Gale Warning 359, NWS Juneau, AK

955 
FZAK51 PAJK 141258
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-150315-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON AND A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK TROUGH WILL
MOVE SE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-150315-
GLACIER BAY-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. FLURRIES IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-150315-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-150315-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-150315-
ICY STRAIT-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. WEST OF GLACIER BAY...NE WIND 15
KT. SEAS 3 FT. FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. WEST OF GLACIER BAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-150315-
CROSS SOUND-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-150315-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT. FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 50 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-150315-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-150315-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. FLURRIES.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-150315-
FREDERICK SOUND-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FLURRIES EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-150315-
SUMNER STRAIT-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. FLURRIES.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-150315-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
358 AM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. FLURRIES.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

528 
FZAK51 PAJK 150013
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-151445-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK TROUGH WILL MOVE SE THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON AND A SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-151445-
GLACIER BAY-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-151445-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-151445-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-151445-
ICY STRAIT-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-151445-
CROSS SOUND-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL LATE. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-151445-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUR OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 40 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE MORNING.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-151445-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-151445-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-151445-
FREDERICK SOUND-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO
45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY LATE.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-151445-
SUMNER STRAIT-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO
45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-151445-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
313 PM AKST WED DEC 14 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 

$$

205 
FZAK51 PAJK 151254
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160345-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
STRONG COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE YUKON TODAY
CAUSING STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS AND LOCAL FREEZING SPRAY. THIS HIGH
PRESSURE WEAKENS THU NIGHT AND WINDS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT AND
FRI. OUTLOOK...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND.  

$$

PKZ011-160345-
GLACIER BAY-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-160345-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-160345-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-160345-
ICY STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-160345-
CROSS SOUND-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL LATE. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-160345-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-160345-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-160345-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-160345-
FREDERICK SOUND-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-160345-
SUMNER STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-160345-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
354 AM AKST THU DEC 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
521 AM AKST Tue Dec 13 2016

.SHORT TERM...Upper level and surface high pressure over the
central gulf will continue the overall northerly flow across the
region today. Tonight the high will begin shifting to the SE and
flow will back more W-NWLY by Wednesday morning. This shift in
flow pattern will introduce more moisture into the atmosphere.

The high pressure over the gulf along with warmer air aloft caused
a marine layer to form yesterday evening. This deck of clouds has
hovered between 1500-3500ft and has been more aggressive moving
into the central panhandle this morning than expected. There will
be little to back these clouds off today and as flow aloft
becomes more westerly tonight, expect them to move inland a bit
more. Not expecting much in the way of precip out of this
feature, but a mid/upper level vort moving into the northern gulf tonight
would help to increase this possibility going into Wed. So, have
included a few flurries tonight along the central and northern
outer coast.

Temperatures have been one of the more difficult forecasts this
week. While 850mb temperatures have warmed, winds decreased and
did not allow for any mixing with the warmer air aloft. Therefore
we have seen continued well below normal highs and lows. The
winds backing and increasing along the outer coast tonight plus
more clouds would normally help those areas be a bit warmer than
they have been, but cloudy skies today will not allow for much,
if any solar heating.

Most adjustments to the forecast were made based on current
conditions, hi-res models and local effects.

.LONG TERM...Starting at 15Z Wed there is a weak shortwave with
slightly colder air digging into the Gulf with -32C at 500 HPa
that quickly exits our area early Thu morning. Addressed this wave
as chance or slight chance POPs as per the 13/03Z SREF and used
the 13/00Z ECMWF as the guide. The result was to mention
"flurries" for a few locations along the outer coast coordinated
with short term. As this shortwave kicks out, look for a new round
of outflow with clear cold dry and locally windy conditions.

As has been said on this discussion for a few days the next
challenge has been the real breakdown of the block and arctic air.
Another little upper disturbance will sneak by us on Friday and we
have mentions of clouds and snow. It takes until Saturday night -
early Sunday to kick out most of the strength of the upper ridge
into Canada for SW flow aloft. All 13/00Z ops models insist on
this but certainty is less than it seems. It is possible that
either the ridge will be slower to break down or the series of
approaching shortwaves happen to be weaker. Confidence is low on
timing, but have to fess up that the average position of the upper
ridge is history. If Monday temps are as warm as guidance sez,
there will be rain on this wonderful snowpack.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ042-043.
&&

Ferrin/JC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau