Small Craft Advisory 109, NWS Gaylord, MI

088 
WHUS73 KAPX 170312
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1012 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.161117T0700Z-161118T0000Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1012 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>349-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.161117T0700Z-161118T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
1012 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-322-171115-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.161117T0700Z-161118T0000Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1012 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

133 
WHUS73 KAPX 170845
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
345 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-171645-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
345 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-171645-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
345 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-LSZ321-322-171645-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
345 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

961 
WHUS73 KAPX 171449
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
949 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

LMZ323-341-342-344>346-172300-
/O.EXA.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
949 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING. A GALE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
949 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-LSZ321-322-172300-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
949 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

580 
WHUS73 KAPX 171523
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1023 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

LMZ344>346-172330-
/O.EXT.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
1023 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY.
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-172330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
1023 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-172330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
1023 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-LSZ321-322-172330-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
1023 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

722 
WHUS73 KAPX 172055
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

LMZ344>346-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.SC.Y.0110.161118T0000Z-161118T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM
EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
FRIDAY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY
TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345>347-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ321-322-180500-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161118T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ348-349-180500-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
355 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

424 
WHUS73 KAPX 180251
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

LMZ344>346-181100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0110.000000T0000Z-161118T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST FRIDAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST
FRIDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-181100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-349-181100-
/O.CON.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SATURDAY.
A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LHZ345>347-181100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$

LSZ321-322-181100-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
951 PM EST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS. 

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

352 
WHUS73 KAPX 180924
MWWAPX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

LMZ344>346-181730-
/O.CAN.KAPX.SC.Y.0110.000000T0000Z-161118T1800Z/
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ349-181730-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161119T0000Z-161121T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ348-181730-
/O.UPG.KAPX.SC.Y.0109.000000T0000Z-161119T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161119T0000Z-161121T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
MONDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LSZ321-181730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161119T0000Z-161121T0000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ347-181730-
/O.EXB.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161119T0000Z-161121T1000Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 AM EST
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LHZ345-346-LSZ322-181730-
/O.EXA.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KAPX.GL.A.0011.161119T1200Z-161120T1200Z/
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$

LMZ323-341-342-181730-
/O.CON.KAPX.GL.W.0028.161118T1800Z-161120T1200Z/
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-
424 AM EST FRI NOV 18 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM
EST SUNDAY. 

* PLEASE SEE THE LATEST MARINE FORECASTS FOR MORE DETAILED 
  INFORMATION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS 

OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET
OF GALE CONDITIONS.

$$


WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
319 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

.NEAR TERM...(Tonight)
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

...Fog in the Morning? Warm Thursday...

High Impact Weather Potential...Areas of fog possible along the M-55
corridor Thursday morning, otherwise minimal impacts

Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...500 mb ridging is in place over the
Upper Midwest with the axis running roughly from northern Lake
Superior, south to the Red River Valley in Texas. The sfc ridge is
east of there running from eastern Lake Superior south to the Mid-
Ohio Valley, and into southern Louisiana. West of the Ridge is our
next major system, a trough of low pressure that runs from about
Winnipeg, Canada, to Central Nebraska, to near KDEN, where the sfc
low that is expected to move into the Upper Great Lakes is still
developing.

Primary Forecast Concerns...Warm advection will begin overnight,
once the core of the sfc high is east of the region, and the
return flow begins. This is expected to push the max Temperatures
to the mid 50s to lower 60s across the forecast area. Complicating
the matters is the rather strong inversion, centered on 850 mb and
will limit the mixing of the warmer air. It is possible that the
temperatures could go higher, but expecting the inversion to
impede the mixing. This is one of the reasons that there is low
level wind shear in the TAFs(See aviation section below for more
details).

The other concern is the fog potential. While the fog just south of
M-55 has mixed out for the timing being, it hasn't gone anywhere
with the sfc Dewpoints in the lower 40s. The concern is with low
temperatures around the crossover temperatures (using the UPS fog
idea) At least patchy to areas of fog are possible, especially along
and south of M-72. Winds overnight, while light are expected to out
of the south, which may add to the moisture and the fog potential
for the early morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Thursday)
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

...Major late-autumn storm to bring wind and some snow this
weekend...

High impact weather potential: considerable wind Friday night into
Saturday. Snow mixing in Saturday.

Thu night/Friday...balmy and breezy. Low pressure will consolidate
as it moves ne-ward toward western upper MI and southern Superior by
late Friday. The low will start to slowly fill Friday afternoon, as
the parent 500mb closed circulation starts to open up. A stationary
front extending ene from the surface low will remain draped near
eastern upper MI, before finally pushing north late Friday. The cold
front o' doom looks to make inroads into nw lower MI very late
Friday. The general trend of the 12z models was to slightly speed up
the low and cold front, with the ECMWF now on the slow side of the
model suite.

The pressure gradient Thu night remains a little baggy, especially
in northern sections (near the stationary front). However, this area
will also see some high clouds in the vicinity of and north of said
front. There is abundant dry air between 5k and 15k ft over eastern
MI, and any precip threat should remain to the nw (albeit perhaps
not too far nw of Whitefish Pt). Suppose there could be some sneaky
fog issues, but between clouds and synoptic winds, that threat
looks marginal and will leave out for now.

Friday will see sunshine filtered thru cirrus, with more sun in the
morning than afternoon. Surface high pressure in the se states is
extending ridging along the gulf coast. This will greatly hinder
northward moisture transport, and any sort of warm conveyor belt
developing. In fact, numerical guidance from both the Nam and Gfs
show falling surface dew points as the day proceeds, despite
increasing southerly winds. Though the cold front will be arriving
in nw lower MI late, am not at all sure we can generate any precip
along it. Forcing is respectable, but moisture is paltry and
instability is nil (thanks to warm aloft, in particular 7-8c
readings at 800-775mb). Small chance pops will work in western/
central sections very late Friday, but will not go more than that,
and will not add thunder.

Min temps mid 40s to lower 50s. Max temps upper 50s to mid 60s.
These values are a few degrees shy of record highs for Nov 18.
Southerly winds will gust up to 20-30mph Friday.

Friday record highs...
 ANJ 62 1953
 PLN 67 1953, 1958
 GLR 68 1953
 APN 69 1953
 TVC 69 1958
 HTL 66 1953

Fri night/Saturday...cold front will continue to cross northern MI
Fri night, mainly early. Only chancy pops warranted along the front,
per reasons discussed above. Much better chances for precip will be
overnight into Saturday, as wraparound moisture pushes into northern
MI and interacts with rapidly increasing instability over the Great
Lakes. The pop increase will be focused late Fri night in eastern
upper and nw lower MI, expanding across northern MI Saturday.

Cold advection will lower 850mb temps below 0c Fri night, and to -10
to -12c by late Sat. This is quiet a bit faster than earlier
progged, and will support a faster changeover to snow. Per Nam/GFS
Bufr data, high-elevation locales of northern lower MI could see
snow mix in by daybreak Saturday. Will thus be more aggressive in
mixing in/turning precip to snow Saturday. Surface temps will be
fighting to stay above freezing into early afternoon, aided by warm
ground temps, warm lakes, and diurnal heating. But many locales will
drop near or below by mid and especially late afternoon, as we
approach sunset. Per the above, will have only light snow accums for
the day, highest near and just w of GLR.

Will be plenty windy thru these periods. Strongest winds will occur
in two sections. One is just behind the initial cold front, centered
on late Friday evening. Can't portray this with too much detail in
the gridded forecasts just yet, as frontal timing is not yet nailed
down, and this window only lasts for a few hours. The other is
generally thru the day Saturday, when the pressure gradient is
tightest, and low level lapse rates steepen via diurnal and lake-
induced heating, promoting gustiness. Advisory-level gusts appear
likely for most coastal counties.

Min temps mid 30s to lower 40s, with temps steady to falling from
there on Saturday.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

High Impact Weather Potential: Wind and widespread snow accumulation
Saturday night into early Sunday.

Negatively tiled short wave trough axis will be cutting across the
Great Lakes this weekend...gradually closing off an upper low over
the Lower Lakes/mid Atlantic region Sunday.  This keeps upper level
cyclonic flow in place across Michigan through at least Monday
before short wave ridging builds in Tuesday.  This looks to be
followed quickly by another short wave trough moving through the
midwest and toward the region for midweek.

Precipitation from Saturday's passing storm system should be ongoing
Saturday night...some combination of synoptic and lake-induced
convection that will likely be turning to all snow at some
point...and accumulations likely if current trends hold.  Strong
northwest winds also a good possibility...and into at least the
first part of Sunday.  In addition...some lake induced snow showers
likely to persist as well in northwest-north/northwest flow snow
belts...uncertain at this point whether some lingering deeper
moisture wrapping around the departing cyclone will add to this.
Lake convection will probably start to wane Sunday night/Monday (or
at least not have a huge impact).  Short wave ridging should keep
things more or less quiet for Tuesday...with the possibility for
precipitation increasing Wednesday (snow to rain with warm
advection??)

One thing is certain is that our stretch of unseasonably mild late
fall weather will come to a screeching halt this weekend...with
highs mainly in the 30s Sunday and Monday.&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 126 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

Skies have cleared out, at least below 4000 or 5000 feet over the
forecast area with mid level (12,000-15,000 feet) clouds moving
into the forecast area. This will continue into the evening until
the clear skies to the west move into the region. At this point,
it looks like we should remain fog free over the TAF sites, but it
can't be discounted either as the winds by 12z begins to be light,
but out of the south, which may add enough moisture to saturate
overnight. One other concern is that with the warm advection in
during the day, that the inversion becomes quite strong, and with
the pressure gradient tightening, low level wind shear is expected
with the lack of mixing in the lowest 1000 feet or so.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 316 PM EST Wed Nov 16 2016

Tonight through Friday...Tonight, expect the winds continue light
and out of the north for the evening. Then as the core of the sfc
ridge moves through the region, winds will begin to be from the
south, mainly over Lake Michigan and Lake Superior before 06z. After
06z the winds should be south and increasing on Lake Huron as well.
Expect that small craft gusts will be prevalent overnight. Winds
will remain small craft through the day on Thursday, but winds
overall will begin to diminish by the afternoon. Thursday night, we
will still have some south wind issues, especially on Lake Michigan
as the small craft gusts begin to creep back up the lake. Friday,
the winds will begin to veer from south to southwest, and increase a
bit. It is possible that the there could be gales, but mixing over
Lake Michigan, could be limited with a strong inversion over the
region.

&&

.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for
     LHZ345>349.

LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for LMZ323-
     341-342-344>346.

LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY from 2 AM to 7 PM EST Thursday for LSZ321-
     322.

&&

NEAR TERM...JSL
SHORT TERM...JZ
LONG TERM...JPB
AVIATION...JSL
MARINE...JSL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
327 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041-
042-171215-
STRAITS OF MACKINAC WITHIN 5 NM OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING
MACKINAC ISLAND-ST IGNACE TO FALSE DETOUR CHANNEL-
5NM EAST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE TO PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT MI INCLUDING
BOIS BLANC ISLAND-
PRESQUE ISLE LIGHT TO STURGEON PT MI INCLUDING THUNDER BAY
NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-STURGEON PT TO ALABASTER MI-
GRAND TRAVERSE BAY SOUTH OF A LINE GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT TO
NORWOOD MI-SEUL CHOIX POINT TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE-
NORWOOD MI TO 5NM WEST OF MACKINAC BRIDGE INCLUDING LITTLE
TRAVERSE BAY-SLEEPING BEAR POINT TO GRAND TRAVERSE LIGHT MI-
POINT BETSIE TO SLEEPING BEAR POINT MI-
MANISTEE TO POINT BETSIE MI-
WHITEFISH BAY (U.S. PORTION)/WHITEFISH POINT TO POINT IROQUOIS MI-
ST. MARYS RIVER POINT IROQUOIS TO E. POTAGANNISSING BAY-CHIPPEWA-
MACKINAC-EMMET-CHEBOYGAN-PRESQUE ISLE-CHARLEVOIX-LEELANAU-ANTRIM-
OTSEGO-MONTMORENCY-ALPENA-BENZIE-GRAND TRAVERSE-KALKASKA-CRAWFORD-
OSCODA-ALCONA-MANISTEE-WEXFORD-MISSAUKEE-ROSCOMMON-OGEMAW-IOSCO-
GLADWIN-ARENAC-
327 PM EST WED NOV 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN...AND ADJACENT NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN...LAKE HURON AND LAKE SUPERIOR.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SOME FOG WILL DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND SOUTH OF
M-55.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT...AND PERSIST INTO
SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG THE
LAKESHORES.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ENTER THE REGION...ALLOWING RAIN TO CHANGE
TO SNOW BY SATURDAY EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED INTO SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE SNOWBELTS OF NORTHWEST LOWER
AND EASTERN UPPER MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/GAYLORD.

JZ