCHES...ABOUT 4 TO 6 SD ABOVE NORMAL...AND A STRONG SOUTHERLY
LOW-LEVEL JET...3-4 SD ABOVE NORMAL...IN CONJUNCTION WITH A HIGH
AMPLITUDE LONGWAVE TROF TAPPING INTO GULF MOISTURE...ALL POINT
TOWARDS THE POTENTIAL OF A GOOD SLUG OF RAINFALL DURING THE
AFTERNOON. FORECAST RAINFALL AT THIS TIME IS 1 TO 1.5 INCHES.
ANTICIPATE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 21-00Z.

WIND: 925 MB JET INCREASES BETWEEN 60-70 KTS AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. LAPSE RATES ARE POOR ACROSS THE REGION
LIMITING ANY MIXING POTENTIAL. SOUNDINGS ALSO SUPPORT 50-60 KTS
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 KFT WITH AN INVERSION. HOWEVER...IF HEAVIER RAIN
IS ABLE TO TAP INTO THE LLJ...IT COULD MIX DOWN STRONG GUSTY
WINDS. WIND GUSTS COULD REACH BETWEEN 30-40 MPH ACROSS THE COASTAL
PLAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.

TEMPERATURES: TEMPS HAVE BEEN STRUGGLING TO GET TO 50 THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE WARM FRONT SLOWLY PUSHES NORTHWARD. THERE ARE
EVEN STILL TEMPERATURES IN THE 30S ACROSS NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS.
APPEARS THAT THE WARMEST TEMPS WILL OCCUR AFTER 21-00Z AHEAD OF
THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT...

COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE EVENING
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS MENTIONED BEFORE...APPEARS THAT THE
COLD FRONT WILL SLOW DOWN BY EARLY THURSDAY AM THANKS TO NORTH
ATLANTIC RIDGE.

BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL BE ONGOING AROUND 00Z BUT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH
OFFSHORE BY 06Z. PRECIP WILL LINGER ACROSS THE CAPE AND ISLANDS
TOWARDS THE MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY.

HAVE CONTINUED THE MENTION FOR THUNDER DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO INDICATE ELEVATED
INSTABILITY. THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION WILL ALSO INCREASE THE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS WELL AS BRING DOWN ANY GUSTY WINDS.

LLJ WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. IN FACT 925 MB JET STRENGTHENS BETWEEN 60-70 KTS. AGAIN
SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO SHOW STRONG INVERSION EVEN OVER THE WATERS.
GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...BETWEEN 20-30 MPH.
HOWEVER GUSTS WILL BEGIN TO DISSIPATE AFTER 06Z.

FINALLY TEMPERATURES MAY WARM RIGHT AROUND 00-03Z WHEN THE WARMEST
925 MB TEMPS OCCUR. USED A NON-DIURNAL TREND TONIGHT FOR
TEMPERATURES AS CAA WONT TRULY TAKE PLACE UNTIL AFTER 06-09Z.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BIG PICTURE...

LONGWAVE SCALE SHOWS A TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST AND RIDGE ALONG THE
PACIFIC COAST LATE THIS WEEK...ALL SHIFTING EAST OVER THE WEEKEND
AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. ONE RIDGE LINGERS OVER THE WEST ATLANTIC WHILE
ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN USA. MEANWHILE MULTIPLE
SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH A TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST. THE SECOND
SHORTWAVE MOVES OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SUNDAY...SWINGING WELL
OFFSHORE AND THEN NORTH INTO NOVA SCOTIA. THE THIRD SHORTWAVE
AMPLIFIES THE MIDWEST TROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BRINGS THE FLOW
EAST OF THE TROUGH AXIS UP THE EAST COAST.

THIS PATTERN SUGGESTS LINGERING SHOWERS ALONG THE SOUTH/EAST NEW
ENGLAND COASTLINE THURSDAY-FRIDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR A MORE
SUBSTANTIAL STORM MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY.

TEMPERATURES COOL BACK TO SEASONABLE LEVELS AS THE UPPER TROUGH
SHIFTS EAST.

THE DAILIES...

THURSDAY-FRIDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

UPPER FLOW REMAINS SOUTHWEST THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE UPPER TROUGH THEN CROSSES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
AND TURNS THE UPPER FLOW WESTERLY.  THE SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL ALIGN
WITH AND STALL THE COLD FRONT JUST OFFSHORE UNTIL THE SHORTWAVE
MOVES THROUGH. MEANWHILE THE LEFT ENTRANCE REGION OF THE UPPER JET
WILL MOVE OVERHEAD DURING THURSDAY AND EARLY FRIDAY. THIS WILL
INDUCE A WAVE ALONG THE STALLED FRONT...PUSHING THE PCPN SHIELD BACK
ACROSS EASTERN MASS AND RI. TEMPS FOR THE MOST PART WILL SUPPORT
RAIN RATHER THAN SNOW...BUT COOLING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING MAY BRING A
PERIOD OF SNOW OR MIXED RAIN/SNOW THAT COULD LEAVE A COATING TO AN
INCH.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
BRINGING DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER. A SECOND SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY. THIS WILL DRIVE A CLIPPER LOW ACROSS
EASTERN CANADA AND A COLD FRONT ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. MOST OF THE
MOISTURE AND DYNAMIC SUPPORT WILL STAY WELL TO OUR NORTH. SO EXPECT
A DRY FROPA WITH PATCHY CLOUDS.

MONDAY-TUESDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE.
TWO SHORTWAVES CURRENTLY OVER THE PACIFIC WILL GO FEET-DRY...THE
FIRST TONIGHT AND THE SECOND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE FIRST SHORTWAVE FORMS
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST USA COAST AND THEN CARRIES IT WELL
OFFSHORE SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY. ITS MAIN EFFECT ON NEW ENGLAND WOULD
BE TO COMBINE WITH CANADIAN LOW PRESSURE TO BRING AN EAST FLOW
ONSHORE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH CLOUDS AND POSSIBLY SOME
LIGHT PCPN. THE SECOND SHORTWAVE DIVES ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND DIGS A
DEEP TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN USA BY MONDAY. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF
SHOW A PRIMARY SURFACE LOW OVER THE MIDWEST AND ANOTHER DEVELOPING
COASTAL LOW TUESDAY. THIS WOULD BRING PCPN INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
PRIMARILY ON TUESDAY. THE FASTEST MODEL QPF REACHES OUR AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND MAINLY ON TUESDAY AND THE SLOWER ONSET ON TUESDAY. WITH
HIGH PRESSURE AND COLD AIR OVER EASTERN CANADA THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR INITIAL SNOW WITH A CHANGE TO RAIN IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. IN ANY
CASE...THAT/S A LOT OF DETAILS FOR A SYSTEM STILL OVER THE PACIFIC
OCEAN. BECAUSE IT IS SO FAR OUT IN SPACE AND TIME...CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

THROUGH 00Z...HAVE A WIDE RANGE OF CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION
WITH VFR CIGS/VSBYS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS...
MVFR CIGS ACROSS RI/EASTERN CT/CENTRAL MA...AND IFR CIGS IN
WESTERN MA/CT. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AS RAIN OVERSPREADS SNE.

ISOLD TSRA PSBL AFTER 21Z INTO TONIGHT ESP ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS
OF RI/MA. SE WIND GUSTS 25-35 KTS. LLWS IS LIKELY DUE TO
INVERSION.

TONIGHT...MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE WITH RAIN SLOWLY COMING TO
AN END FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTH EAST. RAIN WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT ALONG THE SOUTH COAST...CAPE...AND ISLANDS. WILL
SEE SOME IMPROVEMENT TO VFR ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN TERMINALS
TOWARDS 12Z. POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD TSRA ALONG THE SOUTH COASTS OF
RI/MA CONTINUES.

THURSDAY...QUICK IMPROVEMENT TO VFR ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE
AREA THROUGH 15Z THOUGH CLOUDS WILL LINGER THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY.

KBOS TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS...LOWER CONFIDENCE IN
TIMING OF WINDS/PRECIP.

KBDL TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TRENDS...LOWER CONFIDENCE IN
TIMING OF WINDS/PRECIP.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE

THURSDAY NIGHT-FRIDAY... VFR...EXCEPT MVFR/IFR CAPE
COD/ISLANDS/SOUTH COAST IN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...VFR. SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS SATURDAY
AND NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 20 KNOTS SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

BOTH WIND AND SEAS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A
STRONG WEATHER SYSTEM PUSHING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE WATERS BY
TONIGHT. STRONG SOUTHERLY LLJ WILL HELP SEAS BUILD CLOSE TO 8-10
FEET ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS. THIS POTENT JET WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR
SOUTHERLY GALE FORCE GUSTS. HIGHEST CONFIDENCE IS ACROSS EASTERN
WATERS. WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED A GALE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHERN
WATERS AS WELL AS GUSTS WILL BE 35 KTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS DURING
THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. SCA FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WATERS LIMITING
VSBYS...THERE IS ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED THUNDER THIS
EVENING.

OUTLOOK /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE...

THURSDAY-FRIDAY...WINDS BELOW 20 KNOTS EACH DAY. SEAS 5-7 FEET ON
THE RI WATERS THURSDAY AND THE OUTER WATERS BOTH DAYS. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THOSE ROUGH SEAS.

SATURDAY-SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS BELOW 25 KT SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH ON SUNDAY. WIND SHIFT TO A NORTH-NORTHWEST WIND WITH
GUSTS 25-30 KNOTS BY EVENING. SEAS BELOW 5 FEET BOTH DAYS. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED LATE SUNDAY.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD HIGHS FOR FEB 3RD - 4TH...

BOS...59/1991 - 64/1991
BDL...61/1991 - 64/1991
PVD...60/1991 - 66/1991
ORH...57/1909 - 61/1991

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ231-232-255-256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ233>235-
     237.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ230-236.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ250-251-254.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/DUNTEN
NEAR TERM...DUNTEN/RLG
SHORT TERM...DUNTEN
LONG TERM...WTB
AVIATION...WTB/RLG
MARINE...WTB/DUNTEN
CLIMATE...STAFF
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 4:14 AM EST, 10 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
414 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-040915-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
414 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF
MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
EAST SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS MAY GUST
TO 40 MPH ACROSS SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF
RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO A PERIOD OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW
ENGLAND LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY WITH MINOR
ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION IS DEPENDENT ON
PRECIPITATION MAKING IT FAR ENOUGH WEST INTO NEW ENGLAND WHICH IS
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ231-232-255-256-040915-
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
414 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ250-251-254-040915-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-233>237-040915-
BOSTON HARBOR-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
414 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS
AND RHODE ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Massachusetts, 2016Winter Storm Watches in Rhode Island, 2016Winter Storm Watches in Connecticut, 2016Every winter storm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.