Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 143, NWS Amarillo, TX

May 24, 20164 counties in Texas

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 24, 2016, 4:30 PM CDT for 4 counties in Texas. It was in force for 90 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2016, 4:30 PM CDT (21:30 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2016, 6:00 PM CDT
In force
90 min
Issued by
NWS Amarillo, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Hail
1.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Hansford County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Roberts County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
May 24, 4:40 PM CDTHAIL 1.751 Wnw Stinnett, TXHAIL MOSTLY PEA TO NICKEL WITH A FEW GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL MIXED IN.
May 24, 4:45 PM CDTHAIL 1.754 N Stinnett, TXHALF INCH TO GOLFBALL HAIL ON HWY 207. TIME ESTIMATED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 10 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
May 24, 3:22 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC9 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1251 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-05-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 109 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1251 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-225 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1397 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
148 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

997 
WUUS54 KAMA 242130
SVRAMA
TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.NEW.KAMA.SV.W.0143.160524T2130Z-160524T2300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
430 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN HANSFORD COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...
  CENTRAL HUTCHINSON COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 429 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER STINNETT...OR
  10 MILES NORTHWEST OF BORGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES IS POSSIBLE. 
           PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SPEARMAN...STINNETT...MORSE AND PRINGLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

LAT...LON 3569 10145 3579 10161 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 220DEG 15KT 3580 10147 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LG
5 follow-up statements
210 
WWUS54 KAMA 242142
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
442 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-160524T2300Z/
ROBERTS TX-OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
442 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS...SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE...SOUTHEASTERN
HANSFORD AND CENTRAL HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 441 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER STINNETT...OR 12
MILES NORTH OF BORGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT SOME TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL 
         BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...
         AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN...STINNETT...MORSE AND PRINGLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

LAT...LON 3569 10145 3579 10161 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 220DEG 15KT 3584 10143 

HAIL...2.50IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

LG
295 
WWUS54 KAMA 242150
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
450 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-160524T2300Z/
ROBERTS TX-OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
450 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS...SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE...SOUTHEASTERN
HANSFORD AND NORTHERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 450 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF
STINNETT...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF BORGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES IS POSSIBLE. 
         PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN...MORSE AND PRINGLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3577 10128 3586 10155 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 216DEG 15KT 3588 10141 

HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LG
338 
WWUS54 KAMA 242200
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
500 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-160524T2300Z/
ROBERTS TX-OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
500 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS...SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE...SOUTHEASTERN
HANSFORD AND NORTHERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 500 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF
PRINGLE...OR 19 MILES NORTH OF BORGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES IS POSSIBLE. HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN...MORSE AND PRINGLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3577 10128 3590 10153 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 216DEG 20KT 3594 10137 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LG
928 
WWUS54 KAMA 242221
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
521 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-160524T2300Z/
ROBERTS TX-OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
521 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS...SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE...SOUTHEASTERN
HANSFORD AND NORTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 521 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES EAST OF
PRINGLE...OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SPEARMAN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES IS POSSIBLE. 
         PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN...MORSE AND PRINGLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

LAT...LON 3582 10117 3593 10150 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 214DEG 17KT 3598 10134 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LG
384 
WWUS54 KAMA 242240
SVSAMA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
540 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXC195-233-357-393-242300-
/O.CON.KAMA.SV.W.0143.000000T0000Z-160524T2300Z/
ROBERTS TX-OCHILTREE TX-HANSFORD TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
540 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS...SOUTHWESTERN OCHILTREE...SOUTHEASTERN
HANSFORD AND NORTHEASTERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES...

AT 539 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF
PRINGLE...OR 19 MILES SOUTH OF SPEARMAN...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...MINOR DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES IS POSSIBLE. 
         PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE
OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3582 10117 3598 10148 3616 10146 3626 10104
      3595 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 256DEG 10KT 3593 10129 

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

LG

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 24, 4:18 PM CDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 24, 4:18 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
418 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.Mesoscale Update...
19z KAMA sounding shows similar low level moisture depth as the 12z
sounding and mixing now up to just above the top of this layer and
we initially started to mix out. Hot/dry air to the west of the
dryline and attendant surface pressure falls have caused winds ahead
of the dryline to turn more southeasterly and confluence along the
dryline to increase. Sharpening dryline is setting up from just east
of Liberal to near Borger to near Amarillo. Deepening cumulus field
has formed along and behind the dryline with glaciation noted in
satellite and weak echos have recently shown up on radar from near
Fritch to just west of Tulia.

There has been little change in earlier thinking other than minor
adjustments to the position of the dryline. Also, we have a better
handle on residual boundaries across the area. The most prominent is
an outflow from overnight convection which now extends from near
Dodge City southeastward across northeast Beaver County to near
Gage. East of this (including a small portion of Beaver County) low
level shear is enhanced with slightly backed winds. This boundary is
nearly stationary. Other mesoscale features include bands of
northwest to southeast oriented enhanced cu, probably associated
with areas of enhanced low level moisture. One is oriented
downstream of developing convection near Borger. We will need to
monitor this closely for possible enhancement of low level shear in
case these enhanced cu fields are more baroclinic than they
currently appear.

Another concern is retreat of the dryline later this evening and the
potential to involve a larger portion of the central Panhandle.
Similar to last night, cool outflow from convection if it becomes
extensive enough, will augment/accelerate the retreating dryline and
may be enough for at least marginal severe threat further west
including the city of Amarillo.

BRB

&&

.Prev Discussion... /Issued 110 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016/

Aviation...
Skies should remain VFR through this forecast. Thunderstorms will be
possible near the AMA TAF site this afternoon, but at this point it
looks like they will be just east of AMA. Gusty southerly winds will
decrease tonight after sunset. Winds will then veer some toward
sunrise.

Prev Discussion... /Issued 1254 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016/

Mesoscale Update...
.Severe weather expected today across the eastern Panhandles...

* Synoptic Overview: Water Vapor loop shows a complex pattern in the
  western United States, with a broad trough and embedded shortwaves.
  One fairly potent shortwave trough is now located in southern
  Nevada and is slowly moving east. Mid-level momentum will
  overspread much of New Mexico through the day and spread into the
  Texas Panhandle by early evening. Subtle mid-level height falls are
  expected to begin across the region by afternoon and provide more
  large scale ascent, albeit still quite weak, than was seen
  yesterday.

* Mesoscale: 15z hand surface analysis shows that low level flow has
  veered across much of the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles with the
  exception being in the Southeast Texas Panhandle. A moisture
  discontinuity is present along this confluence zone which extends
  from near Lipscomb to Borger to Palo Duro Canyon. This is the
  beginning of what is expected to be a sharpening dryline later this
  afternoon. Latest surface observation at Amarillo ASOS has a
  temperature of 81 and a dew point of 61. Modifying the 12z sounding
  for this T/Td show that mixing is nearly extending into dry layer
  above a shallow moist layer. The dew point at Amarillo should begin
  to fall quickly within the next hour or two and the dryline will
  become much sharper in the vicinity of Amarillo. Temperatures west
  of the dryline are expected to warm considerably with mid 80s
  already observed in the western Panhandle. Typical diurnal density
  cycle related to this warming and falling surface pressures should
  result in a fairly significant isollabaric response and backing of
  low level flow east of the dryline by mid afternoon and continuing
  into early evening. This will 1.) ensure low-level moisture
  continues to be advected westward, 2.) result in increased low-
  level moisture convergence along the dryline to aid in convective
  initiation, and 3.) increase low level shear and enhance the
  tornado potential. The finer scale details of this process are not
  completely clear at this point and additional updates will be
  needed based on observational trends. One of the more challenging
  aspects of this forecast will be depth of moisture and how that may
  change throughout the day. Most of the short term model guidance
  suggests a fairly pronounced northward surge of higher 850 mb
  theta-e values across the eastern Texas Panhandle. The nose of this
  low-level theta-e axis may reach far southwest Kansas by early
  evening when the most likely time for tornadoes may occur as
  boundary layer starts to stabilize and low level jet increases
  causing an increase in 0-1 km shear. Another mesoscale aspect worth
  noting that may become particuarly important later today is an
  outflow boundary from overnight convection in Kansas that is now
  moving slowly south across Beaver County extending east-southeast
  to just north of Gage and further into Oklahoma. Stratus is more
  extensive north of this boundary with easterly surface winds
  enhancing low level shear.

* Threats: All modes of severe weather are expected, including large
  hail, damaging winds and tornadoes. At first glance at the short
  term guidance the most likely area for tornadoes to occur will be
  across the far northeast Texas Panhandle, Beaver County in the
  Oklahoma Panhandle, and extending north and east from there outside
  of our forecast area. This is due to proximity/timing of the nose
  of the low-level theta-e ridge, potential enhanced low level shear
  along and north of advancing outflow boundary, and tendency for
  stronger low level jet by evening as boundary layer begins to
  stabilize. We will refine the specific area of this threat later
  today. The primary threat will be large hail and soundings have
  evolved to be more favorable for very large/giant hail compared to
  prevous days. RAP/HRRR soundings across the eastern Panhandles show
  strong instability with MLCAPE in excess of 2,500 J/KG. What is
  particuarly concerning about the hail threat is the amount of CAPE
  in the hail growth zone and the increased flow from the top of the
  HGZ to the anvil layer compared to previous days. 1.5 PVU isotachs
  suggest stronger tropopause level flow with further south extent in
  the Panhandles as upper jet overspreads west/central Texas into
  southwest Oklahoma this evening. In the most persistent sustained
  updrafts in this thermodynamic environment, very large hail bigger
  than baseballs seems quite possible. We are also concerned about
  locally heavy rain for areas that received significant amounts two
  days ago. PWATs are not as high but slow moving supercells may
  produce locally heavy rainfall amounts and could cause flooding.

* Timing & Location: Convective initiation time based on modifying
  the 12z KAMA sounding for expected dew points ahead of the dryline
  and temperatures later this afternoon suggests thunderstorms may
  begin to develop shortly before 3 PM. Organization may be slow
  since deep layer shear is somewhat marginal and there is an
  imbalance between shear and instability with CAPE being so high.
  Storm motions should be northeasterly at around 20-25 knots before
  storms mature/become supercellular, turn right and slow down.
  Mature supercell storm motions and speeds should be east-
  northeasterly or easterly at around 15 knots based on Bunkers right
  moving vectors. Location of this initiation will be dependent on
  location of the dryline. Again, there is uncertainty with this
  given uncertainty with the depth of the moisture. We will sample
  this with a special 19z sounding, but it is entirely possible that
  the dryline does not mix east off the Caprock and remains over/near
  Amarillo, extending northeast to near Spearman. We will provide an
  update after analyzing the 19z sounding.

* Summary: Large hail, damaging winds, and isolated tornadoes could
  occur with any storms that form this afternoon across the eastern
  Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles and persist into the evening. Large
  hail, possibly very large, is the primary threat. The tornado
  threat should be maximized in the northeastern portion of the area
  from around 7 PM and 10 PM. Locally heavy rainfall with slow moving
  storms could cause flooding, particularly in areas that received
  significant rainfall on Sunday. Primary uncertainties are where the
  dryline will sharpen and thus where convective initiation is most
  likely, and where/when the best tornado potential will be. We will
  provide updates throughout the day based on observational trends
  and short term guidance.

BRB

Prev Discussion... /Issued 543 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016/

Aviation...
12Z Issuance...VFR conditions expected for all sites through the
period. Low clouds off the Caprock should thin out this morning and
thunderstorm chances later in the afternoon, after 21Z, shouldn't
affect the taf sites. Gusty southwest winds will be up to 30kts today
and stick around until 02 to 06Z.

Beat

Prev Discussion... /Issued 519 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016/

Discussion...
For today, a fairly broad upper level trof over wrn us witll retain
SW flow in place across the srn high plains. Surface winds will
increase and become SW on the Caprock later this morning, causing the
surface dryline to move east across wrn and most of cntrl zones and
eventually slow down and stall somewhere across ern half of the fcst
area later this afternoon. The combination of sufficient moisture
east of the dryline, strong daytime heating and attendant atmospheric
instability, the dryline itself acting as a sfc boundary to help
initiate sfc based tstms, a high cape environment east of the
dryline, decent shear, all suggest that another round of tstms will
develop later this afternoon and continue through the evening hours
east of where the dryline parks itself. Some storms will become
severe, with large hail the dominant primary severe weather threat,
although damaging winds and isolated tornadoes will also pose a
secondary threat. Have painted slgt chc to chc pops ern third of fcst
area for starters this afternoon and evening and also mentioned
psblty of severe in grids and appropriate zones.

A brief break from tstms seems likely on Wednesday and Wednesday
night as the dryline temporarily moves into Oklahoma. No pops during
this period.

A near repeat performance of this afternoon's and evening's severe
weather potential looks plausible for Thursday afternoon and evening
across the ern third of the fcst area as an upper level low pressure
system tracks across the srn and cntrl high plains durg this time
period. Slgt chc pops for tstms were incorporated into the grids
along with psblty of severe.

As the upper level low pressure system continues moving across to the
north of the OK and TX Panhandles on Friday, continued slgt chc pops
across nrn and ern sections based on projected path of the storm
system itself.

Dry weather is then anticipated area wide Friday night through
Saturday night. However, the wrn states upper level trof reloads for
Sunday into early next week with the major long range numerical
weather models indicating this to occur. Therefore, have slgt chc to
chc pops from Sunday through next Tuesday across the area in accordance
with the expected continuation of some semblance of a wrn states
upper level trof.

Andrade

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Flash Flood Watch until 4 AM CDT Wednesday for the following
     zones: Collingsworth...Donley...Gray...Hemphill...
     Lipscomb...Ochiltree...Roberts...Wheeler.

OK...NONE.

&&

6/15
Hazardous weather outlook, May 24, 4:18 PM CDT, 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
418 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-250930-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
418 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGEST
STORMS...WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLOODING OR FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS AND
OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY...AND AGAIN ON
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. GENERALLY THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
ARE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN PANHANDLES. SOME STORMS THAT
DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS POSSIBLE HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS SHOULD REMAIN
ALERT FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PLEASE DIRECT
REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN AMARILLO. SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ALSO BE REQUIRED ON
THURSDAY...FRIDAY...SUNDAY...AND MONDAY FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER.

NF

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 24, 10:57 AM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1057 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0832 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE MCLEAN             35.22N 100.59W
05/23/2016  E60 MPH          GRAY               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT...THUNDERSTORM GUST FRONT BLEW THRU WITH
            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS...RAIN WAS BLOWING SIDEWAYS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1600493

BIEDA
Local storm report, May 24, 11:15 AM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1115 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     HAIL             4 SW DARROUZETT         36.40N 100.38W
05/23/2016  M1.50 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT OF PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL WITH A
            THUNDERSTORM THAT PASSED OVER AT 0805 PM CDT.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1600494

BIEDA
Local storm report, May 24, 1:49 PM CDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
149 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0359 PM     HAIL             4 E CLARENDON           34.94N 100.82W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

0402 PM     HAIL             1 SE LELIA LAKE         34.90N 100.76W
05/23/2016  M1.25 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

            RECEIVED VIA SPOTTER NETWORK.

0403 PM     HAIL             1 SE LELIA LAKE         34.89N 100.76W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

            RECEIVED VIA SPOTTER NETWORK.

0415 PM     HAIL             2 SE LELIA LAKE         34.88N 100.74W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

0626 PM     HAIL             HOWARDWICK              35.04N 100.91W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL LASTED FROM 624 PM TO 626 PM.

0710 PM     HAIL             LELIA LAKE              34.90N 100.77W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   PUBLIC

            RECEIVED VIA TWITTER.

0712 PM     HAIL             1 E LELIA LAKE          34.90N 100.75W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            MOSTLY NICKEL SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW QUARTERS MIXED IN.

0713 PM     HAIL             6 WNW HEDLEY            34.90N 100.76W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   PUBLIC

            RECEIVED VIA TWITTER.

0734 PM     HAIL             6 E WOLF CREEK PARK     36.21N 100.54W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PENNY AND NICKEL HAIL WITH A FEW GOLF BALLS MIXED IN.

0742 PM     HAIL             1 W ALANREED            35.21N 100.75W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               TX   AMATEUR RADIO

0743 PM     HAIL             6 E WOLF CREEK PARK     36.21N 100.54W
05/23/2016  M1.50 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0744 PM     HAIL             3 SSE LAKE MCCLELLAN    35.18N 100.85W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF 60 MPH.

0748 PM     HAIL             3 E ALANREED            35.22N 100.69W
05/23/2016  E2.00 INCH       GRAY               TX   STORM CHASER

0752 PM     HAIL             4 W ALANREED            35.21N 100.80W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       GRAY               TX   STORM CHASER

            RECEIVED VIA SPOTTER NETWORK.

0755 PM     HAIL             1 SE ALANREED           35.20N 100.72W
05/23/2016  M3.11 INCH       GRAY               TX   STORM CHASER

0802 PM     HAIL             4 SE LAKE MCCLELLAN     35.18N 100.83W
05/23/2016  E2.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

            HAIL ON GROUND AT I-40 REST STOP AT MILE MARKER 129

0803 PM     HAIL             1 S ALANREED            35.20N 100.73W
05/23/2016  M1.75 INCH       GRAY               TX   STORM CHASER

0805 PM     HAIL             4 SW DARROUZETT         36.40N 100.38W
05/23/2016  M1.50 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT OF PING PONG BALL SIZED HAIL WITH A
            THUNDERSTORM THAT PASSED OVER AT 0805 PM CDT.

0810 PM     HAIL             DARROUZETT              36.45N 100.33W
05/23/2016  E2.50 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

0815 PM     HAIL             DARROUZETT              36.45N 100.33W
05/23/2016  E2.00 INCH       LIPSCOMB           TX   PUBLIC

0832 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE MCLEAN             35.22N 100.59W
05/23/2016  E60 MPH          GRAY               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LATE REPORT...THUNDERSTORM GUST FRONT BLEW THRU WITH
            ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS...RAIN WAS BLOWING SIDEWAYS.

0840 PM     HAIL             3 W SLAPOUT             36.62N 100.17W
05/23/2016  M1.00 INCH       BEAVER             OK   PUBLIC

0938 PM     HAIL             1 W BOOKER              36.46N 100.56W
05/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       OCHILTREE          TX   PUBLIC

0946 PM     HAIL             4 SW GREENBELT LAKE     34.97N 100.96W
05/23/2016  E0.75 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

1006 PM     HAIL             3 NW CLARENDON          34.97N 100.93W
05/23/2016  M1.25 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

            DIME TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG 287
            NORTHWEST OF CLARENDON.

1131 PM     HAIL             HOWARDWICK              35.04N 100.91W
05/23/2016  M1.25 INCH       DONLEY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL UP TO HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL IN
            HOWARDWICK

1141 PM     HAIL             1 NE HOWARDWICK         35.05N 100.90W
05/23/2016  E1.75 INCH       DONLEY             TX   STORM CHASER

1142 PM     HAIL             3 N HOWARDWICK          35.07N 100.91W
05/23/2016  M1.00 INCH       DONLEY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

1144 PM     HAIL             N HOWARDWICK            35.04N 100.91W
05/23/2016  E1.50 INCH       DONLEY             TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

1210 AM     HAIL             8 NW LAKE MCCLELLAN     35.30N 100.97W
05/24/2016  M1.00 INCH       GRAY               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 70.

1214 AM     HAIL             7 NW LAKE MCCLELLAN     35.29N 100.96W
05/24/2016  M0.75 INCH       GRAY               TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA TO PENNY SIZE HAIL ON HIGHWAY 70.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1600464 AMA1600465 AMA1600466 AMA1600467 AMA1600468
AMA1600469 AMA1600471 AMA1600470 AMA1600472 AMA1600473 AMA1600476
AMA1600474 AMA1600478 AMA1600475 AMA1600482 AMA1600477 AMA1600480
AMA1600494 AMA1600479 AMA1600481 AMA1600493 AMA1600483 AMA1600485
AMA1600484 AMA1600486 AMA1600487 AMA1600488 AMA1600489 AMA1600490
AMA1600492 AMA1600491

LG
Special weather statement, May 24, 4:11 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
411 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXZ017>019-242215-
ARMSTRONG TX-DONLEY TX-RANDALL TX-
411 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ARMSTRONG...EASTERN RANDALL AND
WEST CENTRAL DONLEY COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 410 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTH OF HAPPY...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF CANYON...MOVING NORTH AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AMARILLO...CANYON...CLAUDE...LAKE TANGLEWOOD...WASHBURN...PALO DURO
CANYON...GOODNIGHT AND TIMBERCREEK CANYON.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3475 10192 3476 10197 3518 10182 3518 10137
      3508 10095 3475 10168
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 196DEG 18KT 3482 10184

LG
Special weather statement, May 24, 4:14 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
414 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXZ003-004-008-242215-
HANSFORD TX-OCHILTREE TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
414 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL OCHILTREE...SOUTHERN
HANSFORD AND NORTHERN HUTCHINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 413 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4
MILES NORTH OF STINNETT...OR 15 MILES NORTH OF BORGER...MOVING NORTH AT
20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPEARMAN...STINNETT...GRUVER...MORSE AND PRINGLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3579 10137 3584 10158 3628 10155 3636 10122
      3619 10098
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 192DEG 15KT 3588 10147

LG
Special weather statement, May 24, 4:27 PM CDT, 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
427 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

TXZ008-009-242215-
ROBERTS TX-HUTCHINSON TX-
427 PM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ROBERTS AND CENTRAL
HUTCHINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 427 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
STINNETT...OR 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF BORGER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BORGER...STINNETT AND PRINGLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3566 10143 3579 10161 3605 10138 3606 10129
      3606 10089
TIME...MOT...LOC 2127Z 220DEG 16KT 3579 10147

LG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 23, 7:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMARoberts30 min
May 23, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Roberts, Wheeler56 min
May 23, 7:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb52 min
May 23, 7:39 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAOchiltree36 min
May 23, 7:45 PM CDTTornado WarningAMADonley, Gray30 min
May 23, 8:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAArmstrong28 min
May 23, 8:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Wheeler24 min
May 23, 8:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong55 min
May 23, 8:50 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMADonley25 min
May 23, 9:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAOchiltree16 min
May 23, 9:16 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMACollingsworth, Donley29 min
May 23, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOchiltree47 min
May 23, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADonley60 min
May 23, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMALipscomb33 min
May 23, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADonley62 min
May 23, 9:56 PM CDTTornado WarningAMADonley21 min
May 23, 10:21 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAMADonley3 hr
May 23, 10:55 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMADonley35 min
May 23, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Donley46 min
May 23, 11:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Carson, Donley, Gray42 min
May 24, 3:11 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchAMACollingsworth, Donley, Gray, Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree and 2 more6 hr
May 24, 4:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAArmstrong, Randall64 min
May 24, 4:14 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAHansford, Hutchinson61 min
May 24, 4:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAHutchinson48 min
May 24, 5:47 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAArmstrong43 min
May 24, 6:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMARoberts67 min
May 24, 6:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford, Hutchinson, Ochiltree, Roberts88 min
May 24, 6:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementAMAArmstrong58 min
May 24, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHansford, Hutchinson, Ochiltree, Roberts63 min
May 24, 6:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Donley65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.