Small Craft Advisory 577, NWS Juneau, AK

656 
FZAK51 PAJK 161143
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170100-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
THE REMAINS OF A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE
EAST AS A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE PANHANDLE FRI. A WEAK LOW
WILL DEVELOP AROUND 55 N 140 W ON FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVE NORTH
TO NEAR CROSS SOUND BY SAT MORNING. 

$$

PKZ011-170100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.

$$

PKZ012-170100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-170100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-170100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF POINT ADOLPHUS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.

$$

PKZ022-170100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-170100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-170100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...ES WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.

$$

PKZ033-170100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-170100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-170100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-170100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DECREASING EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

537 
FZAK51 PAJK 161721 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170215-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
THE REMAINS OF A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL MOVE
EAST AS A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE PANHANDLE FRI. A WEAK LOW
WILL DEVELOP AROUND 55 N 140 W ON FRI AFTERNOON AND MOVE NORTH
TO NEAR CROSS SOUND BY SAT MORNING. 

$$

PKZ011-170215-
GLACIER BAY-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ012-170215-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-170215-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-170215-
ICY STRAIT-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF POINT ADOLPHUS. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ022-170215-
CROSS SOUND-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-170215-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-170215-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...ES WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.



$$

PKZ033-170215-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-170215-
FREDERICK SOUND-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-170215-
SUMNER STRAIT-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-170215-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
921 AM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DECREASING EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

439 
FZAK51 PAJK 162334
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171400-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
FRIDAY NIGHT...EVENTUALLY REACHING CROSS SOUND BY LATE SATURDAY
MORNING. A SECOND AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-171400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-171400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
IN THE EVENING THEN 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS TO 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-171400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-171400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-171400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT LATE.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-171400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-171400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN
THE EVENING.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-171400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-171400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-171400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-171400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 16 2016 

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS TO 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Juneau AK
413 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.SHORT TERM...Significantly more rain and wind across the central
panhandle than anticipated today. The development and track of an
upper level wave under a region of strong upper level divergence
was handled poorly by model guidance. The band of moderate to
occasionally heavy rainfall shifted north and west from previous
model solutions impacting the Icy Strait corridor including
Gustavus and Elfin Cove. Rainfall rates have reached as high as a
quarter inch an hour in Sitka and areas inland. A strengthened
low level jet associated with the wave has led to also more wind
than previously forecasted. Strong wind gusts up to 45 mph have
occurred in Juneau and along Prince of Wales Island. Gale force
winds have been observed in Stephens Passage and Clarence Strait.

An approaching front is right on the heels of this wave and will
keep enhanced rainfall rates going through the evening. There may
be a brief lull in the wind early in the evening, but expect winds
to increase again as the front passes over the panhandle and a
ridge of high pressure quickly builds in mid to late evening.
While some areas may see gusts close to 40 mph with the front,
expect it to stay below strong wind criteria. Mariners can expect
southerly small craft winds with the front.

For Friday, expect less showers over the area. Some inland
locations may even have a dry afternoon. That will end quickly as
another wave moves into the gulf at the end of the short term
period late Friday afternoon.

18z NAM came into better alignment with current satellite and
radar trends so used this for many of the updates.

.LONG TERM...A broad area of upper troughing will be located over
the gulf region through the weekend...with numerous smaller scale
impulses embedded within the larger scale trough forecast to
spread across SERN AK. This will favor periods of showers, and
possibly a few thunderstorms over the southern panhandle/gulf
Friday night/Saturday as a stronger impulse interacts with a large
area of potential instability.

The most notable large-scale evolution during the long term period
will occur during early next week as the gulf trough slides SE of
the panhandle, and a ridge amplifies over the area. The potential
exists for a string of nice days during early to mid week, though
marine stratus/low clouds/cooler daytime highs/ could accompany a
ridge of surface high pressure over the gulf. After midweek,
forecast uncertainty increases greatly, as a strong frontal wave
attempts to break down the ridge.

The bulk of the previous forecast was preserved, though POPs were
diminished beneath the ridge during early/mid next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The persistent moderate to heavy rainfall has
resulted in rises for area rivers and streams. Mendenhall Lake is
currently in action stage but is expected to crest before
reaching minor flood stage. The Taiya River is just below action
stage and will see another rise as precipitation increases in the
far northern panhandle this evening. The Indian River is also
hovering just below action stage but is expected to crest later
this evening. For additional information, see the special weather
statement issued earlier today.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND until 4 PM AKDT this afternoon for AKZ027-028.
     STRONG WIND until 7 PM AKDT this evening for AKZ025.
     FLOOD ADVISORY in effect until 4 AM AKDT tonight for Mendenhall
       Lake AKZ025.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ031-035-036.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-032>034-041>043-051-052.
&&

TPS/Garner

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
700 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

AKZ018-025-161200-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...JUNEAU
700 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...STREAM AND RIVER LEVELS RISING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY EVENING WITH SHOWERS PERSISTING OVERNIGHT. AS A RESULT
STREAMS AND RIVERS ARE RESPONDING AND RISING THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.

THE TAIYA RIVER NEAR SKAGWAY IS FORECAST TO RISE TO NEAR MINOR
FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY NIGHT OF 16.5 FEET. MONTANA CREEK HAS RISEN
ABOVE BANKFULL LEVEL OF 14.5 FEET AND JORDON CREEK IS NEARING
BANKFULL LEVEL OF 9.0 FT. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
CLOSELY MONITORED AS SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA.