Alert archive / Virginia / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016

Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Wakefield, VA

July 31, 2016City of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Virginia Beach, Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this flash flood warning at Jul 31, 2016, 6:06 PM EDT for City of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Virginia Beach, Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 31, 2016, 6:06 PM EDT (22:06 UTC)
Expired
Jul 31, 2016, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 31, 6:07 PM EDTFLASH FLOODVirginia Beach, VA2800 BLOCK OF SHORE DRIVE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
Jul 31, 7:11 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 W Kempsville, VANUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER NEAR FAIRFIELD SHOPPING CENTER.
Jul 31, 7:15 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Ne Norfolk Internatio, VANUMEROUS ROADS FLOODED/CLOSED AT CNIC- LITTLE CREEK/FORT STORY JOINT BASE. RAINFALL ESTIMATE IS FROM ADJACENT COCORAHS STATION VIRGINIA BEACH 11.9 NNW.
Jul 31, 7:30 PM EDTFLASH FLOOD2 Nw Norfolk Internatio, VANUMEROUS STREETS CLOSED OR IMPASSIBLE DUE TO FLOODING OVER CURB TOP....STREET LIGHTS INOPERABLE IN AREA.
Jul 31, 8:13 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 3.013 Ssw Gallups Corner, VAMESONET STATION 2 SSW GALLUPS CORNER /C2971/.
Jul 31, 8:15 PM EDTHEAVY RAIN 3.741 Wsw Norfolk Internati, VAMESONET STATION NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL ARPT /E4350/.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 1 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 743 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2016-07-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
743 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
804 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

986 
WGUS51 KAKQ 312206
FFWAKQ
VAC550-710-810-010100-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.FF.W.0005.160731T2206Z-160801T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
606 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  THE EAST CENTRAL CITY OF CHESAPEAKE IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
  THE EASTERN CITY OF NORFOLK IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...
  THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH IN SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...

* UNTIL 900 PM EDT

* AT 605 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED
  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN IN VIRGINIA BEACH. FLASH
  FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  VIRGINIA BEACH...OCEAN VIEW...KEMPSVILLE...
  VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...REGENT UNIVERSITY...NORFOLK...
  CHESAPEAKE...PRINCESS ANNE...NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL...BACK BAY...
  OCEANA...MOUNT PLEASANT...NORTH VIRGINIA BEACH...
  PRINCESS ANNE PLAZA...PUNGO...LONDON BRIDGE...DAM NECK...
  RUDEE HEIGHTS...SIGMA AND MACONS CORNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 7589 3665 7611 3697 7628 3697 7619
      3695 7609 3697 7605 3697 7598 3695 7595
      3694 7594 3690 7594 3686 7593

$$

05
3 follow-up statements
322 
WGUS71 KAKQ 312325
FFSAKQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
725 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAC550-710-810-010100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160801T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF CHESAPEAKE VA-CITY OF NORFOLK VA-CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH VA-
725 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR ...
THE EAST CENTRAL CITY OF CHESAPEAKE...THE EASTERN CITY OF NORFOLK AND
THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...

AT 724 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS
INNORFOLK AND VIRGINIA BEACH. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN
HAVEALREADY FALLEN IN THE WARNING AREA. A LOCAL WEATHER OBSERVER
REPORTED 4.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT TWO HOURS IN EASTERN CHESAPEAKE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
VIRGINIA BEACH...OCEAN VIEW...KEMPSVILLE...
VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...REGENT UNIVERSITY...NORFOLK...
CHESAPEAKE...PRINCESS ANNE...NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL...BACK BAY...
OCEANA...MOUNT PLEASANT...NORTH VIRGINIA BEACH...
PRINCESS ANNE PLAZA...PUNGO...LONDON BRIDGE...DAM NECK...
RUDEE HEIGHTS...SIGMA AND MACONS CORNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 7589 3665 7611 3697 7628 3697 7619
      3695 7609 3697 7605 3697 7598 3695 7595
      3694 7594 3690 7594 3686 7593

$$

05
901 
WGUS71 KAKQ 312325 CCA
FFSAKQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA 
725 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAC550-710-810-010100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160801T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF CHESAPEAKE VA-CITY OF NORFOLK VA-CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH VA-
725 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT FOR ...
THE EAST CENTRAL CITY OF CHESAPEAKE...THE EASTERN CITY OF NORFOLK AND
THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...

AT 724 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS IN
NORFOLK AND VIRGINIA BEACH. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE
ALREADY FALLEN IN THE WARNING AREA. A LOCAL WEATHER OBSERVER
REPORTED 4.5 INCHES OF RAIN IN ABOUT TWO HOURS IN EASTERN CHESAPEAKE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
VIRGINIA BEACH...OCEAN VIEW...KEMPSVILLE...
VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...REGENT UNIVERSITY...NORFOLK...
CHESAPEAKE...PRINCESS ANNE...NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL...BACK BAY...
OCEANA...MOUNT PLEASANT...NORTH VIRGINIA BEACH...
PRINCESS ANNE PLAZA...PUNGO...LONDON BRIDGE...DAM NECK...
RUDEE HEIGHTS...SIGMA AND MACONS CORNER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...URBAN AREAS...HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND
UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER DRAINAGE AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3665 7589 3665 7611 3697 7628 3697 7619
      3695 7609 3697 7605 3697 7598 3695 7595
      3694 7594 3690 7594 3686 7593

$$

05
223 
WGUS71 KAKQ 010056
FFSAKQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
856 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAC550-710-810-010105-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.FF.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160801T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CITY OF CHESAPEAKE VA-CITY OF NORFOLK VA-CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH VA-
856 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR ...THE EAST CENTRAL CITY OF
CHESAPEAKE...THE EASTERN CITY OF NORFOLK AND THE CITY OF VIRGINIA
BEACH WILL EXPIRE AT 900 PM EDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A
THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3665 7589 3665 7611 3697 7628 3697 7619
      3695 7609 3697 7605 3697 7598 3695 7595
      3694 7594 3690 7594 3686 7593

$$

DEROSA

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 31, 3:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 31, 3:09 PM EDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
309 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
An upper level trough settles over the region Monday and Tuesday.
A weak frontal boundary gradually pushes south across the area
Monday night and early Tuesday...before stalling south of the
area through midweek.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Showers re-developing as expected across the Piedmont to the west,
and the NC coastal plain to our south. Have increased POPs into
Likely range for the SW half of the area through early this
evening, mainly south of I-64. Rain chances taper back to a 30-50%
POP farther north with low-level lapse rates and effective shear a
bit less favorable across the Northern Neck and MD Eastern Shore.

Strong instability and moist airmass about 150-170% of normal have
aided shower and T-storm development. To the west, latest in a
series of shortwaves pushing across the region have provided a
focus for storm development. To the south, subtle trough axis has
provided the focus for heavy showers and t-storms across the
Coastal Carolinas. Expect activity will become more widespread
across our area in the next 2-3 hours, diminishing after sunset
with nocturnal stabilization (w/resultant slackening low level
lapse rates). 0-6km bulk shear is generally ~15-20 kt across the
area per mesoanalysis, and as such expect storm mode to be
disorganized and pulsy in nature. Rather weak flow aloft
(especially across srn VA/ne NC) will result in a minimal severe
threat. However, it also portends to very slow moving cells
through early evening.

Showers and storms should diminish through the late evening and
overnight hours. Very mild and continued humid overnight w/ lows
only dropping into the 70s. Some patchy fog again expected
late tonight/early Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Mon-Wed characterized by building east coast trough, in response
to an upper ridge building over the Mississippi Valley. Trough
sharpens Mon night & Tue, resulting in flow aloft shifting to the
W-NW by Tuesday and Wednesday. Several shortwave impulses will
track from Ohio Valley toward the Lower Mid-Atlantic, rounding the
base of the trough, and interacting with the lingering surface
boundary which will linger across the local area through Tuesday
morning. PoPs for showers/tstms Monday afternoon/evening will be
highest over se VA/ne NC (30-50%), bordered by ~30-40% from the MD
Eastern Shore through the interior coastal plain counties,
tapering back to low end chance pops (~30%) over the Piedmont
counties NW of RIC.

Upper trough axis slips offshore Tuesday, forcing the sfc front
south of the local area into NC. PW values nudge back down
Tuesday and Wednesday, falling back toward seasonal norms
(1.25-1.5") as low-level flow becomes NNE and eventually ENE
on Tuesday. As such, expect POPs will be a bit more limited in
areal coverage across our area, especially inland. Have gone with
a slight to low end chance pop along the coast from the MD Eastern
Shore to the interior coastal Plain on Tuesday, with models
supporting a dry forecast for Wednesday, as warmer and drier air
aloft filtering into the region, thereby further limiting
convective potential.

For temps, highs on Monday again in the upper 80s to low
90s. Slightly cooler and a bit more comfortable for midweek
period. Highs Tuesday ranging from the mid 80s over the Eastern
Shore to around 90over s-central VA. Highs Wednesday in the mid to
upper 80s (low 80s coastal sections). Early morning lows will
generally be in the 70s Tuesday morning, and in the mid 60s to
around 60 Wednesday morning.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Surface high pressure resides just off the New England coast
Wed night into Thu and pushes out to sea Thu night. A sfc low
then crosses nrn Ontario on Fri...dragging a cold front through
the Great Lakes into the Ohio Valley. This front is expected to
move into the Mid Atlantic Region Saturday and possibly stall
over the area during next weekend. Have maintained a slight
chance for storms (10-20% POP) each aftn/evening through the
long term periods...initially due to persistent onshore winds
Thu/Fri and then possible weak suppression due to mid-upper
level ridging present Sat/Sun.

With sfc high pressure building near New England, temperatures
should be more seasonal/comfortable feeling Thu/Fri with highs
generally in the mid-upper 80s (maybe 90F in some spots Fri) and
cooler dewpoints in the mid-upper 60s to lower 70s. Onshore winds
are expected to persist through early Fri...thus enhancing any
drying/cooling effects to temps, dewpoints, and overall precip
chances during this timeframe. The sfc high off New England is
then expected to get pushed out to sea Thu night...allowing temps
and dewpoints/humidity to begin a gradual warming trend starting
Fri night through next weekend. Lows Fri/Sat nights 70-75
inland/mid-upper 70s se beaches. Highs Sat/Sun in the lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The Mid Atlantic States remains in a warm and humid airmass with
convection developing on small scale boundaries. As of 17z...
thunderstorms were beginning to show up over the Piedmont from
Farmville and west with more widespread activity across the
mountains. Expect activity to increase during the afternoon
especially southwest portions. RIC and PHF currently have the best
prospect for convection and have 3 hour tempo groups for showers at
these locations in the late afternoon to early evening. Will update
the TAFS for thunderstorms as needed.

Looking over the various MOS products and model blends as well as
NAM bufr soundings...a repeat of the stratus that was present this
morning appears unlikely...probably due to low level drying from a
westerly wind. MVFR fog is probable at SBY and RIC and included this
in the TAF for Monday morning.

OUTLOOK...Another round of showers and thunderstorms should occur
Monday afternoon as a slow moving cold front approaches from the
north. This front will continue south into the Carolinas toward
midweek with a drier outlook for Tuesday. Rain has been
removed from the forecast for Wednesday through Friday.

&&

.MARINE...
A weak boundary over the area today will give way to a cold
front moving over the waters Mon and stalling there through
Tue before moving se off the Carolina coast. Then high pressure
sits just off the New England coast through Thu night before
being pushed out to sea by an approaching cold front extending
out of Ontario, Canada.

Wind speeds will be aob 15kt throughout the forecast period.
Wind direction will be variable into this evening due to
seabreeze effects and expected thunderstorms, but are expected
to become more sw Mon as the first cold front approaches the
waters. Once the front drops se, winds become more nw-n Mon night
through Tue...then persistently ne-e Tue night through Thu. Winds
take another turn to the se-s Thu night into Fri as the New
England high shifts ewd away from the Atlantic coast. Seas will
average 2-3ft through the period with 1-2ft waves in the Bay.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MAM
NEAR TERM...MAM
SHORT TERM...AJZ/MAM
LONG TERM...BMD
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...BMD
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 31, 3:42 PM EDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
342 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAZ048-060>062-064>069-079>084-086>090-509>520-523>525-011945-
FLUVANNA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-
LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-
CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MATHEWS-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-
JAMES CITY-WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-WESTERN HANOVER-
EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-
EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL. HEIGHTS)-
WESTERN HENRICO (INCLUDING THE CITY OF RICHMOND)-EASTERN HENRICO-
WESTERN KING WILLIAM-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-
EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-HAMPTON/POQUOSON-
342 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN VIRGINIA...NORTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>025-VAZ075>078-085-099-100-521-522-011945-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-MIDDLESEX-ACCOMACK-
NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
342 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MARYLAND...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EASTERN VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ092-093-095>098-011945-
NORTHAMPTON-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-WESTERN CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-EASTERN CURRITUCK-SOUTHAMPTON-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
342 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

05

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:23 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
523 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAZ095-098-312145-
VIRGINIA BEACH-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
523 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT ...THE EAST CENTRAL
CITY OF NORFOLK AND THE NORTHWESTERN CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...

AT 522 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...NEARLY STATIONARY BUT SHOWING A
SLOW DRIFT TO THE WEST.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS TO ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...NORFOLK AND NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL
  AROUND 545 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE NORTH VIRGINIA BEACH
AND BAYSIDE.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3687 7624 3695 7624 3696 7613 3695 7610
      3695 7608 3697 7605 3697 7598 3696 7598
      3685 7597
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 096DEG 6KT 3691 7608

44
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:31 PM EDT, 35 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
531 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAZ523-524-312200-
YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-
531 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN YORK
COUNTY AND THE CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...

AT 531 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER FORT
EUSTIS...OR NEAR PATRICK HENRY FIELD. THE STORM IS NEARLY STATIONARY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  FORT EUSTIS AROUND 555 PM EDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE MENCHVILLE...NEWPORT
NEWS GOLF COURSE...OYSTER POINT AND ORIANA.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3707 7646 3710 7666 3720 7664 3720 7662
      3717 7661 3718 7659 3718 7658 3720 7658
      3719 7649
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 073DEG 3KT 3714 7658

44
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:40 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
540 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAZ088-092-312230-
SUSSEX-SOUTHAMPTON-
540 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN SOUTHAMPTON AND
NORTHEASTERN SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 539 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER HOMEVILLE...OR
NEAR WAVERLY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAVERLY...WAKEFIELD...SUSSEX...IVOR...HOMEVILLE...BOOKER...MANRY...
BERLIN... LITTLETON...NEWVILLE...DORY AND LUMBERTON.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3693 7737 3709 7714 3703 7697 3695 7695
      3696 7692 3688 7689 3677 7720
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 239DEG 19KT 3694 7715

05
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:45 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
545 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

VAZ095-097-098-312245-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-VIRGINIA BEACH-CHESAPEAKE-
545 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT ...THE CITY OF
CHESAPEAKE...THE SOUTHEASTERN CITY OF PORTSMOUTH...THE CITY OF
NORFOLK AND THE CITY OF VIRGINIA BEACH...

AT 545 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR DEEP CREEK TO 8 MILES NORTH OF
VIRGINIA BEACH. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... VIRGINIA BEACH...DOWNTOWN
NORFOLK...DOWNTOWN PORTSMOUTH...OCEAN VIEW... REGENT
UNIVERSITY...KEMPSVILLE...GREAT BRIDGE...NORFOLK STATE
UNIVERSITY...VIRGINIA WESLEYAN COLLEGE...DEEP CREEK...NORFOLK...
CHESAPEAKE...PORTSMOUTH...NORVIEW...PRINCESS
ANNE...CRADOCK...NORFOLK INTERNATIONAL...BACK BAY...FENTRESS AND
GHENT.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3655 7589 3653 7590 3655 7591 3654 7592
      3655 7596 3655 7601 3653 7600 3653 7603
      3655 7604 3655 7625 3665 7641 3689 7629
      3689 7627 3690 7629 3699 7624 3695 7610
      3697 7599 3692 7594 3677 7591 3654 7582
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 255DEG 11KT 3671 7636 3696 7592

DEROSA
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:47 PM EDT, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
547 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

NCZ014-016-017-VAZ093-095>097-312245-
WESTERN CURRITUCK-GATES-CAMDEN-SUFFOLK-ISLE OF
WIGHT-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-
547 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN GATES...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN...NORTHWESTERN CURRITUCK...AND SOUTHWESTERN ISLE
OF WIGHT COUNTIES...THE WESTERN CITY OF CHESAPEAKE...THE SOUTHERN
CITY OF PORTSMOUTH AND THE CITY OF SUFFOLK...

AT 547 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SEDLEY TO NEAR DEEP CREEK. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... WINDSOR...HOLLAND...DOWNTOWN
SUFFOLK...DEEP CREEK...CHESAPEAKE...
PORTSMOUTH...SUFFOLK...CORAPEAKE...BOWERS
HILL...CARRSVILLE...WHALEYVILLE... DRIVER...CRADOCK...ZUNI...KINGS
FORK...WESTERN BRANCH...HAZELTON...SUFFOLK AIRPORT...INDIKA AND LEES
MILL.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3656 7685 3665 7691 3670 7691 3670 7693
      3689 7683 3685 7654 3683 7655 3684 7652
      3681 7630 3665 7640 3656 7624 3655 7608
      3649 7607 3647 7644 3651 7649 3647 7649
      3646 7666
TIME...MOT...LOC 2147Z 217DEG 8KT 3675 7692 3669 7641

DEROSA
Special weather statement, Jul 31, 5:49 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
549 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

NCZ012-312215-
NORTHAMPTON-
549 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...

AT 549 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
ROANOKE RAPIDS...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHWESTERN
NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS: MUD
CASTLE... VULTARE...GUM FORKS...HENRICO...TURNERS
CROSSROADS...ROANOKE RAPIDS LAKE AND LAKE GASTON.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3638 7755 3641 7755 3645 7763 3648 7765
      3649 7773 3648 7775 3650 7782 3651 7786
      3650 7787 3651 7789 3651 7790 3654 7790
      3655 7757 3635 7751 3635 7758
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 135DEG 27KT 3647 7775

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 30, 8:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCumberland, Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa, Prince Edward45 min
Jul 30, 9:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCaroline, Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa26 min
Jul 30, 9:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCaroline, Hanover44 min
Jul 31, 2:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQNottoway28 min
Jul 31, 3:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQAmelia, Nottoway30 min
Jul 31, 4:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQYork23 min
Jul 31, 4:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Emporia44 min
Jul 31, 4:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake27 min
Jul 31, 4:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Virginia Beach51 min
Jul 31, 5:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Franklin, City of Suffolk45 min
Jul 31, 5:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQSouthampton, Sussex39 min
Jul 31, 5:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQSurry30 min
Jul 31, 5:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Norfolk22 min
Jul 31, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Newport News29 min
Jul 31, 5:33 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Virginia Beach3 hr
Jul 31, 5:35 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQCity of Suffolk3 hr
Jul 31, 5:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ52 min
Jul 31, 5:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQSussex50 min
Jul 31, 5:45 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Chesapeake, City of Norfolk, City of Virginia Beach60 min
Jul 31, 5:47 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Suffolk58 min
Jul 31, 5:52 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ53 min
Jul 31, 6:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQFluvanna52 min
Jul 31, 6:27 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ48 min
Jul 31, 6:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQIsle of Wight, City of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Poquoson, City of Portsmouth42 min
Jul 31, 6:34 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQCity of Hampton, City of Newport News116 min
Jul 31, 6:46 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ59 min
Jul 31, 6:49 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ56 min
Jul 31, 6:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQMecklenburg41 min
Jul 31, 6:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQHenrico, City of Hopewell39 min
Jul 31, 6:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCumberland, Fluvanna, Goochland, Louisa, Powhatan51 min
Jul 31, 7:08 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ37 min
Jul 31, 7:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCity of Hampton, City of Newport News, City of Norfolk, City of Poquoson37 min
Jul 31, 7:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQMecklenburg44 min
Jul 31, 7:32 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCharles City, Henrico, New Kent43 min
Jul 31, 7:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCumberland, Goochland, Powhatan31 min
Jul 31, 7:53 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQSpotsylvania67 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.