Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 7, NWS Wakefield, VA
NWS Wakefield, VA issued this river flood warning at Feb 5, 2016, 7:52 AM EST for Sussex County, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 5, 2016, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 5, 2016, 7:52 AM EST (12:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 5, 2016, 4:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 6, 2016, 9:00 AM EST
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wakefield, VA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Sussex County, VA
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Nottoway River near Stony Creek (STYV2). The gauge peaked at 15.12 ft at Feb 5, 2016, 10:00 PM EST.
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 15 ft
- Moderate stage
- 17 ft
- Major stage
- 20 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02045500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
403
WGUS41 KAKQ 051252
FLWAKQ
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
752 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
...The National Weather Service in Wakefield Va has issued a flood
warning for the following rivers in Virginia...
Nottoway River At Sebrell affecting Southampton County
Nottoway River Near Stony Creek affecting Sussex County
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell...Stony Creek...Minor
flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
www.weather.gov/akq. Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the
left hand side menu.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...
&&
VAC175-060052-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The National Weather Service in Wakefield Va has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Nottoway River At Sebrell.
* from Saturday morning until further notice...Or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 07:15 AM Friday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by
Tuesday evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.6 feet on
Apr 3 2010.
&&
LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
3660 7702
$$
VAC183-060052-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.160205T2100Z-160206T1400Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2100Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0800Z.NO/
752 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The National Weather Service in Wakefield Va has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek.
* from this afternoon to Saturday morning...Or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 07:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by
this afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.1 feet by after
midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage by early
Saturday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of the gage
begin to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on
Jul 13 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
3693 7752 3707 7724
$$4 follow-up statements
921
WGUS81 KAKQ 051656
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor
flooding is forecast.
For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including
Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.
For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville...Sebrell...Stony Creek...
Franklin...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
www.weather.gov/akq. Click on the Rivers & Lakes icon beneath
the watch/warning map.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...
&&
VAC041-087-760-060456-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T2100Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T2100Z.160205T2100Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage late
this afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no
damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on
Apr 22 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
3760 7785
$$
NCC015-060456-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T0600Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160207T0600Z.160209T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended until late Monday night...The
Flood Warning continues for
The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by early
Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo,
Granville Street, King Street, and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Dec
24 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
$$
VAC025-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1400Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river, which crested at 18.06 Ft Friday morning,
will continue to fall, dropping below flood stage after midnight
tonight.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on
Jul 14 2013.
&&
LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
3666 7793 3672 7803
$$
VAC175-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* from Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by midday
Saturday and continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by Tuesday
evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on
Dec 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
3660 7702
$$
VAC183-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.160205T2100Z-160206T1400Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2100Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0800Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* from this afternoon to Saturday morning...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.1 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of the gage
begin to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on
Jul 13 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
3693 7752 3707 7724
$$568
WGUS81 KAKQ 052219
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor
flooding is forecast.For the Chowan Basin...including
Lawrenceville...Sebrell...Stony Creek...Franklin...Minor flooding is
occurring and is expected to continue.For the Lower Roanoke Basin...
including Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to
continue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
www.weather.gov/akq. Click on the Rivers and Lakes icon beneath the
point and click forecast map.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...
&&
VAC041-087-760-060600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160206T0000Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon until late tonight...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this
evening.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no
damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on
Apr 22 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
3760 7785
$$
VAC025-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1400Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall this evening.
The river will fall below flood stage friday tonight.
* At 15.0 feet...Pasture land north of the river, downstream of the
gage, begins to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on
Mar 6 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
3666 7793 3672 7803
$$
VAC175-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* from Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At 04:15 PM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and
continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by Tuesday evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on
Dec 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
3660 7702
$$
VAC183-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160206T1400Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2130Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0800Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.1 feet by
after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage
early tomorrow.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the right handside upstream of the gage
begin to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on
Jul 13 2014.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
3693 7752 3707 7724
$$
VAC093-175-620-800-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.160206T0600Z-160209T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.160206T0600Z.160206T1800Z.160208T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River Above Franklin
* from late tonight to Monday evening...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 04:45 PM Friday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
Monday early afternoon.
* At 10.8 feet...A portion of Barretts Landing River Walk is
innundated in Downtown Franklin area.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 10.8 feet on
Jul 7 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3673 7698 3686 7692 3689 7685 3686 7680
3670 7687 3661 7685 3661 7700
$$
NCC015-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T0600Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160207T0600Z.160209T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:15 PM Friday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by early
Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo,
Granville Street...King Street...and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Dec
24 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
$$016
WGUS81 KAKQ 060937
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
437 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell...Stony Creek...Franklin...
Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue. For the
Lower Roanoke Basin...including Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring
and is expected to continue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
www.weather.gov/akq. Click on the Rivers and Lakes icon beneath the
point and click forecast map.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...
&&
VAC175-062137-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
437 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* from this morning until further notice...or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 04:15 AM Saturday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
to rise to near 17.6 feet by Monday evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on
Dec 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
3660 7702
$$
VAC183-061443-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160206T1443Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2130Z.160206T0430Z.160206T0843Z.NO/
437 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended until this morning...The Flood
Warning continues for
The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* until this morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 03:30 AM Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
later this morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the right hand side upstream of the
gage begin to flood.
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
3693 7752 3707 7724
$$
VAC093-175-620-800-062137-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160208T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.160206T0030Z.160206T0845Z.160207T1800Z.NO/
437 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River Above Franklin
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 03:45 AM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.6 feet by this
afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early
afternoon.
* At 11.8 feet...A portion of State Route 611 in Southampton County,
Joyners Bridge Road, is innundated. A portion of State Route 619,
in Isle of Wight County, is flooded.
&&
LAT...LON 3673 7698 3686 7692 3689 7685 3686 7680
3670 7687 3661 7685 3661 7700
$$
NCC015-062137-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T0300Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160206T0915Z.160208T2100Z.NO/
437 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until Monday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:15 AM Saturday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to around 9.6 feet later
today...then fall to below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo,
Granville Street, King Street, and Queen Street innundated.
&&
LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
$$864
WGUS81 KAKQ 061318
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
818 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
For the Chowan Basin...including Sebrell...Stony Creek...Franklin...
Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.For the Lower
Roanoke Basin...including Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and
is expected to continue.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.
Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at
www.weather.gov/akq. Click on the Rivers and Lakes icon beneath the
point and click forecast map.
Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...
&&
VAC175-070118-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1608Z-160211T0336Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1608Z.160209T0000Z.160210T2136Z.NO/
818 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:15 AM Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.6 feet by
Monday evening. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday
afternoon.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on
Dec 29 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
3660 7702
$$
VAC183-061348-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160206T1443Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2130Z.160206T0430Z.160206T0900Z.NO/
818 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* At 07:30 AM Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage early this morning.
* No flooding is currently forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.7 feet
Sunday morning. .
&&
LAT...LON 3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
3693 7752 3707 7724
$$
VAC093-175-620-800-070118-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-160208T1459Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.160206T0030Z.160206T1800Z.160208T0859Z.NO/
818 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended until Monday morning...The
Flood Warning continues for
The Blackwater River Above Franklin
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:45 AM Saturday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.7 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* At 11.8 feet...A portion of State Route 611 in Southampton County,
Joyners Bridge Road, is innundated. A portion of State Route 619,
in Isle of Wight County, is flooded.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 10.8 feet on
Jul 7 2015.
&&
LAT...LON 3673 7698 3686 7692 3689 7685 3686 7680
3670 7687 3661 7685 3661 7700
$$
NCC015-070118-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T1030Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160207T0000Z.160209T0430Z.NO/
818 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016
...The Flood Warning has been extended until late Monday night...The
Flood Warning continues for
The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:15 AM Saturday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.9 feet by this
evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday before
midnight.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo,
Granville Street, King Street, and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 8.4 feet on Jan
2 2016.
&&
LAT...LON 3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 5, 7:04 AM EST, 48 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 5, 7:04 AM EST, 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
704 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NORTHEAST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TODAY.
HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
WINTER WX ADVSRY CONTINUES AS PLANNED OVER THE NRN NECK AND LWR MD
ERN SHORE FOR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 1-2 INCHES PSBL. LATEST SFC
ANALYSIS SHOWS 1010 MB LO PRES JUST OFF THE NC CST WITH 1030 MB HI
PRES CENTERED OVER THE LWR MS VALLEY. LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH AN
APPROACHING VERY STRONG MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROF AND RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPR-LEVEL JET STREAK HAVE ALLOWED FOR PCPN
TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA ERLY THIS MORNG...WITH IT HEAVIEST NR
THE CST WHERE UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH IS PSBL TDA. AS FOR
PTYPE...CRASHING TEMPS ALOFT HAVE ALLOWED RAIN TO START MIXING
WITH SNOW FOR AREAS NEAR/N OF RIC. THIS MIXING WITH SNOW SHOULD
CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNG EWRD TOWARDS THE LWR MD
ERN SHORE. MAIN ISSUE IS A STILL WARM BNDRY LAYER/SFC TEMPS IN THE
MID/UPR 30S...WHICH WITHOUT HEAVIER PCPN MAY FAIL TO GET DOWN TO
FREEZING MOST AREAS. PREVIOUS FORECAST OF UP TO 1-2 INCHES FOR
AREAS MAINLY IN THE ADVSRY AREA REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH
ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED TO PRIMARILY BE ON GRASS/NON-PAVED SFCS.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR HRLY TRENDS BUT AS OF 4AM THE PCPN IS
ALREADY STARTING TO BREAK UP OVER WRN PORTIONS OF THE FA. PLAIN
RAIN EXPECTED FOR S/SE PORTIONS OF THE FA. THE PCPN ENDS FM W TO E
THRU THIS MORNG...WITH ALL AREAS DRY BY LATE MORNG/MIDDAY. HI
TEMPS ONLY REACH THE MID 40S THIS AFTN UNDER STRONG CAA AND
DECREASING CLOUDS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRES OVER THE TN VLLY TNGT BUILDS EAST OVR THE MID ATLNTC
RGN SAT AND SAT NITE. MEANWHILE...A CSTL TROF DVLPS INVOF GULF
STREAM. DRY AND SEASONABLE CONDITIONS XPCTD THRU ERLY SUN. LOWS
TNGT M20S-L30S. HIGHS SAT 45-50. LOWS SAT NITE U20S-M30S.
S/W ENRGY WILL SPAWN YET ANTHR LOW PRS SYSTM OFF THE SERN US COAST
SAT NITE WITH THIS SYSTM PROGGED TO LIFT NE WELL OFFSHORE SUN.
MODELS KEEP ANY SGNFCNT MSTR WITH THIS SYSTM SOUTH OF THE ALBEMARLE
SND WITH JUST SOME LIGHT PCPN SNEAKING ITS WAY UP THE COAST ALONG
THE NRN OUTER BANKS AND SERN VA. WILL MAINTAIN LOW CHC POPS (RAIN)
ALONG THE CNTYS THAT BORDER ALBEMARLE SND WITH A BUFFER ZONE OF
SLGHT CHC POPS UP TO AND INCLUDING THE TIDEWATER AREA. OTW...PT
SUNNY WEST TO MSTLY CLDY EAST. COOLER ALONG THE COAST
(M-U40S)...WARMER INLAND (U40S-L50S).
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN
STATES NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN WELL TO THE NORTH SO DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE ABOVE FREEZING.
PRECIPITATION OVER SE VA/NE NC ASSOCIATED WITH A DEPARTING SURFACE
LOW OFF THE COAST WILL END SUNDAY EVENING. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
DIG SOUTH THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
TUESDAY. DUE TO COLD AIR ALOFT WITH THE UPPER LOW...EXPECT THE
PCPN TO BE SHOWERY IN NATURE. A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW IS
INDICATED ALONG AND TO THE WEST OF INTERSTATE 95 EVEN WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPR 30S. PCPN SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN
CLOSER TO THE COAST ON TUESDAY. AS PCPN ENDS FROM THE WEST TUESDAY
NIGHT...PCPN SHOULD TURN TO SNOW TOWARD THE COAST AS COLDER AIR
MOVES IN. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE W/SW WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOLER WEATHER EXPECTED.
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPR 40S MONDAY WILL LOWER TO THE
LOWER 40S BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. LOWS ARE FORECAST FROM 30 TO
35 MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNING AND IN THE 20S WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY MORNING.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
IFR (LCL MVFR) ACROSS AREA TERMINALS THIS MORNING WITH PCPN
TAPERING OFF OVER THE NEXT 2-3 HRS FROM SW TO NE. SNOW ENDING OVER
THE NEXT HR AT RIC...WITH PL/SN AT PHF/ORF...SN AT SBY (RASN AT
ECG). CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVE FROM 14Z ON, WITH CONDS IMPROVING
TO VFR BY LATE MORNING AND THRU THE AFTN. NNW WINDS REMAIN GUSTY
TODAY...IN THE 20-30KT RANGE LATE MORN/ERY AFTN BEFORE WINDS
DIMINISH QUICKLY FROM MID AFTN INTO EARLY EVENING.
OUTLOOK...MAINLY VFR AND DRY WEATHER ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE A CHC FOR RAIN LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
EVENING AT ORF/ECG WITH ANOTHER PERIOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS PSBL.
MORE PCPN DEVELOPS BY LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH MIXED RAIN AND
SNOW AT RIC/SBY AND MAINLY RAIN SE TERMINALS. MARGINAL MVFR AND
BRIEF PDS OF IFR WILL BE PSBL.
&&
.MARINE...
LATEST WX ANALYSIS REVEALS ~1008MB SFC LOW PRESSURE MOVING NNE
ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE OVER THE COASTAL CAROLINAS. MEANWHILE, COLD
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD TO THE WEST, WITH SHARPENING
PRESSURE GRADIENT ALLOWING FOR STRONG/HIGH END SCA WINDS AT 08Z,
WITH A PERIOD OF GUSTS TO GALE FORCE EXPECTED OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS, CHES BAY AND CURRITUCK SOUND (GALE WARNINGS CONTINUE OVER
THESE AREAS UNTIL MIDDAY). THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO DEEPEN RAPIDLY
AS IT SLOWLY TRACKS NE ALONG THE STALLED FRONT EARLY THIS
MORNING...EVENTUALLY EJECTING NE TOWARD ATLANTIC CANADA BY AFTN
THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. PRESSURE GRADIENT SLACKENS QUICKLY
DURING THIS PERIOD, AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE W-SW. WINDS WILL AVERAGE 20-30KT (15-25KT ERN VA RIVERS)
THIS MORNING...DIMINISHING TO 10-15 KT BY EARLY THIS EVENING AND
AOB 10KT LATE TNGT. GALE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE REPLACED
BY SCA BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE BAY AND SOUND BEFORE SUB-
SCA CONDS RETURN THIS EVENING.
SEAS AVERAGE 5-7FT NRN COASTAL WATERS AND 6-10FT SRN COASTAL
WATERS EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY SUBSIDING THIS AFTN AND
TONIGHT. EVEN AFTER GALES CAN BE LOWERED, SCA MAINLY FOR HAZARDOUS
SEAS WL LKLY BE NEEDED AS SEAS TAKE SEVERAL HOURS TO DROP BELOW
5FT, ESPECIALLY SRN ZONES, WHICH COULD REMAIN AOA 5FT UNTIL SAT
MORNING. WAVES ON CHES BAY AVERAGE 4-5FT THIS MORNING...BEFORE
SUBSIDING TO 2-4 FT THIS AFTN. WAVES MAY REACH UP TO 6FT IN THE
LOWER CHES BAY FROM AROUND SUNRISE THRU MID MORNING.
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT SAT/SAT NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OVERHEAD
AND THEN OFFSHORE BY SAT NIGHT. ANOTHER ROUND OF SCA TO GALE
FORCE IMPACTS MAY BE POSSIBLE AGAIN SUN/SUN NIGHT, AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER THE SE CONUS AND LIFTS IN OUR DIRECTION ON SUNDAY.
SEAS EXPECTED TO BUILD TO 5-10FT SRN COASTAL WATERS AND 5-7FT NRN
COASTAL WATERS DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. WAVES ON CHES BAY SHOULD
AVERAGE 3-4FT WITH UP TO 4-5FT IN THE MOUTH OF CHES BAY SUN NIGHT.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CASHIE AT WINDSOR.
WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR RICHMOND/WESTHAM AND THE MEHERRIN AT
LAWRENCEVILLE DUE TO THE RUNOFF FROM THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.
SEE FLSAKQ FOR DETAILS.
&&
.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
MDZ021>025.
NC...NONE.
VA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR
VAZ075>078.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR ANZ633-650-652-654-656-
658.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
ANZ635>637.
GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ630>632-634.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ638.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MAS
NEAR TERM...MAS
SHORT TERM...MAS/MPR
LONG TERM...LSA
AVIATION...MAM/DAP
MARINE...MAM
HYDROLOGY...Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 5, 3:55 AM EST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 355 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 VAZ048-062-064-069-081>086-090-099-509>522-060900- FLUVANNA-GOOCHLAND-CAROLINE-POWHATAN-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY- NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-JAMES CITY-ACCOMACK- WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-WESTERN HANOVER-EASTERN HANOVER- WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD-WESTERN HENRICO- EASTERN HENRICO-WESTERN KING WILLIAM-EASTERN KING WILLIAM- WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX- 355 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. EXPECT A RAIN AND WET SNOW MIX THIS MORNING. UP TO AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY ON GRASSY AND NON-PAVED SURFACES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. VAZ075>078-060900- WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER- 355 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MDZ021>025-060900- DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES- 355 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ060-061-065>068-079-080-087>089-092-093- 095>098-100-523>525-060900- NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK- BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-PRINCE EDWARD- CUMBERLAND-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE- GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT- NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-NORTHAMPTON VA- YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-HAMPTON/POQUOSON- 355 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA...THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 7:52 AM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | Southampton | 6 days |
| Feb 5, 10:57 AM EST | River Flood Warning | AKQ | Isle of Wight, Southampton, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk | 4 days |
| Feb 5, 4:43 PM EST | Gale Watch | AKQ | 23 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.