Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 179, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 22, 2016Bowman County, Golden Valley County, Slope County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 22, 2016, 5:03 PM MDT for Bowman County, Golden Valley County, Slope County, North Dakota. It was in force for 57 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 22, 2016, 5:03 PM MDT (23:03 UTC)
Expired: Jul 22, 2016, 6:00 PM MDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Bowman County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Slope County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 237 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 22, 5:05 PM MDT	TSTM WND GST 50	4 W Sunset Butte, ND	QUARTER SIZED HAIL ALSO WITH THIS REPORT.
Jul 22, 5:05 PM MDT	HAIL 1	4 W Sunset Butte, ND	A FEW QUARTER SIZED HAIL STONES. WINDS ALSO MEASURED TO 50 MPH.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 22, 3:06 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1038 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

908 
WUUS53 KBIS 222303
SVRBIS
NDC011-033-087-230000-
/O.NEW.KBIS.SV.W.0179.160722T2303Z-160723T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
503 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN BOWMAN COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...
  SLOPE COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...
  SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA...

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 501 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES
  NORTHWEST OF MUD BUTTES...OR 24 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  BAKER...MONTANA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RHAME AROUND 525 PM MDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE PRETTY
BUTTE...SUNSET BUTTE AND THREE V CROSSING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

BRIEF BUT VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL WITH THE STORM. THERE COULD BE
MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND CULVERTS.

&&

LAT...LON 4664 10404 4663 10306 4601 10386 4604 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 217DEG 29KT 4612 10391 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JP MARTIN

3 follow-up statements

370 
WWUS53 KBIS 222325
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
525 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NDC011-033-087-230000-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-160723T0000Z/
BOWMAN ND-SLOPE ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
525 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN BOWMAN...SLOPE AND SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY
COUNTIES...

AT 522 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MARMARTH...OR 21 MILES WEST OF BOWMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHWESTERN BOWMAN...SLOPE AND SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTIES...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: PRETTY BUTTE...SUNSET BUTTE AND
THREE V CROSSING.

QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 50 MPH WINDS WERE REPORTED ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTH
OF MARMARTH WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4664 10404 4663 10306 4610 10379 4613 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 208DEG 25KT 4625 10383 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JP MARTIN

883 
WWUS53 KBIS 222347
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
547 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NDC011-033-087-230000-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-160723T0000Z/
BOWMAN ND-SLOPE ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
547 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM MDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN BOWMAN...SLOPE AND SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY
COUNTIES...

AT 547 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES NORTH OF
RHAME...OR 16 MILES WEST OF AMIDON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AMIDON...RHAME...PRETTY BUTTE AND THREE V CROSSING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 4664 10404 4663 10306 4623 10361 4625 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 217DEG 29KT 4641 10365 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JP MARTIN

060 
WWUS53 KBIS 230003
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
603 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NDC011-033-087-230012-
/O.EXP.KBIS.SV.W.0179.000000T0000Z-160723T0000Z/
BOWMAN ND-SLOPE ND-GOLDEN VALLEY ND-
603 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN BOWMAN...SLOPE
AND SOUTHERN GOLDEN VALLEY COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4664 10404 4663 10306 4623 10361 4625 10405
TIME...MOT...LOC 0000Z 217DEG 29KT 4641 10365 

$$

JP MARTIN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 22, 2:07 PM MDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:07 PM MDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
307 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

We are anticipating a severe thunderstorm watch to be issued this
afternoon by the Storm Prediction Center. Latest mesoscale
discussion indicates favored area south of highway 2 in northwest
and north central North Dakota...southward across the South
Dakota border.

Multiple rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms are expected
across western and central ND this afternoon and tonight...and
continuing across central North Dakota on Saturday. Very heavy rain
is also possible, and the issuance of a flash flood watch for
central ND remains valid.

This afternoon, a surface low was over Montana/northern Wyoming with
a warm front extending northeastward in an east-west fashion over
central North Dakota. Dewpoint temperatures from Lake Sakakawea and
southward were in the upper 60s to lower 70s...with upper 50s
dewpoints across northern counties.

Mesoscale analysis indicated that the best instability with surface
based CAPE values from 1500-4000+ J/Kg was in place along and south
of this warm front. However, there was enough CIN below the modest
mid-level thermal cap late this morning/early afternoon for one
thunderstorm southeast of Bismarck to break through the cap. The
storm continued to develop as it moved southeastward. Most high res
CAM models continue to show the best development beginning around
mid-afternoon...and models continue to show best area in the
southwest and south central parts of the state. This is when upper
level shortwave energy from the approaching upper level low moving
east across the Rockies reaches southwestern North Dakota. The upper
level low/trough moves eastward across North Dakota on Saturday,
providing a series of upper level impulses that will support the
several rounds of thunderstorms expected this afternoon through
tonight and into Saturday. This afternoon expecting thunderstorms to
develop...then develop into an MCS tonight continuing into Saturday
morning. Saturday afternoon the upper level trough is moving through
central North Dakota, and lingering thunderstorms would be over and
exiting the James Valley by late afternoon/early evening.

Flash flood guidance is generally around 2+ inches in 3/6 hours.
Although latest guidance for precip totals are a bit less than the
midnight shift forecast, will continue the flash flood watch.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

Drier westerly flow is expected Saturday night through Monday
afternoon. The 12z model consensus suggests the upper level zonal
flow aloft next week will favor seasonable temperatures (80-90
Monday and Tuesday, and 75-85 Wednesday to Friday) with daily
chances of thunderstorms beginning Monday night through Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1214 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

Expect vfr cigs outside of any thunderstorms, which should develop
and increase in coverage this afternoon through tonight. Heavy
rainfall with reduced cigs/vsbys, large hail, and damaging winds
possible with any thunderstorm that develops through the TAF
period.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 305 PM CDT Fri Jul 22 2016

WPC maintains a slight risk of flash flooding across western and
central North Dakota this afternoon through tonight. There is still
a prolonged period of precipitable water values of around 1.5
inches, and the expected MCS development with multiple rounds of
thunderstorms would warrant the flash flood watch that was issued
early this morning for central North Dakota - valid through
Saturday afternoon.

&&

.BIS Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch from 10 PM CDT this evening through Saturday
afternoon for NDZ002>005-010>013.

Flash Flood Watch through Saturday afternoon for NDZ019>023-025-
034>037-042-045>048-050-051.

&&

SHORT TERM...JV
LONG TERM...JV
AVIATION...JV
HYDROLOGY...JV

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 2:02 PM MDT, 3 hours 1 minute before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-232015-
DIVIDE-BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-WILLIAMS-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-
MCHENRY-PIERCE-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-
FOSTER-GOLDEN VALLEY-BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-
STUTSMAN-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-EMMONS-LOGAN-
LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
302 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 /202 PM MDT FRI JUL 22 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THREATS
INCLUDE LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS TO 70 MPH...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
ALSO POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SEE
WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS ON THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA ON
SATURDAY MORNING...AND OVER CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

THERE IS THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY...TONIGHT...AND POSSIBLY ON
SATURDAY. A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS CONTINUES DEVELOP TODAY AS A
WARM FRONT MOVES INTO SOUTHERN NORTH DAKOTA...AND WIND SHEAR WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR ROTATING SUPERCELLS. STORMS MAY MERGE INTO LARGER
CLUSTERS BY TONIGHT...AND CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SPOTTERS
SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF MULTIPLE ACTIVATIONS.

TWH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 22, 11:05 AM MDT, 5 hours 58 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1205 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 AM     HAIL             5 WSW LINTON            46.24N 100.33W
07/22/2016  E0.75 INCH       EMMONS             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

HAMILTON

Local storm report, Jul 22, 11:57 AM MDT, 5 hours 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
1257 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     HAIL             HAGUE                   46.03N 100.00W
07/22/2016  E1.00 INCH       EMMONS             ND   CO-OP OBSERVER

            HAILED FOR ABOUT ONE MINUTE

&&

AC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 22, 12:38 AM MDT	Special Weather Statement	BIS	Emmons	37 min
Jul 22, 2:47 AM MDT	Flash Flood Watch	BIS	Bottineau, Burke, Burleigh, Dickey, Emmons, Foster and 15 more	33 hr
Jul 22, 10:40 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Logan, McIntosh	65 min
Jul 22, 11:24 AM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, McIntosh	66 min
Jul 22, 4:32 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Emmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux	58 min
Jul 22, 4:58 PM MDT	Areal Flood Warning	BIS	Sioux	15 hr
Jul 22, 5:46 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Sioux	44 min
Jul 22, 5:59 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Grant, Morton	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.