Small Craft Advisory 27, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

565 
WHUS71 KBOX 220816
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
316 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

ANZ250-221630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.160222T0816Z-160223T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
316 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-221630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160223T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
316 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-221630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.160222T0816Z-160223T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
316 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-221630-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160223T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
316 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

817 
WHUS71 KBOX 221350
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
850 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

ANZ250-222200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160223T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
850 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-222200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160223T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
850 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-222200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160223T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
850 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-222200-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160223T0800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
850 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

433 
WHUS71 KBOX 222022
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

ANZ231>235-237-251-230430-
/O.NEW.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-230430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-230430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-230430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-230430-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
322 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FRANK

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

626 
WHUS71 KBOX 230931
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

ANZ250-231745-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-231745-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-231745-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-231745-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-251-231745-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
431 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

589 
WHUS71 KBOX 231612
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

ANZ250-240015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ255-240015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-240015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-240015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231>235-237-251-240015-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

165 
WHUS71 KBOX 232041
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

ANZ250-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0500Z-160226T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254-255-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0500Z-160226T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ256-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0300Z-160226T0000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-232-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0500Z-160226T0000Z/
CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ233-234-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0500Z-160226T0000Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-240445-
/O.CAN.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160224T0000Z-160225T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0300Z-160226T0000Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ236-240445-
/O.NEW.KBOX.GL.W.0017.160225T0500Z-160226T0000Z/
NARRAGANSETT BAY-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO 7 PM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT TO
7 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 
  KT. SEAS AROUND 3 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE OR
EQUIPMENT SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-240445-
/O.EXT.KBOX.SC.Y.0028.160223T2041Z-160225T0000Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
341 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT. 
  SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$


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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
642 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH S NEW ENGLAND THIS EVENING AND
STALLS TO OUR S. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL TRAVEL ALONG THE FRONT
AND PASS WELL S OF OUR REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A BRIEF PERIOD
OF LIGHT RAIN THAT WILL MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING
MONDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS N NEW ENGLAND
MONDAY BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONABLE LEVELS. A SERIES
OF STORM SYSTEMS TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BRING AN INITIAL
WINTRY MIX FOLLOWED BY RAIN WITH ADDITIONAL THREATS OF FLOODING
AND STRONG WINDS. TURNING COLDER BY NEXT WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...

MAINLY RAIN CONFINED TO THE S COAST OVERNIGHT WITH SOME SLIGHT
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. SUBSEQUENT OF MID-LEVEL FORCING AND
ISENTROPIC ASCENT AHEAD OF A MID-LEVEL OPEN WAVE TROUGH AXIS
BENEATH SOME FAVORABLE JET DYNAMICS ALOFT. BUFFERED BY DRIER AIR
TO THE N...PARENT WEAK WAVE LOW OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC ALONG A
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY / BAROCLINIC ZONE REMAINS S. CONFIDENT
IN HIGH CATEGORICAL NEAR 100-PERCENT POP ALONG THE IMMEDIATE
S-COAST. DRY TO THE N. STILL FEEL THE MASS-PIKE IS A ROUGH
DIVIDING LINE. TRENDED WITH A CONSENSUS OF THE LATEST HIGH-RES
GUIDANCE. BEST TIMING NOW INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MAYBE SOME
SNOW AT THE END AS COLDER AIR WORKS IN FROM THE N...LIGHT ACCUMS
IF ANY...JUST A COATING TO A FEW TENTHS AT MOST. BELIEVE LOCALES
STAY WARM AND BULK OF PRECIP FALLS AS RAIN ESPECIALLY THE S-COAST
AND ISLANDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...

HIGH PRESSURE FROM CANADA BUILDS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS
WILL INITIALLY BRING NORTH WINDS TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. AS THE
HIGH CENTER SHIFTS TOWARD THE MARITIMES THOSE WINDS SHOULD TURN
MORE NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT. DRY AIR WILL MEAN CLEARING SKIES
MONDAY MORNING. MIXING IS EXPECTED TO REACH ABOUT 925 MB...WITH
TEMPS AT THAT LEVEL SUPPORTING MAX SFC TEMPS OF MID 30S TO LOWER
40S.

HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS FAIR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS INLAND WHICH
SHOULD ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND LOWER 20S. NEAR THE
COAST WINDS TURN MORE NORTHEAST OFF THE GULF OF MAINE. SEA SURFACE
TEMPS NEAR 5C AND TEMPS ALOFT AROUND -9C WILL BRING A DELTA T OF
14 WHICH MAY BE ENOUGH TO GENERATE SOME CLOUDS OVER MONDAY NIGHT.
THE CLOUDS WOULD THEN MOVE ASHORE LATER AT NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

*/ HIGHLIGHTS...

 - SNOW CHANGING TO SLEET TO FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
 - MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
 - POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING AND STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS INTO THURS
 - TURNING COLDER NEXT WEEKEND INTO THE FOLLOWING WEEK

*/ OVERVIEW...

ARCTIC OSCILLATION /AO/ VS EL NINO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION /ENSO/. THE
TWO ULTIMATELY PLAYING A ROLE IN THE PROXIMITY AND N/S WOBBLE OF
THE THERMAL-WIND FROM THE EQUATORIAL PACIFIC NE INTO THE N
ATLANTIC AND SUBSEQUENT STORM TRACK OF ENERGY FROM THE W THROUGH
N/S-STREAMS. NOW WITHIN A ENSO DOMINATED PATTERN PERHAPS ENHANCED
BY A MADDEN-JULIAN OSCILLATION IN PHASE 7 RESULTING IN SUBSEQUENT
WARMER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AS THE AO IS LARGELY POSITIVE
WITH LITTLE STRATOSPHERIC WARMING EVIDENT AND THE BULK OF THE
POLAR VORTEX OVER SIBERIA. THE STORM TRACK MAINLY RESIDES W OF THE
APPALACHAINS /INSIDE-RUNNER/.

THAT APPEARS TO CHANGE BY LATE FEBRUARY INTO EARLY MARCH. FORECAST
SOLUTIONS INDICATING STRATOSPHERIC WARMING INTO CANADA. A PARENT SE
CROSS-POLAR FLOW INTO THE N ATLANTIC AS THE STRATOSPHERIC POLAR
VORTEX WEAKENS SHOULD ALLOW ENCROACHMENT OF ARCTIC AIR S ESPECIALLY
INTO THE NE CONUS RESULTING IN A AO DOMINANT PATTERN OVER ENSO.

SO AN OVERALL WARM AND WET THEME FOR THE WEEK AHEAD BUT WILL SEE A
SHIFT BACK TOWARDS WINTER AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND INTO THE
FOLLOWING WEEK. SPECIFICS BELOW.

*/ DISCUSSION...

TUESDAY...

LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW OUTCOMES BUT WILL NEED TO WATCH THE INTERIOR N/W
CLOSELY FOR A WINTRY MIX POTENTIAL COMPRISING OF SLEET AND MAINLY
FREEZING RAIN LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH THE ENCROACHMENT OF WARMER AIR
ALOFT.

S-STREAM ENERGY EMERGING OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC INVOKES A WEAK WAVE
LOW ALONG A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND FAVORABLE BAROCLINIC AREA
OFFSHORE. NOT MUCH DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED AS IT IS SUPPRESSED BY RISING
HEIGHTS AHEAD OF THE MIDWEEK SYSTEM. THE INITIAL PHASES OF AN OVER-
RUNNING SETUP BENEATH WHICH A NORTHERLY AGEOSTROPHIC / ISALLOBARIC
RESPONSE YIELDS COLD AIR DAMMING ESPECIALLY INTO SHELTERED VALLEYS
WITHIN THE INTERIOR N/W.

SO FOCUS MOSTLY TUESDAY NIGHT AS A WARM NOSE PROTRUDES N AROUND H8-9
AND SHALLOW SUB-FREEZING COLD AIR MAINTAINS AT THE SURFACE. CIPS
ANALOGS INDICATING AT LEAST A 3 HOUR PERIOD FOR FREEZING RAIN OVER
N/W MASSACHUSETTS AND CONNECTICUT WHERE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
MAY BE NEEDED. OVERALL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE LIGHT SO ANY
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE ADVISORY AT MOST WITH TRACE TO A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF ICE ACCRETION.

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...

INITIAL N/W WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS EVOLVE TOWARDS THREATS OF HEAVY
RAIN AND NUISANCE / POOR-DRAINAGE FLOODING AS WELL AS WIND THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

GOOD DETERMINISIC/ENSEMBLE AGREEMENT OF AN INSIDE-RUNNER SYSTEM AS A
NEARLY STACKED CLOSED LOW OCCLUSION LIFTS NE ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY INTO THE E GREAT LAKES. STRONG S CONNECTION TO SUB-TROPICAL
AIR...WILL SEE H925 TEMPERATURES WARM +10-12C POSSIBLY UP TO +15C
AHEAD OF THE STORMS SYSTEM ACCOMPANIED WITH DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE
AND STRONG S-FLOW. SOME SLIGHT DIFFERENCES IN TIMING BETWEEN THE
21.12Z GFS AND ECMWF TO WHICH THE LATTER FOLLOWS THE ENSEMBLE MEAN
WELL. STRUGGLES WITH MODEL RESOLVING LIKELY WITH THE ASSOCIATED
ENERGY STILL MOSTLY OFFSHORE AND POORLY SAMPLED. EXACT TIMING
THEREFORE OVERALL UNCERTAIN BUT ASIDE WILL BREAK DOWN POTENTIAL
IMPACTS BELOW.

FREEZING RAIN WEDNESDAY: SUB-FREEZING AIR LIKELY TO REMAINED TRAPPED
WITHIN THE SHELTERED VALLEYS OF N/W MA AND CT. A GRADUAL EROSION AS
THE LOW LIFTS N/E RESULTING IN THE AGEOSTROPHIC / ISALLOBARIC
COMPONENT TO TURN E THEREBY DIMINISHING THE MAINTENANCE OF COLDER
AIR. MINOR ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER N/W MASS.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HEADLINES WOULD NEED TO BE CONTINUED.

HEAVY RAIN AND NUISANCE/POOR-DRAINAGE FLOODING ISSUES WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY. STRONG S-CONNECTION TO SUB-TROPICAL AIR WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES TO 1.5 INCHES...ROUGHLY ABOVE THE 99TH CLIMATOLOGICAL
PERCENTILE. TWO TIMEFRAMES OF FOCUS: LATE WEDNESDAY WITH LOW TO
MID LEVEL FORCING ALONG THE LIFTING WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY...AND
INTO THURSDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT SWEEPING NEW ENGLAND AHEAD OF
WHICH DEEP LAYER FORCING OF A CONDITIONAL UNSTABLE PROFILE AND MINOR
INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO THE HEAVIEST OF RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR A RUMBLE OF THUNDER POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH A FINE-LINE WITHIN.
CONCERN OVER IMPACTS TO THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING COMMUTE
WITH PONDING OF WATER ALONG AREA ROADWAYS AND VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS
AT TIMES. BOTH CIPS ANALOGS AND DETERMINISTIC / ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE
INDICATING STORM-TOTAL RAINFALL OVER 2-INCHES. MOST LIKELY RUNOFF
WITH GROUND EITHER FROZEN AND/OR ALREADY SATURATED...MAJORITY OF
RIVERS SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THE WATER LOAD...BUT THERE ARE A
FEW WHICH MAY REACH ACTION AND POSSIBLY ONE OR TWO THAT MAY GO
INTO MINOR FLOOD.

STRONG POSSIBLY DAMAGING S WINDS INTO THURSDAY. ROUGHLY 60-70 KT S-
JET AT H925 WITH 50-60 KTS JUST 1-2 KFT ABOVE THE SURFACE AROUND
THURSDAY ABOVE THE 99TH CLIMATOLOGICAL PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. QUESTION AS TO HOW EFFECTIVELY WIND MIXES DOWN. DESPITE STRONG
WARM NOSE PRESENCE AROUND H9 YIELDING A STRONG INVERSION...AS WITH
THE LAST SYSTEM ROUGHLY A WEEK AGO IT WAS MECHANICAL MIXING / PRECIP
DRAG ASSOCIATED WITH A FINE-LINE THAT RESULTED IN WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 50 MPH ACROSS S NEW ENGLAND. CIPS ANALOGS ALREADY SHOWING
SIGNAL OF 40 MPH GUSTS ACROSS THE S-COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND SE
COASTAL PLAIN. ONCE AGAIN COULD SEE TEMPERATURES SPIKE TO NEAR OR
AROUND 60 DEGREES WHICH WOULD AID IN ERODING THE INVERSION AND
THEREBY PROMOTE MIXING.

TIDES / COASTAL FLOODING WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. WHILE ASTRONOMICAL
TIDES ARE RELATIVELY LOW...A ROUGHLY 2 FOOT SURGE IS POSSIBLE INTO
THURSDAY PARENT WITH STRONG S-WINDS. FOCUS ON THE THURSDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE WITH NEWPORT AT 3.4 FEET. IF SURGE VALUES WERE TO BECOME
HIGHER AT 3 FEET COUPLED WITH WAVE ACTION...COULD SEE SPLASHOVER
AND MINOR FLOODING ISSUES ALONG THE S-COAST.

INTO FRIDAY...

DRY SLOT FOLLOWS ALLOWING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER AND CLEARING
IMMEDIATELY AFTER THE COLD FRONT. THIS IS QUICKLY REPLACED BY THE
INITIAL PHASES OF COLD AIR ADVECTION REARWARD OF THE LOW OCCLUSION
LIFTING N/E. LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES STEEPEN BENEATH CYCLONIC FLOW AND
MID-LEVEL VORTICITY ALOFT. EXPECTING LOW TOPPED SHOWERS APPEARING
CONVECTIVE TO DEVELOP. ARCTIC AIR LAGS...SO ANTICIPATING MAINLY RAIN
WITH PERHAPS SOME SNOW MIXED IN N/W ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN. FOCUS
OF ACTIVITY MAINLY ALONG THE HIGH TERRAIN PER OROGRAPHIC LIFT. SHOULD
SEE SHOWERS DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH CONCLUSION OF DAYTIME HEATING.
ACTIVITY OVERALL CONCLUDING AS THE LOW LIFTS N/E OUT OF THE REGION
AND HIGH PRESSURE ENCROACHES FROM THE W.

SATURDAY...

A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE. COUPLED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
SOME SUNSHINE...COULD BE LOOKING AT OVERALL SEASONABLE CONDITIONS.

SUNDAY...

POTENTIAL FOR A CLIPPER DISTURBANCE TO THE N PER A CONSENSUS OF
DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MEANS. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
BUT THE BIGGER STORY IS THE ARCTIC AIRMASS THAT FOLLOWS BEHIND
IT. WILL SEE A RE-INVIGORATION OF LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WITH A GREATER
MAGNITUDE OF WHICH COULD ENCROACH INTO W NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY
AS WOULD BE THE CASE CLIMATOLOGICALLY ALONG THE BERKSHIRES.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...

VFR TO MVFR N TO S MAINLY CONFINED S OF THE MASS-PIKE. WINDOW OF
MVFR CIGS 2-10Z FOCUSED ALONG IMMEDIATE S-COAST AND ISLANDS.
MAINLY -RA BUT A BRIEF MIX OVER TO -SN IS POSSIBLE BY THE END OF
THE PERIOD. LIGHT -SN ACCUMS OF A COATING IF ANY. CONDITIONS
IMPROVING INTO SUNRISE. N-WINDS.

MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...
VFR. AREAS OF MVFR CIGS MAY DEVELOP ALONG OR JUST EAST OF THE
MASS COAST LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

KBOS TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

KBDL TERMINAL...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.

OUTLOOK /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

DETERIORATING CONDITIONS DOWN TO IFR-LIFR WITH INCREASING S-WINDS
AND GROWING THREAT OF LLWS WITH WINDS 50-60 KTS 2 KFT AGL INTO
THURSDAY. INITIAL -SN EVOLVING TO SLEET/FZRA N AND W BEFORE CHANGING
OVER TO RAIN. ALL RAIN AROUND MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY. +RA AT TIMES
WITH ISOLATED TSRA POSSIBLE INTO THURSDAY. CONDITIONS IMPROVE LATE
THURSDAY SW TO NE.

FRIDAY...

MIX VFR-MVFR WITH SCT-BKN CIGS. BLUSTERY W-WINDS WITH A THREAT OF
SHRA/SHSN.

&&

.MARINE...

FORECASTER CONFIDENCE LEVELS...

LOW...LESS THAN 30 PERCENT.
MODERATE...30 TO 60 PERCENT.
HIGH...GREATER THAN 60 PERCENT.

SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...HIGH CONFIDENCE.

TONIGHT...WINDS SHIFT TO N AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT
ON THE OUTER WATERS. SEAS SUBSIDING WITH OUTER WATERS DIPPING
BELOW 5 FT. VSBYS WILL LOWER ON THE SOUTHERN WATERS IN LIGHT RAIN
AND PATCHY FOG.

MONDAY...N WINDS GUST TO AROUND 20 KT ON THE OUTER WATERS IN THE
MORNING THEN DIMINISH. SEAS REMAIN LESS THAN 5 FT. LEFTOVER VSBYS
AT AROUND 3 NM EARLY E AND S OF CAPE COD THEN IMPROVE.

MONDAY NIGHT...
NORTH WINDS BECOME NORTHEAST WITH WINDS AND SEAS BELOW SMALL CRAFT
LEVELS.

OUTLOOK /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...MODERATE CONFIDENCE.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

INCREASING AREAL EXTENT INITIALLY SNOW TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT
CHANGING TO RAIN WEDNESDAY AND THROUGH THE PERIOD BECOMING MODERATE
TO HEAVY WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH THE ISOLATED CHANCE OF THUNDER
AND LIKELY S-GALES. WAVES BUILDING 8 TO 12 FEET...POSSIBLY HIGHER.
VISIBILITY ISSUES WITH RAIN AND POSSIBLE FOG.

FRIDAY...

STORM LIFTING OUT REPLACED BY W WINDS AND IMPROVING CONDITIONS. BOTH
WINDS AND WAVES SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...NONE.
MA...NONE.
RI...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ250-
     256.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ254-255.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WTB/SIPPRELL
NEAR TERM...WTB/SIPPRELL
SHORT TERM...WTB
LONG TERM...SIPPRELL
AVIATION...WTB/SIPPRELL
MARINE...WTB/SIPPRELL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
331 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2016

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-RIZ001>008-222045-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-
WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
331 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT...ALL OF
MASSACHUSETTS EXCEPT BERKSHIRE COUNTY...AND RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...INITIAL SNOW WILL CHANGE TO A WINTRY MIX
TO THE N AND W BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO RAIN. ADVISORY-LEVEL SNOW
AND ICE ACCRETIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE N AND W INTERIOR OF S
NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY N AND W MASSACHUSETTS AND CONNECTICUT.

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...WINTRY MIX CHANGING OVER TO MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN. POTENTIAL NUISANCE / POOR-DRAINAGE FLOOD THREATS. IN
ADDITION STRONG S WINDS WHICH COULD RESULT IN DAMAGE ALONG THE S/SE
COAST AND COASTAL PLAINS. LASTLY A LOW RISK THREAT OF SPLASHOVER /
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE S-COAST WITH THE THURSDAY MORNING
HIGH TIDE SHOULD SURGE VALUES REACH OR EXCEED 3 FEET.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230>237-250-251-254>256-222045-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-NANTUCKET SOUND-VINEYARD SOUND-
BUZZARDS BAY-RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
331 PM EST SUN FEB 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR S GALES
OVER ALL WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

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