Severe Thunderstorm Warning 71, NWS Wakefield, VA

346 
WWUS51 KAKQ 231206
SVSAKQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
806 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

VAC036-149-231215-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-160623T1230Z/
PRINCE GEORGE VA-CHARLES CITY VA-
806 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN PRINCE GEORGE AND
CHARLES CITY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA, THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3730 7632 3731 7634 3721 7635 3720 7634
      3705 7636 3708 7666 3711 7666 3714 7667
      3708 7670 3710 7689 3753 7681 3752 7680
      3753 7679 3753 7677 3752 7644 3751 7643
      3751 7629
TIME...MOT...LOC 1205Z 286DEG 41KT 3720 7668 

$$

VAC073-095-097-115-127-181-199-650-700-735-830-231230-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0071.000000T0000Z-160623T1230Z/
YORK VA-GLOUCESTER VA-SURRY VA-NEW KENT VA-CITY OF POQUOSON VA-
MATHEWS VA-KING AND QUEEN VA-CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG VA-
CITY OF HAMPTON VA-CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS VA-JAMES CITY VA-
806 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM EDT
FOR YORK...GLOUCESTER...NORTHEASTERN SURRY...EAST CENTRAL NEW KENT...
MATHEWS...SOUTHEASTERN KING AND QUEEN AND JAMES CITY COUNTIES...THE
CITY OF POQUOSON...THE CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG...THE CITY OF HAMPTON AND
THE CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...

AT 805 AM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BUSCH GARDENS...
OR NEAR WILLIAMSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NEWPORT NEWS...VIRGINIA INSTITUTE FOR MARINE SCIENCES...LEE HALL AND 
  FORT EUSTIS AROUND 815 AM EDT. 
  PATRICK HENRY FIELD...SEAFORD...TABB AND DENBIGH AROUND 820 AM EDT. 
  HAMPTON AND BEACONSDALE AROUND 825 AM EDT. 
  LANGLEY AFB AROUND 830 AM EDT. 

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE RUFF...
BELROI...HARCUM...HOG ISLAND GAME RESERVE...ADNER...BACONS CASTLE...ARK...
HORNSBYVILLE...HARRIS GROVE AND SELDEN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

PLEASE SEND YOUR REPORTS OF HAIL AND OR WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING
TREES OR LARGE LIMBS DOWNED...BY CALLING NOAA'S NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD AT
...7 5 7...8 9 9...2 4 1 5.&&

LAT...LON 3730 7632 3731 7634 3721 7635 3720 7634
      3705 7636 3708 7666 3711 7666 3714 7667
      3708 7670 3710 7689 3753 7681 3752 7680
      3753 7679 3753 7677 3752 7644 3751 7643
      3751 7629
TIME...MOT...LOC 1205Z 286DEG 41KT 3720 7668 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
717 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure tracks east across a stalled frontal boundary
located just north of the area today. The front will then drop
south over the region late today into tonight. High pressure
builds in from the north Friday through Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Latest sfc analysis shows a diffuse stationary frntal bndry over
the nrn Mid Atlc, with another weak frnt near the VA/NC border,
where convection is ongoing erly this morng. These shras/tstms are
expected to continue thru the erly morng hrs as the atm is quite
moist despite weak instability attm. Radar mosaic also shows
another area of pcpn moving thru wrn va/wv. Although this activity
may weaken as it crosses the mountains, tstms are still expected
at least over nrn portions of the fa later this morng. SPC
continues to highlight the area in a slgt risk for severe wx.
Although there is plenty of deep-layer shear, instability is
fairly weak this morng, and severe potential later tda with any
redevelopment will largely be dictated by how much instability is
present. Pops range fm chance srn areas to likely nrn areas. With
skies avgg mstly cloudy and guidance running too high the past few
days, undercut temp guidance tda...highs mainly 85-90f. Good
chance for shras/tstms continues tngt as the frntal bndry drops s
thru the area. Low temps in the upr 60s to lwr 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure to the north builds into the area behind the front
Friday. Not as warm as the winds shift to the NE. The boundary
gets hung up to the south so expect sct convection during the day
with the highest pops across North Carolina. Highs in the low to
mid 80s west of the Ches Bay...75-80 along the coast.

Drying trend and cooler Friday night and Saturday as high
pressure dominates. Lows Friday night in the mid to upr 60s.
Highs Saturday in the low to mid 80s west of the bay...mid 70s to
lwr 80s at the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Dry conditions to begin the extended period as the upper level ridge
axis builds over the region. Surface high pressure pushes off the
Northeast coast Sunday with low level winds remaining onshore.
Temperatures will remain slightly below seasonal norms, with highs
generally in the low 80's near the coast to mid 80's inland. Upper
high pressure retreats westward over the Desert Southwest Monday as
shortwave energy digs from south central Canada over the Great Lakes
region. An attendant cold front forecast to reach the Ohio Valley
late Monday. Pressure falls on the lee side of the mountains ahead
of the front will induce a lee side trough late Monday, which
coupled with increasing moisture in southerly flow may help some
upstream showers/thunderstorms over the higher terrain move into the
region Monday night, but expect Monday to remain dry. Warmer, with
highs in the mid to upper 80's.  Better moisture arrives Tuesday
with dewpoints warming back into 70's. The front may drop into the
Piedmont late Tuesday, but expect enough instability and low level
convergence along the lee/thermal trough for scattered afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms. Near seasonal temperatures again
with highs in the mid to upper 80's. The front is expected to reach
the coast Tuesday night into Wednesday, with POPs continuing along
the coast Wednesday as the trough builds over the Northeast CONUS.
Highs Wednesday in the mid 80's.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Area of shras/tstms currently moving thru central VA will lead to
areas of low cigs/vsbys this morng. Included tsra for
kric/ksby, with this initial batch of pcpn likely missing the
other terminals. Thereafter, mainly carried vcsh with some
redevelopment likely later tda. Outside of any shra/tstm activity,
vfr conditions should prevail thru the taf period.

Outlook...Unsettled weather continue tngt/Fri with a frontal
boundary nearby. Additional showers or storms are possible. The
weekend looks quiet with high pressure building across the Mid
Atlc.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest wx analysis reveals Sfc Low pressure over the western Ohio
Valley, sliding E-SE along frontal boundary, which is in place
from near the VA/NC border back into W VA and the OH/TN vlys. Sfc
low will continue to slide E-SE towards the Delmarva today.
Pre-frontal SW winds increase with tightening pressure gradient,
but should remain sub-SCA given warm air mass in place and the
resultant less than optimal mixing of stronger winds just aloft.
Sfc low pulls offshore tonight, with its trailing sfc boundary
dropping into the area overnight into Friday morning, slowly
veering winds to the W-NW overnight. Very little CAA push behind
the boundary should keep predominate conditions sub-SCA behind the
front late tonight and Friday.

High pressure builds off the Northeast Coast on Friday/Friday
night, with low level flow veering around to the N-NE ~10-15
knots. High pressure remains in the vicinity of the Northeast
coast through the weekend with ongoing northeast flow over the
waters. Rather meager pressure gradient expected, so speeds will
likely stay sub- SCA ~ 10-15 kt. Seas expected to stay at or below
4 feet, but NWPS and wavewatch both depict 5-6 foot seas just
offshore. Have kept 3-4 ft and wl continue to monitor. High
pressure pushes offshore Monday as the next cold front approaches
from the west. Flow becomes south to southeast at or below 15
knots.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAS/MPR
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...MAS/MPR
LONG TERM...SAM
AVIATION...MAS
MARINE...MAM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
313 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-
093-095>100-509>525-240715-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
NORTHAMPTON-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-WESTERN CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-EASTERN CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-PRINCE EDWARD-
CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-
POWHATAN-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-
DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-
MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-SOUTHAMPTON-
ISLE OF WIGHT-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
ACCOMACK-WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-WESTERN HANOVER-
EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-
EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL. HEIGHTS)-
WESTERN HENRICO (INCLUDING THE CITY OF RICHMOND)-EASTERN HENRICO-
WESTERN KING WILLIAM-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-
EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-
HAMPTON/POQUOSON-
313 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST
MARYLAND...NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. THE MAIN
THREATS ARE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
413 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

NCZ030>032-230915-
PERQUIMANS-BERTIE-CHOWAN-
413 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CHOWAN...BERTIE AND
SOUTHWESTERN PERQUIMANS COUNTIES...

AT 413 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF
WINDSOR...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WINDSOR...LEWISTON WOODVILLE...VALHALLA...CAPE COLONY...SNUG HARBOR...
MIDWAY...ASKEWVILLE...HANCOCK...MOUNT GOULD...CONNARITSA...SAINT JOHNS...
WAKELON...SOMERSET...REPUBLICAN...WHITES CROSSROADS...ROSEMEAD...WOODARD...
MACEDONIA...QUITSNA AND BUENA VISTA.

LAT...LON 3590 7692 3586 7704 3594 7704 3593 7719
      3601 7721 3606 7732 3622 7703 3609 7632
      3609 7638 3608 7645 3607 7642 3601 7651
      3601 7658 3606 7662 3601 7669 3593 7669
      3588 7674 3588 7683 3581 7688
TIME...MOT...LOC 0813Z 286DEG 27KT 3610 7687

SCALORA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
648 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CUMBERLAND              37.50N 78.24W
06/23/2016                   CUMBERLAND         VA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWNED ALONG ANDERSON HWY NEAR
            CUMBERLAND COURTHOUSE. HAIL AS LARGE AS A
            QUARTER ALSO REPORTED AT THIS LOCATION.

&&

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
702 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 AM     TSTM WND DMG     CHULA                   37.38N 77.90W
06/23/2016                   AMELIA             VA   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES DOWN AT PINE GROVE AND VA-604.

&&

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
703 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LODORE                  37.44N 78.03W
06/23/2016                   AMELIA             VA   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN ALONG GENITO ROAD, JUST NORTH OF
            AMELIA COURTHOUSE.

&&

05

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
714 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

VAZ064-075-076-521-231215-
CAROLINE-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-WESTERN ESSEX-
714 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN RICHMOND...
NORTHWESTERN ESSEX...NORTHEASTERN CAROLINE AND WESTMORELAND
COUNTIES...

AT 714 AM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER LORETTO...OR 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF CHAMPLAIN...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLONIAL BEACH...MONTROSS...CHAMPLAIN...PORT ROYAL...HAGUE...KINSALE...
LEEDSTOWN...NEWLAND...COLES POINT...LORETTO...WESTMORELAND...SUPPLY...
SINGERLY...TEMPLEMAN...ELEVON...WESTMORELAND STATE...HUSTLE...PINEY GROVE...
LYELLS AND SPARTA.

LAT...LON 3821 7695 3817 7687 3815 7661 3811 7660
      3804 7652 3800 7659 3796 7706 3797 7715
      3794 7724 3825 7728 3824 7723 3823 7725
      3819 7725 3820 7722 3817 7718 3816 7709
      3814 7707 3826 7705 3828 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 1114Z 263DEG 34KT 3809 7709

SCALORA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
725 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     HAIL             3 NW MCRAE              37.49N 78.31W
06/23/2016  E1.00 INCH       CUMBERLAND         VA   PUBLIC

            TIME IS RADAR ESTIMATED.

&&

05