Alert archive / Michigan / Winter Storm Warnings in 2016

Winter Storm Warning 12, NWS Gaylord, MI

November 18, 201612 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this winter storm warning at Nov 18, 2016, 3:19 PM EST for 12 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Nov 19, 2016, 10:00 AM EST. It was in force for 19 hr. 10 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2016, 3:19 PM EST (20:19 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 19, 2016, 10:00 AM EST
Expired
Nov 20, 2016, 4:48 AM EST
In force
19 hr
Issued by
NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Benzie County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Leelanau County, MI, Manistee County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 19, 12:00 PM ESTSNOW 1.71 Nnw Wellston, MI1 INCH ON THE GROUND. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 5 HOURS.
Nov 19, 3:00 PM ESTSNOW 3Mancelona, MISTORM TOTAL SO FAR.
Nov 19, 5:30 PM ESTSNOW 3.52 Sse Antrim, MI.
Nov 19, 5:30 PM ESTSNOW 3.52 Sse Antrim, MI. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 6 HOURS.
Nov 19, 6:53 PM ESTSNOW 21 Se Traverse City, MIASOS STATION CHERRY CAPITAL AIRPORT /TVC/.
Nov 19, 6:53 PM ESTSNOW 21 Se Traverse City, MIASOS STATION CHERRY CAPITAL AIRPORT /TVC/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
Nov 19, 7:20 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 103 N Sigma, MI10 INCHES ON THE GROUND.
Nov 19, 7:20 PM ESTHEAVY SNOW 103 N Sigma, MI10 INCHES ON THE GROUND. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY SNOW EVENT WAS 6 HOURS.
Nov 19, 8:15 PM ESTSNOW 2.52 Ene Maple City, MICO-OP OBSERVER STATION MAPLE CITY 1E /MAPM4/.
Nov 19, 8:15 PM ESTSNOW 2.52 Ene Maple City, MICO-OP OBSERVER STATION MAPLE CITY 1E /MAPM4/. THE DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 224 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-11-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-11-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 144 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1193 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

552 
WWUS43 KAPX 182019
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
319 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

MIZ021-026-027-190500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA
319 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
  MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ019-022-028-032-033-190500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...GRAYLING...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
319 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-031-190500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1800Z-161120T1000Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE
319 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND MIDNIGHT
  SATURDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
  PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN AS RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW INTO
  SATURDAY AFTERNOON NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
  AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-190500-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
319 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...
  HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WEST OF I-75.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

JPB
7 follow-up statements
919 
WWUS43 KAPX 190220
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

MIZ021-026-027-191030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO 
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 
  40 MPH SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ019-022-028-032-033-191030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...GRAYLING...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY
TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ020-025-031-191030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1800Z-161120T1000Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SATURDAY
TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 1 PM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 4 PM AND 
  MIDNIGHT SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 
  PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN AS RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW 
  INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-191030-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
920 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY
TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 7 PM 
  SATURDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... 
  HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WEST OF I-75. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING AND BLOWING 
  SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT
MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
734 
WWUS43 KAPX 190945
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

MIZ019-022-028-032-033-191745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...GRAYLING...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM TODAY AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 10 PM
  SATURDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ008-191745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 10 PM
  SATURDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... 
  HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WEST OF I-75. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-031-191745-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1800Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY.  

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 11 AM TODAY AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1PM AND
  MIDNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
  PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN AS RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW INTO
  THIS AFTERNOON NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WITH MUCH LESS ACCUMULATION.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES...AWAY FROM
  LAKE MICHIGAN...IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-191745-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM AND THEN TAPER OFF AROUND 5
  AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ015-191745-
/O.EXA.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY AND THEN TAPER OFF AROUND
  5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM AND
  MIDNIGHT. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ021-026-027-191745-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 9PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-191745-
/O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
445 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO FALLING AND
  BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
600 
WWUS43 KAPX 190950 CCA
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

MIZ019-022-028-032-033-192200-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHARLEVOIX-OTSEGO-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHARLEVOIX...GAYLORD...GRAYLING...
CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM TODAY AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 10 PM
  SATURDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN
  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ008-192200-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SAULT STE. MARIE
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 10 PM
  SATURDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... 
  HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WEST OF I-75. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ020-025-031-192200-
/O.UPG.KAPX.WW.Y.0022.161119T1800Z-161120T1000Z/
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
LEELANAU-BENZIE-MANISTEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHPORT...FRANKFORT...MANISTEE
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY.  

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 11 AM TODAY AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1PM AND
  MIDNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.
  PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN AS RAIN OR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW INTO
  THIS AFTERNOON NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN WITH MUCH LESS ACCUMULATION.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES...AWAY FROM
  LAKE MICHIGAN...IN FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN
  EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
  POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

&&

$$

MIZ016-017-192200-
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM AND THEN TAPER OFF AROUND 5
  AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11 PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN
  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ015-192200-
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ST. IGNACE
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY AND THEN TAPER OFF AROUND
  5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 2 PM AND
  MIDNIGHT. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN
  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ021-026-027-192200-
/O.COR.KAPX.WS.W.0012.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
ANTRIM-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MANCELONA...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM SATURDAY AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 9PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO
  FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45
  MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN
  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND VERY STRONG
WINDS ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-192200-
/O.COR.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.161119T1500Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
450 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN TAPER OFF
  AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO FALLING AND
  BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME
  AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO A COMBINATION OF FALLING AND
BLOWING SNOW. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN
AREAS.

&&

$$
069 
WWUS43 KAPX 191608
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1108 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016


MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>033-200400-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1108 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE
  DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
  TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SNOW BELT AREAS.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN
  SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-200400-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1108 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
  THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HEAVIEST
  SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND WEST OF I-75.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1 PM AND 10 PM
  THIS EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...GREATEST
  WEST OF I-75.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT
WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-200400-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
1108 AM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN
  TAPER OFF AROUND 5 AM SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 3 PM AND 11PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO FALLING AND
  BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH THIS
  AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME
  AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
699 
WWUS43 KAPX 192059
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
359 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016


MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>033-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
359 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE
  DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY SUNDAY
  MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SNOW BELT AREAS OF
  NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE TONIGHT. POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
359 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING
  BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS
  WILL BE FOUND WEST OF I-75.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 10 PM THIS
  EVENING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...GREATEST
  WEST OF I-75.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT.
  POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. 
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-200500-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
359 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT...TAPERING OFF
  EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR THROUGH 11PM.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

* LOOK FOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO FALLING AND
  BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH TONIGHT.
  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
529 
WWUS43 KAPX 200411
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1111 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

MIZ016-017-019>022-025>028-031>033-201000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-OTSEGO-BENZIE-
GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...
NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...
KALKASKA...GRAYLING...MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
1111 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY
  SUNDAY MORNING WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SNOW BELT
  AREAS OF NORTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH WILL BE
  POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. POWER OUTAGES REMAIN LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ008-015-201000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE
1111 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

* PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
  HEAVIEST SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND WEST OF I-75.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED... 
  GREATEST WEST OF I-75. 

* LOOK FOR SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES IN FALLING
  AND BLOWING SNOW. WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.
  POWER OUTAGES REMAIN LIKELY IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. FOR THE
LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-201000-
/O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
1111 PM EST SAT NOV 19 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST
SUNDAY...

* HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE AREA OVERNIGHT...TAPERING
  OFF EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH 
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY AT TIMES DUE TO FALLING AND
  BLOWING SNOW. ANTICIPATE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH
  OVERNIGHT. POWER OUTAGES REMAIN POSSIBLE IN SOME AREAS.

* PLAN ON DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. FOR THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS...GO TO THE MDOT WEBSITE
AT MICHIGAN.GOV.

$$
632 
WWUS43 KAPX 200948
WSWAPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
448 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2016

MIZ008-015>017-019>022-025>028-031>033-201100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WS.W.0012.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
CHIPPEWA-MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-
MISSAUKEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SAULT STE. MARIE...ST. IGNACE...
PETOSKEY...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...NORTHPORT...MANCELONA...
GAYLORD...FRANKFORT...TRAVERSE CITY...KALKASKA...GRAYLING...
MANISTEE...CADILLAC...LAKE CITY
448 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
STORM WARNING. 

LAKE EFFECT SNOWS WILL PERSIST AT TIMES THROUGH TONIGHT...AND
WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY. HOWEVER...ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

$$

MIZ018-023-024-029-034-201100-
/O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0023.000000T0000Z-161120T1000Z/
PRESQUE ISLE-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-OSCODA-ROSCOMMON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROGERS CITY...ATLANTA...ALPENA...MIO...
HOUGHTON LAKE
448 AM EST SUN NOV 20 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

LIGHT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS AND GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO
TONIGHT. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Nov 18, 1:12 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 1:12 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
112 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

.UPDATE...
Issued at 100 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

As mentioned earlier, the record temperatures at some sites were
going to fall. TVC was the one that was expected, and it hasn't
disappointed us. 71F (old record 69F set in 1958) and it is the
latest in the year that it has gotten this warm in TVC, since
1896. Wth strong warm advection is expected to continue through
about 21z then expect that the temperatures will slowly start
falling. Temperatures are expected to continue falling through
Sunday morning.

The strong inversion is still limiting mixing somewhat so until
the front moves into the region around 21z the real gusty winds
will be on hold.

UPDATE Issued at 1058 AM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

Continued strong warm advection today as the storm system wraps up
to the west of the area in the Upper Mississippi Valley. Weak line
of showers briefly moved into E Upper this morning, but had little
to anything falling out of it as returns on the radar were very
weak, and nothing was reported out of them. this warm advection is
expected through the afternoon, probably pushing temperatures into
record territories this afternoon at several sites. An interesting
tidbit is that when TVC set its record high on this date (back in
1958), it preceded the storm that sank the freighter the Carl D.
Bradley. This is a somewhat similar setup.

&&

.NEAR TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 420 AM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

High impact weather potential: Strong winds developing tonight.

Pattern synopsis and forecast:

Early this morning, periods of mid and upper level clouds were
floating across the region, within established SW flow aloft ahead
of a slightly negatively tilted shortwave and associated sfc low
pressure in the central plains. A warm front was stretched across SW
lower Michigan and was progressing northward, with a nice core of
stronger H8 winds punching into lower Michigan. This was keeping
the boundary layer mixed in some spots, and temperatures there were
in the lower 60s. Elsewhere, temperatures were mainly in the upper
40s to middle 50s. No precipitation was anywhere with the warm
front, as the 00z APX soundings shows deep dry air across the
region, especially lower Michigan. The better precipitation was
upstream in Nebraska with the sfc low, and also within the better
forcing from WAA/double jet upper divergence from SD to the
arrowhead of MN. Colder air on the nrn periphery of the sfc low was
sinking south, and rain was changing over to snow on the nrn edge of
the precipitation shield.

The sfc low will be the main weather story through this weekend, and
the first effects of this system will be felt tonight. The system
deepens through tonight as it moves up into the upper Great Lakes by
daybreak Saturday. The system actually stalls out and tries to sneak
more eastward with time, likely due to the warm Great Lakes/lake
aggregate effect. The strongest aforementioned WAA/upper divergence
will definitely slide off to our NW through tonight, but the initial
cold front will cross the region this evening. What we can expect
will be for a pretty quiet but very warm day with continued periodic
mid and higher level clouds streaming by, and the warm front lifting
up into the straits. An easterly flow across eastern upper will not
allow for the real warm air to materialize, but across nrn lower, we
will have another situation where a shallow strong inversion will be
in place. High temperatures have been much warmer in these
situations over the last couple of weeks due to more mixing than
planned. Can easily foresee mid to upper 60s across nrn lower, with
lower 70s in downsloping regions of far nrn lower. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 60s in eastern upper.

The initial cold front from this system will cross this evening,
around 9pm at Manistee to around 1am near Drumond Island and Alpena.
While we will mix into some stronger winds aloft during the day for
gusts 20-25 mph, the front is likely to mix down a little bit more
wind tonight for gusts 35 to 40 mph while also bringing across some
scattered showers. Strong cold advection behind the front will keep
20-25 mph going, but winds do weaken toward daybreak as a sfc trough
and slacker gradient arrive. This is also when deeper moisture
within the deformation zone on the back side of the storm system
arrives while H8 temps get cold enough for lake effect rain showers.
No snow just yet as the sfc based warm layer is still too deep.
Maybe some flakes entering the higher terrain around Cadillac by
daybreak, but the better changeover/mix to snow occurs Saturday (see
below). Temperatures in the mid and upper 30s by sunup.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Saturday through Sunday night)
Issued at 420 AM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

...Accumulating snow likely Saturday into Saturday night...

After our last unseasonably warm day today a progressive and much
more active and cooler pattern still looks like it will set up for
the the extended period. Rain showers are expected to change over to
snow showers from west to east Saturday with the potential for
blowing and drifting snow resulting in hazardous conditions. After a
couple of quiet weather days early next week, another storm system
is likely to affect the area toward the middle of next week which
may interfere with holiday travel. The main forecast challenges
include the timing of the change over from rain to snow Saturday and
the resultant snow accumulations.

Saturday and Saturday night...Low pressure continues to slide across
the region with strong cold air advection. Model soundings/cross
sections indicate that there will be a fairly quick change over to
snow from west to east Saturday morning and early afternoon. The
snow in combination with northwest flow lake enhancement and strong
gusty winds will result in potentially hazardous travel conditions.
Could see the need for winter weather advisories across eastern
upper and northwest lower. Exact snow accumulations continue to be a
tough call but am still thinking that there may be between a few and
as much as several inches along and west of Interstate 75 with an
inch or two possible east. Expect temperatures to fall through the
30s during the day.
Lows in the middle to upper 20s.

Sunday and Sunday night...Plenty cold enough for northwest to north
northwest lake effect snow showers. Accumulations (if any) should be
on the light side due to the lack of low level moisture. Highs in
the upper 20s and lower 30s. Lows in the upper teens and 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 420 AM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

High pressure regains control for Monday and Tuesday bringing
seasonably cool condtions. Low pressure then tracks across the
southern Plains northeast toward the southern Great Lakes for
midweek. Models are on the fence on the exact track (how far
north) and the amount of cold air available so will have a snow or
rain likely scenario. Highs in the middle to upper 30s Monday, the
middle 30s to lower 40s Tuesday then the upper 30s to lower 40s
Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 100 PM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

Have had to extend the Low level wind shear out a few more hours
as the strong inversion has capped the mixing so far. Will expect
that better mixing with the heating this afternoon and the cold
front moving into NW Lower by 21z will begin to let loose the
gusts and provide a steadier transition for the winds from the sfc
to 3000 feet.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 420 AM EST Fri Nov 18 2016

Low pressure deepens significantly as it tracks from the central
plains through the nrn Great Lakes this weekend. Southerly winds
have already increased across Lakes Michigan and Huron, with
advisory level gusts in stable overlake conditions. These winds may
slacken off through the day, but will ramp up even more tonight as a
cold front cross this evening and just past midnight. This cold
front will likely be able to mix down 35 to 45kt winds just above
the water sfc. Then, strong cold air advection will result in gale
gusts all nearshores into Sunday morning, through Sunday night in
portions of Lake Huron (maybe even Monday). Could see some storm
force gusts in portions of Lake Michigan and along the NE lower
coast through Presque isle Light Saturday afternoon/night.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...GALE WARNING until 7 AM EST Sunday for LHZ345-346.
     GALE WARNING from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday for
     LHZ349.
     GALE WARNING from 7 PM this evening to 5 AM EST Monday for
     LHZ347-348.
LM...GALE WARNING until 7 AM EST Sunday for LMZ323-341-342-344>346.
LS...GALE WARNING until 7 AM EST Sunday for LSZ322.
     GALE WARNING from 7 PM this evening to 7 PM EST Sunday for
     LSZ321.
&&

UPDATE...JSL
NEAR TERM...SMD
SHORT TERM...AJS
LONG TERM...AJS
AVIATION...JSL
MARINE...SMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 18, 4:20 AM EST, 10 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
420 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-190930-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
420 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND RESULT IN WIND
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH. THE STRONGEST WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.

GALE FORCE GUSTS WILL DEVELOP ON THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT AS
A SECONDARY SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR ARRIVES. WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO
50 MPH ARE EXPECTED...HIGHEST SPEEDS ALONG THE LAKESHORES. THIS
COLDER AIR WILL ALSO RESULT IN RAIN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW FROM
WEST TO EAST SATURDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THE
FAVORED LAKE EFFECT AREAS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THE COMBINATION OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW...FALLING TEMPERATURES...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS
MAY CREATE SLICK ROADS AND HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS IN MANY
AREAS.

GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ON THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCALIZED STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON LAKE MICHIGAN AND LAKE HURON.

ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WORK WEEK. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION TYPE IS UNCERTAIN AT THIS
TIME...HOLIDAY TRAVEL COULD BE IMPACTED BY POTENTIAL SNOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 3:19 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAPXBenzie, Crawford, Leelanau, Manistee, Missaukee, Otsego and 1 more13 hr
Nov 18, 3:23 PM ESTWind AdvisoryAPXAlcona, Alpena, Arenac, Cheboygan, Emmet, Gladwin and 6 more32 hr
Nov 18, 3:52 PM ESTGale WarningAPX37 hr
Nov 18, 3:52 PM ESTStorm WarningAPX30 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Michigan, 2016Every winter storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.