Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2016

Storm Warning 44, NWS Juneau, AK

October 18, 2016

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 18, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 18, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

501 
FZAK51 PAJK 190002
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-191400-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF TUE
NIGHT...THEN REACH THE NE GULF WED.  

$$

PKZ011-191400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-191400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE EVENING. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-191400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 
4 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-191400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT LATE. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-191400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-191400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE TO 30 KT LATE. STRONGEST
WINDS SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND LATE. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
LATE. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STRONGEST WINDS SOUTH OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 
5 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-191400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-191400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING
TO 5 FT LATE...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-191400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6
FT. RAIN LATE.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS LATE.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-191400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN
LATE.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-191400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016 

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN LATE.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
615 
FZAK51 PAJK 191130
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200100-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
AND PANHANDLE AND WEAKEN BY THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-200100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-200100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-200100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-200100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-200100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN EARLY IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO
5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-200100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-200100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-200100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-200100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-200100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.
RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-200100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
303 
FZAK51 PAJK 191455 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-200215-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STRONG WEATHER FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
AND PANHANDLE AND WEAKEN BY THIS AFTERNOON. A GALE FORCE LOW
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-200215-
GLACIER BAY-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-200215-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-200215-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-200215-
ICY STRAIT-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-200215-
CROSS SOUND-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN EARLY IN
THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO
5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-200215-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-200215-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-200215-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-200215-
FREDERICK SOUND-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DECREASING TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-200215-
SUMNER STRAIT-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-200215-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
655 AM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT
10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
152 
FZAK51 PAJK 192335
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-201400-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A SERIES OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE TROUGHS WILL MOVE N ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF AND SE AK THROUGH THU. A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE
NE INTO THE FAR SE GULF LATE THU NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-201400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 4
FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-201400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-201400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-201400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-201400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING IN THE EVENING.
SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-201400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-201400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-201400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING
TO 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-201400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-201400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ036-201400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 19 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT...
EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT...EXCEPT 45 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT
10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 18, 5:49 AM AKDT, 10 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 18, 5:49 AM AKDT, 10 hours 11 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
549 AM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2016

.SHORT TERM...Tuesday and Tuesday night weather looking to be
exciting as showers moving northward across the panhandle with
localized training pattern for shower bands over Baranof and
Chichagof Islands. A trough aloft with moderate vorticity lobe
will spread into the northern panhandle and northeast gulf coast
to renew showers for the afternoon and early evening.

A strong low in the lower to mid 970 mb range south of Kodiak
Island will rotate west to be southeast of Cold Bay by late
Tuesday night. The associated weather front will move into the
southeastern Gulf of Alaska Tuesday night, and a developing wave
on the front will be moving northward along 140 west to the
northern gulf overnight. Expect 40 to 45 kt gale force winds along
and ahead of the front into outer coastal waters. Clarence Strait
will increase up to 35 to 40 kt late tuesday night. Small craft
winds should develop over much of the rest of the marine forecast
area.

.LONG TERM...The gale force front entering the southeast Gulf late
Tuesday night will likely spawn a closed triple point low riding
northward along it. Both ECMWF and the 06Z NAM are indicating
possibly two closed circulations along the front. While the
overall trend the last couple of days has been to edge this or
these waves westward, the fact that the NAM and ECMWF both
maintain some presence toward the east of a tighter circulation
causes enough concern for us to issue a high wind watch for
western Prince of Wales Island and southern Baranof Island for
Wednesday morning. Should winds rise to 50 to 60 miles per hour,
the event duration looks to be around a three to six hour event
and no more as the front and its waves will lift north and west
relatively quickly. Two things working in the event's favor are
the potential of instability with this system as well as a 65 kt
jet at 925 mb. Given this system's passage...moisture will lift
north across the Panhandle and we have raised certainty of rain to
one hundred percent.

The front will leave showers and plenty of instability in its
wake so showers and thunderstorm potential look good. Few changes
were made to the forecast beyond this time frame. Systems will
progress through the gulf into next week offering several bouts of
rain and wind. A cooling trend is possible by next weekend.

NAM initialized the wave development in the far southwest gulf
best on satellite, and we coordinated with ANC to track to the low
following its guidance. Forecast confidence good to average.
Confidence in high wind gusts actually occurring along our coast
is just enough to issue a watch, and given the timing, we felt it
a necessary call.

&&

.AVIATION...Showers moving through the northern half of the
panhandle early this morning are resulting in lower ceilings and
visibilities. There should be a break from 17z to 20z and then
another trough moving across the region this afternoon to early
evening which should impact flight conditions lowering some
locales to marginal levels.

Late tonight the strong weather front moving to the southern
panhandle will increase sustained winds and gusts. Low level wind
shear and turbulence should be expected near rough terrain.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The overall rainfall numbers are not expected to be
significant in a general pattern like this. Satellite estimates of
the precipitable water is around 0.75" and is 100 to 150 percent
of normal. However, the showers have been organizing themselves
into narrow bands and then training across the same locations and
as a result some locales are getting an inch of rain or more.
Water levels in the streams are low and while they are responding
to the rainfall, flooding is not expected.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...High Wind Watch Wednesday morning for AKZ023-027.
     STRONG WIND late tonight for AKZ022-023-027.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ036-041>043-051-052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035.
     Small Craft Advisory due to Seas for PKZ053.
&&

Bezenek/JWA

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Oct 18, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every storm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.