Alert archive / Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Wakefield, VA

February 3, 2016Chesterfield County, Henrico County, City of Richmond, Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this river flood warning at Feb 3, 2016, 5:13 PM EST for Chesterfield County, Henrico County, City of Richmond, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 4, 2016, 5:00 PM EST. It was in force for 42 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2016, 5:13 PM EST (22:13 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 4, 2016, 5:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 6, 2016, 11:00 AM EST
In force
42 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Chesterfield County, VA, City of Richmond, VA, Henrico County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point James River (VA) at Richmond-Westham (RMDV2).

Action stage
9 ft
Minor stage
12 ft
Moderate stage
15 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02037500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

201 
WGUS41 KAKQ 032213
FLWAKQ
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
513 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...The National Weather Service in Wakefield Va has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Virginia...

  James River At Richmond Westham affecting Chesterfield...City of 
  Richmond and Henrico Counties
For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-041013-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160204T2200Z-160206T1600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160204T2200Z.160205T1800Z.160206T1000Z.NO/
513 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

The National Weather Service in Wakefield Va has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The James River At Richmond Westham.
* from Thursday afternoon to Saturday morning...Or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by 
  Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by Friday
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 13.0 feet...Approximately 20 acres of lowland floods in 
  vicinity of gage.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 13.5 feet on 
Jun 2 1940.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$
8 follow-up statements
835 
WGUS81 KAKQ 040936
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
436 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-042136-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.NO/
436 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from Friday afternoon to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 03:30 AM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.


&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$
064 
WGUS81 KAKQ 041410
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
910 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.For the Chowan Basin...including 
Lawrenceville...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-050210-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.NO/
910 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from Friday afternoon to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 08:30 AM Thursday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.1 feet on 
Apr 22 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

VAC025-050210-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.160204T1430Z-160206T0600Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1430Z.160205T0600Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
910 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 08:30 AM Thursday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet after
  midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 16.6 feet on 
May 2 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$
482 
WGUS81 KAKQ 042005
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
305 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.

For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville...Minor flooding is
occurring and is expected to continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-050805-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.NO/
305 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from Friday afternoon to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 02:30 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.1 feet on 
Apr 22 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

VAC025-050805-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T0600Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T0600Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
305 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 02:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.3 feet after
  midnight tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Friday
  evening.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 16.6 feet on 
May 2 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$
997 
WGUS81 KAKQ 050108
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
808 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.For the Chowan Basin...including 
Lawrenceville...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to 
continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-051308-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0000Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.NO/
808 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from Friday afternoon to Friday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 07:30 PM Thursday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  tomorrow early afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on 
Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

VAC025-051308-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T0600Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T0600Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
808 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until late Friday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.1 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 16.6 feet on 
May 2 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$
488 
WGUS81 KAKQ 051129
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
629 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.For the Chowan Basin...including 
Lawrenceville...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to 
continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-052329-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
629 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended until late tonight...The Flood
Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 05:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 10.6 feet on 
Dec 25 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

VAC025-052329-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1200Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
629 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended until Saturday morning...The 
Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 05:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.1 feet by this
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage after midnight 
  tonight.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 16.6 feet on 
May 2 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$
880 
WGUS81 KAKQ 051302
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
802 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including 
Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.For
the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville...Minor flooding is 
occurring and is expected to continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and lakes ahps link on the 
left hand side menu. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-060102-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T1800Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T1800Z.160205T1800Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
802 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 07:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on 
Apr 22 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

NCC015-060102-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.160205T1256Z-160208T1000Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160206T1800Z.160208T0400Z.NO/
802 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended until late Sunday night...The 
Flood Warning continues for
  The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Sunday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:15 AM Friday the stage was 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday before midnight.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo, 
  Granville Street, King Street, and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Dec
24 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
                                      

$$

VAC025-060102-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1230Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
802 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 07:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting at 18.0 ft and will begin to
  fall later today...dropping below flood stage after midnight
  tonight.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on 
Jul 14 2013.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$
921 
WGUS81 KAKQ 051656
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.
For the Lower Roanoke Basin...including 
Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.
For the Chowan Basin...including Lawrenceville...Sebrell...Stony Creek...
Franklin...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers & Lakes icon beneath
the watch/warning map. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-060456-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.160205T2100Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160205T2100Z.160205T2100Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon to late tonight...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage late 
  this afternoon.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on 
Apr 22 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

NCC015-060456-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T0600Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160207T0600Z.160209T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning has been extended until late Monday night...The 
Flood Warning continues for
  The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by early
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo, 
  Granville Street, King Street, and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Dec
24 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
                                      

$$

VAC025-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1400Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river, which crested at 18.06 Ft Friday morning, 
  will continue to fall, dropping below flood stage after midnight
  tonight.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 18.1 feet on 
Jul 14 2013.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$

VAC175-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* from Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 11:15 AM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by midday
  Saturday and continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by Tuesday
  evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on 
Dec 29 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
      3660 7702                       

$$

VAC183-060455-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.160205T2100Z-160206T1400Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2100Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0800Z.NO/
1156 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* from this afternoon to Saturday morning...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.1 feet by this
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Saturday morning.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the righthandside upstream of the gage 
  begin to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on 
Jul 13 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724             

$$
568 
WGUS81 KAKQ 052219
FLSAKQ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

For the Lower James Basin...including Richmond Westham...Minor 
flooding is forecast.For the Chowan Basin...including 
Lawrenceville...Sebrell...Stony Creek...Franklin...Minor flooding is 
occurring and is expected to continue.For the Lower Roanoke Basin...
including Windsor...Minor flooding is occurring and is expected to 
continue.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Please use extreme caution if venturing near riverbanks. Move to 
higher ground immediately should rising water threaten your safety.

Graphical forecast information is available on the internet at 
www.weather.gov/akq.  Click on the Rivers and Lakes icon beneath the 
point and click forecast map. 

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather radio for further updates...


&&

VAC041-087-760-060600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160206T0600Z/
/RMDV2.1.ER.160206T0000Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The James River At Richmond Westham
* from this afternoon until late tonight...or until the warning is
  cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage this 
  evening.
* At 12.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding along both banks, no 
  damage at this level.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 12.2 feet on 
Apr 22 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3770 7780 3756 7744 3747 7749 3753 7770
      3760 7785                       

$$

VAC025-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160206T1100Z/
/LAWV2.1.ER.160204T1428Z.160205T1400Z.160206T0500Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Meherrin River At Lawrenceville
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage friday tonight.
* At 15.0 feet...Pasture land north of the river, downstream of the 
  gage, begins to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on 
Mar 6 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3683 7802 3676 7756 3666 7757 3668 7783
      3666 7793 3672 7803             

$$

VAC175-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0006.160206T1500Z-000000T0000Z/
/SEBV2.1.ER.160206T1500Z.160209T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Nottoway River At Sebrell
* from Saturday morning until further notice...or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 04:15 PM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 17.6 feet by Tuesday evening.
* At 18.5 feet...Hancock Peanut Mill is affected in Courtland.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 17.9 feet on 
Dec 29 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3672 7720 3682 7720 3687 7709 3664 7695
      3660 7702                       

$$

VAC183-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160206T1400Z/
/STYV2.1.ER.160205T2130Z.160206T0000Z.160206T0800Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Nottoway River Near Stony Creek
* until Saturday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.1 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early tomorrow.
* At 16.0 feet...Lowlands on the right handside upstream of the gage 
  begin to flood.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 15.0 feet on 
Jul 13 2014.

&&

LAT...LON  3687 7709 3682 7720 3692 7728 3680 7753
      3693 7752 3707 7724             

$$

VAC093-175-620-800-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0008.160206T0600Z-160209T0000Z/
/FKNV2.1.ER.160206T0600Z.160206T1800Z.160208T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Blackwater River Above Franklin
* from late tonight to Monday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 04:45 PM Friday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 10.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.1 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday early afternoon.
* At 10.8 feet...A portion of Barretts Landing River Walk is 
  innundated in Downtown Franklin area.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 10.8 feet on 
Jul 7 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3673 7698 3686 7692 3689 7685 3686 7680
      3670 7687 3661 7685 3661 7700   

$$

NCC015-061019-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160209T0600Z/
/WNDN7.1.ER.160205T1200Z.160207T0600Z.160209T0000Z.NO/
519 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Cashie River Near Windsor
* until late Monday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 04:15 PM Friday the stage was 8.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 9.2 feet by early
  Sunday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  evening.
* At 10.0 feet...Moderate flooding, portions of Liverman Park Zoo, 
  Granville Street...King Street...and Queen Street innundated.
This river level is comparable to a previous crest of 9.1 feet on Dec
24 2015.

&&

LAT...LON  3610 7712 3610 7695 3595 7684 3593 7693
                                      

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 3, 4:03 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 4:03 PM EST, 1 hour 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
403 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN STALLS NEAR THE COAST
THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THE FRONT LATE THURSDAY...THEN
TRACKS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE AREA FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
FROM THE WEST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
WARM FRONT CRNTLY LOCATED ALONG AKQ NRN BORDER WITH A MINI WEDGE
FROM LKU-FVX WHERE TMPS HOLDING IN THE L-M50S. OTW...TMPS WELL INTO
THE 60S TO M70S IN THE WARM SECTOR. INITIAL LINE OF CONVECTION
(LEWP) NOW PLOWING THROUGH THE WARM SECTOR AND WILL CONT TO MOVE
EAST NEXT SVRL HRS. IF ANY SVR WX DOES OCCUR...IT WILL BE WITH
THIS LINE BUT NOTHING SVR HAS BEEN REPORTED THRU THIS WRITING.
THUNDER HAS BEEN LIMITED BUT SOME LTG STRIKES ARE PSBL AS THE
LINE MOVES EAST. FA REMAINS IN A MARGINAL RISK SO WILL KEEP LOW
CHC TSTMS IN GRIDS.

FLOOD WATCH UP FOR THE PIEDMONT TONITE FOR 1-2 INCHES QPF GIVEN THE
LOW FLOOD GUIDE ON SATURATED GRND FROM RECENT SNOW MELT.
CONSIDERED A FLOOD WATCH FARTHER EAST GIVEN 1-2 INCH QPF...BUT
FLOOD GUIDE HIGHER WHERE LESS SNOW MELT OCCURRED. THNK STATEMENTS
SHOULD COVER THESE AREAS.

COLD FRONT PROGGED TO SLOWLY CROSS THE RGN AFTER MIDNITE. HIGH RES
DATA SUGGESTS INITIAL SURGE OF MSTR SHIFTS EAST THRU THE NITE. CAT
POPS CONT TAPERING OFF TO LIKELY ACROSS THE WEST AFTER MIDNITE THEN
TO CHC LATE. CAT POPS ERN SCTNS AS THE FRNT SLOWS ITS MOVEMENT AS T
APPRCHS THE COAST TOWARDS SUNRISE. SOME TRAINING ECHOES ARE PSBL
ACROSS THE SE AS WELL. LOWS BY 12Z FROM THE M40S NWRN CNTYS TO M50S
SERN CSTL AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
FRNT STALLS JUST OFF THE COAST ERLY THU WITH THE STEADIEST PCPN
ALONG THE COAST DRNG THE MORNING. LOW PRS DVLPS THEN TRACKS NE
ALONG THE BNDRY ALLOWING PCPN TO RETROGRADE NW DRNG THE AFTN.
WILL MAINTAIN CAT POPS ACROSS THE SE...LIKELY POPS TO THE I95
CORRIDOR WITH CHC POPS ACROSS THE WRN PIEDMONT. QPF AMTS MUCH
LIGHTER XPCT ALONG THE SERN BEACH AREAS WHERE UP TO ONE HALF INCH
PSBL. LITTLE IF ANY RISE IN TMPS XPCTD WITH HIGHS IN THE L-M50S.
TMPS MAY ACTUALLY DROP OVR THE PIEDMONT LATE.

INTERESTING FCST THU NITE AS THE LOW TRACKS NE ALONG THE BNDRY.
CAA ALLOWS TMPS AND CRITICAL THICKNESSES TO FALL BEFORE THE PCPN
ENDS. HOWEVER...SFC TMPS PROGGED TO STAY JUST ABOVE FREEZING. THIS
PRESENTS PCPN TYPE ISSUES WITH RAIN BECOMING MIXED WITH OR
CHANGING TO WET SNOW BEFORE ENDING. PCPN BY THIS TIME SHOULD BE
RATHER LIGHT. HOWEVER...SOME DATA SUGGESTS LAGGING VORTICITY
PROVIDES ENUF LIFT FOR A LIGHT ACCUMULATION ALONG THE COAST
INCLUDING TIDEWATER. GIVEN HOW WET THE GRND WILL BE WITH TMPS
ABOVE FREEZING...ANY SNOW WUD HAVE TO COME DOWN RATHER HARD TO
STICK. THUS...HAVE INDICATED A RAIN/SNOW MIX TO SNOW BY 12Z FRI
WITH NO SGNFCNT ACCUMULATION XPCTD. LOWS IN THE L-M30S.

LINGERING POPS FRI MORNING (RAIN/SNOW MIX ALONG THE COAST...CHC
SNOW INVOF THE CHES BAY WITH PSBL BAY EFFECT) WILL PUSH OFFSHORE
AS HIGH PRS BUILDS EAST AND INTO THE AREA. TSCTNS SHOW DRYING SO
EXPECT DCRG CLDNS WEST TO EAST FRI AFTN. HIGHS IN THE L-M40S.
MSTLY CLR TO PT CLDY FRI NITE. LOWS M20S NW TO M30S SE. MSTLY
SUNNY SAT. HIGHS 45-50.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE LONG TERM PERIOD FEATURES A COUPLE OF INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEMS OFF THE SE COAST AND MOVING NORTHEAST. BOTH OF THESE
THREATEN TO BRING PCPN TO THE AREA. THE GFS AND EURO WERE TRENDING
TOWARD AN OFFSHORE SOLUTION. THIS WOULD SUGGEST THAT PCPN AMOUNTS
MAY NOT BE HEAVY. SINCE THE EVENTS ARE STILL CLOSE TO A WEEK
OUT...ESPECIALLY THE SECOND ONE...DETAILS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN. FOR
NOW KEPT POPS NO HIGHER THAN 40 PERCENT.

RELIED HEAVILY ON BLENDED GUIDANCE WITH THE FORECAST. THE FIRST
SYSTEM MOVES OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND BRINGS A CHC
FOR RAIN OVER SE VA/NE NC SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER EASTERN
CANADA AND SOUTH INTO THE NORTHEAST CONUS BEHIND THE FIRST BRINGING
SOME COOLING. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPENS MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY AS THE SECOND LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM DEVELOPS OFF THE COAST. PCPN IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP MONDAY
NIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE ENDING FROM SW TO NE
TUESDAY NIGHT. CURRENTLY HAVE A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER MOST
OF THE AREA WITH MAINLY RAIN AT THE COAST. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
MAY CONTRIBUTE TO SOME OF THE PCPN INLAND. ARCTIC AIR WILL REMAIN
WELL TO THE NORTH KEEPING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING. LOW
PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST WITH DRY AND COOLER WEATHER FOR
WEDNESDAY.

A GRADUAL COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS IN THE
UPR 40S TO AROUND 50 SUNDAY COOL TO AROUND 40 BY WEDNESDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES FROM 30 TO 35 SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY BECOME MID 20S TO
LOWER 30S WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AT THE TAF SITES THROUGH
ABOUT 21Z ALONG WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. A COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED
THE EASTERN VA PIEDMONT ALREADY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE
TO ADVANCE EAST THROUGH TONIGHT. AS RAIN ARRIVES...CIGS WILL DROP
BACK DOWN INTO MVFR/IFR RANGE AFTER 21Z (AT KRIC)...WITH LOWER
CIGS AND WIDESPREAD RAIN SPREADING EAST THROUGH 02Z (WHEN RAIN
SHOULD REACH KECG). RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES ESPECIALLY IN THE
EARLY EVENING WITH ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE.

THE FRONT WILL REACH THE COAST LATE TONIGHT...STALLING IN THE
VICINITY OF THE COAST ON THU. LOW CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR RAIN
CONTINUING FOR SE COASTAL TERMINALS KORF/KPHF/KECG. DRY WX AND VFR
CONDS IS EXPECTED FOR FRI/SAT.

&&

.MARINE...
SFC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THU
MORNING. THE PRESSURE/TEMPERATURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN UP AHEAD
OF THE FRONT...CAUSING A MARKED INCREASE IN SOUTH WINDS FOR ALL
WATERS DURING THIS EVENING. STRONG SCA CONDITIONS WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 20-25KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30KT...PEAKING AROUND 35-45KT
FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME THIS EVENING (ROUGHLY IN THE 5-8PM TIME
RANGE) AS A STRONG LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CROSSES THE WATERS. GIVEN
THE SHORT WINDOW FOR GALE GUSTS TO OCCUR...WILL HANDLE THESE
DEVELOPING CONDITIONS WITH SMW HEADLINES RATHER THAN A LONGER-FUSED
GALE WARNING. SEAS AVERAGE 3-6FT SOUTH AND 5-7FT NORTH. WAVES
AVERAGE 3-5FT.

A POST-FRONTAL NLY SURGE WILL KEEP THE WATERS WITHIN SCA FLAGS
THROUGH THU WITH WINDS AVERAGING 20-30KT. MEANWHILE...THE EXITING
FRONT STALLS JUST OFF THE CAROLINA AND MID ATLANTIC COASTS AS LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER FLORIDA. THE LOW TRAVELS NE ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY AND STAYS EAST OF THE VA/NC OUTER BANKS THROUGH FRI.
ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION REMAINS ANCHORED ALONG THE COAST DURING
THIS TIME...A STRONGER NLY SURGE IS ANTICIPATED THU NIGHT INTO FRI
AS HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY SLIDES ACROSS SRN ONTARIO DOWN ACROSS THE
TN VALLEY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BTWN THE DEVELOPING LOW AND
INCOMING HIGH WILL RESULT IN THE STRONGER NLY SURGE WITH GUSTS
AVERAGING 30KT ALL WATERS EXCEPT ERN VA RIVERS. A PERIOD OF GALE
FORCE GUSTS 35-40KT MAY BE POSSIBLE FRI MORNING OVER SRN COASTAL
WATERS (SOUTH OF CAPE CHARLES LIGHT) BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO
ISSUE A THIRD PERIOD GALE WARNING DUE TO WIDESPREAD PRECIP
EXPECTED OVER THE WATERS. HAVE EXTENDED SCA FLAGS FOR ALL WATERS
EXCEPT ERN VA RIVERS DUE TO FREQUENT SCA CONDITIONS THIS EVENING
THROUGH FRI. THERE WILL BE PERIODIC LULLS IN WIND SPEEDS AT TIMES
BUT THEY WILL NOT BE LONG ENOUGH TO REFLECT A DECENT BREAK IN SCA
CONDITIONS/HEADLINES. SEAS AVERAGE 4-5FT THU AND THU EVENING...
BUILDING TO 5-8FT SRN COASTAL WATERS LATE THU NIGHT/FRI. WAVES ON
CHES BAY AVERAGE 3-4FT...BUILDING TO 4-5FT LATE THU NIGHT/FRI
MORNING.

HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY SLIDES OVERHEAD FRI NIGHT AND THEN OFFSHORE
BY SAT NIGHT. WINDS/SEAS/WAVES SUBSIDE BELOW SCA CONDITIONS
PRIMARILY FOR SAT ONLY BEFORE THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES
UP THE SE COAST AND IMPACTS THE WATERS EARLY SUN MORNING INTO MON.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR VAZ048-060>062-064-
     067>069-075-076-080>083-509>522.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ633-634-650-
     652-654-656-658.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM EST THURSDAY FOR ANZ635>638.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ630>632.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPR
NEAR TERM...MPR
SHORT TERM...MPR
LONG TERM...LSA
AVIATION...JDM
MARINE...BMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 12:49 PM EST, 4 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1249 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ065-066-077>079-084>090-092-093-
095>100-523>525-041800-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-BRUNSWICK-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-
GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-JAMES CITY-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-ACCOMACK-
NORTHAMPTON VA-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-HAMPTON/POQUOSON-
1249 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST
NORTH CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA...THE EASTERN SHORE OF
VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF
VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AN
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE AS WELL...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ048-060>062-064-067>069-075-076-080>083-509>522-041800-
FLUVANNA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-CAROLINE-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-
POWHATAN-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-
NEW KENT-WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-WESTERN HANOVER-
EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD-
WESTERN HENRICO-EASTERN HENRICO-WESTERN KING WILLIAM-
EASTERN KING WILLIAM-WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
1249 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA...THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA AND THE PIEDMONT OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. AN
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE AS WELL...WITH THE MAIN
THREAT BEING STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 3, 3:18 PM EST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
318 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ012-VAZ065-079-087-032100-
NORTHAMPTON-BRUNSWICK-GREENSVILLE-MECKLENBURG-
318 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
NORTHAMPTON...WESTERN CITY OF EMPORIA...WESTERN GREENSVILLE...
BRUNSWICK AND SOUTHEASTERN MECKLENBURG COUNTIES...

AT 317 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR SOUTH HILL TO 6 MILES NORTH OF HENDERSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 45
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS ALONG WITH
VERY HEAVY RAIN.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  SOUTH HILL...BRODNAX AND LA CROSSE AROUND 325 PM EST.
  LAWRENCEVILLE AND BRUNSWICK AROUND 340 PM EST.
  EBONY AROUND 350 PM EST.
  RADIUM AROUND 355 PM EST.
  EMPORIA...PURDY...JARRATT AND GASBURG AROUND 400 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE EDGERTON...
BASKERVILLE...FIELDS CROSSROADS...PALMER SPRINGS...ANTE...BOWENS
CORNER...SLATES CORNER...TRIPLET...FORKSVILLE AND WHITE PLAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE WIND GUSTS
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS...SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES...
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.  IF THE ROAD AHEAD OF YOU IS FLOODED...TURN
AROUND. DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADS IS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY
LIFE THREATENING.

&&

LAT...LON 3681 7827 3679 7813 3680 7810 3678 7803
      3684 7802 3688 7762 3685 7756 3686 7746
      3678 7748 3648 7770 3651 7790 3654 7790
      3654 7852
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 261DEG 39KT 3671 7816 3641 7842

ZIMMERMAN
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 3:36 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
336 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

VAZ078-080>084-088>090-514-516-518-520-523-032100-
YORK-LANCASTER-JAMES CITY-PRINCE GEORGE-EASTERN
HENRICO-GLOUCESTER-SURRY-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-CHARLES
CITY-DINWIDDIE-NEW KENT-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL.
HEIGHTS)-SUSSEX-EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-
336 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN
LANCASTER...SOUTHEASTERN DINWIDDIE...NORTHWESTERN GLOUCESTER...JAMES
CITY...SOUTHEASTERN KING WILLIAM...NORTHERN SUSSEX...NORTHWESTERN
YORK...SOUTHEASTERN CHESTERFIELD...SOUTHEASTERN KING AND QUEEN...
SURRY...NEW KENT...SOUTHEASTERN HENRICO...CITY OF PETERSBURG...PRINCE
GEORGE...CITY OF HOPEWELL...CHARLES CITY AND EASTERN CITY OF COLONIAL
HEIGHTS COUNTIES...

AT 335 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS EXTENDING FROM
NEAR ADKINS STORE TO NEAR STONY CREEK...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH THESE
STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  CHARLES CITY...ROXBURY...ADKINS STORE AND BOTTOMS BRIDGE AROUND 340
PM EST.
  TALLEYSVILLE...PROVIDENCE FORGE AND RUTHVILLE AROUND 345 PM EST.
  DISPUTANTA AND HOLDCROFT AROUND 350 PM EST.
  NEW KENT AND WAVERLY AROUND 355 PM EST.
  WEST POINT...DENDRON...BARHAMSVILLE...CABIN POINT...SHACKLEFORDS
AND BURROWSVILLE AROUND 400 PM EST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE WIND GUSTS
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS...SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES...
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3753 7725 3767 7672 3762 7669 3759 7662
      3769 7657 3770 7657 3771 7655 3706 7685
      3691 7738 3691 7759
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 245DEG 44KT 3739 7719 3699 7738

JM
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 3:56 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
356 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ012-VAZ079-080-087>089-092-032145-
NORTHAMPTON-DINWIDDIE-BRUNSWICK-SUSSEX-SOUTHAMPTON-GREENSVILLE-SURRY-
356 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
NORTHAMPTON...SOUTHEASTERN DINWIDDIE...SUSSEX...CITY OF EMPORIA...
GREENSVILLE...SOUTHWESTERN SURRY...SOUTHERN BRUNSWICK AND CENTRAL
SOUTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 354 PM EST...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS EXTENDING FROM 8
MILES SOUTHEAST OF MCKENNEY TO NEAR PURDY TO NEAR BRUNSWICK TO 7
MILES EAST OF NORLINA...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE AND HEAVY RAIN IS LIKELY
WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  PURDY AROUND 400 PM EST.
  JARRATT AND RADIUM AROUND 405 PM EST.
  EMPORIA AND STONY CREEK AROUND 410 PM EST.
  GREEN PLAIN AROUND 415 PM EST.
  ROANOKE RAPIDS...SUSSEX AND BARLEY AROUND 420 PM EST.
  GASTON AND HOMEVILLE AROUND 425 PM EST.
  WAVERLY AND DAHLIA AROUND 430 PM EST.
  WAKEFIELD...SEABOARD AND CLARESVILLE AROUND 435 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE EDGERTON...
WARFIELD...PLEASANT HILL...ANTE...BOWENS CORNER...SLATES CORNER...
SEBRELL...TRIPLET...EMPORIA AIRPORT AND CHERRY HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. THESE WIND GUSTS
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS...SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES...
AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND
OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3659 7804 3679 7783 3694 7771 3701 7740
      3699 7740 3702 7734 3714 7681 3690 7691
      3675 7705 3648 7741 3646 7764 3648 7765
      3649 7773 3648 7775 3650 7782 3651 7790
      3654 7790 3655 7804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 257DEG 46KT 3689 7763 3682 7763 3667 7778 3648
7808

ZIMMERMAN
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 4:39 PM EST, 34 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
439 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ012-013-VAZ087>089-092-093-096-523>525-032230-
NORTHAMPTON-HERTFORD-HAMPTON/POQUOSON-NEWPORT
NEWS-YORK-SOUTHAMPTON-SUFFOLK-GREENSVILLE-ISLE OF WIGHT-SURRY-SUSSEX-
439 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
HERTFORD...NORTHERN NORTHAMPTON...ISLE OF WIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN
SUSSEX...SOUTHEASTERN YORK...SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF EMPORIA...SOUTHERN
GREENSVILLE...CITY OF FRANKLIN...CENTRAL SURRY...CITY OF POQUOSON...
CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...CITY OF HAMPTON...SOUTHAMPTON AND CENTRAL CITY
OF SUFFOLK COUNTIES...

AT 438 PM EST...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS EXTENDING
FROM ELBERON TO NEAR IVOR TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF SEDLEY TO NEAR
DAHLIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. WIND GUSTS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  DENDRON...ELBERON AND SEDLEY AROUND 445 PM EST.
  IVOR AND GREEN PLAIN AROUND 450 PM EST.
  SMITHFIELD...ZUNI AND FORT EUSTIS AROUND 455 PM EST.
  NEWPORT NEWS...ISLE OF WIGHT...DENBIGH AND RESCUE AROUND 500 PM
EST.
  BOYKINS...CHRISTOPHER NEWPORT UNIVERSITY...PATRICK HENRY FIELD AND
TABB AROUND 505 PM EST.
  SEAFORD...NORTHAMPTON...NEWSOMS AND BEACONSDALE AROUND 510 PM EST.
  HAMPTON...COURTLAND...LANGLEY AFB...SUFFOLK AND CRITTENDEN AROUND
515 PM EST.
  FRANKLIN...GRAND VIEW AND HUNTERDALE AROUND 520 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE BACONS CASTLE...
PLEASANT HILL...LEES MILL...BRANCHVILLE...CHUCKATUCK...SHILOH...
RAYNOR...HORNSBYVILLE...BOAZ AND SLATES CORNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.  IF THE ROAD AHEAD OF YOU IS FLOODED...TURN
AROUND. DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADS IS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY
LIFE THREATENING.

&&

LAT...LON 3650 7780 3659 7774 3684 7723 3710 7698
      3717 7661 3723 7650 3721 7642 3723 7639
      3715 7641 3717 7635 3709 7627 3700 7630
      3700 7631 3703 7630 3695 7651 3694 7649
      3693 7650 3691 7646 3647 7713
TIME...MOT...LOC 2138Z 252DEG 48KT 3706 7690 3694 7694 3682 7708 3654
7759

ZIMMERMAN
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 4:50 PM EST, 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
450 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ012-013-032230-
NORTHAMPTON-HERTFORD-
450 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
HERTFORD AND NORTHAMPTON COUNTIES...

AT 449 PM EST...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS EXTENDING
FROM NEAR DAHLIA TO NEAR HALIFAX TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF DORTCHES...
AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. WIND GUSTS
OF 30 TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  GARYSBURG AND SEABOARD AROUND 455 PM EST.
  CONWAY AROUND 510 PM EST.
  CHOWAN UNIVERSITY AROUND 520 PM EST.
  MURFREESBORO AROUND 525 PM EST.
  RICH SQUARE...WOODLAND AND COMO AROUND 530 PM EST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE GALATIA...
CREEKSVILLE...FALSONS OLD TAVERN...MARGARETTSVILLE...PLEASANT HILL...
MILWAUKEE...PENDLETON...BOONES CROSSROADS...POTECASI AND LASKER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 7730 3621 7739 3624 7738 3627 7741
      3629 7741 3632 7744 3630 7754 3630 7755
      3633 7758 3635 7758 3638 7755 3640 7755
      3642 7756 3644 7761 3654 7759 3654 7699
      3621 7724 3622 7726 3621 7730
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 247DEG 41KT 3652 7750 3635 7753 3606 7775

ZIMMERMAN
Local storm report, Feb 3, 5:06 PM EST, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
506 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HEAVY RAIN       PURDY                   36.82N  77.59W
02/03/2016  M1.10 INCH       GREENSVILLE        VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            IN ONE HOUR

&&

EVENT NUMBER AKQ1600290

JEF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 3, 12:29 PM ESTFlood WatchAKQAmelia, Caroline, Charles City, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie and 19 more9 hr
Feb 3, 1:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQLunenburg, Mecklenburg37 min
Feb 3, 2:26 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQDinwiddie, Lunenburg, Nottoway34 min
Feb 3, 3:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCharles City, Chesterfield, Dinwiddie, Henrico, Prince George, City of Colonial Heights and 3 more29 min
Feb 3, 3:18 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQBrunswick, Greensville, Mecklenburg42 min
Feb 3, 3:36 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCharles City, Henrico, James City, New Kent, Prince George, Surry and 3 more24 min
Feb 3, 3:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQGreensville, Southampton, Surry, Sussex, City of Emporia49 min
Feb 3, 4:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQIsle of Wight, Southampton, York, City of Franklin, City of Hampton, City of Newport News51 min
Feb 3, 5:17 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth28 min
Feb 3, 5:27 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Franklin, City of Suffolk48 min
Feb 3, 6:01 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Hampton, City of Norfolk, City of Portsmouth59 min
Feb 3, 6:08 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Suffolk37 min
Feb 3, 6:42 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Virginia Beach48 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.