Severe Thunderstorm Warning 75, NWS Albany, NY

189 
WWUS51 KALY 140229
SVSALY

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1029 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

CTC005-140239-
/O.CAN.KALY.SV.W.0075.000000T0000Z-160814T0300Z/
LITCHFIELD CT-
1029 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL LITCHFIELD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR
NORTHERN CONNECTICUT.

LAT...LON 4175 7335 4196 7289 4190 7291 4190 7294
      4185 7295 4184 7294 4181 7295 4180 7302
      4170 7300 4163 7324
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 243DEG 29KT 4186 7284 

$$

KSL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
925 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Humid conditions will continue along with the threat for showers
and thunderstorms through Sunday as a front moves gradually
southward across the region. Any storm will be capable of
producing locally very heavy rainfall. With the passage of front
Sunday night some drier air will filter into the region in the
wake of the boundary for early next week. Temperatures will still
run above normal by around 5 degrees.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
Severe thunderstorm watch #445 is in effect until 1 am for all of
east central new York and western New England.

Another very muggy night with lows only bottoming in the 70s with
upper 60s across the higher terrain. With such a moist atmosphere
in place patchy fog is expected to develop once again.

The stalled boundary has moved little and snakes across New
England westward across upstate New York into the Great Lakes
Region. It has been a focus for convection. Some of the storms
in the afternoon produced very heavy downpours, frequent
lightning and strong gusty winds. Much stronger storms have
occurred this evening with a tremendous amount of lightning.
Have had many general reports of many, many trees and wires down
especially across Herkimer, Fulton and Saratoga counties. Have not
been able to issue more local storm reports since do not have
specifics.

Very high precipitable water value was 2.35 inches on the 00Z ALY
sounding (189 percent of normal) and 2.20 inches on the 00Z BUF
sounding (198 percent of normal), so very heavy downpours are
occurring with storms. Localized flash flooding remains possible
with the greatest risk will be for urban, poor drainage and low
lying areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Another day of heat and humidity across much of the forecast area.

Heat Advisory has been issued for the Dutchess, eastern Ulster
and southern Litchfield County for heat indices up to around 100
depress Sunday noon to 7 pm.

The stalled boundary should have lifted northward some by Sunday
morning as a weakening area of low pressure moves eastward across
eastward Canada. As the low moves off to the east it will drag a
cold/cool front across the region Sunday night. Ahead of the
boundary additional showers and thunderstorms are expected with
the best chances across the eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley
into western New England with the peak heating of the day. As
stated early precipitable water levels will remain high so any
storm will be capable of very heavy rainfall.

With the passage of the boundary some drier and cooler air will
will filter in late Sunday night and Monday. Dew points are
forecast to lower into the 60s with some 50s possible in the
western Adirondacks.

Temperatures will be cooler but still above normal but only by
around 5 degrees or so. Dew points are forecast to range from the
upper 50s to upper 60s which will be more comfortable and less
dangerous than recent days.

A period of dry weather is expected late Sunday night into Monday
night as ridging build in.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A short wave is expected to move around the western side of the
upper ridge with surface low forming over the mid west/ohio
valley by Tuesday. This storm is then expected to strengthen as
it moves northeastward across the Great Lakes region and
Northeast bringing chances for showers and thunderstorms to the
area through the middle of the week.

Additional chances for some storms are possible Thursday as a
cold front moves across the region. At this time, it appears fair
weather is then expected as we head into the weekend.

Temperatures are expected to continue to run a bit above normal
by around 5 degrees or so with highs mainly the upper 70s to mid
80s much of the week. Lows are expected to be in the upper 50s to
upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A quasi-stationary frontal boundary drapped across the region will
continue to provide a focus for showers and thunderstorms this
evening. Based on latest radar trends, ongoing activity should
allow for MVFR/IFR flying conditions at KGFL/KALB/KPSF over the
next few hours. Further south, the activity will be more scattered
to isolated around KPOU, so flying conditions should generally
remain VFR there. Within any t-storm, west winds may become gusty
and visibility will be reduced to 1-2 SM.

Behind this initial batch of activity, there still may be some
lingering showers and thunderstorms into the overnight hours. This
could allow for some occasional MVFR flying conditions. With
abundant low level moisture, some mist/low stratus will be  possible
for all sites late tonight as well, with a period of IFR
conditions likely.

Any fog/low status should dissipate between 12z-14z, with VFR
conditions returning to all sites. Some additional showers and
thunderstorms are possible on Sunday, especially in the aftn and
evening hours, as the boundary remains situated over the area.
For now, will mention just VCSH but brief periods of MVFR/IFR
conditions are possible for all sites during the day.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...FG...TSRA.
Monday: No Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Monday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA.
Tuesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Wednesday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Wednesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SHRA...TSRA.
Thursday: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA...TSRA.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Humid conditions will continue along with the threat for showers
and thunderstorms through Sunday as a front moves gradually
southward across the region. Any storm will be capable of
producing locally very heavy rainfall. With the passage of front
Sunday night some drier air will filter into the region in the
wake of the boundary for early next week. Minimum relative
humidity levels are not expected to drop below 50 percent neither
Sunday or Monday afternoons.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Very heavy rainfall occurring with storms. Very high precipitable
water value was 2.35 inches on the 00Z ALY sounding (189 percent
of normal) and 2.20 inches on the 00Z BUF sounding (198 percent of
normal), so very heavy downpours are occurring with storms.
Localized flash flooding remains possible with the greatest risk
will be for urban, poor drainage and low lying areas.

This threat will continue through Sunday until the passage a
front. The boundary is expected to move to our south Sunday night
with precipitable water values forecast to drop below 1.5 inches
Sunday night into Monday.

A brief period of dry weather is expected late Sunday night
through Monday into Monday night, then more unsettled humid
weather is expected through the middle of the week.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Sunday for CTZ013.
NY...Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM EDT Sunday for NYZ064>066.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...IAA
NEAR TERM...IAA
SHORT TERM...IAA
LONG TERM...IAA
AVIATION...Frugis
FIRE WEATHER...IAA
HYDROLOGY...IAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
928 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

CTZ013-NYZ064>066-141100-
SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
928 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY...
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR FOR DUTCHESS...EASTERN ULSTER
AND SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HEAT ADVISORY.

ALSO...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR URBAN...POOR
DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING AREAS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED. PLEASE SEND REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND RAINFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

CTZ001-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063-082>084-
VTZ013>015-141100-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-
MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-
SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-
WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-
WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
WESTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-
BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
928 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 445 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...NORTHERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY...AND EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK
EXCLUDING THE MID HUDSON VALLEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE GREATEST RISK FOR URBAN...POOR DRAINAGE
AND LOW LYING AREAS.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED. PLEASE SEND REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS AND RAINFALL REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
856 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE ROCKINGHAM        43.18N  72.45W
08/13/2016                   WINDHAM            VT   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN ON HERRICKS COVE RD. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1602016

BEW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
859 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0813 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SAUGERTIES              42.08N  73.95W
08/13/2016                   ULSTER             NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREES DOWN ON WIRES ON WASHINGTON AVE BETWEEN RUSSEL
            AND DIVIISION

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1602017

IAA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
929 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0722 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W WEST GLENS FALLS    43.30N  73.72W
08/13/2016                   WARREN             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1602018

SND

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
941 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SSW SOUTH EGREMONT    42.15N  73.42W
08/13/2016                   BERKSHIRE          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            MULTIPLE TREES AND WIRES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1602019

SND

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
951 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

CTZ001-013-140230-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
951 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL LITCHFIELD COUNTY...

AT 950 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
LITCHFIELD...OR 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TORRINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTHWEST HARWINTON AROUND 1000 PM EDT.
  TORRINGTON...NEW HARTFORD AND NEW HARTFORD CENTER AROUND 1010 PM
  EDT.
  CANTON AND WINSTED AROUND 1015 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE WRIGHTVILLE...
HARWINTON...SOUTH NORFOLK...COLEBROOK...TOWN HILL...GOOSE
GREEN...NEPAUG... EAST CORNWALL...NORTH GOSHEN AND KELLY CORNER.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4169 7341 4204 7311 4204 7301 4197 7303
      4197 7289 4190 7291 4189 7294 4185 7295
      4184 7294 4182 7294 4180 7296 4180 7302
      4176 7301 4162 7319
TIME...MOT...LOC 0150Z 216DEG 39KT 4174 7321

KSL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
954 PM EDT SAT AUG 13 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VAN DEUSENVILLE         42.23N  73.37W
08/13/2016                   BERKSHIRE          MA   AMATEUR RADIO

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROUTE ROUTE 41

&&

EVENT NUMBER ALY1602020

SND