Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016
Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Binghamton, NY
NWS Binghamton, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 11, 2016, 2:28 PM EST for Madison County, Oneida County, Onondaga County, New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr. 34 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 11, 2016, 2:28 PM EST (19:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 13, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Binghamton, NY
Counties Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY
The radar
The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2:00 AM EST | SNOW 3.8 | 2 N Cicero, NY | |
| Jan 13, 4:46 AM EST | SNOW 5.8 | Liverpool, NY | 3.8 OF IT WAS SINCE 1AM |
| Jan 13, 5:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Nw Oneida, NY | |
| Jan 13, 5:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.7 | Nw Oneida, NY | |
| Jan 13, 5:30 AM EST | SNOW 3.9 | Nnw Vernon, NY | |
| Jan 13, 6:00 AM EST | SNOW 6 | 4 Nnw Durhamville, NY | |
| Jan 13, 6:13 AM EST | SNOW 6.3 | Chittenango, NY | |
| Jan 13, 6:37 AM EST | SNOW 11 | Kirkville, NY | VIA TWITTER WITH PHOTO |
| Jan 13, 6:54 AM EST | SNOW 5 | Syracuse Hancock Intl A, NY | |
| Jan 13, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | 4 N Westmorland Coop, NY | CO-OP OBSERVER |
| Jan 13, 7:00 AM EST | SNOW 10.8 | 2 Ssw Boonville, NY | CO-OP OBSERVER |
| Jan 13, 7:03 AM EST | SNOW 8.6 | 1 Ene Cicero, NY | |
| Jan 13, 7:16 AM EST | SNOW 8 | Bayberry, NY | |
| Jan 13, 7:18 AM EST | SNOW 3.5 | Manlius, NY | |
| Jan 13, 7:21 AM EST | SNOW 5.5 | 1 Wsw Careys Corners, NY | |
| Jan 13, 7:34 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Oneida, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:08 AM EST | SNOW 10 | 3 Wnw Brewerton, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:14 AM EST | SNOW 3.6 | Solvay, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:20 AM EST | SNOW 3.1 | 2 Nw Nelson, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:46 AM EST | SNOW 2.5 | Marcy, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:49 AM EST | SNOW 6 | Camden, NY | |
| Jan 13, 8:49 AM EST | SNOW 6.3 | Chittenango, NY | |
| Jan 13, 10:03 AM EST | SNOW 9.2 | 1 Ene Cicero, NY | |
| Jan 13, 10:04 AM EST | SNOW 4.4 | 5 Sw Syracuse, NY | |
| Jan 13, 10:04 AM EST | SNOW 4.5 | Holland Patent, NY | |
| Jan 13, 12:16 PM EST | SNOW 7.5 | Clinton, NY | |
| Jan 13, 12:18 PM EST | SNOW 9 | East Syracuse, NY | |
| Jan 13, 12:21 PM EST | SNOW 5 | Fairmount, NY | |
| Jan 13, 12:27 PM EST | SNOW 15 | Clay, NY | |
| Jan 13, 12:45 PM EST | SNOW 5.5 | Fayetteville, NY | |
| Jan 13, 1:19 PM EST | SNOW 13.5 | Bayberry, NY | |
| Jan 13, 1:20 PM EST | SNOW 12 | 1 Ene Cicero, NY | |
| Jan 13, 3:16 PM EST | SNOW 12.1 | 1 Ene Cicero, NY | |
| Jan 13, 4:49 PM EST | SNOW 8.5 | Liverpool, NY |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1392 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 79 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -84 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
866 WWUS41 KBGM 111928 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 228 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-121930- /O.UPG.KBGM.LE.A.0001.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 228 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 18 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FROM SYRACUSE TO CASENOVIA EASTWARD TO ROME AND UTICA. * TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY AND BRING LIGHT SNOW TO MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND DEVELOP HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHWARD INTO ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL... VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTING SNOW WHICH COULD MAKE KEEPING ROADS CLEAR CHALLENGING. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...13 TO 24. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
6 follow-up statements
576 WWUS41 KBGM 120258 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 958 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-130300- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 958 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 18 INCHES IS POSSIBLE FROM SYRACUSE TO CASENOVIA EASTWARD TO ROME AND UTICA. * TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY AND BRING LIGHT SNOW TO MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND DEVELOP HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHWARD INTO ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY EVENING AND THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL... VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTING SNOW WHICH COULD MAKE KEEPING ROADS CLEAR CHALLENGING. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...13 TO 24. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
164 WWUS41 KBGM 120903 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-130915- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY CORRIDOR. * TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TODAY. BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN RATES WILL EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$ NYZ046-130915- /O.NEW.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA 403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. * LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 7 INCHES IN NORTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY INCLUDING RICHFIELD SPRINGS...CHERRY VALLEY...AND COOPERSTOWN. * TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TODAY. BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
285 WWUS41 KBGM 121934 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-131945- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY CORRIDOR. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS...CLOSER TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY FROM BREWERTON TO LAKEPORT JUST NORTH OF SYRACUSE. * TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN RATES WILL EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$ NYZ046-131945- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA 234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. * TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING... WHEN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
879 WWUS41 KBGM 130122 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY CORRIDOR. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS...CLOSER TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY FROM BREWERTON TO LAKEPORT JUST NORTH OF SYRACUSE. * TIMING...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 3 AM AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. RATES WILL EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND CREATE HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$ NYZ046-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA 822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY... * LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES. * TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING BETWEEN 2 AM AND 6 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
407 WWUS41 KBGM 130844 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...CENTRAL TO NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY THE SYRACUSE METRO AREA. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST IN SYRACUSE AND SOUTH OF UTICA THIS MORNING. SNOW WILL SHIFT INTO THE UTICA AREA LATER THIS MORNING...AND THEN WILL HEAD NORTH OF SYRACUSE BY MID AFTERNOON. THE SNOW WILL THEN SHIFT OUT OF UTICA AND PASS THROUGH NORTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$ NYZ046-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA 344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY INCLUDING COOPERSTOWN...CHERRY VALLEY...AND RICHFIELD SPRINGS. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING...WITH SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING AN INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. SNOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH WHILE SHIFTING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
874 WWUS41 KBGM 131819 WSWBGM URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 NYZ009-018-036-037-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA... HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME 119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER EXTREME NORTHERN ONONDAGA, MADISON COUNTIES AND ONEIDA COUNTY...AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. * TIMING...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WHICH HAS BEEN SITUATED AROUND SYRACUSE EASTWARD ALONG THE THRUWAY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT NORTH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BACK THROUGH ONEIDA COUNTY WHILE ALSO SLOWLY WEAKENING. EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOW TO BE OUT OF SYRACUSE BY MID AFTERNOON WITH LAKE EFFECT EXITING ONEIDA COUNTY EARLY THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...14 TO 20. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$ NYZ046-140000- /O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/ OTSEGO- INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA 119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... * LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK. * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES...MAINLY NORTH OF COOPERSTOWN. * TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SNOWFALL SHIFTS NORTH AND DIMINISHES BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING * IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...13 TO 17. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING. PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 11, 12:36 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 12:36 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1236 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AND MOIST AIR WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AND FLURRIES TO A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW TO THE REGION TUESDAY. AFTER THIS SYSTEM PASSES BY, HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR FROM
SYRACUSE TO UTICA AND ROME TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ELSEWHERE
EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES WITH ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
DROPPED WIND ADVISORY AS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SYR STILL
GUSTING WITH A PEAK WIND AT 519 AM OF 44 KNOTS. REST OF STATIONS
AROUND NORTH CENTRAL NY HAVE SEEN WINDS WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY WITH
PEAK WINDS BARELY 30 KNOTS. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS
ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN STEUBEN CO WHERE I COULD SEE A FEW INCHES
OF SNOW TODAY. OTHERWISE NO MAJOR CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS MAIN LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND NORTH OF ONEIDA
COUNTY. THE KTYX VAD WIND PROFILE IS SHOWING A 260 DEGREE FLOW
FROM 3 TO 8 THOUSAND FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL AND WAS DIRECTING THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO OUR NORTH. THE 00Z RGEM, 00Z NAM12,
WRF_ARW,AND HRRR WERE ALL KEEPING THIS BAND TO OUR NORTH THROUGH
THE DAY. THE ONLY HI RES MODEL THAT WAS BRINGING THE BAND INTO
NORTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY TODAY WAS THE WRF_NMM. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED NORTH WITH THE BAND FROM YESTERDAY AND CURRENT RADAR
INDICATES THAT THIS WILL BE THE CASE SO WILL KEEP SIGNIFICANT
SNOWS OUT OF OUR FORECAST AREA TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS
ARE OUT TO OUR NORTH AND LOOK GREAT. THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA
WAS SEEING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES ON A WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW. NAM AND GFS SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING VERY STEEP LOW-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES THRU THE MORNING WHICH WAS LEADING TO SOME
SMALL CAPE UNDER THE INVERSION WHICH WAS AT ABOUT 800 MB OR 5000
FEET. THIS WAS ENOUGH TO ORGANIZE SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES.
MUCH OF THIS SMALL CAPE WAS IN THE MAX GROWTH REGIME FOR ICE
CRYSTALS. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE
TO BE DRYING AND I EXPECT THE ACVTY TO MOVE BACK CLOSER TO THE
LAKES. SO I HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES DIMINISHING
SOME TO THE WEST.
AS FOR WINDS SYR JUST GUSTED TO 40 KNOTS AND RME WAS STILL HITTING 38
KNOTS WHICH IS CLOSE TO ADVY CRITERIA. WILL HOLD ONTO WIND ADVY
UNTIL WINDS MARKEDLY DROP OFF.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...ALL MODELS SHOW A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM
TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT TO NORTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO BY TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES NEW YORK AND
PENNSYLVANIA THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
SEND ANY RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTH OR CUT
THEM OFF FROM THEIR SOURCE REGION. SO I DRY OUT TONIGHT IN OUR
FORECAST. ALL SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS SHOW A REGION OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION (OR ISENTROPIC LIFT IF YOU PREFER THAT COORDINATE
SYSTEM) ACROSS NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND SOUTHWEST WINDS TEND TO
DOWNSLOPE ACROSS A WIDE AREA OF CENTRAL NY AND NORTHEAST PA. THE
EXCEPTIONS ARE THE CATSKILLS AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL PLATEAU AND
ALLEGHENIES OF WESTERN NY. THEN AS THE CLIPPER TRACKS TO OUR
NORTHEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON THERE IS SOME LAKE ENHANCED COLD FRONTAL
SNOW SHOWERS THAT WILL ADD A BIT MORE TO THE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS.
FOR NOW WE SEE MOST AREAS GETTING AROUND 1 INCH WITH LOCALLY 2-3
INCHES IN THE CATSKILLS TO UPPER MOHAWK AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL
PLATEAU AND WESTERN STEUBEN COUNTY.
AFTER THIS SYSTEM PASSES TUESDAY EVENING, THE INVERSION CLIMBS TO
ALMOST 700 MB AND THE MEAN WIND IN THIS LAYER IS FROM 280-290
DEGREES. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM MODEL SOUNDINGS BETWEEN ABOUT 6Z-9Z
AND 18Z-21Z WEDNESDAY INDICATE UPWARD MOTION IN THE MAX ICE
CRYSTAL GROWTH REGIME SUGGESTING SIGNIFICANT SNOW GROWTH
POTENTIAL. THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES WERE AROUND -18C WHICH GIVES AT
LEAST A 23C DIFFERENTIAL WHICH IS EXTREME LAKE-INDUCED
INSTABILITY. THE ONLY UNCERTAINTY IS THE EXACT WIND DIRECTION
WHICH IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. IT LOOKS LIKE AT LEAST 8-12
INCHES OF SNOW TUESDAY NGT AND WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY MORE
SOMEWHERE IN ONONDAGA, MADISON OR ONEIDA COUNTIES. THIS COULD BE A
BIG EVENT FOR THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR, THE FIRST OF THIS LATE
EVOLVING WINTER SEASON. ISSUED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY TO COVER FOR ONONDAGA, ONEIDA AND
MADISON COUNTIES.
ALL LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY WINDS DOWN WED NGT AS FLOW BACKS MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WIND FIELD WILL LIKELY WAVER BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN NW AND WEST
THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT WITH ENOUGH OF A CONTINUOUS
INFLUX OF COLD AIR TO KEEP THE LAKE BANDS GOING. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THE WED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT TIME PERIOD APPEARS TO BE
THE MOST FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE NRN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS EVENT AS
IT DEVELOPS THROUGH THE WEEK AND MODEL GUIDANCE GETS A BETTER
HANDLE ON THE WIND TRAJECTORIES.
A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EVENTUALLY BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH
ON FRIDAY AND ALLOWS THE LES TO END. THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ACTIVE HOWEVER INTO THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND LIFT INTO THE NE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT NATURE
OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT ALL SIGNS POINT TO A WINTRY STORM SYSTEM.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH TWO ISSUES OF
CONCERN. ONE...THE WINDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY FROM THE WEST THROUGH
23Z OR 12/00Z ACROSS THE REGION WITH CIGS RUNNING AROUND 3 TO
5KFT. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE AND SLOWLY TURN TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT WITH LESS CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION AS A WHOLE. THE
SECOND ISSUE WILL BE THE LOWER CIGS AGAIN VERY LATE IN THE
PERIOD...POSSIBLY MVFR WITH DROP TO AROUND 2 TO 2.5K FT. ALSO AS
THE CIGS LOWER SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CNY...WITH VSBY RESTRICTED POSSIBLY TO 2 OR
3SM AT KSYR AND KRME AFTER 12Z.
.OUTLOOK...
TUE...CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL PASS WITH WINDOW OF WIDESPREAD -SN AND
MVFR-IFR RESTRICTIONS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
TUE NGT-WED...LAKE SHSN MAINLY NY TERMINALS. VERY RESTRICTIVE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATE TUE NGT INTO WED FOR KSYR-KRME
IF HEAVIER LAKE ONTARIO BANDS MANAGE TO PASS OVER TERMINALS.
WED NGT-THU-THU NGT...LAKE EFFECT SHSN AND ASSOCIATED
INTERMITTENT RESTRICTIONS MAINLY NY TERMINALS.
FRI...MAINLY VFR.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING FOR NYZ009-018-036-037.
&&
SYNOPSIS...DJN
NEAR TERM...DJN
SHORT TERM...DJN
LONG TERM...BJT/MDP
AVIATION...ABSHazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 6:05 AM EST, 8 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY 605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 NYZ015>017-022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048- 072-121115- YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS- CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD- SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE- SOUTHERN WAYNE- 605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON TUESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NYZ009-018-036-037-121115- NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA- 605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DJN
The office that day
Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2:43 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Watch | BGM | Madison, Oneida, Onondaga | 12 hr |
Nearby
Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.