Wind Chill Watch 2, NWS Albany, NY

373 
WWUS41 KALY 142128
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
428 PM EST WED DEC 14 2016


NYZ032-033-151000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
/O.CON.KALY.WC.A.0002.161215T2200Z-161216T1500Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
OLD FORGE...ATWELL...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...LONG LAKE...
SABATTIS...HOFFMEISTER...WELLS
428 PM EST WED DEC 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON 
  THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING. WIND CHILL WATCH FOR LATE 
  THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
  SNOW. POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER 
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY CLOSE TO ROUTE 28.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN LOCALIZED BLIZZARD 
  CONDITIONS.

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO THROUGH THURSDAY...
  THEN FALLING TO 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
  FRIDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 35 BELOW LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO 
  FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES CREATING 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN 
  OCCUR WITHIN 15 MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

NYZ038-151000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
428 PM EST WED DEC 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY 
  EVENING.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT 
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS. GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVIER SNOW BANDS 
  WILL BE LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES CREATING 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ041>043-058-063-082>084-VTZ013>015-151000-
/O.CON.KALY.WC.A.0002.161215T2200Z-161216T1500Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-
NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DALTON...HANCOCK...PITTSFIELD...
FLORIDA...NORTH ADAMS...SANDISFIELD...GREAT BARRINGTON...
SOUTH EGREMONT...SARATOGA LAKE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
BOLTON LANDING...JOHNSBURG...NORTH CREEK...NORTH RIVER...
WARRENSBURG...HAGUE...HULETTS LANDING...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...
HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...WINDHAM...PRATTSVILLE...ELLENVILLE...
WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...WEST SHOKAN...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...
SUNDOWN...CAROGA LAKE...GLENS FALLS...WEST GLENS FALLS...
HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...GREENWICH...
MIDDLE FALLS...NORTH EASTON...STAMFORD...BENNINGTON...
WOODFORD STATE PARK...POWNAL...STRATTON...LONDONDERRY...
BRATTLEBORO...GUILFORD CENTER...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
428 PM EST WED DEC 14 2016

...WIND CHILL WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN VERMONT...THE 
  LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA REGION...EASTERN CATSKILLS OF NEW YORK...
  AND BERKSHIRE COUNTY IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 35 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 
  OF FIVE TO FIFTEEN BELOW ZERO WITH WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 
  10 TO 20 MPH.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY 
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN OCCUR WITHIN 15 
  MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

772 
WWUS41 KALY 150756
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

NYZ041-043-083-084-VTZ015-150900-
/O.CAN.KALY.WC.A.0002.161215T2200Z-161216T1500Z/
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-EASTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SARATOGA LAKE...SARATOGA SPRINGS...
HULETTS LANDING...WHITEHALL...GRANVILLE...GLENS FALLS...
WEST GLENS FALLS...HUDSON FALLS...FORT EDWARD...CAMBRIDGE...
GREENWICH...MIDDLE FALLS...NORTH EASTON...BRATTLEBORO...
GUILFORD CENTER...WEST BRATTLEBORO...BELLOWS FALLS
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

...WIND CHILL WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
CHILL WATCH WHICH WAS IN EFFECT FOR THE LAKE GEORGE SARATOGA
REGION AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST VERMONT.

WHILE WIND CHILL VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOW TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING...THEY ARE EXPECTED TO FALL JUST SHORT OF WIND CHILL
ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

NYZ032-033-152200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WC.A.0002.161215T2200Z-161216T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.W.0002.161216T0000Z-161216T1400Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...MCKEEVER...
OLD FORGE...ATWELL...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...LONG LAKE...
SABATTIS...HOFFMEISTER...WELLS
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.
  WIND CHILL WARNING FOR TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING 
  SNOW. POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 24 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE FROM ROUTE 28
  NORTH AND WEST.

* VISIBILITIES...NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN LOCALIZED BLIZZARD 
  CONDITIONS. 

* TEMPERATURES...SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO TODAY...THEN FALLING TO
  10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 35 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES CREATING 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN 
  OCCUR WITHIN 15 MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ038-152200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0002.161216T0000Z-161216T1400Z/
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
FRIDAY...
...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN HERKIMER COUNTY.

* TIMING...FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY 
  EVENING. 

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW ALONG WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 8 INCHES WITHIN THE MOST PERSISTENT
  LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS. GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVIER SNOW BANDS
  WILL BE TODAY.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN HALF A MILE AT TIMES.

* WIND CHILL VALUES...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW ZERO LATE TONIGHT INTO
  FRIDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITIES CREATING 
  DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN 
  OCCUR WITHIN 15 MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

MAZ001-025-NYZ042-058-063-082-VTZ013-014-152200-
/O.UPG.KALY.WC.A.0002.161215T2200Z-161216T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0002.161216T0000Z-161216T1400Z/
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN WARREN-
WESTERN GREENE-WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-BENNINGTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DALTON...HANCOCK...PITTSFIELD...
FLORIDA...NORTH ADAMS...SANDISFIELD...GREAT BARRINGTON...
SOUTH EGREMONT...BOLTON LANDING...JOHNSBURG...NORTH CREEK...
NORTH RIVER...WARRENSBURG...HAGUE...HUNTER...TANNERSVILLE...
WINDHAM...PRATTSVILLE...ELLENVILLE...WOODSTOCK...WEST HURLEY...
WEST SHOKAN...KERHONKSON...NAPANOCH...SUNDOWN...CAROGA LAKE...
STAMFORD...BENNINGTON...WOODFORD STATE PARK...POWNAL...STRATTON...
LONDONDERRY
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS...SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS
  OF VERMONT...EASTERN CATSKILLS OF NEW YORK...AND BERKSHIRE
  COUNTY IN WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO DUE TO
  TEMPERATURES OF FIVE TO FIFTEEN BELOW ZERO WITH WEST TO
  NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN OCCUR WITHIN 15 
  MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

NYZ039-047-152200-
/O.NEW.KALY.WC.Y.0002.161216T0000Z-161216T1400Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-SCHOHARIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...COBLESKILL...
BREAKABEEN...GILBOA...LIVINGSTONVILLE...MIDDLEBURGH...
NORTH BLENHEIM...JEFFERSON
256 AM EST THU DEC 15 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...THE EASTERN MOHAWK AND SCHOHARIE VALLEYS OF NEW
  YORK.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIAL FOR DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS.

* WIND CHILL READINGS...AS LOW AS 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO DUE TO
  TEMPERATURES OF FIVE TO FIFTEEN BELOW ZERO WITH WEST TO
  NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA CAN OCCUR WITHIN 15 
  MINUTES IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
1235 PM EST Wed Dec 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A series of cold fronts will move across the region this week
ushering in colder and colder air. It will be bitterly cold Thursday
and Friday. Lake effect snows will develop Wednesday and will impact
the southern Adirondacks into Thursday night. Lake effect snow will
impact the western and central Mohawk Valley Wednesday night and
Thursday. In addition, another widespread snowfall is expected late
Friday night and Saturday morning.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A Lake Effect Snow Warning is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon
until 1 AM Friday for northern Herkimer and Hamilton Counties.

A Lake Effect Snow Advisory is in effect from 4 PM this afternoon
until 1 AM Friday for southern Herkimer county.

As of 1215 PM EST, strong cold air advection continues, with most
temps across higher terrain falling through the 20s. In valleys,
some sun and downsloping has allowed temps to rise into the upper
20s to mid 30s within the Hudson Valley and CT Valley of SE VT,
while falling through the 20s within the Mohawk Valley.

For the rest of today...A ridge of high pressure will nose into
the region bringing fair weather to much of the area with the
exception being areas downwind of Lake Ontario where lake effect
snow will start to set up. Local inland extent lake effect program
indicates that bands should initially be able to extend quite far
inland with a multi-lake connection. Severe instability is
expected with h8-lake temp differential over 20C by days end.
Snowfall accumulations through today should be limited to around 1
to 3 inches mainly across northern Herkimer county. Across the
remainder of the forecast area, expect a mixture of sun and
clouds with more sun in the valleys. Max temps have generally been
reached, with temps expected to fall through this afternoon.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
For tonight...The Lake effect may initially be disrupted by a cold
front bringing even colder air to the region this evening. In it's
wake the lake effect machine really starts to set up with h8-lake
temp differential greater than 25 C and severe instability
continuing. Snowfall accumulations across the western Adirondacks
will generally be 4 to 12 inches with the greatest accumulations
along and north of Route 28. Elsewhere there will be scattered
snow showers with the cold frontal passage. Temperatures will take
another nose dive in the wake of the front with lows in the single
digits and teens expected by Thursday morning.

For Thursday...Yet another frontal boundary will be passing
through the region. This one will bring the coldest air of the
season. Lake effect will continue and will slide a little farther
south into the Mohawk Valley especially late in the day,
Additional lake effect snowfall accumulations of 2 to 6 inches
are expected. Highs on Thursday will be in the upper single digits
to lower 20s.

On Thursday night...The lake effect will taper of during the
evening with just an additional inch or two of accumulation. In
the wake of the latest cold front a strong pressure gradient will
be in place which will push wind gusts to 30 to 40 mph and wind
chill values to zero to 5 below in the mid Hudson Valley to 25 to 30
below zero in the western Adirondacks. If these conditions become
more certain wind chill watches, warnings and or advisories may be
needed. Lows Thursday night will range from 5 to 10 above in the
mid Hudson Valley to 15 to 20 below zero in the Western
Adirondacks.

For Friday...Dangerous wind chill values will continue during the
morning hours. After a sunny start to the day skies will start to
cloud up ahead of the next system which will be moving east from
the central Plains. It will continue to be chilly with highs in
the single digits and teens.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As the low-level anticyclone shifts east Friday night into the North
Atlantic, low pressure is progged to move quickly from the Central
Plains into the Upper Midwest along a very tight baroclinic zone. A
strong low-level jet is expected to develop between these features,
advecting warmth and moisture into the Northeast US. The associated
isentropic lift is expected to result in a period of precipitation
in the ALY CWA beginning roughly after 06Z. Thermal profiles appear
cold enough for snow through roughly 18Z Saturday before turning to
liquid from south to north. Still time to work out the details in
subsequent forecast packages, but would like to highlight the
potential for several inches of snowfall area wide Friday night
into Saturday morning, along with possible freezing rain for
higher elevations on Saturday/Saturday night as midlevel temps may
warm quicker than surface temps. There is fairly good model
consensus in the large-scale features during this time frame.

Model consensus tracks the surface low across Lakes Erie and Ontario
and into the Saint Lawrence Valley by Saturday night. This will
allow warm advection to continue, with temperatures likely rising
Friday night clear into Saturday night. As the low moves into the
Canadian Maritimes on Sunday, it will drag a cold front through the
region. Another period of precipitation appears likely along the
front Sunday, with a p-type of rain possibly changing to snow
favored. At this point, the best potential for additional
accumulation appears to be north and west of the Capital District.
Due to the strong jet/tight baroclinic zone, this appears to be a
sharp frontal boundary, resulting in a quick return to cold temps
Sunday night and an end to precipitation as high pressure builds in.
Assuming the front doesn't get hung up in our area, a period of cool
and mainly dry weather would result for the beginning of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Expect VFR conditions to prevail for the remainder of the day as
high pressure noses into the area. A few snow showers could impact
the terminals overnight as the next in a series of cold fronts
passes through the region. These snow showers may reduce
visibilities and cigs temporarily, but VFR conditions are still
expected to prevail the majority of the period.

Westerly winds will continue to gust to near 20 knots this
afternoon but then diminish late this evening. Winds will once
again become gusty, up to 25 knots, overnight and through the day
tomorrow in the wake of another cold frontal passage.

Outlook...

Thursday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy Slight Chance of SHSN.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN.
Saturday: High Operational Impact. Definite SN.
Saturday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely RA...SN.
Sunday: Moderate Operational Impact. Likely RA...SN.
Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Monday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
No hydrologic problems forecast through the weekend. Ice will build
and thicken on area rivers and lakes later in the period as a series
of cold fronts moves across the region ushering in colder and
colder air. It will be bitterly cold Thursday and Friday.

Lake effect snows will occur downwind of Lake Ontario Wednesday
through late Thursday night. A widespread snowfall is expected
late Friday night into Saturday. However warmer air is expected
work in initially aloft resulting in a wintry mix of precipitation
with a changeover to rain Saturday night. Colder air will be
ushered back in on Sunday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our
website.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...Lake Effect Snow Warning from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST
     Friday for NYZ032-033.
     Lake Effect Snow Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST
     Friday for NYZ038.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IAA
NEAR TERM...KL/11/JVM
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM...Thompson
AVIATION...Thompson/JVM
HYDROLOGY...IAA/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
411 AM EST WED DEC 14 2016

NYZ032-033-151200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
411 AM EST WED DEC 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS OF EASTERN
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND CHILL HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

ALSO...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...POSSIBLY BECOMING A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 INCHES
OR MORE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

NYZ038-151200-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
411 AM EST WED DEC 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY OF EASTERN
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. IF CONFIDENCE LEVELS INCREASE...LAKE
EFFECT HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND CHILL HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

ALSO...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...POSSIBLY BECOMING A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 INCHES
OR MORE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ039>043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-
VTZ013>015-151200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
411 AM EST WED DEC 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW
YORK AND EASTERN NEW YORK EXCLUDING THE WESTERN ADIRONDACKS AND
WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

AN ARCTIC AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO CAUSE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. WIND CHILL HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED.

ALSO...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY...POSSIBLY BECOMING A WINTRY MIX OVER PORTIONS OF THE
REGION LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.