Gale Watch 23, NWS Boston/Norton, MA

217 
WHUS71 KBOX 150555
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

ANZ254>256-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160515T1600Z-160516T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160515T1600Z-160516T0600Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ250-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0023.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T0000Z/
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.A.0023.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ233-234-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-236-151400-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
155 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

528 
WHUS71 KBOX 150817
MWWBOX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

ANZ250-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0023.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT,
  MAINLY ACROSS STELLWAGEN BANK. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ251-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KBOX.GL.A.0023.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160516T0000Z-160516T1200Z/
MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
  TONIGHT...MAINLY SOUTH OF CAPE ANN. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ254>256-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160515T1600Z-160516T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD
AND NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ232-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.GL.W.0034.160515T1600Z-160516T0600Z/
NANTUCKET SOUND-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ235-237-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ233-234-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ231-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
CAPE COD BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ230-236-151630-
/O.CON.KBOX.SC.Y.0070.160515T0900Z-160516T1200Z/
BOSTON HARBOR-NARRAGANSETT BAY-
417 AM EDT SUN MAY 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AT
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Taunton MA
344 PM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Another cold front will bring more showers, and perhaps a few
thunderstorms, tonight. The front will be followed by blustery and
cool conditions Sunday into Monday. Low pressure passing to our
south will bring another chance of showers midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Mid level shortwave and attending cold front will swing through
SNE tonight, 03-09z from west to east. Models are indicating a
decent instability burst developing this evening as K-index
values sharply increase into the 30s and total totals into the 50s
at the nose of a modest SW low level jet. This combined with
deeper moisture plume moving into the region will lead to an area
of showers and possibly a t-storm moving across the region
tonight. Greatest coverage of showers will likely be in western
New Eng closest to marginal surface based instability axis and
have highest PoPs in this region. Given lack of instability, we
will not add any enhanced wording to t-storms and hi-res guidance
shows convection weakening as it moves across SNE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Sunday...
Anomalous mid level trof 3-4 SD below normal will be moving east
from the Great Lakes and closing off as it moves into northern
New Eng. Strong shortwave rotates into the region with mid level
temps cooling to -30C by days end and steep low level lapse rates.
Sufficient moisture in the column to support a few showers in the
afternoon, especially interior and cant rule out some graupel
given cold air aloft. Otherwise, expect diurnal strato-cu
developing with most clouds interior.

Gusty west winds with gusts 30-35 mph will develop given steep
lapse rates and excellent mixing. Much cooler than today as 850 mb
temps drop to near 0C which suggests highs lower 60s coastal plain
but low to mid 50s higher terrain in western and northern MA. this
will be 5-10 degrees below normal.

Sunday night...
May see a few lingering showers in the evening as mid level trof
axis over New Eng. Otherwise, pt-mocldy skies and continued
blustery with strong pressure gradient in place. Gusts to 35 mph
possible. It will be a cold night with lows mostly in the 30s but
lower 40s near the coast. Near freezing temps possible over the
Berkshires and there is a chance freeze headlines may eventually
be needed. Upslope snow showers are likely across the Green
Mountains and there is a low prob a few of these snow showers or
flurries could spill into the Berkshires.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Overview...

Anomalous mid level cutoff over the northeast USA will gradually
move into the Maritimes. Nearly zonal flow takes over through mid
week, then the details become more murky.

The question is how far south the mid level cutoff will get before
it turns farther north. 14/00z guidance has come into better
agreement with the handling of this cutoff through mid week.
Gaining confidence the main storm track will be slightly farther
south. ECMWF has a slightly slightly slower timing than the GFS
Tuesday into Wednesday. With the trend of the storm track farther
south, this timing difference may not be a issue, after all is
done. Will need to continue to monitor this evolution.

Details...

Sunday night into Monday...

Surface low pressure continues to move east through the Maritimes.
Strong cold pool over northern New England should still be close
enough to still maintain an unstable atmosphere. The question will
be how much moisture is available. There should be plenty of
moisture to result in clouds, particularly over the interior, but
likely only enough for scattered showers Sunday night. The
presence of the cold pool aloft will also keep the boundary layer
mixed, resulting in gusty winds through this period.

Tuesday into Wednesday

Dry weather most of the day, Tuesday. The timing and location of
showers will depend on the evolution of the upper low. Latest
guidance continues to trend south with the primary storm track.
Not enough confidence to go with a dry forecast for all of
southern New England. Gaining confidence the majority of the
showers will be south of the MA/CT border, including southeast MA
and RI. The consensus timing would increase the risk of showers
late Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning. This timing may
need to be altered over the next few days. Seasonable temperatures
are expected.

Wednesday night and Thursday...

Another shortwave moves across and supports another chance of
showers, with the greatest risk along and north of the Mass Pike.
Seasonable temperatures are expected.

Friday...High pressure builds over the region. This should bring
fair and dry weather. Abundant sunshine should start the trend of
warmer conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Sunday Night/...

Through 00z...VFR.

Tonight...Moderate confidence. Conditions deteriorating to IFR
near the south coast and Cape/Islands as stratus and patchy fog
develop. Not confident about how far inland stratus will get.
Otherwise...expect a period of MVFR as sct showers and possible
t-storms move west to east across the region, greatest coverage of
showers will be in western New Eng.

Sunday...High confidence. Mainly VFR cigs developing with brief
MVFR possible in a few afternoon showers, mainly interior. Gusty
west winds to 25-30 kt.

Sunday night...High confidence. VFR cigs. West wind gusts to 25-30
kt.

KBOS TAF...Moderate confidence. Conditions lowering tonight but
uncertain if a period of IFR develops.

KBDL TAF...Moderate confidence. A period of MVFR is possible
tonight as showers move through.

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Moderate confidence through this period.

Monday...VFR with west wind gusts up to 30 kts. Isolated MVFR
possible in stronger showers, mainly across the interior.

Tuesday...VFR.

Wednesday...MVFR vsbys in showers. VFR cigs with bases 4000 to 6000
feet.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels.

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Short Term /through Sunday Night/...High confidence.

Pre-frontal SW gusts to 20 kt this evening, then shifting to west
late tonight through Sunday. Good cold advection and mixing will
result in gusty winds, increasing to gale force over the outer
waters Sunday afternoon through Sunday night. Converted gale
watches to warnings over the southern outer waters and issued a
gale watch for northeast MA waters as strongest gusts near gale
not expected until Sunday night. For nearshore waters, we have SCA
for gusts to 30 kt but it is possible some of the nearshore waters
could flirt with 35 kt. Seas will be building through Sunday
night.

Outlook /Monday through Thursday/...

Sunday Night and Monday...Gusty west winds across the waters,
with rough seas likely. Highest seas across the southern coastal
waters. Small craft advisories are highly likely to be needed.
Some potential for gale force gusts, particularly across the
southern outer coastal waters. Will be monitoring this potential.

Tuesday...Winds and seas diminish some Monday night, then
continue to diminish Tuesday. Lingering rough seas possible across
the southern coastal waters Tuesday morning.

Wednesday...Rather tranquil winds and seas across the coastal
waters. Reduced visibility in showers, mainly across the southern
coastal waters.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Gusty west winds to 30 mph expected Sunday and it will be dry
with minimum RH values dropping to near 30 percent.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning from noon Sunday to 2 AM EDT Monday for ANZ232.
     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday for
     ANZ230-231-233>237.
     Gale Watch from Sunday evening through Monday morning for
     ANZ250-251.
     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday for ANZ250-
     251.
     Gale Warning from noon Sunday to 8 AM EDT Monday for
     ANZ254>256.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KJC
NEAR TERM...KJC
SHORT TERM...KJC
LONG TERM...Belk
AVIATION...Belk/KJC
MARINE...Belk/KJC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
441 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

MAZ005>007-013>024-026-RIZ001>008-150845-
CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-
WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-SUFFOLK MA-
EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-
EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-
BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-
NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-
EASTERN KENT RI-BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
441 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND
RHODE ISLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>004-008>012-150845-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-
441 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
CENTRAL AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF FROST ADVISORIES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR FROST
ADVISORIES LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ232-254>256-150845-
NANTUCKET SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PROVINCETOWN MA TO CHATHAM MA TO NANTUCKET MA
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS EXTENDING OUT TO 25 NM SOUTH OF MARTHAS VINEYARD AND
NANTUCKET-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT TO
20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND-
441 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NANTUCKET SOUND AND THE
SOUTHERN OUTER MASSACHUSETTS COASTAL WATERS...AND THE OUTER RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ230-231-233>237-250-251-150845-
BOSTON HARBOR-CAPE COD BAY-VINEYARD SOUND-BUZZARDS BAY-
RHODE ISLAND SOUND-NARRAGANSETT BAY-BLOCK ISLAND SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS EAST OF IPSWICH BAY AND THE STELLWAGEN BANK NATIONAL
MARINE SANCTUARY-MASSACHUSETTS BAY AND IPSWICH BAY-
441 AM EDT SAT MAY 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MASSACHUSETTS AND RHODE
ISLAND COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR THE LATEST UPDATES...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOSTON

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WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/US.NATIONALWEATHERSERVICE.BOSTON.GOV

YOU CAN FOLLOW US ON TWITTER AT
@NWSBOSTON