Alert archive / New York / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS Albany, NY

January 12, 2016Herkimer County, New York

NWS Albany, NY issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 12, 2016, 2:50 AM EST for Herkimer County, New York. It took effect at Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 21 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2016, 2:50 AM EST (07:50 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 12, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 13, 2016, 4:07 PM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Albany, NY

County Herkimer County, NY

The radar

The Ft Drum radar (KTYX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 121 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1625 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
88 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
121 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

263 
WWUS41 KALY 120750
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
250 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

NYZ038-122200-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
250 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED
  ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-122200-
/O.NEW.KALY.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
250 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT
SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 PM
EST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND
  HELDERBERGS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

NYZ082-VTZ014-122200-
/O.EXA.KALY.WW.Y.0001.160112T1100Z-160112T2300Z/
NORTHERN FULTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...JACKSONVILLE...
NEWFANE
250 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING.

* LOCATIONS...NORTHERN FULTON AND WESTERN WINDHAM COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE SNOW TODAY.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...MAINLY DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...8 TO 26 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED
VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0001.160112T1100Z-160112T2300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG
250 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...MAINLY DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...5 TO 23 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY UNTREATED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
727 
WWUS41 KALY 121111
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
611 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

NYZ038-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
611 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
611 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND 
  HELDERBERGS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ014-122200-
/O.CON.KALY.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160112T2300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE
611 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...MAINLY DAYLIGHT HOURS TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...7 TO 25 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY UNTREATED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$
179 
WWUS41 KALY 122049
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
349 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016


NYZ038-131000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
349 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED
  ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO.

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS
  EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  OVER 45 MPH LATER THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ014-130300-
/O.EXT.KALY.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE
349 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND SOUTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 10 PM.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS.

* WINDS...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH...SHIFTING TO WEST.

* TEMPERATURES...7 TO 25 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY UNTREATED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-131000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.160113T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
349 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND 
  HELDERBERGS. 

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY BELOW
  1 MILE.

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH THIS
  EVENING...THEN NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
  OVER 45 MPH LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
840 
WWUS41 KALY 130306
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016


NYZ032-033-042-082-VTZ014-130415-
/O.EXP.KALY.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-NORTHERN WARREN-NORTHERN FULTON-
WESTERN WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATWELL...BIG MOOSE...EAGLE BAY...
MCKEEVER...NOBLEBORO...NORTHWOOD...OLD FORGE...SPECULATOR...
WARRENSBURG...NORTHVILLE...MAYFIELD...JACKSONVILLE...NEWFANE
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

STEADY ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED AND ONLY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS
WITH ADDITIONAL LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

$$

NYZ038-131115-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO.

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH 
  THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS OVER 45 MPH LATER THIS EVENING...CONTINUING THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...14 TO 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-131115-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND 
  HELDERBERGS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY 
  BELOW 1 MILE.

* WINDS...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH 
  THIS EVENING...THEN NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL 
  GUSTS OVER 45 MPH LATER TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
307 
WWUS41 KALY 130812
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
312 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016


NYZ038-131800-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
312 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TODAY.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...BECOMING
  NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 45 MPH FROM
  MID MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20 DEGREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-131800-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
312 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND 
  HELDERBERGS.

* HAZARD TYPES...MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...THROUGH TODAY.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY 
  BELOW 1 MILE.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...BECOMING
  NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 45 MPH FROM
  MID MORNING CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
392 
WWUS41 KALY 131504
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1004 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

NYZ038-140000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
1004 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH AROUND
  7 INCHES POSSIBLE IN EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HERKIMER
  COUNTY.

* TIMING...NARROW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. IT WILL NOT BE SNOWING THE ENTIRE
  TIME...BUT OCCASIONALLY INTENSE SNOW BANDS WILL OSCILLATE
  THROUGH THE AREA WITH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS.

* IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY NEAR ZERO.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 45
  MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...AROUND 20 DEGREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES
IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP 1 TO SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW PER HOUR FOR SEVERAL HOURS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES.  TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE COULD BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST
TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-140000-
/O.CON.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
1004 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...EASTERN MOHAWK VALLEY...SCHOHARIE VALLEY AND 
  HELDERBERGS.

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.

* TIMING...NARROW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
  ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. IT WILL NOT BE SNOWING THE ENTIRE
  TIME...BUT OCCASIONAL SNOW BANDS WILL OSCILLATE THROUGH THE
  AREA WITH SOME ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VISIBILITIES OCCASIONALLY 
  BELOW 1 MILE.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER 45
  MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO MID 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY MEANS LAKE-EFFECT SNOW IS FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT IN SOME AREAS. LAKE-EFFECT SNOW
SHOWERS TYPICALLY ALIGN THEMSELVES IN BANDS AND WILL LIKELY BE
INTENSE ENOUGH TO DROP SEVERAL INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. USE
CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING.

&&

$$
881 
WWUS41 KALY 132107
WSWALY

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
407 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016


NYZ038-132215-
/O.CAN.KALY.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN HERKIMER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ILION...HERKIMER...LITTLE FALLS...
MOHAWK...FRANKFORT...DOLGEVILLE
407 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

THE STEADY HEAVY SNOW HAS ENDED BUT INTERVALS OF LIGHTER SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS.

$$

NYZ039-040-047-048-051-132215-
/O.CAN.KALY.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160114T0000Z/
SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
WESTERN ALBANY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLOVERSVILLE...JOHNSTOWN...AMSTERDAM...
WELLSVILLE...COBLESKILL...MIDDLEBURGH...DELANSON...ESPERANCE...
DUANESBURG...ALTAMONT
407 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBANY HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

THE STEADY HEAVY SNOW HAS ENDED BUT INTERVALS OF LIGHTER SNOW
SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH ONLY LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 12, 12:48 AM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 12:48 AM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
1248 AM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
REGION ON TUESDAY BRINGING THE THREAT OF LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW.
AS THE SYSTEM PULLS OUT...A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLDER AIR WILL
OVERSPREAD THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH LAKE EFFECT SNOW FOR WESTERN
AREAS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
LAKE EFFECT BAND OFF EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO WAS SHIFTING NORTH
AND WEAKENING...THUS HAVE CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING
FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER AND HAMILTON COUNTIES.

FOR THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT GENERALLY EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS
ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM WITH SNOW
MOVING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA TOWARD DAYBREAK. LOWS
OVERNIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
ATTENTION TURNS TO A CLIPPER SYSTEM TRACKING TO OUR NORTHWEST ON
TUESDAY. THE TRACK OF THE LOW PLACES OUR REGION IN AN UNFAVORABLE
LOCATION FOR HEAVIER SNOW...SUCH AS HEAVIER SNOW GOES WITH
CLIPPERS. TYPICAL OF CLIPPERS PWATS WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE ONLY
AROUND 0.2 INCH. THERE IS SOME RESPECTABLE ISENTROPIC ASCENT...AS
DEPICTED ON THE 275-280K SURFACE TOMORROW...MAINLY ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS. WITH BEST FORCING LOCATED THERE...THE BEST QPF IS
SQUEEZED OUT IN THIS REGION. GIVEN FAIRLY HIGH SNOW/LIQUID
RATIOS...WENT ABOUT 17:1...THIS AREA LOOKS TO RECEIVED 3-6 INCHES
OF SNOW. GIVEN THIS TOTAL...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW HAS
BEEN POSTED FOR NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON...AND NORTHERN WARREN
COUNTIES FROM 6AM TO 6PM TOMORROW. SO...THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
WARNING EXPIRES AT 4AM IN NORTHERN HERKIMER...HAMILTON...AND AT
6AM A SNOW ADVISORY KICKS IN. WITH S/SW FLOW IN
PLACE...TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL CLIMB TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMS. WE ARE NOW IN THE COLDEST CLIMATOLOGICAL PART OF
WINTER.

SYSTEM PULLS AWAY TUESDAY NIGHT WITH SNOW ENDING MOST LOCATIONS.
SOME SNOW MAY LINGER IN FAVORED UPSLOPE LOCATIONS.
MEANWHILE...NEXT LAKE EFFECT EVENT GETS GOING LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
BAND IS TARGETED TOWARD WESTERN MOHAWK VALLEY AND POINTS SOUTH.
BAND LOSES DEFINITION ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE REORGANIZING ACROSS
NORTHERN HERKIMER FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GIVEN TRANSITORY NATURE OF
THE BAND DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT NOW WHERE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL.
SEVERAL INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS HERKIMER COUNTY AND WESTERN
MOHAWK VALLEY...BUT STILL TOO EARLY FOR SPECIFICS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM.

ANOTHER BOUT OF GUSTY WINDS IS LIKELY WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
VERY QUICK UPPER FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD MAKING FOR LOTS OF
DISAGREEMENT IN LONG RANGE GUIDANCE AS TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF
UPPER FEATURES. FLAT UPPER RIDGING BUILDS INTO THE REGION THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY...WITH MAYBE JUST SOME LINGERING SCATTERED LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SHOWERS JUST NUDGING INTO PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN ADIRONDACKS BUT
COVERAGE WOULD BE MINIMAL IF ANY.

THERE IS A CONSENSUS ON SOME SYSTEM AFFECTING OUR REGION SOMEWHERE
IN THE TIME WINDOW OF FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. BASED ON THERMAL
PROFILES IN THE GUIDANCE THERE COULD BE A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET IN
MOST AREAS...AND MAYBE A BRIEF CHANGEOVER TO RAIN IN SOUTHERN AREAS.
PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LIGHT AS THE SYSTEM LOOKS WEAK.  ANY
PRECIPITATION WOULD END AS SNOW SHOWERS...THEN LAKE EFFECT POTENTIAL
AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF COLDER AIR.

HIGHS THURSDAY IN THE 20S TO AROUND 30. HIGHS FRIDAY WITH A LITTLE
WARM ADVECTION INTO THE 30S...BUT UPPER 20S IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS. BY
SATURDAY...WHEN THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION OCCUR...IN THE
30S...WITH AROUND 30 NORTHERN AREAS. SUNDAY...AS THE SYSTEM EXITS
AND COLD AIR JUST BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 30S...MID 30S SOUTH AND MID 20S NORTH. BY MONDAY WITH THE
STRONGER COLD ADVECTION...HIGHS IN THE 20S...TEENS IN NORTHERN
AREAS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER THROUGH THE DAY
WITH INCREASING PROBABILITIES FOR A PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW TO
DEVELOP ACCOMPANIED BY MVFR CONDITIONS.

PER SATELLITE IMAGERY AND OBSERVATIONS...HIGH AND SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS WERE ON THE INCREASE. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY. PER UPSTREAM RADAR MOSAIC...SEEMS A
MORE WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE AROUND THE
NOON HOUR AND CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL BE
PERIOD OF MAINLY MVFR CONDITIONS.

THIS SYSTEM LIFTS EAST AND NORTH OF THE REGION THIS EVENING AS
WINDS QUICKLY SHIFT FROM THE WEST AND SOME INCREASE IN MAGNITUDES.

OUTLOOK...

TUESDAY NIGHT: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY CHANCE OF SN.
WEDNESDAY: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. BREEZY NO SIG WX.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
THURSDAY NIGHT: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY: NO OPERATIONAL IMPACT. NO SIG WX.
FRIDAY NIGHT: LOW OPERATIONAL IMPACT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHSN...SN...SLEET.
SATURDAY: MODERATE OPERATIONAL IMPACT. CHANCE OF RA...SN...SLEET.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ICE TO FORM ON BODIES OF WATER ALONG WITH
SNOW.

FOR DETAILS ON SPECIFIC AREA RIVERS AND LAKES...INCLUDING
OBSERVED AND FORECAST RIVER STAGES AND LAKE ELEVATIONS...PLEASE
VISIT THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE /AHPS/ GRAPHS ON
OUR WEBSITE.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
     THIS EVENING FOR NYZ032-033-042.
MA...NONE.
VT...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...OKEEFE
NEAR TERM...OKEEFE/11/NAS
SHORT TERM...OKEEFE
LONG TERM...NAS
AVIATION...BGM/NAS
HYDROLOGY...IAA/11
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 11, 9:45 PM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
945 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

NYZ032-033-121200-
NORTHERN HERKIMER-HAMILTON-
945 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NYZ042-121200-
NORTHERN WARREN-
945 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ038>041-043-047>054-058>061-063>066-082>084-
VTZ013>015-121200-
NORTHERN LITCHFIELD-SOUTHERN LITCHFIELD-NORTHERN BERKSHIRE-
SOUTHERN BERKSHIRE-SOUTHERN HERKIMER-SOUTHERN FULTON-MONTGOMERY-
NORTHERN SARATOGA-NORTHERN WASHINGTON-SCHOHARIE-WESTERN SCHENECTADY-
EASTERN SCHENECTADY-SOUTHERN SARATOGA-WESTERN ALBANY-EASTERN ALBANY-
WESTERN RENSSELAER-EASTERN RENSSELAER-WESTERN GREENE-EASTERN GREENE-
WESTERN COLUMBIA-EASTERN COLUMBIA-WESTERN ULSTER-EASTERN ULSTER-
WESTERN DUTCHESS-EASTERN DUTCHESS-NORTHERN FULTON-SOUTHEAST WARREN-
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON-BENNINGTON-WESTERN WINDHAM-EASTERN WINDHAM-
945 PM EST MON JAN 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWESTERN
CONNECTICUT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...EAST CENTRAL NEW YORK AND
SOUTHERN VERMONT.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Albany, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 2:50 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryALYAlbany, Fulton, Montgomery, Schenectady, Schoharie37 hr
Jan 12, 12:34 PM ESTWind AdvisoryALYAlbany, Columbia, Dutchess, Fulton, Greene, Herkimer and 6 more28 hr
Jan 12, 6:07 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementALYHerkimer38 min
Jan 12, 6:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery, Saratoga, Schenectady52 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in New York, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.