Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Binghamton, NY

January 11, 2016Madison County, Oneida County, Onondaga County, New York

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 11, 2016, 2:28 PM EST for Madison County, Oneida County, Onondaga County, New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 24 hr. 34 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 11, 2016, 2:28 PM EST (19:28 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 13, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY

Counties Madison County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 13, 2:00 AM ESTSNOW 3.82 N Cicero, NY
Jan 13, 4:46 AM ESTSNOW 5.8Liverpool, NY3.8 OF IT WAS SINCE 1AM
Jan 13, 5:00 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Nw Oneida, NY
Jan 13, 5:00 AM ESTSNOW 4.7Nw Oneida, NY
Jan 13, 5:30 AM ESTSNOW 3.9Nnw Vernon, NY
Jan 13, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 64 Nnw Durhamville, NY
Jan 13, 6:13 AM ESTSNOW 6.3Chittenango, NY
Jan 13, 6:37 AM ESTSNOW 11Kirkville, NYVIA TWITTER WITH PHOTO
Jan 13, 6:54 AM ESTSNOW 5Syracuse Hancock Intl A, NY
Jan 13, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 4.54 N Westmorland Coop, NYCO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 13, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 10.82 Ssw Boonville, NYCO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 13, 7:03 AM ESTSNOW 8.61 Ene Cicero, NY
Jan 13, 7:16 AM ESTSNOW 8Bayberry, NY
Jan 13, 7:18 AM ESTSNOW 3.5Manlius, NY
Jan 13, 7:21 AM ESTSNOW 5.51 Wsw Careys Corners, NY
Jan 13, 7:34 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Oneida, NY
Jan 13, 8:08 AM ESTSNOW 103 Wnw Brewerton, NY
Jan 13, 8:14 AM ESTSNOW 3.6Solvay, NY
Jan 13, 8:20 AM ESTSNOW 3.12 Nw Nelson, NY
Jan 13, 8:46 AM ESTSNOW 2.5Marcy, NY
Jan 13, 8:49 AM ESTSNOW 6Camden, NY
Jan 13, 8:49 AM ESTSNOW 6.3Chittenango, NY
Jan 13, 10:03 AM ESTSNOW 9.21 Ene Cicero, NY
Jan 13, 10:04 AM ESTSNOW 4.45 Sw Syracuse, NY
Jan 13, 10:04 AM ESTSNOW 4.5Holland Patent, NY
Jan 13, 12:16 PM ESTSNOW 7.5Clinton, NY
Jan 13, 12:18 PM ESTSNOW 9East Syracuse, NY
Jan 13, 12:21 PM ESTSNOW 5Fairmount, NY
Jan 13, 12:27 PM ESTSNOW 15Clay, NY
Jan 13, 12:45 PM ESTSNOW 5.5Fayetteville, NY
Jan 13, 1:19 PM ESTSNOW 13.5Bayberry, NY
Jan 13, 1:20 PM ESTSNOW 121 Ene Cicero, NY
Jan 13, 3:16 PM ESTSNOW 12.11 Ene Cicero, NY
Jan 13, 4:49 PM ESTSNOW 8.5Liverpool, NY

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-01-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-01-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -84 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1392 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

866 
WWUS41 KBGM 111928
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
228 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ009-018-036-037-121930-
/O.UPG.KBGM.LE.A.0001.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
228 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
7 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW 
  YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 18 INCHES IS POSSIBLE
  FROM SYRACUSE TO CASENOVIA EASTWARD TO ROME AND UTICA.

* TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH ON
  TUESDAY AND BRING LIGHT SNOW TO MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. COLDER
  AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE
  NORTHWEST AND DEVELOP HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHWARD INTO
  ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND
  WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY
  EVENING AND THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL... VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTING SNOW WHICH COULD MAKE KEEPING ROADS 
  CLEAR CHALLENGING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...13 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
576 
WWUS41 KBGM 120258
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
958 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016


NYZ009-018-036-037-130300-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
958 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY
TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW 
  YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 12 TO 18 INCHES IS 
  POSSIBLE FROM SYRACUSE TO CASENOVIA EASTWARD TO ROME AND UTICA.

* TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK TO THE NORTH ON 
  TUESDAY AND BRING LIGHT SNOW TO MOST OF CENTRAL NEW YORK. 
  COLDER AIR WILL PUSH IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AS WINDS SHIFT TO 
  THE NORTHWEST AND DEVELOP HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHWARD 
  INTO ONONDAGA... MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
  WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL... VERY POOR VISIBILITY IN SNOW AND 
  BLOWING SNOW. DRIFTING SNOW WHICH COULD MAKE KEEPING ROADS 
  CLEAR CHALLENGING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...13 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
164 
WWUS41 KBGM 120903
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

NYZ009-018-036-037-130915-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN
  ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND CENTRAL TO
  SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY
  CORRIDOR. 

* TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TODAY.
  BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP
  TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...WHEN RATES WILL EXCEED 2
  INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE
  WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW
  WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ046-130915-
/O.NEW.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA
403 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 7 INCHES IN NORTHERN
  OTSEGO COUNTY INCLUDING RICHFIELD SPRINGS...CHERRY VALLEY...AND
  COOPERSTOWN.

* TIMING...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW TODAY.
  BEHIND THAT SYSTEM...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP
  TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
  MORNING...WHEN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE
  LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS
  SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW
  WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
285 
WWUS41 KBGM 121934
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016


NYZ009-018-036-037-131945-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN
  ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND CENTRAL TO
  SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK THRUWAY
  CORRIDOR. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS...CLOSER TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY
  FROM BREWERTON TO LAKEPORT JUST NORTH OF SYRACUSE.

* TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED EARLY THIS EVENING
  BEFORE THE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINS TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
  SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  MORNING...WHEN RATES WILL EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE
  EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT
  BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW
  WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND CREATE
  HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ046-131945-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA
234 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
  FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW LATE TONIGHT.
  THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING... WHEN
  RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS
  WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE
  NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING 
  SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
879 
WWUS41 KBGM 130122
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016


NYZ009-018-036-037-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS 
  NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...NORTHERN MADISON COUNTY...AND 
  CENTRAL TO SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK 
  THRUWAY CORRIDOR. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS...CLOSER TO 20 INCHES 
  ARE LIKELY FROM BREWERTON TO LAKEPORT JUST NORTH OF SYRACUSE.

* TIMING...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BETWEEN MIDNIGHT
  AND 3 AM AND CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. RATES WILL
  EXCEED 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF
  LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING 
  SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR...AND CREATE 
  HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ046-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA
822 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING
  FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BEGINNING BETWEEN
  2 AM AND 6 AM. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
  MORNING...WHEN RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR MAY OCCUR. THE
  LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY AS THE BANDS
  SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL. VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING 
  SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
407 
WWUS41 KBGM 130844
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016


NYZ009-018-036-037-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 6 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY
  ACROSS NORTHERN ONONDAGA COUNTY...CENTRAL TO NORTHERN MADISON
  COUNTY...SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY. THIS INCLUDES THE NEW YORK
  THRUWAY CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY THE SYRACUSE METRO AREA.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BE HEAVIEST IN SYRACUSE AND SOUTH OF UTICA
  THIS MORNING. SNOW WILL SHIFT INTO THE UTICA AREA LATER THIS
  MORNING...AND THEN WILL HEAD NORTH OF SYRACUSE BY MID AFTERNOON.
  THE SNOW WILL THEN SHIFT OUT OF UTICA AND PASS THROUGH NORTHERN
  ONEIDA COUNTY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS.
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO
  KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND
WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW PER
HOUR. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN
MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE
SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ046-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA
344 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...MAINLY
  ACROSS NORTHERN OTSEGO COUNTY INCLUDING COOPERSTOWN...CHERRY
  VALLEY...AND RICHFIELD SPRINGS.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR THIS MORNING...WITH
  SNOWFALL RATES EXCEEDING AN INCH PER HOUR AT TIMES. SNOW WILL
  GRADUALLY DIMINISH WHILE SHIFTING NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS.
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING TO
  KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$
874 
WWUS41 KBGM 131819
WSWBGM

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016



NYZ009-018-036-037-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...SYRACUSE...ONEIDA...
HAMILTON...UTICA...ROME
119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON AND ONEIDA COUNTIES IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
  OVER EXTREME NORTHERN ONONDAGA, MADISON COUNTIES AND ONEIDA
  COUNTY...AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE THRUWAY. 

* TIMING...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND WHICH HAS BEEN SITUATED
  AROUND SYRACUSE EASTWARD ALONG THE THRUWAY WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT
  NORTH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BACK THROUGH ONEIDA COUNTY WHILE
  ALSO SLOWLY WEAKENING. EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOW TO BE OUT OF
  SYRACUSE BY MID AFTERNOON WITH LAKE EFFECT EXITING ONEIDA COUNTY
  EARLY THIS EVENING. 


* IMPACTS...DANGEROUS TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. 
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING 
  TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 20.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS.
LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND
WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW PER
HOUR. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN
MINUTES. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE
SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

NYZ046-140000-
/O.CON.KBGM.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
OTSEGO-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ONEONTA
119 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...OTSEGO COUNTY IN NEW YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3
  INCHES...MAINLY NORTH OF COOPERSTOWN.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL BE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
  SNOWFALL SHIFTS NORTH AND DIMINISHES BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON
  INTO EARLY THIS EVENING

* IMPACTS...DIFFICULT TRAVEL WITH ABRUPTLY CHANGING CONDITIONS. 
  VERY POOR VISIBILITY. DRIFTING SNOW WILL MAKE IT CHALLENGING 
  TO KEEP ROADS CLEAR.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...13 TO 17.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

PLEASE REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE AT 1-877-633-6772...OR BY EMAIL AT
BGM.STORMREPORT@NOAA.GOV.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 11, 12:36 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 11, 12:36 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1236 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A WESTERLY FLOW OF COLD AND MOIST AIR WILL BRING SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS AND FLURRIES TO A LARGE PART OF CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA TODAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST BY
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A WIDESPREAD INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW TO THE REGION TUESDAY. AFTER THIS SYSTEM PASSES BY, HEAVY
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR FROM
SYRACUSE TO UTICA AND ROME TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. ELSEWHERE
EXPECT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES WITH ONLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
DROPPED WIND ADVISORY AS WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN. SYR STILL
GUSTING WITH A PEAK WIND AT 519 AM OF 44 KNOTS. REST OF STATIONS
AROUND NORTH CENTRAL NY HAVE SEEN WINDS WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY WITH
PEAK WINDS BARELY 30 KNOTS. MADE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO POPS
ESPECIALLY FOR WESTERN STEUBEN CO WHERE I COULD SEE A FEW INCHES
OF SNOW TODAY. OTHERWISE NO MAJOR CHANGES TO PREVIOUS FORECAST.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...
RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS MAIN LAKE EFFECT SNOW BAND NORTH OF ONEIDA
COUNTY. THE KTYX VAD WIND PROFILE IS SHOWING A 260 DEGREE FLOW
FROM 3 TO 8 THOUSAND FEET ABOVE SEA LEVEL AND WAS DIRECTING THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS TO OUR NORTH. THE 00Z RGEM, 00Z NAM12,
WRF_ARW,AND HRRR WERE ALL KEEPING THIS BAND TO OUR NORTH THROUGH
THE DAY. THE ONLY HI RES MODEL THAT WAS BRINGING THE BAND INTO
NORTHERN ONEIDA COUNTY TODAY WAS THE WRF_NMM. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED NORTH WITH THE BAND FROM YESTERDAY AND CURRENT RADAR
INDICATES THAT THIS WILL BE THE CASE SO WILL KEEP SIGNIFICANT
SNOWS OUT OF OUR FORECAST AREA TODAY. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS
ARE OUT TO OUR NORTH AND LOOK GREAT. THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA
WAS SEEING SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES ON A WEST TO
SOUTHWEST FLOW. NAM AND GFS SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING VERY STEEP LOW-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES THRU THE MORNING WHICH WAS LEADING TO SOME
SMALL CAPE UNDER THE INVERSION WHICH WAS AT ABOUT 800 MB OR 5000
FEET. THIS WAS ENOUGH TO ORGANIZE SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES.
MUCH OF THIS SMALL CAPE WAS IN THE MAX GROWTH REGIME FOR ICE
CRYSTALS. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL CONTINUE
TO BE DRYING AND I EXPECT THE ACVTY TO MOVE BACK CLOSER TO THE
LAKES. SO I HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES DIMINISHING
SOME TO THE WEST.

AS FOR WINDS SYR JUST GUSTED TO 40 KNOTS AND RME WAS STILL HITTING 38
KNOTS WHICH IS CLOSE TO ADVY CRITERIA. WILL HOLD ONTO WIND ADVY
UNTIL WINDS MARKEDLY DROP OFF.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...ALL MODELS SHOW A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM
TRACK FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION TONIGHT TO NORTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO BY TUESDAY EVENING AND THEN TO OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST
BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES NEW YORK AND
PENNSYLVANIA THE LOW-LEVEL WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
SEND ANY RESIDUAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTH OR CUT
THEM OFF FROM THEIR SOURCE REGION. SO I DRY OUT TONIGHT IN OUR
FORECAST. ALL SYNOPTIC SCALE MODELS SHOW A REGION OF WARM AIR
ADVECTION (OR ISENTROPIC LIFT IF YOU PREFER THAT COORDINATE
SYSTEM) ACROSS NEW YORK AND PENNSYLVANIA TUESDAY MORNING. HOWEVER
THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND SOUTHWEST WINDS TEND TO
DOWNSLOPE ACROSS A WIDE AREA OF CENTRAL NY AND NORTHEAST PA. THE
EXCEPTIONS ARE THE CATSKILLS AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL PLATEAU AND
ALLEGHENIES OF WESTERN NY. THEN AS THE CLIPPER TRACKS TO OUR
NORTHEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON THERE IS SOME LAKE ENHANCED COLD FRONTAL
SNOW SHOWERS THAT WILL ADD A BIT MORE TO THE TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS.
FOR NOW WE SEE MOST AREAS GETTING AROUND 1 INCH WITH LOCALLY 2-3
INCHES IN THE CATSKILLS TO UPPER MOHAWK AND SOUTHERN TUG HILL
PLATEAU AND WESTERN STEUBEN COUNTY.

AFTER THIS SYSTEM PASSES TUESDAY EVENING, THE INVERSION CLIMBS TO
ALMOST 700 MB AND THE MEAN WIND IN THIS LAYER IS FROM 280-290
DEGREES. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM MODEL SOUNDINGS BETWEEN ABOUT 6Z-9Z
AND 18Z-21Z WEDNESDAY INDICATE UPWARD MOTION IN THE MAX ICE
CRYSTAL GROWTH REGIME SUGGESTING SIGNIFICANT SNOW GROWTH
POTENTIAL. THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES WERE AROUND -18C WHICH GIVES AT
LEAST A 23C DIFFERENTIAL WHICH IS EXTREME LAKE-INDUCED
INSTABILITY. THE ONLY UNCERTAINTY IS THE EXACT WIND DIRECTION
WHICH IS STILL SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN. IT LOOKS LIKE AT LEAST 8-12
INCHES OF SNOW TUESDAY NGT AND WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLY MORE
SOMEWHERE IN ONONDAGA, MADISON OR ONEIDA COUNTIES. THIS COULD BE A
BIG EVENT FOR THE THRUWAY CORRIDOR, THE FIRST OF THIS LATE
EVOLVING WINTER SEASON. ISSUED LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCHES FOR
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY TO COVER FOR ONONDAGA, ONEIDA AND
MADISON COUNTIES.

ALL LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY WINDS DOWN WED NGT AS FLOW BACKS MORE
SOUTHWESTERLY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WIND FIELD WILL LIKELY WAVER BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN NW AND WEST
THROUGH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT WITH ENOUGH OF A CONTINUOUS
INFLUX OF COLD AIR TO KEEP THE LAKE BANDS GOING. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THE WED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT TIME PERIOD APPEARS TO BE
THE MOST FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
ACROSS THE NRN COUNTIES. WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON THIS EVENT AS
IT DEVELOPS THROUGH THE WEEK AND MODEL GUIDANCE GETS A BETTER
HANDLE ON THE WIND TRAJECTORIES.

A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EVENTUALLY BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH
ON FRIDAY AND ALLOWS THE LES TO END. THE PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ACTIVE HOWEVER INTO THE WEEKEND AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE OHIO VALLEY AND LIFT INTO THE NE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE THE EXACT NATURE
OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT ALL SIGNS POINT TO A WINTRY STORM SYSTEM.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH TWO ISSUES OF
CONCERN. ONE...THE WINDS WILL BE VERY GUSTY FROM THE WEST THROUGH
23Z OR 12/00Z ACROSS THE REGION WITH CIGS RUNNING AROUND 3 TO
5KFT. THE WINDS WILL DECREASE AND SLOWLY TURN TO THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT WITH LESS CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION AS A WHOLE. THE
SECOND ISSUE WILL BE THE LOWER CIGS AGAIN VERY LATE IN THE
PERIOD...POSSIBLY MVFR WITH DROP TO AROUND 2 TO 2.5K FT. ALSO AS
THE CIGS LOWER SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CNY...WITH VSBY RESTRICTED POSSIBLY TO 2 OR
3SM AT KSYR AND KRME AFTER 12Z.

.OUTLOOK...

TUE...CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL PASS WITH WINDOW OF WIDESPREAD -SN AND
MVFR-IFR RESTRICTIONS...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.

TUE NGT-WED...LAKE SHSN MAINLY NY TERMINALS. VERY RESTRICTIVE
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT TIMES LATE TUE NGT INTO WED FOR KSYR-KRME
IF HEAVIER LAKE ONTARIO BANDS MANAGE TO PASS OVER TERMINALS.

WED NGT-THU-THU NGT...LAKE EFFECT SHSN AND ASSOCIATED
INTERMITTENT RESTRICTIONS MAINLY NY TERMINALS.

FRI...MAINLY VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ009-018-036-037.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJN
NEAR TERM...DJN
SHORT TERM...DJN
LONG TERM...BJT/MDP
AVIATION...ABS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 6:05 AM EST, 8 hours 23 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ015>017-022>025-044>046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-
072-121115-
YATES-SENECA-SOUTHERN CAYUGA-STEUBEN-SCHUYLER-CHEMUNG-TOMPKINS-
CORTLAND-CHENANGO-OTSEGO-TIOGA-BROOME-DELAWARE-SULLIVAN-BRADFORD-
SUSQUEHANNA-NORTHERN WAYNE-WYOMING-LACKAWANNA-LUZERNE-PIKE-
SOUTHERN WAYNE-
605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ009-018-036-037-121115-
NORTHERN ONEIDA-ONONDAGA-MADISON-SOUTHERN ONEIDA-
605 AM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DJN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 2:43 AM ESTLake Effect Snow WatchBGMMadison, Oneida, Onondaga12 hr

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.