River Flood Warning 4, NWS Albany, NY

053 
WGUS81 KALY 251121
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
621 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

CTC001-009-252321-
/O.CON.KALY.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160226T1708Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.160225T0757Z.160225T1030Z.160226T1108Z.NO/
621 AM EST THU FEB 25 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Housatonic River At Stevenson Dam.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 5 AM Thursday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue to fall to below flood stage 
  after  6 AM Friday.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water reaches the Maples area of Shelton.

&& 
 
                  Fld   Observed              Forecast
                                       7 am  1 pm  7 pm  1 am  7 am
Location         Stg   Stg  Day Time   Thu   Thu   Thu   Fri   Fri

Housatonic River
  Stevenson Da  11.0   11.6 Thu 05 AM  11.6  11.6  11.6  11.6  10.9
 
&& 
 
LAT...LON 4151 7326 4139 7335 4127 7315 4138 7304
                                      

$$

019 
WGUS81 KALY 252316
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
616 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

CTC001-009-261116-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160226T1630Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.160225T0757Z.160225T1730Z.160226T1030Z.NO/
616 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016

...Flood Warning now in effect until Friday morning... 
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Housatonic River At Stevenson Dam.
* Until Friday morning.
* At  5 PM Thursday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 11.9 feet by 7 PM
  Thursday. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage after 5 
  AM Friday.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water reaches the Maples area of Shelton.

&& 
 
                  Fld   Observed              Forecast
                                       7 pm  1 am  7 am  1 pm  7 pm
Location         Stg   Stg  Day Time   Thu   Fri   Fri   Fri   Fri

Housatonic River
  Stevenson Da  11.0   11.7 Thu 06 PM  11.9  11.9  10.7  10.7  10.7
 
&& 
 
LAT...LON 4151 7326 4139 7335 4127 7315 4138 7304
                                      

$$

958 
WGUS81 KALY 261033
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
533 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

CTC001-009-262233-
/O.EXT.KALY.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160227T0508Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.160225T0757Z.160225T1730Z.160226T2308Z.NO/
533 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

...Flood Warning now in effect until tonight... 
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Housatonic River At Stevenson Dam.
* Until late tonight.
* At 5 AM Friday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 11.6 feet by  7 AM
  Friday. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage after  6 PM
  Friday.
* Impact...At 11.5 feet...Water reaches the Maples area of Shelton.

&& 
 
                  Fld   Observed              Forecast
                                       7 am  1 pm  7 pm  1 am  7 am
Location         Stg   Stg  Day Time   Fri   Fri   Fri   Sat   Sat

Housatonic River
  Stevenson Da  11.0   11.1 Fri 05 AM  11.6  11.6  10.9  10.8  10.8
 
&& 
 
LAT...LON 4151 7326 4139 7335 4127 7315 4138 7304
                                      

$$

133 
WGUS81 KALY 262224
FLSALY
 
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY 
524 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

CTC001-009-262254-
/O.CAN.KALY.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160227T0508Z/
/STVC3.1.ER.160225T0757Z.160225T1730Z.160226T1907Z.NO/
524 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Housatonic River At Stevenson Dam.
* At 4 PM Friday the stage was 10.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flood stage.

&& 
 
                  Fld   Observed              Forecast
                                       7 pm  1 am  7 am  1 pm  7 pm
Location         Stg   Stg  Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sat   Sat   Sat

Housatonic River
  Stevenson Dam  11.0  10.4 Fri 04 PM  10.4  10.4  10.4  10.0   9.8
 
&& 
 
LAT...LON 4151 7326 4139 7335 4127 7315 4138 7304
                                      

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
931 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS WEST OF THE REGION TONIGHT...ALLOWING
FOR PERIODS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. ANY THUNDERSTORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TONIGHT...REACHING MILD LEVELS
FOR TOMORROW MORNING...WITH SHOWERS ENDING. COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND A FEW PASSING SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 930 PM EST...A LARGE AND DYNAMIC STORM SYSTEM IS LOCATED
OVER OHIO...WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EASTNORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAVE MOVED INTO MUCH OF THE AREA
AS A CONVECTIVE LINE SEGMENT CONTINUES TO MOVE THROUGH THE FA.

WITH THIS STORM EXPECTED TO PASS TO OUR WEST TONIGHT...A STRONG
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE AT LOW AND MID LEVELS...WITH 850
HPA WINDS EXCEEDING 70 KTS THIS EVENING. THESE 850 V WINDS ARE 3-4
STD ABOVE NORMAL. IN ADDITION...THIS STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW IS
ALLOWING FOR PWATS TO RISE TO 3-4 STD ABOVE NORMAL AS WELL. WE
HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY FOR NW CT...AS THE STRONG WINDS ALOFT
MAY BE ABLE TO MIX DOWN TO THE SFC IF IT CAN BREAK THE STRONG LOW
LEVEL INVERSION IN PLACE...AND THE MOST LIKELY PLACE FOR THIS TO
OCCUR WOULD BE IN NW CT.

AS THE STORM SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES...A BAND OF STORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AS WELL AS THE
STORM/S OCCLUDED FRONT LIFTS NORTHEAST. THE 3KM HRRR SHOWS THAT
WHAT/S LEFT OF THIS LINE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH OUR AREA FROM NOW
THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE ENVIRONMENT IS MUCH DIFFERENT HERE
THAN OVER THE MID ATLANTIC...AS COOL LOW LEVEL TEMPS AND A STRONG
LOW LEVEL INVERSION WILL KEEP INSTABILITY RATHER LOW AND HELP
PREVENT THE WORST OF THE WINDS FROM MIXING DOWN. ANY CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS PRESENT WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED. STILL...CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME LOCALIZED STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS FROM MIXING DOWN IN
PLACES WHERE THE INVERSION CAN BE BROKEN...AND SPC HAS MOST OF OUR
AREA IN A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER.

AS WE GET TOWARDS THE WARM SECTOR...THE SOUTHERLY FLOW COULD HELP
TEMPS SPIKE TONIGHT INTO THE 40S...50S...AND LOWER 60S WHICH
WOULD HELP WEAKEN THAT LOW LEVEL INVERSION AS WELL.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT FOR GUSTY WINDS...RAIN WILL BE MODERATE
TO LOCALLY HEAVY AHEAD OF THE STORM/S OCCLUDED FRONT. A GENERAL
ONE TO TWO INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA...SEE OUR HYDRO
DISCUSSION BELOW FOR HOW WE EXPECT THIS RAINFALL TO IMPACT OUR
HSA.

THE STEADIEST RAINFALL WILL BE TAPERING OFF BY 08Z-09Z /ACCORDING
TO THE HIRES GUIDANCE/. CANNOT RULED OUT SOME LINGERING RAIN
SHOWERS BEHIND THE OCCLUDED BOUNDARY THANKS TO THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING THROUGH...BUT THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL CERTAINLY BE
DONE BY THAT TIME.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
THURSDAY WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE MILD TEMPS TO START THE
DAY...BUT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING OVER THE REGION...TEMPS
ALOFT WILL START TO COOL OFF. THIS WILL HELP TEMPS START TO FALL
BACK DOWN FOR THE AFTERNOON HOURS. IT LOOKS TO REMAIN CLOUDY WITH
THE CYCLONIC FLOW IN PLACE...AND THERE COULD BE SOME ADDITIONAL
RAIN SHOWERS...ESP FOR WESTERN/NORTHERN AREAS. TEMPS WILL FALL
THROUGH THE 40S IN THE AFTN HOURS...AND REACH THE MID TO UPPER
30S OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS BY LATE IN THE DAY.

TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE TEENS AND 20S FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT...AS 850 HPA TEMPS CRASH TO -12 TO -20 DEGREES C. THE THREAT
FOR PRECIP WILL END FOR MOST AREAS...BUT CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES FOR FAR WESTERN/NORTHERN AREAS.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STARTS TO MOVE AWAY...MAINLY DRY WEATHER
IS EXPECTED FOR FRI INTO FRI NIGHT...WITH CLEARING SKIES. TEMPS
ALOFT WILL REMAIN CHILLY...SO TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE COLD
ACROSS THE REGION. HIGHS ON FRIDAY WILL ONLY BE 20S TO LOW 30S
/TEENS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS/ AND LOWS ON FRI NIGHT WILL BE IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE LONG TERM PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO START DRY AND COOL AND QUICKLY
TRANSITION TO MILDER AND WET CONDITIONS HEADING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

FOR SATURDAY A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO STRETCH
ALL THE WAY FROM THE GULF COAST STATES THROUGH THE NORTHEAST US AND
INTO EASTERN CANADA. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S TO
UPPER 30S WITH LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE 20S.

ON SUNDAY A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SLIP SOUTH FROM
CANADA AND STALL ACROSS THE REGION AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE RACES
EAST ALONG THE STALLED FRONT ON MONDAY. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION FROM SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES. HIGHS ON SUNDAY
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND 50 WITH LOWS SUNDAY
NIGHT IN THE 30S AND HIGHS ON MONDAY IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.

FOR MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING IN BEHIND
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. LOWS MONDAY
NIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER 20S WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.

FOR TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY YET ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
APPROACH THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
ALLOWING FOR MORE UNSETTLED CONDITIONS. LOWS ON TUESDAY NIGHT ARE
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TEENS TO UPPER 20S WITH HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK WEST OF THE REGION
OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT NORTHWARD THIS
EVENING...THEN A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EASTWARD BY DAYBREAK
THURSDAY.

AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS EVENING...TRANSITIONING TO SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING INTO
DAYBREAK THURSDAY. A LINE OF HEAVIER SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE TAF SITES
BETWEEN ROUGHLY 02Z-06Z/THU. A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...AND
STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THIS PASSES THROUGH.

ON THURSDAY...SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED AND LIGHT.

FLIGHT CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY IFR/LIFR AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTHWARD THIS EVENING...THEN MAY IMPROVE SLIGHTLY TO OCCASIONAL
MVFR AFTER MIDNIGHT. ON THURSDAY...EXPECT MAINLY VFR VSBYS...WITH
VFR TO MVFR CIGS...ESP AT KPSF.

BEFORE THE WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH...EXPECT WINDS TO BE MAINLY
FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5-10 KT. THEN...AS THE WARM FRONT
SURGES THROUGH...WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH AND
INCREASE TO 10-20 KT...WITH STRONGER GUSTS POSSIBLE...ESP AT KALB.
WINDS WILL SHIFT INTO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND OR AFTER DAYBREAK AS
THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH AT 8-12 KT...THEN BECOME MORE
WEST/SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.

WIND GUSTS COULD BE MUCH STRONGER...AND VARIABLE IN DIRECTION IN
AND NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL REMAIN AN ISSUE FOR MUCH OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...ESP BEFORE THE WARM FRONT LIFTS THROUGH...SINCE
SFC WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE N/NE AT GENERALLY LESS THAN 10
KT...WHILE WINDS AROUND 2000 FT AGL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AT
40-50 KT. THE LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR THREAT WILL DIMINISH AROUND OR
AFTER DAYBREAK THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK...

THURSDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY CHANCE OF SHRA...SHSN.
FRIDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SATURDAY NIGHT:  SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHSN.
SUNDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
SUNDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHRA.
MONDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF SHRA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WITH A STORM SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...RAIN WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE RAINFALL
MAY BE LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY LATE THIS
EVENING AHEAD OF THE STORM/S OCCLUDED FRONT. WITH THE RAINFALL
OCCURRING WITHIN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME...THERE MAY BE PONDING OF
WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS...AS WELL AS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS...AND IN FIELDS AND YARDS IN PLACES WHERE THE GROUND REMAINS
FROZEN.

TOTAL QPF AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE ONE TO TWO INCHES...WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. WITH A LARGE AMOUNT OF
RUNOFF EXPECTED...THERE WILL BE LARGE RISES ON RIVERS AND STREAMS.
A FEW RIVER POINTS LOOK TO EXCEED ACTION STAGE...AND COULD EVEN
APPROACH FLOOD STAGE /SUCH AS IN PARTS OF THE HOOSIC AND UPPER
MOHAWK BASINS/. RIVERS LOOK TO CREST ON THURSDAY MORNING...AND
SHOULD QUICKLY START TO RECEDE...WITH ONLY LIGHTER RAIN SHOWERS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.

RIVERS SHOULD CONTINUE TO RECEDE FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH
MAINLY DRY WEATHER EXPECTED. JUST SOME PASSING SNOW SHOWERS AND
FLURRIES LOOK TO OCCUR ON FRIDAY INTO FRI NIGHT FOR WESTERN
AREAS...SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS FOR SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
FOR NORTHERN AREAS.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR CTZ001-013.
NY...NONE.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...FRUGIS
NEAR TERM...FRUGIS/11
SHORT TERM...FRUGIS
LONG TERM...11
AVIATION...KL/NAS
HYDROLOGY...FRUGIS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
333 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NYZ063>066-251200-
WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-
333 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ULSTER AND DUTCHESS COUNTIES
OF EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT...AS A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS WEST OF THE REGION...AND A COLD
FRONT APPROACHES LATE TONIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.
THUNDERSTORMS WOULD GENERALLY MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST...TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST...AT 40 TO 50 MPH.

IN ADDITION...PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY
TONIGHT. PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN
AREAS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL
HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS COULD ALSO OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ON THURSDAY...PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND
URBAN AREAS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM OVERNIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL.
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS OVERNIGHT...THERE IS
A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY TONIGHT. IN
ADDITION...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND IN ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
GREATER THAN 2 INCHES.

CTZ001-013-251200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
333 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

ALSO...A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TO THE REGION.
PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN AREAS WILL
BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY RAINFALL
OCCURS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC
CONCERNS COULD ALSO OCCUR. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS OF 58 MPH
OR MORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ON THURSDAY...PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND
URBAN AREAS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM OVERNIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL.
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS OVERNIGHT...THERE IS
A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND IN ANY REPORTS OF WIND GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 40 MPH...WIND DAMAGE...AND OR RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
GREATER THAN 2 INCHES.

MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-082>084-VTZ013>015-
251200-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-NORTHERN SARATOGA-
NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
333 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK EXCLUDING ULSTER AND DUTCHESS COUNTIES...AND
FOR SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE OHIO VALLEY REGION
TONIGHT...BRINGING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS TO THE
REGION. PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND URBAN
AREAS WILL BE LIKELY DURING THIS TIME. DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURS...THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL
HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS COULD ALSO OCCUR.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TONIGHT...ALONG AND
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS OF
58 MPH OR MORE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

ON THURSDAY...PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING...POOR DRAINAGE AND
URBAN AREAS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE FROM OVERNIGHT HEAVY RAINFALL.
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURS OVERNIGHT...THERE IS
A POSSIBILITY THAT SOME ADDITIONAL HYDROLOGIC CONCERNS COULD ALSO
OCCUR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SEND IN ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER
THAN 2 INCHES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
855 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

CTZ001-MAZ025-NYZ061-065-066-250245-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN
DUTCHESS-EASTERN COLUMBIA-
855 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN LITCHFIELD...
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE...NORTHEASTERN DUTCHESS AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLUMBIA
COUNTIES...

AT 854 PM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER MILLBROOK...OR 13
MILES NORTHEAST OF POUGHKEEPSIE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREAT BARRINGTON...LEE...AMENIA...SHEFFIELD...SHARON...NORFOLK...
OTIS...MILLBROOK...CANAAN...MILLERTON...SANDISFIELD...TOLLAND...
STANFORDVILLE...FALLS VILLAGE...DOVER PLAINS...ASHLEY FALLS...
BETHEL...SALISBURY...NEW MARLBOROUGH AND SMITHFIELD.

LAT...LON 4166 7366 4178 7384 4234 7322 4219 7302
      4215 7303 4215 7307 4212 7306 4211 7307
      4208 7306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 223DEG 66KT 4179 7368

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
910 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

MAZ001-025-NYZ053-054-060-061-065-066-250300-
NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN
DUTCHESS-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN
COLUMBIA-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
910 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHERN DUTCHESS...EASTERN
COLUMBIA...AND SOUTHEAST RENSSELAER COUNTIES...

AT 909 PM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER COPAKE...OR 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF GREAT BARRINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PITTSFIELD...CHATHAM...NASSAU...CLAVERACK...COPAKE...STEPHENTOWN...
PINE PLAINS...NEW LEBANON...VALATIE...AUSTERLITZ...ANCRAM...
PHILMONT...KINDERHOOK...HANCOCK...CLAVERACK-RED MILLS...GHENT...
BETHEL...HILLSDALE...CANAAN AND RICHMOND.

LAT...LON 4190 7361 4199 7380 4262 7363 4258 7325
TIME...MOT...LOC 0209Z 208DEG 71KT 4207 7359

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
913 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NYZ038>040-047>052-082-250300-
NORTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SOUTHERN FULTON-SCHOHARIE-EASTERN
ALBANY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN
HERKIMER-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-
913 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ENTERING THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL MOHAWK
VALLEY AND SCHOHARIE COUNTY...

AT 912 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM HERKIMER TO NEAR SPRINGFIELD TO NEAR MILFORD...AND
MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AMSTERDAM...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE
FALLS...COBLESKILL...CANAJOHARIE...FONDA...GLENVILLE...DUANESBURG...
WESTERLO...BERNE...MOHAWK...FORT PLAIN...DOLGEVILLE...ST.
JOHNSVILLE...ALTAMONT...EPHRATAH AND MIDDLEBURGH.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 88 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 19 AND 23.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 4322 7416 4313 7412 4311 7410 4293 7400
      4251 7402 4250 7470 4252 7471 4262 7463
      4274 7467 4279 7467 4283 7465 4290 7488
      4283 7490 4285 7490 4306 7506
TIME...MOT...LOC 0212Z 262DEG 56KT 4302 7497 4286 7488 4258 7490

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
943 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

CTZ001-NYZ052-053-058>061-063>066-250330-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-WESTERN
DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-EASTERN
ALBANY-WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN COLUMBIA-
943 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ULSTER...GREENE...DUTCHESS
AND COLUMBIA COUNTIES...

AT 942 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR MARGARETVILLE TO NEAR WOODRIDGE...AND MOVING EAST
AT 60 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSTON...NEW PALTZ...HUDSON...ELLENVILLE...CATSKILL...SAUGERTIES...
RHINEBECK...HUNTER...HYDE PARK...HURLEY...CLAVERACK...WOODSTOCK...
AMENIA...LIVINGSTON...COPAKE...NEW BALTIMORE...RAVENA...COXSACKIE...
SHARON AND PINE PLAINS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 4173 7455 4175 7457 4188 7445 4197 7467
      4205 7471 4212 7456 4215 7453 4214 7450
      4217 7445 4220 7454 4229 7447 4253 7371
      4209 7351 4205 7350 4205 7349 4186 7340
      4167 7444
TIME...MOT...LOC 0242Z 251DEG 53KT 4214 7470 4174 7451

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1006 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

CTZ001-013-250345-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-
1006 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN LITCHFIELD COUNTY...

AT 1006 PM EST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER OAKVILLE...OR NEAR
WATERBURY...MOVING NORTH AT 70 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WATERBURY...BRISTOL...TORRINGTON...CANTON...THOMASTON...NEW
HARTFORD...HARTLAND...NEW HARTFORD CENTER...OAKVILLE...NORTHWEST
HARWINTON...TERRYVILLE...WINSTED...WATERTOWN...PLYMOUTH...
HARWINTON...BARKHAMSTED...BETHLEHEM...MORRIS...MINORTOWN AND TOWN
HILL.

LAT...LON 4157 7326 4198 7303 4199 7302 4197 7303
      4197 7289 4190 7291 4190 7294 4186 7295
      4183 7294 4181 7295 4180 7302 4164 7298
      4163 7302 4161 7302 4161 7306 4159 7306
      4159 7308 4157 7310 4156 7315
TIME...MOT...LOC 0306Z 202DEG 62KT 4162 7307

KL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1028 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

NYZ039>043-048>054-058>061-064-082>084-250415-
NORTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN WARREN-SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-NORTHERN
FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SOUTHEAST WARREN-SOUTHERN FULTON-EASTERN
GREENE-EASTERN ALBANY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN
SCHENECTADY-EASTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN
ALBANY-WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN SCHENECTADY-EASTERN ULSTER-NORTHERN
SARATOGA-WESTERN GREENE-
1028 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS MOVING THROUGH THE
HUDSON VALLEY...LAKE GEORGE REGION...AND THE TACONICS IN EAST
CENTRAL NEW YORK...

AT 1026 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR NORTH CREEK TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WESTERLO...
AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  NORTH CREEK AROUND 1030 PM EST.
  FEURA BUSH AROUND 1035 PM EST.
  DELMAR AND CASTLETON-ON-HUDSON AROUND 1040 PM EST.
  EAST GREENBUSH...RENSSELAER AND NASSAU AROUND 1045 PM EST.
  MENANDS...WEST SAND LAKE...AVERILL PARK AND WYANTSKILL AROUND 1050
  PM EST.
  GRAFTON AND BERLIN AROUND 1100 PM EST.
  HOOSICK FALLS AROUND 1110 PM EST.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 8 AND 6-5A.
 INTERSTATE 890 NEAR MILE MARKER 7.
 INTERSTATE 87 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 1 AND 9.
 INTERSTATE 787 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 2 AND 8-7.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 4377 7335 4364 7343 4359 7343 4357 7339
      4362 7337 4363 7330 4358 7330 4357 7326
      4270 7331 4216 7352 4210 7404 4209 7408
      4210 7414 4325 7416 4326 7414 4340 7416
      4368 7417 4379 7355 4381 7338
TIME...MOT...LOC 0326Z 231DEG 53KT 4372 7394 4241 7397

JPV