Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016

Winter Storm Warning 17, NWS Gaylord, MI

December 29, 20164 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Dec 29, 2016, 4:16 AM EST for 4 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Dec 29, 2016, 12:00 PM EST. It was in force for 23 hr. 27 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2016, 4:16 AM EST (09:16 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 29, 2016, 12:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 30, 2016, 11:05 AM EST
In force
23 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Otsego County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 29, 11:00 PM ESTSNOW 5.62 Se Gaylord, MI6 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Dec 29, 11:03 PM ESTSNOW 5.22 Ene Otsego Lake State, MI12 HOUR TOTAL...THOUGH MOST FELL IN LAST 6 HOURS.
Dec 29, 11:03 PM ESTSNOW 5.22 Ene Otsego Lake State, MI12 HOUR TOTAL...THOUGH MOST FELL IN LAST 6 HOURS. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 12:01 AM ESTSNOW 52 Wnw Waters, MI11 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Dec 30, 12:01 AM ESTSNOW 59 Ssw Gaylord, MI11 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Dec 30, 12:01 AM ESTSNOW 10Elmira, MI12 HOUR SNOWFALL TOTAL.
Dec 30, 6:00 AM ESTSNOW 54 W Alba, MI. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 6:30 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 134 Wnw Gaylord, MI. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 7.41 Nw Waters, MICO-OP OBSERVER STATION 9 SSW GAYLORD /APXM4/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 7:32 AM ESTSNOW 81 Ese Otsego Lake State, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.
Dec 30, 7:32 AM ESTSNOW 81 Ese Otsego Lake State, MI24 HR TOTAL THRU 7AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 7:33 AM ESTSNOW 8Elmira, MI24HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.
Dec 30, 7:33 AM ESTSNOW 8Elmira, MI24HR TOTAL THRU 7AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 7:36 AM ESTSNOW 3Grayling, MI12HR TOTAL 7AM.
Dec 30, 7:36 AM ESTSNOW 3Grayling, MI12HR TOTAL 7AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.
Dec 30, 7:58 AM ESTSNOW 4Johannesburg, MI18HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.
Dec 30, 7:58 AM ESTSNOW 4Johannesburg, MI18HR TOTAL THRU 7AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 18 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 61 Ese Mancelona, MICOCORAHS STATION MANCELONA /MI-AT-6/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 71 S Waters, MI18HR TOTAL THRU 7AM.
Dec 30, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 71 S Waters, MI18HR TOTAL THRU 7AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 18 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.12 W Gaylord, MICOCORAHS STATION 1 W GAYLORD /MI-OT-4/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 8.1Gaylord, MICO-OP OBSERVER STATION GAYLORD /GAYM4/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:45 AM ESTSNOW 45 Ssw Johannesburg, MISNOWDEPTH IS 10 INCHES. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 12 HOURS.
Dec 30, 8:45 AM ESTSNOW 57 Ese Mancelona, MI. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Dec 30, 10:01 AM ESTSNOW 12Elmira, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 9AM.
Dec 30, 10:01 AM ESTSNOW 12Elmira, MI18 HR TOTAL THRU 9AM. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 18 HOURS.
Dec 30, 10:37 AM ESTHEAVY SNOW 92 Sse Gaylord, MI. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2016-12-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Alpena, MI at 00:00Z on 2016-12-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 550 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
865 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
81 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
550 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
561 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

523 
WWUS43 KAPX 290916
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
416 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-291715-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0017.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
416 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN
EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY.

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-291715-
/O.NEW.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
416 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING. MOST PERSISTENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR
  ACROSS THE WESTERN PARTS OF CHIPPEWA AND MACKINAC COUNTY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-291715-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
416 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY.

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-291715-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
416 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS
IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY.

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY
  THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS EVENING
  AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING.

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5
  INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
5 follow-up statements
772 
WWUS43 KAPX 291605
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1105 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016


MIZ019-021-022-027-028-300015-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0017.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1105 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND 
  INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW 
  SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 
  10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-300015-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1105 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND 
  INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW 
  SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING. MOST PERSISTENT SNOW 
  SHOWERS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE WESTERN PARTS OF CHIPPEWA AND 
  MACKINAC COUNTY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 
  7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-300015-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1105 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND 
  INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW 
  SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 
  5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-300015-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.161229T1700Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
1105 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

* LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND 
  INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW 
  SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING. 

* WHERE SNOW SHOWERS PERSIST...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 
  5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW 
  AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
862 
WWUS43 KAPX 292051
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016


MIZ008-300500-
/O.UPG.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.LE.W.0001.161229T2051Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 7 AM FRIDAY.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 9 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY...TO ONE QUARTER
  MILE AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-300500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0017.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1AM AND 10 AM FRIDAY.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY...TO ONE QUARTER
  MILE AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ034-300500-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HOUGHTON LAKE
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 AM AND 7 AM 
  FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-023-029-300500-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...MIO
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 AM AND 7 AM 
  FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ015-300500-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 AM AND 7 AM 
  FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>033-300500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 1 AM FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016-017-300500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
351 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 7 PM THIS 
  EVENING AND 1 AM FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

SWR
392 
WWUS43 KAPX 300250
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

MIZ008-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0017.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY. 

* SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON FRIDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ015-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>034-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON FRIDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOW AND 1 AM 
  FRIDAY. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016>018-023-029-301100-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...MIO
950 PM EST THU DEC 29 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
FRIDAY. 

* SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
817 
WWUS43 KAPX 300911
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

MIZ008-301700-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY. 

* EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND
  NOON.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR UNTIL 7 AM THIS 
  MORNING. 

* TOTAL LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 FEET WILL BE
  SEEN...FROM PICKFORD TO THE WHITEFISH BAY AREA. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES. PLAN ON
  SLIPPERY AND SNOW-COVERED ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING
  THE MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...
FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-301700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0017.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

* EXPECT LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND
  NOON.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOW AND 7 AM 
  THIS MORNING. 

* TOTAL LOCALIZED SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE 10 TO 18 INCHES.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES. PLAN ON
  SLIPPERY AND SNOW-COVERED ROADS...INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING
  COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR FLUFFY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN
EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ015-301700-
/O.CON.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY. 

* EXPECT FLUFFY SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. USE CAUTION WHEN
TRAVELING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-026-031>034-301700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

* EXPECT FLUFFY SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON. 

* ADDITIONAL FLUFFY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE 
  EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FLUFFY SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF FLUFFY
SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ016>018-023-029-301700-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-OSCODA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
ATLANTA...MIO
411 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

* EXPECT FLUFFY SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND NOON. 

* ADDITIONAL FLUFFY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE 
  EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FLUFFY SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF FLUFFY
SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

JZ
067 
WWUS43 KAPX 301605
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1105 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

MIZ008-301715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.LE.W.0001.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
1105 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING. 


$$

MIZ019-021-022-027-028-301715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0017.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
CHARLEVOIX-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING
1105 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 


$$

MIZ015-301715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.LE.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
1105 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. 


$$

MIZ016>018-020-023-025-026-029-031>034-301715-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161230T1700Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-LEELANAU-MONTMORENCY-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-OSCODA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...ROGERS CITY...
NORTHPORT...ATLANTA...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...MIO...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY...HOUGHTON LAKE
1105 AM EST FRI DEC 30 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Dec 29, 3:49 AM EST, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 3:49 AM EST, 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
349 AM EST Thu Dec 29 2016

.NEAR TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 349 AM EST Thu Dec 29 2016

...Another round of active winter weather...

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Negatively tilted shortwave trough is
digging through the Great Lakes this morning with attending surface
low pressure over NE Lake Superior and cold/occluded front swinging
through the eastern part of the state this morning. Synoptic
snowfall never really materialized across lower Michigan earlier in
the night and we now have some semblance of a dry slot moving
through the region. There is a "spoke" of wrap around moisture
swinging across the U.P. and eastern Wisconsin that will slide
through the area this morning. Behind this system, another pocket of
rather cold air will spill into the Great Lakes today through
tonight, setting the stage for another round of heavy lake effect
snows.

Primary Forecast Concerns: Lake effect snow today into Friday and
associated headline possibilities.

Relatively quiet to start. "Spoke" of wrap around moisture will
swing across the region this morning and bring a little bit of
snow/lake enhancement to the region. No big deal. Things really
start to go downhill this afternoon and particularly tonight as core
of cold air (-14C to -17C H8 temps) descends into the northern lakes
tonight. Lake effect parameters turn quite impressive, particularly
later this afternoon through this evening, with a limited or
nonexistent inversion, deep cyclonic flow, secondary weak shortwave
and deeper moisture rotating through the region. Several hours of
heavier lake snow showers appear on tap along with some blowing and
drifting snow, before lake effect begins to diminish later overnight
through Friday morning.

Low level mean flow begins west-northwesterly but gradually veers
more northwesterly as we go through tonight, with the potential for
some decent Lake Superior connected banding running down through NW
lower Michigan for a time tonight into early Friday. This should put
best accumulations through parts of the "big 5" in northern lower
Michigan (Charlevoix/Antrim/Otsego/Kalkaska and Crawford counties)
where TOTAL accumulations may push 8 to 12 inches through Friday
morning where snow showers persist. Less outside of those areas with
totals running 2 to 5 inches, perhaps a little more in the tip of
the mitt.

Headline-wise: Solid advisories are a good bet for eastern upper
Michigan and most of NW lower Michigan, with combination of snow
showers and some blowing snow. Not completely confident in warning
headlines, forecast snow accumulations fall a little short (but
close). But given the gustier winds anticipated through tonight
producing blowing snow/reduced vsbys...will err on the proactive
side and put the "big 5" counties into a winter storm warning.
Considered Chippewa county for a warning also, but think the most
persistent snows will be found to the west where MQT has a warning
in place already.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Friday through Saturday)
Issued at 349 AM EST Thu Dec 29 2016

...Clipper system brings widespread light to moderate snowfall
Friday night into Saturday...

High Impact Weather Potential...Widespread light to moderate amounts
of snow are expected Friday night into Saturday.

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...H5 heights over northern Michigan will
rise through the day on Friday as a deepening upper trough pushes
east of the area. Ridging will be stronger in the low levels than
further aloft, but the resulting subsidence in conjunction with
influx of drier air and developing WAA Friday afternoon will bring a
gradual end to lake effect snow activity. Attention then shifts to a
clipper system moving in late Friday evening and lingering through
Saturday morning (more on this below). Northern Michigan will be on
the nose of a 40-50 knot low level jet as this system cuts across
the Upper Great Lakes. A cold front will then sweep through during
the day on Saturday, but with not much impact other than to usher in
some cooler 850mb temps that will allow for more lake effect snow
showers Saturday afternoon. Only minor additional accumulations
expected from this, however. Heading into New Year's Eve, drier air
will begin to work into the region.

Primary Forecast Concerns...Deterministic models are in decent
agreement with timing and track of the clipper system, but they
differ in terms of amount and placement of heaviest QPF. The NAM has
been keeping the heaviest QPF confined to far northern Lower while
the Canadian has been spreading the QPF further downstate. The GFS
and ECMWF have been more middle of the road, though the GFS has been
trending drier than the others, particularly across eastern Upper. A
bit of lake enhancement off northern Lake Michigan can't be entirely
ruled out for Mackinac and Emmet counties, but it's not looking too
likely. Water temps are about 5 to 6C, and 850mb temps will be
warming Friday night from around -14C initially across the Straits
to around -8C by daybreak Saturday. Wind direction will be the
limiting factor, with low level winds wavering between SE and SW as
the clipper moves through. It will be hard to develop any decent
fetch with winds not locking onto any particular direction for very
long during the event. Snowfall totals generally look to be in the 2
to 4 inch range with locally higher amounts possible across eastern
Upper, and less across the southern CWA border.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 349 AM EST Thu Dec 29 2016

High Impact Weather Potential...Minimal at this time, but a potent
system will bear watching for the beginning of the work week.

New Year's Day is looking pretty decent across northern Michigan
with dry conditions, seasonable temperatures, and a gradual decrease
in clouds through the day as high pressure builds in from the south.
Isentropic lift late Sunday night into Monday will cause clouds to
increase along with a chance of light snow ahead of the next
approaching system. And this is where confidence in the forecast
starts to decline, as models are still very split with the track and
intensity of this system after interactions with a system along the
Gulf Coast. The ECMWF has been trending with a westward track,
taking it from the Central Plains up into the Upper Peninsula,
whereas the 29.00Z Canadian phases it with the Gulf Coast system and
carries it further east into the Upper Ohio Valley. The GFS has
remained consistent in its middle of the road track through the Ohio
Valley. Of course, the track of this system will have major
implications on precipitation type. If the ECMWF is right, it would
mean warmer air and better chances for a rain/snow mix across more
of the CWA and just rain across the south. Tough call this far out
and with so much split in the models. For now, have continued with a
rain/snow mix across northern Lower during the day Monday and
Tuesday with better snow chances across eastern Upper. I expect
continued massaging of this period will be necessary until models
come into better agreement.

Lake effect snow chances look to ramp up again on Wednesday once
this system moves out and a much colder airmass surges south out of
Canada for the second half of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1235 PM EST Wed Dec 28 2016

MVFR cigs and mainly VFR vsbys, will dominate nrn Mi taf sites into
this evening, as a narrow sfc and upper ridge exits east of the
Great Lakes. Expect vsbys to diminish to MVFR after 00z, as light
snow overspreads the region, the result of a clipper passing
through the Great Lakes. Cigs and Vsbys should diminish to IFR
between 12z and 18z Thursday, especially along the Lake Michigan
shoreline, as cold northwest flow generates another round of lake
effect snow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 346 PM EST Wed Dec 28 2016

Marine headlines continue on the Great Lakes, due to gusty southwest
winds tonight in advance of a approaching clipper. Winds trend
northwest and remain gusty Thursday and Thursday night, as colder
air filters into the region on the backside of the exiting clipper. A
period of snow will increase across the northern Lakes tonight and
linger into Friday, due to combination of system and lake induced
snows.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY from noon today to noon EST Friday for
     MIZ016-017-020-025-026-031>033.
     WINTER STORM WARNING from noon today to noon EST Friday for
     MIZ019-021-022-027-028.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY from noon today to noon EST Friday for
     MIZ008-015.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Friday for LHZ345>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Friday for LMZ323-341-342-
     344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Friday for LSZ321-322.
&&

NEAR TERM...TBA
SHORT TERM...MEK
LONG TERM...MEK
AVIATION...JZ
MARINE...SWR
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 29, 4:08 AM EST, 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
408 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-301100-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
408 AM EST THU DEC 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COLDER AIR WILL SPILL INTO THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT LEADING TO
A PERIOD OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE SNOWBELTS. SEE
ONGOING WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING
IN THE SNOWBELTS. SEE ONGOING WINTER STORM WARNINGS AND
ADVISORIES FOR DETAILS.

ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN LAKES REGION
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL TO THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. REPORTS MAY BE MADE ONE OF THREE WAYS:

ONLINE:    WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD
FACEBOOK: FACEBOOK.COM/NWSGAYLORD

TWITTER:  TWITTER.COM/NWSGAYLORD

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 4:16 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryAPX31 hr
Dec 29, 4:16 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXBenzie, Cheboygan, Emmet, Grand Traverse, Leelanau, Manistee and 6 more31 hr
Dec 29, 3:51 PM ESTLake Effect Snow WarningAPX19 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.