Small Craft Advisory 43, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

946 
WHUS71 KBOX 170743
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

ANZ231-232-235-237-251-171545-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
EDT THIS EVENING.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST AROUND WINDS 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-171545-
/O.EXB.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T0743Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST AROUND WINDS 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. 
  SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ233-234-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-171545-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
343 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FRANK

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

097 
WHUS71 KBOX 171424
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

ANZ230-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST AROUND WINDS 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  25 KT. SEAS 1 TO 2 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-251-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.160317T1700Z-160318T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-172230-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1024 AM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

716 
WHUS71 KBOX 172030
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
430 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

ANZ250-254-256-180430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SW.Y.0005.160317T2030Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
430 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY. 

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET...MAINLY IN FORM OF LONG PERIOD SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-180430-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0043.000000T0000Z-160318T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.SW.Y.0005.160317T2030Z-160318T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
430 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM
EDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT
FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* SEAS...3 TO 6 FEET...MAINLY IN FORM OF LONG PERIOD SWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

ANZ230>237-251-180000-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0042.000000T0000Z-160318T0000Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
430 PM EDT THU MAR 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40
  KT. SEAS 1 TO 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMPSON

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
827 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

SHOWERS WORK ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT...AND AGAIN LATE
THURSDAY WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. A POLAR FRONT
FRIDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER INTO THE WEEKEND. A STRONG
COASTAL STORM REMAINS POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY ALONG WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND/OR SNOW.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...

825 PM UPDATE...

BRIEF BURST OF HEAVY SHOWERS AND EVEN AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR
TWO WAS WORKING ACROSS WESTERN MA/NORTHERN CT.  THIS ACTIVITY WAS
BEING DRIVEN BY A BURST OF MID LEVEL INSTABILITY AND WILL NOT LAST
TOO LONG IN A GIVEN LOCATION.  INITIAL ACTIVITY SHOULD QUICKLY
OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE REGION...BUT BE OFF THE COAST BY 11 PM.
RADAR MOSAIC AND HRRR SHOWING ANOTHER BATCH OF SCATTERED SHOWERS
ACROSS NY STATE THAT MAY SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING
AND INTO THE VERY EARLY HOURS OF THU AM.  HOWEVER...MAINLY DRY
WEATHER EXPECTED TOWARD DAYBREAK.  LOW TEMPS WILL LIKELY BE ABOVE
GUIDANCE NUMBERS WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE 40 TO 45
DEGREE RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
THURSDAY...

ANOMALOUS H5 CUTOFF LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD POOL WILL CROSS
THE REGION DURING THE DAY. W WINDS WILL PICK UP AS DEEP MIXED
LAYER DEVELOPS WITH THE QUICK ARRIVAL OF THE MID LEVEL COLD AIR
ADVECTION. H5 TEMPS WILL DROP DURING THE DAY...BOTTOMING OUT
AROUND -30C BY 00Z FRI. STRONG MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL DEVELOP
THANKS TO THIS.

THESE AND OTHER FACTORS BLEND TOGETHER TO BRING IN LOW TOPPED
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. HAVE CARRIED CHANCE POPS FOR MOST AREAS
EXCEPT THE S COAST. WITH THE COLD POOL...THERE MAY EVEN BE SOME
SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL MIXED IN ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR
HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. NAM BUFKIT
SOUNDINGS ALSO SHOWING THE POSSIBILITY OF MIXING HIGH WIND GUSTS
DOWN IF CONVECTION CAN INITIATE. NOTING WINDS AT H7-H5 ON ORDER OF
30-40 KT WITH SOME UP TO 50 KT ABOVE H5. THE BIG QUESTION WILL BE
WHETHER THE DEEP MIXING WILL BE REALIZED. MAY NOT SEE ANY THUNDER
BUT COULD STILL SEE THE STRONG WIND GUSTS. LOOKS LIKE BEST SHOT
WILL OCCUR FROM CENTRAL MA/NE CT WESTWARD...BUT STILL CAN NOT
RULE OUT GUSTY WINDS FURTHER E. WILL ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS
DEVELOP ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH THE LAND-OCEAN INTERACTION.

WITH THE EXCELLENT MIXING IN PLACE...TEMPS WILL ALSO RESPOND.
EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ACROSS THE HIGHER INLAND
TERRAIN TO THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN...THOUGH WILL
HOLD IN THE LOWER 50S ON THE OUTER CAPE AND ISLANDS.

THURSDAY NIGHT...

ANY LEFTOVER DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS WILL TEND TO DISSIPATE THU
EVENING...THOUGH SOME MAY LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT ACROSS THE E
SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. ANOTHER LOBE OF H5 ENERGY ROTATES SE IN
THE FLOW ALOFT...WITH H5 TEMPS EVEN COLDER /AROUND -34C/. SO...
CLOUDS WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT. EXPECT W-SW WINDS TO STIR
THROUGH THE NIGHT...THOUGH THE GUSTS WILL DIMINISH EARLY.

TEMPS WILL FALL BACK THE MID TO UPPER 30S WELL INLAND...RANGING TO
THE LOWER 40S AT THE COAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
UPDATED 415 PM

HIGHLIGHTS...

* POLAR FRONT FRI BRINGS SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS/SQUALLS
* EXTENDED PERIOD OF CHILLY TEMPERATURES FRI NIGHT THRU TUESDAY
* DRY WEATHER FRI NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY
* SIGNIFICANT COASTAL STORM REMAINS POSSIBLE LATE SUN INTO MON
  WITH POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN AND/OR SNOW

FRIDAY ...

A POLAR COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION AND MAY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS/SQUALLS. PREFRONTAL ENVIRONMENT IS
CHARACTERIZED BY STEEPENING LAPSE RATES IN RESPONSE TO MORNING
SUNSHINE AND COOLING TEMPS ALOFT. STRONG FRONTAL CONVERGENCE AND
MODEST SYNOPTIC SCALE FORCING WILL ACT ON LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES UP
TO 8C/KM. THIS INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BE REALIZED GIVEN SUFFICIENT
MID LEVEL MOISTURE. THUS EXPECTING A MODEST TO STRONG ATMOSPHERIC
RESPONSE YIELDING ROBUST SCATTERED SHOWERS ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY
WINDS/RAIN SQUALLS PER BUFKIT SOUNDINGS. EVEN A LOW RISK OF ISOLATED
THUNDER.

AS PREVIOUS FORECASTER NOTED BOUNDARY LAYER WILL BE RATHER MILD SO
EXPECT PTYPE TO BE RAIN SHOWERS. HOWEVER GIVEN VERY COLD TEMPS ALOFT
PTYPE MAY BECOME MIXED WITH GRAUPEL OR EVEN SNOW IN HEAVIER SHOWERS
ESPECIALLY AS COLDER AIR WORKS INTO THE REGION. MILD WITH HIGHS INTO
THE LOWER 50S ACROSS OF CT/RI AND EASTERN MA...MU40S HIGHER TERRAIN
THEN FALLING INTO THE 30S BY SUNSET AS POST FRONTAL POLAR AIRMASS
OVERSPREADS THE AREA.

FRIDAY NIGHT ...

STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ACROSS THE REGION WITH 850 TEMPS DOWN TO
-16C AT 12Z SAT ALONG WITH 925 TEMPS COOLING OFF TO -12C! TEMP
ANOMALIES SUGGEST ABOUT -1 STD COLDER THAN NORMAL. BUT WILL FEEL
COLDER GIVEN RECENT WARMTH ALONG WITH GFS BUFKIT SOUNDINGS
SUPPORTING GUSTY NW WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH! WITH TEMPS IN THE 20S
WIND CHILLS WILL BE DOWN INTO TEENS.

SATURDAY ...

A RATHER COLD AND BLUSTERY DAY WITH STRONGEST WINDS IN THE MORNING
AS NW WINDS GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH OR SO THEN SLACKENING DOWN TO ABOUT
30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. NEVERTHELESS A CHILLY DAY WITH HIGHS ONLY
IN THE U30S HILLY TERRAIN TO L40S IN THE COASTAL PLAIN INCLUDING
BOSTON AND PROVIDENCE. HARD TO BELIEVE SOME PLACES WILL STRUGGLE TO
HIT 40 DEGS DESPITE FULL SUN AND A WELL MIXED BLYR. IN ADDITION
GUSTY NW WINDS WILL PROVIDE WIND CHILLS IN THE U20S AND L30S. QUITE
CHILLY FOR MID MARCH ESPECIALLY GIVEN OUR RECENT WARMTH.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY ...

MODELS CONTINUE TO FLIP FLOP WITH 00Z RUNS FARTHER EAST PROVIDING A
GLANCING BLOW...TO NOW 12Z RUNS INCLUDING GFS/UKMET AND EC MORE OF A
DIRECT HIT WITH RAPID CYCLOGENESIS NEAR /GFS/ OR INSIDE /UKMET +
ECMWF/ THE BENCHMARK. THESE MODEL SOLUTIONS/SIMULATIONS WOULD
SUPPORT THE RISK OF A SIGNIFICANT SNOW EVENT HERE LATE SUN INTO
MON. WHILE A FORECAST AT 114 HR WILL NOT LIKELY VERIFY EXACTLY...
DOWNSTREAM BLOCKING OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IS FAVORABLE FOR A
COASTAL STORM TO TRACK CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE NEW ENGLAND COAST FOR
AT LEAST SOME IMPACT. JET ENERGY THAT WILL BE RESPONSIBLE FOR
INDUCING EAST COAST CYCLOGENESIS IS CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA. AS THIS SHORT WAVE ENERGY COMES ONSHORE INTO A MORE DATA
RICH AREA OF WESTERN CANADA TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MODELS SHOULD
BEGIN TO EXHIBIT BETTER CONSISTENCY. AS OF NOW MUCH OF THE MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS LACKED THE RUN TO RUN CONTINUITY WE LIKE TO SEE
BEFORE EXPRESSING ANY FORECAST CONFIDENCE. THEREFORE AT THIS TIME
ALL WE CAN SAY IS THAT THE LARGE SCALE WEATHER PATTERN SUPPORTS AN
EAST COAST COASTAL/OCEAN STORM BUT ITS EXACT TRACK AND IMPACTS
REMAIN UNCERTAIN. THUS STILL TOO EARLY TO FOCUS ON ANY GIVEN
SINGLE FORECAST OUTCOME.

TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY ...

DRYING TREND WITH MODERATING TEMPS TOWARD MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...

7 PM UPDATE ...

SHOWERS OVER WESTERN MA/CT WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM WEST TO
EAST BETWEEN NOW AND 10 PM. ISOLATED THUNDER SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
CT AND WESTERN-CENTRAL MA WITH THREAT LESS EASTWARD INTO RI AND
EASTERN MA. OTHERWISE NO MAJOR CHANGES FROM 18Z AND 21Z TAF
UPDATES. EARLIER DISCUSSION BELOW.

=====================================================================

THROUGH 00Z...MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.
MVFR-IFR CIGS LINGER ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN MA...THOUGH
NOTING CIGS IMPROVING TO VFR FROM KBOS N TO CAPE ANN REGION
/KBVY-KLWM/. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL AND
WESTERN AREAS. LINE OF SHOWERS APPROACHES CT VALLEY AT 23Z-00Z.
LOW RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS.

TONIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
WEAKENING FRONT WILL BRING LINE OF RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND
N OF THE MASS PIKE. CONDITIONS LOWER TO MVFR DURING THE EVENING
FROM W-E. IFR CIGS MAY LINGER ON CAPE COD AND THE ISLANDS. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO W DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. LOW RISK OF
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CT VALLEY INTO CENTRAL MA/NE CT THROUGH
02Z-03Z. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR FROM W-E AFTER 04Z-05Z.

THURSDAY...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
VFR THROUGH MIDDAY...THEN MAY SEE AREAS OF MVFR CIGS. W WINDS
GUST 20-30 KT AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST. SCT -SHRA OR EVEN AN ISOLATED TSRA
ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE W DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS
MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 KT AND SMALL
HAIL.

THURSDAY NIGHT...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.
ANY LEFTOVER SCT -SHRA WILL END...THOUGH MAY LINGER ACROSS THE E
SLOPES OF THE BERKSHIRES. AS COLD AIR WORKS IN...WILL SEE A MIX
WITH -SHSN. W-SW WINDS WILL DIMINISH THU EVENING.

KBOS TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL TERMINAL...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

FRIDAY ... MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS.
HOWEVER...A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS LIKELY IN SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND GUSTY WINDS WHICH MAY BE MIXED WITH GRAUPEL OR EVEN A
BIT OF SNOW.  NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 KNOTS EXPECTED LATE
FRI INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.

SATURDAY AND SUNDAY ... HIGH CONFIDENCE IN MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF SUNDAY.  GUSTY NW WINDS 20-30 KT SATURDAY
THEN WINDS DIMINISHING SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

SUN NIGHT INTO MONDAY ... LOW CONFIDENCE ON SPECIFIC DETAILS WITH
POTENTIAL MVFR-IFR CONDITIONS IF A STORM TRACKS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE
COAST TO BRING RAIN AND/OR SNOW TO THE REGION. GUSTY/STRONG NE WINDS
POSSIBLE TOO.

&&

.MARINE...
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

THROUGH 00Z...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH INTO THIS EVENING.
HIGH E-SE SWELLS CONTINUE AS WELL...UP TO 9 FT ON THE EASTERN
OUTER WATERS. EXTENDED SMALL CRAFTS.

TONIGHT...LIGHT/VRBL OR CALM WINDS WILL SHIFT TO W-SW BUT REMAIN
LIGHT. LEFTOVER SWELLS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT ON
THE OPEN WATERS...THEN SHOULD BRIEFLY SUBSIDE. SCT SHOWERS MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION. LOW CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 02Z-03Z
ACROSS THE WESTERN WATERS.

THURSDAY...HAVE PUT UP SMALL CRAFTS ON SOME OF THE NEAR SHORE
WATERS...MAINLY BOSTON HARBOR AND NARRAGANSETT BAY FOR THU
AFTERNOON AS WIND GUSTS INCREASE TO AROUND 25 KT. SEAS ON THE OPEN
WATERS WILL BE AROUND 5-6 FT SO SMALL CRAFTS WILL BE UP THERE AS
WELL.

THURSDAY NIGHT...SW WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT
CRITERIA. HOWEVER...SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 FT. MAY SEE SOME
GUSTS ON THE NEAR SHORE WATERS CLOSE TO 25 KT TOWARD DAYBREAK.

OUTLOOK /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ... MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.  COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE REGION FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  STRONG COLD ADVECTION OVER THE
WATERS WILL RESULT IN NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS UP TO 35 KNOTS DEVELOPING
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.  GALE WATCHES MAY BE NEEDED.

SATURDAY ... MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE.  COLD ADVECTION WILL
CONTINUE TO YIELD SMALL CRAFT WIND GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY ... MODERATE CONFIDENCE.  WEAK RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE TEMPORARILY BUILDING OVER THE WATERS WILL KEEP
WINDS/SEAS MAINLY BELOW SMALL CRAFT THRESHOLDS SAT NIGHT INTO SUN.

SUN NIGHT AND MONDAY ... DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW WILL LIKELY BRING
SMALL CRAFT SEAS/WINDS TO THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A LOW RISK OF
GALES DEPENDING ON HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST IT TRACKS.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 PM TO 8 PM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ230-
     233-234-236.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ250-254.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT FOR ANZ251.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ255.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 3 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR ANZ256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NOCERA/EVT
NEAR TERM...FRANK
SHORT TERM...EVT
LONG TERM...NOCERA
AVIATION...NOCERA/EVT
MARINE...NOCERA/EVT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
428 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-172030-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
428 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF
MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THURSDAY...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THERE IS EVEN A LOW RISK
FOR A VERY LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO. THE MAIN TIME
FRAME OF CONCERN IS BETWEEN 2 AND 8 PM THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...
A COASTAL STORM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND/OR SNOW TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.
HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IS LOW ON EXACT DETAILS AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-172030-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
428 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR A PERIOD OF NORTHWEST GALE FORCE
WIND GUSTS BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT LATE FRIDAY INTO FRIDAY
NIGHT.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...
THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR NORTHEAST GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS SOMETIME
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

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