Gale Warning 314, NWS Juneau, AK

823 
FZAK52 PAJK 211231
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-220645-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE WEST
THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL PERSIST THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-220645-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 7
FT.
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
55 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-220645-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. 
.MON...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-220645-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-220645-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-220645-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
331 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN
LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

168 
FZAK52 PAJK 211356
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-220800-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL CROSS THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-220800-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-220800-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-220800-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT...EXCEPT 50 KT OUT OF
CROSS SOUND. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-220800-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. STRONGEST WINDS OFFSHORE. SEAS BUILDING TO 14
FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. STRONGEST WINDS
OFFSHORE. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-220800-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
456 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

491 
FZAK52 PAJK 220026
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-221830-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THEN WEAKEN THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-221830-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-221830-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...E GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-221830-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-221830-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-221830-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
326 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

309 
FZAK52 PAJK 221153
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-230100-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
TUESDAY WHILE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN GULF. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ041-230100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
SHOWERS.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-230100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-230100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY NOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT
EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-230100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-230100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

893 
FZAK52 PAJK 230020
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-231830-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
WEAKENING FRONTAL BANDS WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TRACKS EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN GULF INTO THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON
WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN TUESDAY NIGHT AND SHIFT TO THE EAST.  

$$

PKZ041-231830-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-231830-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-231830-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
12 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-231830-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-231830-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
320 PM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO
20 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
551 AM AKST Sun Nov 20 2016

.SHORT TERM...Today we will start transitioning from a
dry/northerly outflow pattern back to a southerly onshore pattern.
Mid-upper level flow has already been W-SWLY and onshore, but the
jet stream remains south of the area. At the lower levels north
wind through the inner channels will show a weakening trend
through the afternoon. Tonight flow at all levels backs southerly
as a low and its assoc front moves across the gulf. Winds over the
gulf will gradually increase to gale force 35kt late tonight with
the front.

A short-wave trough over the NE gulf is causing snow showers for
Yakutat this morning. An inch of snow fell overnight and expect
another 1-3 inches through the day today. As the short wave moves
through, some clouds will cross over the rest of the panhandle,
but majority of the day will be partly cloudy to mostly sunny. A
few flurries are possible with these clouds over the northern
areas this morning.

Used mainly the GFS/NAM for small adjustments to this forecast
package along with some hi-res models.

.LONG TERM...Little change to overall forecast reasoning with next
frontal band expected to move across the panhandle from S to N as
it weakens Mon into Tue. Winds, TSTM potential and precip type
will be the main challenges with this system. Continue to expect
gales for the gulf and southern inner channels with strong wind
headlines possible for gusts over the southern outer coast
(AKZ023-027). Continue to expect heaviest precip over the southern
panhandle with lighter amounts expected further N. As the upper
low driving the front moves into the central gulf, cold pool aloft
will steepen lapse rates and with modeled CAPE and LI values
supporting thunder, elected to include mention SChc TSTMS Mon into
Tue over the gulf but kept mention offshore attm. As typical,
precip type remains difficult to pinpoint. The cold air mass
currently over the region will linger over the inner channels as
the precip expands NWD. Included some flurries across the northern
panhandle Mon afternoon/evening ahead of the main frontal precip.
The southern panhandle will be warm enough to start as rain, but
the rain/snow line will initially likely start over the central
panhandle and gradually move north Mon night into Tue. Snow
accumulations will be complicated by the northward movement of the
warm air and by diminishing precip as the front shears apart. At
the moment it looks like accumulations will only be around a few
inches at most before the precip turns to rain and/or dissipates.
Precip will diminish Tue into Wed as parent low kicks NE ahead of
another upper low moving into the gulf. Models in fair agreement
with this upper low persisting over the gulf through the week, but
solutions begin to differ significantly Thu. GFS was an outlier
with stronger/further E surface low while EC/GEM in fairly good
agreement with inherited WPC flavored forecast. Given, the
continued Nly gradient over the N panhandle combined with minor
perturbations ejecting out the upper low, expect continued mostly
cloudy skies and a chance of showers for most of the area into
next weekend.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-022-042-043-051.
&&

Ferrin/BC

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