Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Wakefield, VA

983 
WGUS71 KAKQ 302357
FFSAKQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
757 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAC085-101-127-010045-
/O.CON.KAKQ.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161001T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW KENT VA-KING WILLIAM VA-HANOVER VA-
757 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN NEW KENT...WESTERN KING WILLIAM AND SOUTHEASTERN HANOVER
COUNTIES...

AT 754 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS
ENDED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL SHOWERS MAY BRING
AN ADDITIONAL HALF AN INCH OF RAIN ON TOP OF THE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF
RAIN THAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN. EXPECT FLASH FLOODING TO CONTINUE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
KING WILLIAM...TALLEYSVILLE...MECHANICSVILLE...MANQUIN...BOTTOMS
BRIDGE...TUNSTALL...AYLETT...STUDLEY...UPSHAW...POLLARDS CORNER...
RUMFORD...TURPIN...ORAPAX FARMS...EPWORTH...PALLS...ENFIELD...
MOUNTCASTLE...CENTRAL GARAGE...QUINTON AND NEW KENT AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3778 7710 3777 7707 3775 7709 3775 7706
      3772 7703 3772 7701 3768 7696 3744 7709
      3747 7713 3747 7714 3750 7719 3754 7723
      3760 7739 3762 7741 3787 7720

$$

MRD

813 
WGUS71 KAKQ 010047
FFSAKQ

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
847 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAC085-101-127-010050-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161001T0045Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NEW KENT VA-KING WILLIAM VA-HANOVER VA-
847 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN NEW KENT...WESTERN KING
WILLIAM AND SOUTHEASTERN HANOVER COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 845 PM
EDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...BUT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE ACROSS THE REGION FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
OFFICIALS HAVE SAID SOME ROADS WAYS HAVE EXPERIENCED HIGH WATER.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY ROAD CLOSURES AND MOTORIST SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING THROUGH ROAD WAYS THAT ARE COVERED BY
STANDING WATER.

LAT...LON 3778 7710 3777 7707 3775 7709 3775 7706
      3772 7703 3772 7701 3768 7696 3744 7709
      3747 7713 3747 7714 3750 7719 3754 7723
      3760 7739 3762 7741 3787 7720

$$

SEYMOUR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
401 PM EDT Fri Sep 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Upper level low pressure gradually lifts north toward the
Great Lakes tonight into Saturday, with a frontal boundary pushing
across the area tonight into Saturday. The upper low then gradually
pushes northeast through the Saint Lawrence Valley Saturday night
into Sunday with drier air building into the region from the west.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
The Delmarva is presently getting a much need break from
heavy rain, which has totaled up to 6-12" across DE/Lwr MD Ern Shore
over the past 48 hours. This water will result in rising main stem
rivers through the evening and potentially through at least Saturday.
Follow the latest flood warnings for more details.

Current GOES WV imagery continues to depict a stubborn anomalous
upper low over central KY. A plume of deep moisture extends from off
the SC/GA coast nwd into central NC/s-central VA, and nw across the
central Appalachians. Another plume to the east has pushed offshore
brining the need break in rain to the Delmarva.

Showers and embedded tstms are developing are streaming nwd into the
Piedmont/I-95 corridor. This activity is being triggered by the
combination of the aforementioned moist plume/mid-level theta-e
ridge, a push of mid-level dry air on the wrn flank of the moisture
stream, a spoke of shortwave energy rotating around the upper low.
The interaction of the push of dry air into the moist airmass will
create some convective instability aloft. Strong mid-level flow (55-
65kt at 500mb) will result in strong deep layer shear. This
combination could trigger some strong to marginally severe tstms
this afternoon and evening, which is reflected in the marginal
outlook from SPC. The main threats are hail and locally strong wind
gusts. The main limiting factor will be the lack of SB/BL CAPE with
an in situ wedge airmass in place. The greater threat through the
afternoon/evening will be the potential for flooding over central VA
where 1hr FFG is only 0.5-1.0" after Wednesday evenings excessive
rain. A Flash Flood Watch has been issued through midnight to
account for this. The best coverage will be from the I-95 corridor
westward through the evening.

Showers/tstms will gradually lift northeastward this evening into
early Saturday morning as the mid-level theta-e boundary lifts to
the ne. Anomalous pw values cling toward the coast through Saturday
morning. Shower/tstm coverage is not clear at this time for the
Lower Ern Shore late tonight into Saturday morning. However, these
areas are very sensitive to any additional rainfall, so a short-term
flash flood watch may be necessary depending on the areal coverage
of pcpn. Drying inland late this evening through the overnight with
some breaks in the clouds possible over the southern Piedmont. Mild
again with lows in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
Drier air continues to entrain into the upper low
Saturday as it fills and lifts northward, then northeastward
Saturday night through Monday. The result will be gradually
improving conditions. Addition energy lifts over the region in
southwest flow aloft, so can't rule out iso-sct showers along the
coast Saturday aftn, with a lesser probability Sunday afternoon. Sky
conditions also improve with a partly cloudy sky inland, but
remaining mostly cloudy near the coast Saturday, before becoming
partly cloudy Sunday and Monday. Highs Saturday range from the upper
70s to low 80s, but less humid as dewpoints drop into the upper 50s
to low 60s inland. Highs Sunday and Monday will again be in the
upper 70s to low 80s, with lows in the low/mid 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
The long term period will see a return of an onshore flow that
prevailed during much of the past week. a stationary front will be
situated well off the Mid Atlantic Coast with a strong surface high
over southeast Canada rebuilding over the Eastern Seaboard. Upper
level ridging will slowly breakdown during the week as a strong
upper level trough moves across the Northern Great Plains.

There will be 20 to 40 percent chances for showers especially over
eastern portions of the area with highest chances Wednesday through
Thursday night.

Hurricane Matthew may influence portions of the area late in the
week. Although the track is uncertain...it is expected that its
greatest impact will be in the marine area. Check with the National
Hurricane Center for updates and details.

High temperatures are forecast to range through the 70s with Tuesday
likely being the warmest day. Low temperatures will generally be in
the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
The combination of low pressure over the Ohio Valley and a
stationary front from North Carolina to off the Virginia coast was
producing a moist onshore flow over the Mid Atlantic States.
Satellite showed clearing over the coastal waters and portions of
the Bay and mostly cloudy sky over the TAF sites. Occasionally where
the sky clears over southeast portions...the clouds fill back in
with a broken MVFR layer. IFR cigs were over SBY and may continue
through nearly all of the TAF period.

Thunderstorm activity was beginning to develop over far southern
Virginia and south into eastern North Carolina and was spreading
northward. With the unstable airmass in place...put VCTS for
portions of the afternoon at all the TAF sites except SBY.

IFR (and possibly LIFR) redevelops late this evening and overnight
at RIC and SBY. It may need to be added to PHF but is unlikely at
ORF and ECG. Conditions improve during the mid to late morning
Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
Seeing a gradual downward trend in seas and waves in the mouth of
Ches Bay. Will allow SCA for the Bay to expire at 400 PM as
planned and keep remaining SCA flags unchanged with regard to
previously determined end times. Main change has been increasing
wind speeds over the waters from Fenwick Island to Chincoteague
where sustained winds range from 10-20kt with gusts to around 25kt
possible. These speeds are anticipated to diminish through this
evening.

Strong/anomalous sfc high pressure remains over sern Canada
through tonight before weakening Sat aftn. Meanwhile, stacked low
pressure over the Midwest will continue to drift north and
slightly east during this same timeframe. This will translate into
winds becoming more se through tonight and then more sly on Sat.
Speeds will generally be aob 15kt during this time. Waves on Ches
Bay will average 1-3ft tonight into Sat...while seas generally
average 4-5ft until SCA expiration times when seas will then
average 3-4ft during the same timeframe. Onshore 9-10 sec period
swell should also be anticipated tonight through Sat aftn.

Calmer marine conditions expected Sat night through Mon. Wind
directions will be variable sw-w through Sun evening and then
shift to a more nly direction Mon into early Tue. Winds are then
expected to increase in response to a tightening pressure gradient
caused by Hurricane Matthew (located off the Atlantic coast of FL)
and another Canadian high pressure centered over se Canada/nrn New
England Tue aftn into Wed night. Still a lot of uncertainty
regarding Matthew's storm track at this time, but the general
trend will be for increasing onshore winds and continually
building seas for the second half of next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
River flooding is developing across the primary rivers of the
Lower MD Ern Shore due to recent heavy rainfall, mainly the
Pocomoke and Nanticoke. This flooding will likely persist at least
through Saturday. See the latest flood warnings (FLWAKQ) for more
details.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Strong/anomalous sfc high pressure remains over sern Canada
through tonight before weakening Sat aftn as stacked low pressure
over the Midwest drifts north and slightly east during this same
timeframe. This will translate into onshore/se winds through
tonight and then more southerly (and decreasing) on Sat. As the
winds shift and decrease, tidal anomalies will decrease
incrementally by a few tenths of a foot with each passing high
tide cycle.

Several areas of concern are as follows:
1. Coastal flood warnings are in effect for the Nrn Neck through
500 PM this evening and also for the MD Lower Eastern Shore on
Ches Bay through 900 PM tonight. These areas will be re-evaluated
shortly. At this time, it does appear that the Nrn Neck will be
transitioned to a coastal advisory for the next high tide
overnight...while the MD Lower Eastern Shore (primarily near
Bishops Head and vicinity) will continue in a warning for at least
the next high tide cycle overnight as well.

2. Wrn Ches Bay areas from Hampton Roads to the Middle Peninsula
will remain in a coastal flood advisory through tonight. With
winds becoming more southerly by Sat morning, advisories in the
far srn Bay may be allowed to expire with a continuation of
advisories for the lower to middle Bay areas into Sat aftn.

3. Coastal flood advisory for Maryland Beaches and Ches Bay side
of VA Eastern Shore will continue through Sat morning's high tide
cycle.

4. Coastal flood statement will be in effect for Virginia Beach
and Eastern Currituck this evening as tide levels end up within
0.3ft of minor flooding thresholds. Nuisance flooding may be
possible in the persistent onshore flow.

* Surf zone forecast has ended for the season.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT Saturday for MDZ024-025.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 9 PM EDT this evening for
     MDZ021>023.
NC...None.
VA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ089-090-
     093.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ084>086-
     095>097-523>525.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 11 AM EDT Saturday for VAZ099-100.
     Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ064-075-
     076-081>083-511>522.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for
     VAZ075>078.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until midnight EDT tonight for ANZ656-658.
     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Saturday for ANZ650-652-
     654.
     Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for ANZ634.

&&

SYNOPSIS...AJZ/SAM
NEAR TERM...AJZ/SAM
SHORT TERM...AJZ/SAM
LONG TERM...LSA
AVIATION...LSA
MARINE...BMD
HYDROLOGY...AJZ
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BMD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

MDZ025-VAZ099-100-011930-
MARYLAND BEACHES-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MARYLAND...EASTERN
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ098-011930-
VIRGINIA BEACH-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ012>017-030>032-VAZ048-060>062-065>069-079-080-087-088-092-509-
510-011930-
NORTHAMPTON-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-WESTERN CURRITUCK-
BERTIE-CHOWAN-PERQUIMANS-FLUVANNA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-
MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-
GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SOUTHAMPTON-WESTERN LOUISA-EASTERN LOUISA-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ064-081>083-511>522-011930-
CAROLINE-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-WESTERN HANOVER-
EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN CHESTERFIELD-
EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL. HEIGHTS)-
WESTERN HENRICO (INCLUDING THE CITY OF RICHMOND)-EASTERN HENRICO-
WESTERN KING WILLIAM-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-WESTERN KING AND QUEEN-
EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA...EAST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...NORTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS AND
SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ084>086-096-097-523>525-011930-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-
HAMPTON/POQUOSON-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ089-090-093-011930-
SURRY-JAMES CITY-ISLE OF WIGHT-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ077-078-011930-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ075-076-011930-
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>023-011930-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ024-011930-
INLAND WORCESTER-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ102-011930-
EASTERN CURRITUCK-
330 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
436 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ068-080-513-514-302115-
AMELIA-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL. HEIGHTS)-WESTERN
CHESTERFIELD-DINWIDDIE-
436 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN AMELIA...
SOUTHWESTERN CHESTERFIELD AND CENTRAL DINWIDDIE COUNTIES...

AT 435 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER
DEWITT...OR NEAR MCKENNEY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND UP TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MCKENNEY...MANNBORO...SUTHERLAND...DEWITT...WINTERPOCK...
BUTTERWORTH...HEBRON...FORD...CHURCH ROAD...AMMON...WALKERS...FIVE
FORKS...BEACH...CENTER STAR AND ROCKY RUN.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3739 7784 3735 7750 3695 7764 3695 7774
      3696 7776 3697 7777 3697 7778 3699 7780
      3717 7782 3719 7780 3720 7781 3720 7782
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 191DEG 23KT 3702 7768

ZIMMERMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
437 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ082-089-090-093-523-524-302115-
YORK-CHARLES CITY-NEWPORT NEWS-ISLE OF WIGHT-SURRY-JAMES CITY-
437 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EASTERN SURRY...ISLE
OF WIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN CHARLES CITY...CENTRAL JAMES CITY AND WEST
CENTRAL YORK COUNTIES...THE CENTRAL CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS AND THE
CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG...

AT 436 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
FROM NEAR SCOTLAND TO NEAR SURRY TO NEAR ELBERON TO NEAR IVOR TO
NEAR ISLE OF WIGHT. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH AND PEA SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWPORT NEWS...WILLIAMSBURG...SMITHFIELD...WINDSOR...CLAREMONT...
SURRY...COLLEGE OF WILLIAM AND MARY...TOANO...CHRISTOPHER NEWPORT
UNIVERSITY...NORGE...ISLE OF WIGHT...DENDRON...FORT EUSTIS...
ELBERON...GROVE...SCOTLAND...JAMESTOWN...CARVER GARDENS...BUSCH
GARDENS AND KINGS POINT.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3679 7673 3686 7684 3688 7682 3693 7684
      3694 7684 3696 7686 3699 7685 3698 7688
      3708 7692 3724 7697 3740 7680 3733 7670
      3711 7654 3703 7646
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 209DEG 24KT 3723 7686 3715 7688 3706 7684 3696
7684 3691 7676

JFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
453 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ064-081>083-511-512-514>519-521-302145-
CAROLINE-WESTERN KING WILLIAM-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-EASTERN
HANOVER-WESTERN HANOVER-WESTERN HENRICO (INCLUDING THE CITY OF
RICHMOND)-EASTERN CHESTERFIELD (INCLUDING COL. HEIGHTS)-WESTERN KING
AND QUEEN-EASTERN HENRICO-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-PRINCE
GEORGE-
453 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT HENRICO...NORTHWESTERN
NEW KENT...NORTH CENTRAL PRINCE GEORGE...NORTHWESTERN CHARLES CITY...
KING WILLIAM...NORTHWESTERN KING AND QUEEN...SOUTHEASTERN CAROLINE
AND SOUTHEASTERN HANOVER COUNTIES AND THE CITY OF RICHMOND...

AT 452 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED OVER
HIGHLAND SPRINGS...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND UP TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHMOND...KING WILLIAM...ASHLAND...HIGHLAND SPRINGS...ROXBURY...
VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY...DOWNTOWN RICHMOND...
MECHANICSVILLE...VIRGINIA UNION UNIVERSITY...TALLEYSVILLE...SAINT
STEPHENS CHURCH...HANOVER...MANQUIN...MANGOHICK...LAKESIDE...DAWN...
AYLETT...BEULAHVILLE...KINGS DOMINION AND BOTTOMS BRIDGE.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3787 7695 3775 7698 3773 7701 3771 7699
      3724 7712 3746 7748 3793 7745
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 189DEG 29KT 3752 7731

ZIMMERMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
502 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ065-302145-
MECKLENBURG-
502 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT WESTERN MECKLENBURG
COUNTY...

AT 501 PM EDT...A THUNDERSTORM WITH HEAVY RAIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
CLARKSVILLE...OR 8 MILES SOUTH OF REDOAK...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND UP TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONALLY...WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHASE CITY...CLARKSVILLE...BUFFALO SPRINGS...NELSON...BUFFALO
JUNCTION...SPANISH GROVE AND FAIRVIEW.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THIS STORM. BE
PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY RAIN
COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING
OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3658 7873 3658 7872 3664 7871 3667 7870
      3668 7870 3669 7868 3669 7865 3664 7858
      3664 7856 3670 7865 3687 7851 3685 7843
      3654 7856 3654 7873 3656 7874
TIME...MOT...LOC 2101Z 198DEG 13KT 3666 7860

ZIMMERMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
524 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ078-082>086-089-090-518-520-522>524-302215-
YORK-NEWPORT NEWS-NEW KENT-SURRY-JAMES
CITY-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-CHARLES CITY-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-EASTERN
ESSEX-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-EASTERN KING AND QUEEN-
524 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX...
GLOUCESTER...NORTHEASTERN SURRY...EASTERN NEW KENT...SOUTHEASTERN
CHARLES CITY...NORTHWESTERN MATHEWS...SOUTHEASTERN KING WILLIAM...
KING AND QUEEN...JAMES CITY AND NORTHWESTERN YORK COUNTIES...THE
CITY OF WILLIAMSBURG AND THE NORTHERN CITY OF NEWPORT NEWS...

AT 522 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BARHAMSVILLE TO NEAR TOANO TO
JAMESTOWN TO NEAR FORT EUSTIS. MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEWPORT NEWS...NEW KENT...WILLIAMSBURG...GLOUCESTER COURTHOUSE...WEST
POINT...URBANNA...SURRY...KING AND QUEEN COURT HOUSE...TOANO...
COLLEGE OF WILLIAM AND MARY...QUEENS LAKE...NORGE...GLOUCESTER
POINT...GLENNS...RUTHVILLE...GROVE...BLAKES...JAMESTOWN...CARVER
GARDENS AND CHURCH VIEW.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MORE THAN 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM.
SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3776 7666 3773 7665 3764 7650 3765 7651
      3766 7651 3767 7648 3756 7633 3705 7666
      3714 7667 3706 7670 3705 7673 3712 7686
      3730 7699 3730 7702 3736 7708 3779 7694
      3779 7677
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 201DEG 42KT 3746 7693 3736 7686 3723 7676 3713
7670

JFOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
545 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

VAZ082-083-512-516>519-302230-
WESTERN KING WILLIAM-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-EASTERN HANOVER-WESTERN
KING AND QUEEN-EASTERN HENRICO-EASTERN KING WILLIAM-
545 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN
HENRICO...WESTERN NEW KENT...NORTHWESTERN CHARLES CITY...KING
WILLIAM...WEST CENTRAL KING AND QUEEN AND SOUTHEASTERN HANOVER
COUNTIES...

AT 542 PM EDT...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR BOTTOMS BRIDGE TO NEAR GARYSVILLE. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTH AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM AND UP TO 2 INCHES OF
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE AREA. STAY ALERT FOR ANY ADDITIONAL
WARNINGS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KING WILLIAM...TALLEYSVILLE...ROXBURY...SAINT STEPHENS CHURCH...
HIGHLAND SPRINGS...MECHANICSVILLE...MANQUIN...BEULAHVILLE...BOTTOMS
BRIDGE...MANGOHICK...TUNSTALL...ADKINS STORE...AYLETT...STUDLEY...
UPSHAW...POLLARDS CORNER...RUMFORD...TURPIN...ORAPAX FARMS AND
EPWORTH.

MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION IN THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN WEATHER AND ROAD CONDITIONS. HEAVY
RAIN COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR
FLOODING OF DITCHES AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LAT...LON 3784 7698 3783 7695 3780 7694 3778 7694
      3773 7701 3771 7700 3771 7698 3770 7697
      3731 7710 3730 7712 3732 7721 3731 7725
      3733 7727 3736 7725 3738 7725 3738 7726
      3735 7727 3736 7729 3780 7733 3787 7725
TIME...MOT...LOC 2142Z 192DEG 18KT 3754 7722 3730 7715

ZIMMERMAN