Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Gaylord, MI

July 14, 20167 counties in Michigan

NWS Gaylord, MI issued this special weather statement at Jul 14, 2016, 1:55 AM EDT for 7 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 14, 2016, 1:55 AM EDT (05:55 UTC)
Expired: Jul 14, 2016, 3:00 AM EDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Gaylord, MI

Counties Antrim County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Grand Traverse County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Wexford County, MI

The radar

The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 00:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 206 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1344 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -54 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1515 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.4
Supercell composite: 8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 14, 1:11 AM EDT, 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 1:11 AM EDT, 44 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 3:43 PM EDT, 10 hours 12 minutes before

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 1:55 AM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
155 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

MIZ021>023-026>028-031>034-140700-
MANISTEE-CRAWFORD-WEXFORD-ANTRIM-ROSCOMMON-OTSEGO-GRAND
TRAVERSE-MONTMORENCY-MISSAUKEE-KALKASKA-
155 AM EDT THU JUL 14 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CRAWFORD...WESTERN
ROSCOMMON...WEXFORD...KALKASKA...NORTHWESTERN MONTMORENCY...OTSEGO...
ANTRIM...MISSAUKEE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND EASTERN MANISTEE COUNTIES...

AT 154 AM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ELK RAPIDS TO 6 MILES EAST OF FOUNTAIN.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TRAVERSE CITY...CADILLAC...HOUGHTON LAKE...GAYLORD...KALKASKA...
GRAYLING...ELK RAPIDS...MANCELONA...BELLAIRE...LAKE CITY...ANTRIM...
SHARON...ELMIRA...KINGSLEY...FREDERIC...MANTON...SHERMAN...
CENTRAL LAKE...BUCKLEY AND BOON.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 4452 8586 4451 8582 4456 8582 4505 8540
      4516 8427 4416 8484 4417 8614
TIME...MOT...LOC 0554Z 254DEG 39KT 4488 8542 4407 8606

MLR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 14, 3:39 AM EDT	Small Craft Advisory	APX		16 hr

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.