Storm Warning 55, NWS Juneau, AK

773 
FZAK52 PAJK 091234
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-100645-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL APPROACH THE
PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-100645-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-100645-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-100645-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-100645-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-100645-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
334 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2016

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

136 
FZAK52 PAJK 100011
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-101400-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL GULF WILL APPROACH
THE PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE WAVE WILL MOVE
ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF LATE WED NIGHT AND THU
MORNING. THE FRONT WILL THEN MOVE INLAND ACROSS SE AK THU. 

$$

PKZ041-101400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
70 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-101400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75
KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70
KT DECREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT. RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-101400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70
KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
75 KT DECREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT...EXCEPT 45 KT
OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-101400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 
70 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
75 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-101400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING. GUSTS TO 65
KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 75 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT.
RAIN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

251 
FZAK52 PAJK 101221
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-110100-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STORM FORCE FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE ONSHORE
INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. A GALE FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE NORTH FROM THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-110100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.SUN...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-110100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 70 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-110100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 75 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-110100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 70 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-110100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2016 

...STORM WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 27 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
319 PM AKST Tue Nov 8 2016

.SHORT TERM...A strong low pressure trough will move N through
the E gulf tonight and move onshore the NE gulf coast Wed morning.
A strong low will develop and move N toward the SW gulf Wed, while
a strong occluded front moves N into the E gulf Wed afternoon.
Models were in fairly good agreement on the main features, and
ended up using the 12z NAM to handle things for tonight and Wed.
This slowed the trough moving N tonight and sped up front moving
in Wed.

Main forecast concerns will be winds and TSTM potential. Strongest
winds tonight will be near the trough moving N, and gale force
S-SE winds are expected with it over much of the E gulf tonight.
Some of these gales will affect the S inner channels as well
tonight, with most of the remaining channels seeing 25-30 KT winds.
Over the far N inner channels, pressure gradient should turn
enough for a period of 10-15 KT N winds to develop this evening,
then they should shift back to SE at 20-25 KT late tonight or
early Wed as trough moves past the area. After somewhat of a lull
in the winds Wed morning, the approaching occluded front will
increase winds to 40-50 KT over much of the E gulf and 30-45 KT
for a good part of the inner channels during Wed afternoon. The
far N channels will once again flip back to N winds with 10-20 Kt
likely by late afternoon. Based on location and strength of low
level jet at 00z Thu, the start time of the high wind watch was
pushed back 3 hrs to Wed evening.

TSTMS are occurring over much of the E gulf and a decent part of
the inner channels as vort lobes push through the area. Most of
the activity is over the far E gulf along channel of maximum
instability and strongest vort features. As the strong trough
lifts N, warming aloft behind it will diminish the TSTM threat
from the S tonight. Then on Wed, some TSTMS may develop in post-
frontal environment over the S-central gulf.

Otherwise, showers will continue over much of the area tonight
with the trough moving N. A diminishing trend in the showers is
likely late tonight and Wed morning, but they will increase again
as dynamics associated with the occluded front enhance lift in a
shallow convective layer in the lower levels. Steadier rain will
likely reach the outer coast late in the day Wed.

.LONG TERM...Extended range period begins with a good potential
for heavy snow along the haines highway and high winds along the
central & southern outer coast as well as the southern inner
channels. Delayed the high wind watch by three hours - now in
effect from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning. Apart from
the snow and wind potential, am expecting precipitation to be
heavy at times across much of the panhandle as this first front
moves in...and then again on Friday with the next front. A third
front Saturday night does not look like heavy precip will be as
likely, but the fourth one on Sunday night may have heavy precip
for the southern panhandle. Suffice to say that the extended range
forecast will be quite active.

Temperatures trend down through the week, but with the snow level
as highways it is, believe the only significant threat of snow
will be at higher elevations along the highways.

Storm force winds over the eastern gulf early on will build seas
to more than 25 feet Wednesday night. Southwesterly swell will be
90 degrees off the strongest winds, so waves will be somewhat
steeper than they would normally be. Combined seas expected to
remain above 12 feet over the gulf for all of the coming week.

Early portion of the extended range pressure and wind forecast
remains in good shape. Only change was to speed up the front
slightly Wednesday night...in coordination with the short term
forecaster. Updated PoP and QPF early on with a blend of NAMDNG5,
SREF, and official. QPF from official and NAMDNG5 through Thursday
night, then GFS22 and ECMWF plus official. WPC for Sunday onward.
Overall forecast confidence is average.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday morning
     for AKZ023-027-028.
     Winter Storm Watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday
     morning for AKZ019.
MARINE...Storm Warning for PKZ041-042.
     Gale Warning for PKZ033-034-036-043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-035-053.
&&

RWT/Fritsch

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