Small Craft Advisory 82, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

477 
WHUS71 KBOX 120207
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

ANZ254-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160612T1500Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SUNDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-256-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160613T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160613T1200Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0082.160612T1200Z-160613T1200Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SUNDAY TO
8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0082.160612T1200Z-160613T0000Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 8 PM EDT
SUNDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-250-251-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0300Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-121015-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
1007 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

973 
WHUS71 KBOX 120817
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

ANZ254-121630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160613T1200Z/
/O.CAN.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...
...GALE WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WATCH.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232>234-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0082.160612T1200Z-160613T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0036.160612T1500Z-160613T0100Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KT. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR SHORE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0082.160612T1200Z-160613T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0036.160612T1500Z-160613T0100Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160613T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0036.160612T1500Z-160613T0100Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. STRONGEST WINDS NEAR SHORE. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-251-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0036.160612T1500Z-160613T0100Z/
CAPE COD BAY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35
  KT. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE NEAR SHORE. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0036.160612T1500Z-160613T0100Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  35 KT. SEAS AROUND 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-121630-
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0025.160612T1500Z-160613T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.160612T1500Z-160613T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM
EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-256-121630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0080.000000T0000Z-160613T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
417 AM EDT SUN JUN 12 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
215 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

Showers gradually diminish in areal coverage and intensity through
this evening. A cold front sweeps across the area Sunday followed by
a return to cooler than normal temperatures Sunday night through
Monday night. Other than a spot shower Monday next week appears dry
with moderating temperatures Tuesday through Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...

***Severe weather appears unlikely across southern New England
this evening***

215 pm update...

Complex of showers and embedded thunderstorms has weakened
considerably over the last two hours.  Mainly light to moderate rain
was affecting much of the region at mid afternoon, with just a few
left over lightning strikes showing up across eastern CT and they
may affect portions of RI.

Otherwise, bulk of the steady rain will exit the coastal plain
through late afternoon, but still expect some scattered showers into
early evening as warm front lifts north across the region providing
a lifting mechanism.

Severe weather appears rather unlikely this evening, given cloud
debris/limited instability behind this initial complex of activity.
In addition, mid level dry air and subsidence behind this shortwave
will also be a hindrance.  Still a low risk of an isolated strong
thunderstorm across CT between 5 and 10 pm, but overall severe
weather threat and appears rather low.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
TONIGHT...

Southern New England will be in the warm sector tonight. Could see a
few showers linger across the South Coast, Cape and Islands but bulk
of the precip should come to an end. 850 mb temps warm to 14-17C
overnight. However, near the pre-dawn hours strong CAA will begin to
usher in as the cold front pushes through.

While most of the region will remain dry overnight, there is a
chance of an isolated thunderstorm. Strong shortwave will push
through the flow resulting in a potent cold front moving across
southern New England. Guidance continues to show strong shear values
and modest instability overnight. The only thing that is lacking is
the moisture. Some of the guidance tries to indicate that the
atmosphere will recover between 09-12z with a thin line of mid-level
moisture across SE Mass, Cape and Islands. If this does occur we
could see an isolated thunderstorm or two but confidence is low at
this time.

Otherwise plenty of low level moisture before cold front pushes
through. Dewpoints will rise into the 60F overnight. Soundings show
a weak low level inversion, which may aid in patchy fog developing
across the area.

SUNDAY...

Cold front will push through on Sunday resulting in mostly dry
weather. Cannot rule out a sprinkle or two when cold pool moves over
the region. Lapse rates will also be quite steep which will help aid
in mixing up to 850 mb. Increasing LLJ thanks to tight pressure and
thermal gradient will reach close to 40-45 kts. This will lead to
gusty northwesterly winds near 40-45 kts especially across higher
elevations. A wind adv may be needed up something to fine tune in
the next forecast.

Temperatures will warm in the morning before strong CAA sweeps
through southern New England. High temps will warm into the 70 to
mid 70s but will quickly fall in the afternoon as diurnal cu
develops limiting radiational heating.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Highlights ...

* Cooler than normal temperatures Sun ngt thru Mon ngt
* Mainly dry weather Tue thru Fri with warm days and cool nights

Overview ...

Omega block pattern well established over the CONUS this period with
large amplitude ridge across the Plains into central Canada along
with troughs along both coasts. Both the GEFS and EPS ensembles show
some energy under cutting the ridge mid to late next week but
guidance in good agreement that any mid level trofiness or closed
low would track well southwest of New England across the MS valley.

Temperatures ...

Good model agreement on anomalous closed low of -3 standard
deviations across the Gulf of ME Sun night thru Mon night. This will
result in a cool modified continental polar airmass over New England
with 850 temps on the order of -1 to -2 standard deviations cooler
than climo. Thus overnight mins will be in the 50s regionwide with
upper 40s western-northwest MA. However by Tue and especially mid to
late next week this closed mid level low moves from the Gulf of ME
to Newfoundland...allowing height rises and warmer air to overspread
New England. This will promote moderating temperatures with highs in
the upper 70s to low 80s...fairly close to normal. Given the airmass
will be dry humidity levels will be comfortable. This will also
allow temps overnight to dip into the 50s. Very pleasant especially
by mid June standards.

Precipitation ...

Dry pattern given NW flow aloft and streams remaining unphased. Low
risk for a a spot shower Mon afternoon as additional short wave
energy pinwheels thru SNE around Gulf of ME mid level low. Otherwise
looking at a dry pattern much if not all of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Sunday/...

This afternoon...Moderate to high confidence.  Steady showers move
off the coast through 21z, but scattered showers will remain
possible into the early evening hours.  Mainly VFR but brief MVFR
conditions possible for another hour or two in heavier showers.
Still have to watch for a few embedded t-storms near PVD for the
next hour or two.

Tonight...Moderate confidence.  May see a period of MVFR-IFR
conditions develop along the coastal plain, with highest risk across
the Cape and especially Nantucket in low clouds and fog patches this
evening. The rest of the region will be VFR, but some patchy ground
fog may result in a period of MVFR-IFR conditions late tonight.  Low
risk of an isolated t-storm across Northern CT through 10 pm.

Sunday...High confidence.  VFR conditions with just diurnal cumulus
clouds.  Northwest wind gusts of 25 to 35 knots.

KBOS TAF...Moderate to high confidence in TAF.  Uncertainty this
evening if low clouds develop across the terminal or remain south,
but regardless should not last long.  May also see a temporary wind
shift to the ESE this evening as warm front tries to lift north.

KBDL TAF...Moderate to high confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sun ngt through Mon night ... VFR with gusty wnw winds. High
forecast confidence.

Tue and Wed ... VFR with light winds. High forecast confidence.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Sunday/...

Today and tonight...Moderate Confidence. SW winds may gust to
around 25 kt around the southern near shore waters, supporting a
small craft advisory. Otherwise, main issue will be the
possibility of showers and thunderstorms especially over the
southern waters late in the day. Some storms may have stronger
winds. The winds shift to the W late tonight and building wind-
waves may reach 5+ ft by morning SCA has been issued for ocean
waters.

Sunday...Moderate confidence. Cold front will sweep over the
waters shifting the winds to a more NW direction. Strong CAA
behind the front will increase winds and thus seas. Gusts near 30
kts possible with a low chance for gales. SCA will be needed for
all of the waters, however only issued for certain zones to avoidable
headlines.

Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...

Sun night thru Mon night ... gusty wnw winds of 20-30 kt. Low risk
for a few 35 kt gale force gusts. Otherwise dry weather and good
vsby. High forecast confidence.

Tue and Wed ... light winds with subsiding seas. Dry weather and
good vsby too. High forecast confidence.&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT this
     evening for ANZ231>234-236.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ230-
     250-251.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 PM this afternoon to 8 PM EDT
     Sunday for ANZ235-237-254>256.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     ANZ231>234-236.
     Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ230-
     250-251.
     Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ235-237-
     254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Nocera/Dunten
NEAR TERM...Frank
SHORT TERM...Dunten
LONG TERM...Nocera
AVIATION...Frank/Nocera
MARINE...Nocera/Dunten

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
237 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-121845-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
237 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF
MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM ACROSS
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT THIS EVENING WITH GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

LOW RISK OF WEST WINDS REACHING WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WOULD BE MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF
WESTERN MA AND NORTHERN CT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-121845-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
237 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO MONDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW AT THIS TIME FOR A GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1235 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

CTZ002>004-MAZ009-011-111715-
HARTFORD CT-WINDHAM CT-TOLLAND CT-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-
1235 PM EDT SAT JUN 11 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING THROUGH WEST CENTRAL WINDHAM...
TOLLAND...HARTFORD...SOUTHWESTERN HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHWESTERN HAMPDEN
COUNTIES COUNTIES...

AT 1233 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER HARTLAND...OR 13 MILES NORTHEAST OF TORRINGTON...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. IN
ADDITION...A QUICK INCH OF RAINFALL MAY OCCUR IN SOME
AREAS...PRODUCING LOCALIZED MINOR URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...HARTFORD...NEW BRITAIN...WEST HARTFORD...BRISTOL...
MANCHESTER...EAST HARTFORD...ENFIELD...WESTFIELD...GLASTONBURY...
NEWINGTON...VERNON...WINDSOR...AGAWAM...WEST SPRINGFIELD...
WETHERSFIELD...MANSFIELD...SOUTH WINDSOR...FARMINGTON AND WINDHAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

GET INDOORS WHEN THIS STORM APPROACHES. WINDS MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE...SUCH AS A FEW DOWNED BRANCHES.

&&

LAT...LON 4224 7286 4186 7212 4169 7220 4171 7224
      4167 7227 4164 7233 4160 7234 4158 7246
      4165 7251 4163 7272 4172 7300 4178 7300
      4182 7294 4188 7295 4190 7291 4197 7289
      4197 7303 4204 7301 4204 7306 4210 7307
TIME...MOT...LOC 1633Z 306DEG 47KT 4197 7293

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