Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1228 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

.UPDATE...
For 18Z Aviation.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Clear skies across central Alabama this morning allowing
temperatures to rise quickly with several locations already up to
90 degrees at 10 am CDT. Surface temperatures are running about 5
degrees warmer today than same time yesterday, so middle to upper
90s likely everyone. Weather maker today will be a short wave
trof tracking east across Kentucky. A cluster of storms on the
southern edge of the short wave trof was approaching northwest
Alabama. Earlier meso-scale models were not showing much
development along the southwest flank this afternoon, but latest
HRRR model now showing more development along the outflow boundary
pushing into north central Alabama. Better rain chances today will
be for areas north of I-20, with only isolated storms south.

58/rose

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Afternoon satellite and radar show scattered storms throughout the
CWA. There is also a line of thunderstorms currently passing
through Lawrence and Limestone counties in the northwest. This
system is expected to continue to track southeast, and could briefly
impact KASN and KANB around 20z. Cigs and Visby's will remain VFR
throughout the afternoon and evening hours, except for in or near
thunderstorms. Winds outside of thunderstorms will remain light
and variable.

92

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Generally scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through
the week with highs in the lower to middle 90s. Surface winds
will be less than 10 mph. Since surface dew points are high,
there are no fire weather concerns at this time. There will be a
drier timeframe on Friday and Saturday afternoons, but rh values
remain above criteria.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     71  93  72  94  73 /  20  30  20  40  30
Anniston    73  92  73  93  74 /  30  20  20  40  30
Birmingham  75  95  75  95  75 /  20  20  20  40  30
Tuscaloosa  74  97  75  97  75 /  30  20  20  40  20
Calera      74  95  75  95  75 /  30  20  20  40  20
Auburn      73  92  74  95  75 /  30  40  20  40  20
Montgomery  75  96  75  97  76 /  30  40  20  40  20
Troy        73  94  73  95  74 /  30  40  20  40  20

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT this evening For the following
counties: Autauga...Barbour...Bibb...Bullock...Chilton...Coosa...
Dallas...Elmore...Fayette...Greene...Hale...Jefferson...Lamar...
Lowndes...Macon...Marengo...Marion...Montgomery...Perry...
Pickens...Pike...Russell...Shelby...Sumter...Tuscaloosa...
Walker...Winston.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
412 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ALZ011>015-017>050-051215-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
412 AM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...OUTLOOK THROUGH TONIGHT.

HEAT INDICES WILL RANGE FROM 105 TO 109 DEGREES ACROSS MUCH OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS ROUGHLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PHENIX CITY TO BIRMINGHAM TO DOUBLE
SPRINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE THAT HEAT INDICES REACH 105 DEGREES OR HIGHER
ON EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS ROUGHLY
ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM PHENIX CITY TO BIRMINGHAM TO
DOUBLE SPRINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
134 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

ALZ025-027-036-041915-
TALLADEGA AL-COOSA AL-SHELBY AL-
134 PM CDT THU AUG 4 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY...
NORTHWESTERN COOSA AND SOUTHWESTERN TALLADEGA COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...

AT 133 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR FAYETTEVILLE...OR NEAR TALLADEGA SPRINGS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SYLACAUGA...CHILDERSBURG...COLUMBIANA...WILSONVILLE...
TALLADEGA SPRINGS...WEOGUFKA...STEWARTVILLE...HARPERSVILLE...
FAYETTEVILLE...UNITY...LAY LAKE...MARBLE VALLEY...MORIAH...
BENTLEYVILLE...HANOVER...DOLLAR...STRICKLAND CROSSROADS...SHELBY...
CEDAR CREEK AND GANTTS QUARRY.

LAT...LON 3300 8616 3287 8644 3298 8651 3299 8651
      3300 8652 3302 8652 3302 8655 3319 8666
      3331 8642
TIME...MOT...LOC 1833Z 330DEG 20KT 3317 8646