Special Weather Statement, NWS Birmingham, AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
253 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

.SHORT TERM...
Tonight and Wednesday.

An outflow boundary from overnight convection has pushed a cold
pool southward across central Alabama. Convection along the cold
pool has produced a line thunderstorms with heavy rainfall that
will push through most of central Alabama this afternoon. By
sunset the convective line should be across the southeast counties
of central Alabama with little or no rain north of I-20. All
activity will likely dissipate by 9 pm. No upstream convection
complex noted so rain free conditions expected for the remainder
of tonight. For Wednesday an upper level impulse will be pushing
through eastern Georgia with mid level drying and subsidence
across east Alabama. Better rain chances on Wednesday will be
across southern counties with smallest chances in the northeast.

.LONG TERM...
Thursday thru Tuesday.

The overall upper flow pattern does not change much during this
period. Alabama will be under the influence of a large scale upper
ridge covering the southern United States. The center of the ridge
will remain far enough west of Alabama to allow impulses to track
southward and bring a chance of convection each day. Global models
struggle with timing of impulses and forecast will reflect little
day to day change in rain chances, with fine tuning done in the
near term.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF Discussion.

Satellite and radar shows a line of storms and showers quickly
approaching from the north. Time of arrival for KBHM, KEET, KASN,
and KANB is within the next hour. Cigs and visby's with this line
of storms will temporarily drop down to IFR conditions. KMGM and
KTOI will be impacted by this same system, but with a time of
arrival of 21z. KTCL is expected to only see scattered showers
with an isolated storm, but remain in VFR conditions. As this line
of storms pushes further south and begins to breakdown VFR
conditions are expected to return at 01z tonight. Due to the rain,
there is a chance of fog light tomorrow morning for all sites.

92

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Generally scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through
the week with highs in the lower to middle 90s. Surface winds
will be less than 10 mph through the week with some directional
variations, but a northerly or westerly component will be the
dominant direction. Since surface dew points are high, there are
no fire weather concerns at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     72  93  72  94  72 /  10  30  20  40  30
Anniston    72  93  73  93  73 /  10  30  20  40  30
Birmingham  76  94  76  95  75 /  10  30  20  40  30
Tuscaloosa  75  96  75  96  74 /  20  30  20  40  30
Calera      75  93  75  95  74 /  20  30  20  40  30
Auburn      74  92  74  91  74 /  40  40  20  50  30
Montgomery  75  95  75  95  75 /  40  40  20  50  30
Troy        72  92  73  92  73 /  40  50  20  50  30

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
412 AM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ011>015-017>050-031215-
MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE-
CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-
CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-
BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR-
412 AM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...OUTLOOK THROUGH TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT HEAT INDICES REACH 105 DEGREES OR
HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE AREA OF CONCERN IS ROUGHLY
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM VERNON TO TUSCALOOSA TO CLANTON TO
PHENIX CITY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS NOT
EXPECTED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
324 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ042-044-022130-
MONTGOMERY AL-LOWNDES AL-
324 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LOWNDES AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES
UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 324 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR GARDNER ISLAND TO DEXTER. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTGOMERY...FORT DEPOSIT...MOSSES...HAYNEVILLE...MEADVILLE...
PIKE ROAD...WHITE HALL...GORDONVILLE...LOWNDESBORO...BENTON...
BOYLSTON...WAUGH...ALABAMA STATE UNIVERSITY...WOODCREST...RAMER...
SNOWDOUN...LAGOON PARK...LOWNDES COUNTY AIRPORT...DUBLIN AND SELLERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3205 8691 3222 8691 3223 8681 3228 8686
      3239 8678 3234 8649 3241 8646 3241 8631
      3250 8625 3243 8619 3242 8603 3228 8592
      3225 8600 3197 8600 3196 8630 3205 8631
      3205 8641 3204 8640 3196 8641 3196 8686
TIME...MOT...LOC 2024Z 333DEG 24KT 3238 8681 3263 8617

32/DAVIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
336 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ033-040-022115-
PERRY AL-DALLAS AL-
336 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PERRY AND DALLAS COUNTIES
UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 336 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MARION TO BURNSVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH
AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SELMA...VALLEY GRANDE...MARION...SELMONT-WEST SELMONT...ORRVILLE...
BOGUE CHITTO...MEMORIAL STADIUM...BURNSVILLE...MARION JUNCTION...
PAUL M GRIST STATE PARK...DALLAS COUNTY HORSE ARENA...DALLAS LAKE...
OLD CAHABA PARK...GARDNER ISLAND...BELKNAP...TYLER...
POTTER STATION...VALLEY CREEK JUNCTION...SPROTT AND BARRETT CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3228 8732 3271 8733 3263 8691 3257 8690
      3254 8691 3246 8686 3244 8687 3243 8684
      3231 8685 3229 8684 3227 8686 3224 8684
      3222 8684 3222 8691 3214 8691
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 341DEG 24KT 3265 8724 3249 8691

32/DAVIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
339 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ037-043-045-047-022130-
TALLAPOOSA AL-MACON AL-ELMORE AL-LEE AL-
339 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL MACON...EASTERN ELMORE...
WESTERN LEE AND SOUTHEASTERN TALLAPOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 339 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SANTUCK TO NEAR CAMP HILL. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AUBURN...OPELIKA...TUSKEGEE...TALLASSEE...CAMP HILL...NOTASULGA...
MILSTEAD...ECLECTIC...SHORTER...FRANKLIN...WAVERLY...LAKE TUSKEGEE...
SOCIETY HILL...TALLAPOOSA CITY...TUSKEGEE NATIONAL FOREST...
LIVERPOOL...REEVES AIRPORT...MARTIN DAM...
AUBURN UNIVERSITY AND VICTORYLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3247 8533 3245 8534 3230 8595 3232 8596
      3234 8599 3240 8601 3242 8604 3241 8604
      3269 8619 3282 8559 3273 8559 3273 8550
      3247 8531
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 313DEG 27KT 3268 8609 3274 8566

32/DAVIS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
436 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ045-046-048-022230-
MACON AL-BULLOCK AL-RUSSELL AL-
436 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MACON...RUSSELL AND BULLOCK
COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 436 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SOCIETY HILL TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WAUGH. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...NOTASULGA...HURTSBORO...MIDWAY...
MILSTEAD...SHORTER...FRANKLIN...UCHEE...PICKETT...LAKE TUSKEGEE...
DAVISVILLE...SOCIETY HILL...TUSKEGEE NATIONAL FOREST...HARDAWAY...
LIVERPOOL...FRANKLIN FIELD...GUERRYTON...VICTORYLAND AND ABERFOIL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3213 8524 3215 8526 3214 8543 3202 8543
      3200 8559 3188 8566 3188 8570 3241 8601
      3255 8566 3248 8544 3241 8543 3241 8533
      3245 8533 3235 8500 3232 8501 3231 8496
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 299DEG 28KT 3246 8550 3228 8598

08

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
509 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ048-050-022245-
BARBOUR AL-RUSSELL AL-
509 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN RUSSELL AND BARBOUR
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 508 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF FORT BENNING/LAWSON ARMY AIR
FLD TO NEAR HAWKINSVILLE TO NEAR BARBOUR COUNTY PUBLIC LAKE DAM.
MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EUFAULA...CLAYTON...GAINO...WHITE OAK...COMER...
RICHARDS CROSSROADS...OSCO...HAWKINSVILLE...
BARBOUR COUNTY PUBLIC LAKE DAM...SPRING HILL...
LAKEPOINT RESORT STATE PARK...CLAYTON MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...
MOUNT ANDREW...MILLERS FORD...LUGO...BAKER HILL...
TWIN SPRINGS AND BATESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3225 8492 3222 8493 3222 8497 3220 8496
      3213 8506 3202 8505 3194 8508 3189 8513
      3176 8513 3177 8515 3174 8521 3170 8522
      3171 8537 3194 8562 3199 8559 3202 8543
      3213 8542 3213 8525 3230 8497 3226 8489
TIME...MOT...LOC 2208Z 305DEG 56KT 3226 8502 3203 8516 3196 8551

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
537 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

ALZ039-022300-
MARENGO AL-
537 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MARENGO COUNTY UNTIL 600 PM
CDT...

AT 536 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR SWEET WATER...OR 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LINDEN...MOVING SOUTH AT
25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINDEN...JEFFERSON...SWEET WATER...MYRTLEWOOD...NANAFALIA...
DIXONS MILL...MAGNOLIA...SURGINER...PIN HOOK...WAYNE...
CHICKASAW STATE PARK...VINELAND...SHAWNEE...MILLER...
FREDDIE JONES FIELD...PUTNAM...PROVIDENCE...OCTAGON...
HALF ACRE AND CALVARY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3207 8809 3206 8807 3208 8804 3214 8804
      3215 8802 3217 8801 3228 8802 3231 8798
      3231 8794 3228 8794 3229 8793 3231 8793
      3237 8802 3241 8801 3241 8768 3201 8762
      3200 8763 3199 8767 3201 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 2236Z 359DEG 20KT 3218 8789