Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2016
Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Birmingham, AL
NWS Birmingham, AL issued this flash flood watch at Mar 30, 2016, 2:55 PM CDT for 39 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Mar 31, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 42 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2016, 2:55 PM CDT (19:55 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 31, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 1, 2016, 10:18 PM CDT
- In force
- 42 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Birmingham, AL
- Flood severity
- None
All 39 counties
Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Blount County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Calhoun County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Clay County, AL, Cleburne County, AL, Coosa County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Russell County, AL, Shelby County, AL, St. Clair County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Talladega County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL
The radar
The Birmingham radar (KBMX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 23 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2304 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 110 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
442 WGUS64 KBMX 301955 FFABMX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 255 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-59 CORRIDOR THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL THEN PUSH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL ALABAMA AND LAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS MULTIPLE TIMES IN SOME LOCATIONS...AND THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST WHERE THAT OCCURS. UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN WHERE THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. ALZ011>015-017>050-311200- /O.NEW.KBMX.FF.A.0004.160331T0900Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR- TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON- COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE- MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE... LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION... CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE... VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA... PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE... MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA... PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 255 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA... SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB... BLOUNT...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS...ELMORE...JEFFERSON... LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...SHELBY...ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...CALHOUN...CHAMBERS... CLAY...CLEBURNE...LEE...MACON...RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA...CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA... FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR...MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA. * FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT * 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVERS AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
7 follow-up statements
408 WGUS64 KBMX 310353 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1053 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL PUSH INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-59 CORRIDOR THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL THEN PUSH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL ALABAMA AND LAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS MULTIPLE TIMES IN SOME LOCATIONS...AND THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST WHERE THAT OCCURS. UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN WHERE THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. ALZ011>015-017>050-311100- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.160331T0900Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR- TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON- COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE- MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE... LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION... CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE... VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA... PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE... MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA... PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 1053 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM CDT THURSDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...BLOUNT...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS... ELMORE...JEFFERSON...LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...SHELBY... ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... CALHOUN...CHAMBERS...CLAY...CLEBURNE...LEE...MACON... RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA... CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR... MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA. * FROM 4 AM CDT THURSDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVERS AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
273 WGUS64 KBMX 310947 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 447 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-59 CORRIDOR TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL THEN PUSH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL ALABAMA AND LAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS MULTIPLE TIMES IN SOME LOCATIONS...AND THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST WHERE THAT OCCURS. UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN WHERE THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. ALZ011>015-017>050-312100- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR- TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON- COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE- MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE... LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION... CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE... VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA... PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE... MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA... PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 447 AM CDT THU MAR 31 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...BLOUNT...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS... ELMORE...JEFFERSON...LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...SHELBY... ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... CALHOUN...CHAMBERS...CLAY...CLEBURNE...LEE...MACON... RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA... CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR... MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA. * THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT * 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL ON AVERAGE WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVER AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
522 WGUS64 KBMX 311849 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 149 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL EXIST GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 59 CORRIDOR TONIGHT. THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL THEN PUSH TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY MORNING ACROSS THE REMAINING COUNTIES IN CENTRAL ALABAMA AND LAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS MULTIPLE TIMES...AND THE GREATEST FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL EXIST WHERE THAT OCCURS. UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN IN WHERE THE GREATEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL OCCUR...BUT THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR FLASH FLOODING ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA. ALZ011>015-017>050-010500- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR- TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON- COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE- MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE... LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION... CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE... VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA... PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE... MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA... PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 149 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...BLOUNT...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS... ELMORE...JEFFERSON...LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...SHELBY... ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... CALHOUN...CHAMBERS...CLAY...CLEBURNE...LEE...MACON... RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA... CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR... MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA. * THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVER AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
452 WGUS64 KBMX 010553 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1253 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH THE THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING DIMINISHING ENDING FOR AREAS NORTH OF I-20 BY LATE FRIDAY MORNING. ALZ011>015-017>050-011400- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR- TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON- COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE- MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... PELL CITY...MOODY...TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE... LIVINGSTON...EUTAW...GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION... CENTREVILLE...CLANTON...ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE... VALLEY...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA... PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE... MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA... PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 1253 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...BLOUNT...CHILTON...COOSA...DALLAS... ELMORE...JEFFERSON...LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY...SHELBY... ST. CLAIR...TALLADEGA AND WALKER. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA... CALHOUN...CHAMBERS...CLAY...CLEBURNE...LEE...MACON... RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA... CHEROKEE AND ETOWAH. IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA...MARION AND WINSTON. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...FAYETTE...GREENE...HALE...LAMAR... MARENGO...PICKENS...SUMTER AND TUSCALOOSA. * THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVER AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
989 WGUS64 KBMX 011308 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 808 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AND ANOTHER ROUND OR TWO WILL OCCUR TODAY AND TONIGHT. ALZ011>015-017>024-026-011415- /O.CAN.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN- CHEROKEE-CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-ST. CLAIR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HAMILTON...SULLIGENT...VERNON... FAYETTE...DOUBLE SPRINGS...JASPER...ONEONTA...GADSDEN... ANNISTON...CENTRE...HEFLIN...CARROLLTON...TUSCALOOSA... BIRMINGHAM...HOOVER...PELL CITY...MOODY 808 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...NORTHEAST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 1.50 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY OCCURRED WITH SOME FLOODING ALREADY REPORTED. $$ ALZ025-027>050-012315- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SHELBY-TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB- CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES- ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW... GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...CENTREVILLE...CLANTON... ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...VALLEY...LANETT... LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA...PRATTVILLE... FORT DEPOSIT...HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...MONTGOMERY... TUSKEGEE...UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY... TROY...EUFAULA 808 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...BIBB...CHILTON... COOSA...DALLAS...ELMORE...LOWNDES...MONTGOMERY...PERRY... SHELBY AND TALLADEGA. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...CHAMBERS... CLAY...LEE...MACON...RANDOLPH...RUSSELL AND TALLAPOOSA. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA...GREENE...HALE...MARENGO AND SUMTER. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 5 INCHES HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVER AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
597 WGUS64 KBMX 012033 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 333 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED AND ANOTHER ROUND OR TWO WILL OCCUR TONIGHT. ALZ025-027>040-012145- /O.CAN.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SHELBY-TALLADEGA-CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB- CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA-CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COLUMBIANA...PELHAM...ALABASTER... TALLADEGA...SYLACAUGA...ASHLAND...ROANOKE...LIVINGSTON...EUTAW... GREENSBORO...MOUNDVILLE...MARION...CENTREVILLE...CLANTON... ROCKFORD...ALEXANDER CITY...DADEVILLE...VALLEY...LANETT... LAFAYETTE...DEMOPOLIS...LINDEN...SELMA 333 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. RAIN AMOUNTS OVERNIGHT SHOULD NOT CAUSE ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING. $$ ALZ041>050-020600- /O.CON.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE- BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT... HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE... UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 333 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT SATURDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN CENTRAL ALABAMA...AUTAUGA...ELMORE...LOWNDES AND MONTGOMERY. IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA...LEE...MACON AND RUSSELL. IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...BARBOUR...BULLOCK AND PIKE. * UNTIL 1 AM CDT SATURDAY * RAINFALL OF 1.5 TO 5 INCHES HAS ALREADY OCCURRED. ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS THAT WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING WILL BE WHERE MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE DUE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN ALABAMA RIVER AND STREAM BASINS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
131 WGUS64 KBMX 020318 FFABMX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 1018 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ALZ041>050-020430- /O.CAN.KBMX.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160402T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON-BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE- BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRATTVILLE...FORT DEPOSIT... HAYNEVILLE...WETUMPKA...TALLASSEE...MONTGOMERY...TUSKEGEE... UNION SPRINGS...AUBURN...OPELIKA...PHENIX CITY...TROY...EUFAULA 1018 PM CDT FRI APR 1 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL ALABAMA...EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Birmingham, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 30, 1:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 1:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 113 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 .UPDATE... FOR 18Z AVIATION. && .DISCUSSION... STILL DRY ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA WITH NO RAIN SHOWING UP ON SURROUNDING AREA RADARS AT THE MOMENT. SEVERAL HIRES MODELS INDICATE THAT THE DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA THRU THE AFTERNOON...BUT MANY OTHER MODELS STILL SHOW SOME LIGHT QPF ENTERING OUR W/NW COUNTIES AFTER ROUGHLY 21Z. WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION 20-30 POPS IN THIS AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...CLOUD COVER WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH TEMPS TOPPING OUT IN THE MID/UPPER 70S IN MOST LOCATIONS. 19 && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL TONIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING. CIGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...EVENTUALLY BECOMING MVFR FROM W/NW TO E/SE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AS RAIN AND ISENTROPIC LIFT SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE AREA. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT FROM SE TO S BY THURSDAY MORNING..AND THEY WILL REMAIN GUSTY THRU THE PERIOD AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING SYSTEM. THE EXACT EVOLUTION OF THE OVERALL SYSTEM ON THURSDAY IS UNCERTAIN AS WE COULD POTENTIALLY BE IMPACTED BY MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS/STORMS. SO BE PREPARED FOR AMENDMENTS TO THE FORECAST AS THE SYSTEM UNFOLDS. 19 && .FIRE WEATHER... SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AND THEN OVERSPREAD THE AREA ON THURSDAY AS A FRONT SLOWLY MOVES SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD CENTRAL ALABAMA. ANOTHER WAVE OF RAIN AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY. DRY CONDITIONS RETURNING THRU THE WEEKEND. NO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 625 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016/ SHORT TERM... TODAY AND TONIGHT. MODELS CONTINUE TO SLOW DOWN FOR THE ONSET OF THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH EACH RUN. SO WE HAVE ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO MORE OF AN AFTER SUNSET TIMEFRAME IN THE WEST TO CLOSE TO SUNRISE IN THE EAST FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED ACTIVITY. BETTER CHANCES COME THURSDAY. DUE TO THE SLOWER TIMING ALSO WARMED UP TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHEAST INTO THE UPPER 70S FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ANY SEVERE WEATHER WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING AND WILL BE DISCUSSED BELOW. 16 LONG TERM... THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE EVOLUTION OF THE CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVES EASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND TOWARDS OUR WESTERN COUNTIES LATE TONIGHT WILL BE A KEY FACTOR IN THE SEVERE WEATHER FORECAST FOR THURSDAY. MOST OF THE AVAILABLE HIGH-RES GUIDANCE...INCLUDING THE WRF- ARW...WRF- NMM AND NSSL WRF...INDICATES SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEING ONGOING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS THE WEST AND MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE MORNING. THE 4 KM NAM IS AN OUTLIER AT THIS TIME WITH MUCH LESS CONVECTION TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING. A CONDITIONAL SEVERE THREAT COULD EXIST AS EARLY AS TOMORROW MORNING AS INSTABILITY BEGINS TO MOVE IN ALONG THE SOUTHERN FRINGES OF THIS ACTIVITY...BUT THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE DURING THE AFTERNOON...PERHAPS NOT UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...AND THROUGH THE EVENING IN THE WAKE OF THIS CONVECTION. THE HIRES WRF MODELS AND NAM INDICATE A RELATIVE LULL BEHIND THIS CONVECTION...ALLOWING THE AIRMASS TO RECOVER ACROSS WEST ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI. ASSUMING THE AIR MASS IS ABLE TO RECOVER...THEN CAPE VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE. BUT OF COURSE IF CONVECTION HANGS AROUND LONGER THEN THIS INSTABILITY WOULD NOT DEVELOP. FORCING FOR CONVECTION IN THE AFTERNOON REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCLEAR WITH THE COLD FRONT REMAINING WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND THE POSITIVELY TILTED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH REMAINING WELL TO OUR NORTHWEST. HOWEVER THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SUBTROPICAL JET STREAK AND THE WARM SECTOR AIR MASS WILL BE UNCAPPED WITH DEWPOINTS APPROACHING 70 DEGREES. WE WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES ASSOCIATED WITH THE EARLY CONVECTION WHICH WOULD ALSO AID STORM INITIATION. STORMS DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT WILL ALSO MOVE QUICKLY WESTWARD IN THE FAST SW FLOW. STORMS MAY BE SOMEWHAT ISOLATED WHICH WOULD ONLY ENHANCE THE SEVERE THREAT. 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR OF 55-60 KTS WILL BE VERY SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS WITH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE INCLUDING TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL GIVEN THE FAT CAPE PROFILES. THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL TEMPORARILY WEAKEN BY EARLY AFTERNOON BUT IS FORECAST TO RE- STRENGTHEN ESPECIALLY BY THURSDAY EVENING. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA GIVEN THE INSTABILITY AND SHEAR PRESENT AS THE FRONT MOVES VERY SLOWLY SOUTHEASTWARD. AN ELEVATED THREAT AREA HAS BEEN ADDED TO WEST ALABAMA WHERE THE BEST CHANCE OF AIR MASS RECOVERY AND HIGHEST INSTABILITY WILL BE...BUT THIS WILL LIKELY BE ADJUSTED AS THE MESOSCALE DETAILS BECOME CLEARER SO MAKE SURE TO CHECK THE LATEST FORECASTS. COULD CERTAINLY SEE IT BEING EXPANDED EASTWARD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CENTRAL ALABAMA TO COVER THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT THREAT. MODELS ARE TRENDING SLOWER WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AS IT WILL BE PARALLEL TO THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW AND HAVE INCREASED RAIN CHANCES ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH MODELS TRENDING TOWARDS THE IDEA OF A SURFACE WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A THREAT OF SEVERE OR AT LEAST STRONG STORMS COULD PERSIST INTO FRIDAY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH INSTABILITY CONTINUING TO BE PRESENT...THOUGH THE BEST LOW-LEVEL JET WILL HAVE LEFT THE AREA BY THEN. HOWEVER...WITH WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AT THIS POINT WILL LEAVE THIS OUT OF THE HWO FOR NOW AND THINK THE MAIN THREAT WILL HAVE SHIFTED TO FLOODING BY THAT POINT. SPEAKING OF FLOODING...FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH THE SLOWER TIMING OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING NOW CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST WHERE RAIN WILL BE FALLING ONTO SOILS WHICH WILL BE SATURATED BY THEN. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2-4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS FROM MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION. PW VALUES WILL BE AROUND 1.5-1.7 INCHES WITH 850-300 MB FLOW BECOMING UNI-DIRECTIONAL. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL PROBABLY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. WINDS WILL ALSO BE GUSTY ON THURSDAY. DRY CONDITIONS FINALLY RETURN ON SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA AND THE ELONGATED POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH SHEARS OUT. A FAST-MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL SEND A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED AND HAVE ONLY ADDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE FAR NORTH. BEHIND THE CLIPPER A SHOT OF COOLER AIR WILL MOVE IN. 32/DAVIS && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... GADSDEN 63 74 60 71 47 / 50 100 100 20 10 ANNISTON 63 74 62 72 49 / 30 100 100 30 30 BIRMINGHAM 65 76 61 72 48 / 50 100 100 20 20 TUSCALOOSA 65 78 60 73 49 / 70 100 100 20 10 CALERA 65 76 62 72 50 / 50 100 100 30 20 AUBURN 64 75 64 73 52 / 20 90 100 80 50 MONTGOMERY 66 79 66 74 53 / 20 90 90 80 50 TROY 67 78 66 73 54 / 20 90 90 90 60 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 4:43 AM CDT, 10 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL 443 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 ALZ011>015-017>050-311245- MARION-LAMAR-FAYETTE-WINSTON-WALKER-BLOUNT-ETOWAH-CALHOUN-CHEROKEE- CLEBURNE-PICKENS-TUSCALOOSA-JEFFERSON-SHELBY-ST. CLAIR-TALLADEGA- CLAY-RANDOLPH-SUMTER-GREENE-HALE-PERRY-BIBB-CHILTON-COOSA-TALLAPOOSA- CHAMBERS-MARENGO-DALLAS-AUTAUGA-LOWNDES-ELMORE-MONTGOMERY-MACON- BULLOCK-LEE-RUSSELL-PIKE-BARBOUR- 443 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM. .DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE IS A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS...ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY COME IN SEVERAL WAVES...ALTHOUGH THE TIME FRAME WITH THE GREATEST THREAT IS CURRENTLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CURRENTLY THE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST THREAT IS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM DOUBLE SPRINGS TO TUSCALOOSA TO MARION JUNCTION...BUT ADJUSTMENTS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED IN FUTURE UPDATES. HEAVY RAINFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT WILL ALSO LEAD TO A RISK OF FLASH FLOODING AND MINOR RIVER FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MAY BE NEEDED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Birmingham, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 9:43 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | BMX | Greene, Hale, Marengo, Pickens, Sumter | 4 days |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.