Gale Warning 303, NWS Juneau, AK

300 
FZAK51 PAJK 112157 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-120330-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF TODAY
BEFORE MOVING ASHORE THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS EVENING.
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE GULF SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-120330-
GLACIER BAY-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-120330-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-120330-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-120330-
ICY STRAIT-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-120330-
CROSS SOUND-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-120330-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-120330-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-120330-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...
EXCEPT 17 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12
FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-120330-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WEST HALF. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-120330-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY WESTERN AREA.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT...EXCEPT 35 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-120330-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1257 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT
SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

449 
FZAK51 PAJK 120030
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-121400-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THIS
EVENING. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF ON SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-121400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING
TO 3 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-121400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-121400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-121400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
STRONGEST WINDS WEST OF POINT ADOLPHUS. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 
FT IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-121400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. 
S SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-121400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-121400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-121400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 
5 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-121400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT...EXCEPT 40 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-121400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-121400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
311 PM AKST Thu Nov 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...Occluded front will be E of the area early this
evening. A low over the S-central gulf will move N to the
N-central gulf by Fri afternoon. A series of vort maxima aloft
will move across the area tonight and Fri. Used the 12z GFS to
tweak winds over the gulf tonight, then Fri forecast was not
changes significantly.

Main concerns will be TSTM potential and winds. There are some
TSTMS occurring along the vort lobes over the E gulf attm, and
they will continue over the gulf through Fri. Trickier part is how
far TSTMS get inland. Given lower levels still mild and fairly
moist, and decent lift will occur with the vort lobes, think the
outer coast and S and central inner channels will see some threat
for TSTMS. Best chances for them will be this evening and Fri,
except mainly this evening for the S and central channels. The
TSTM threat will begin to diminish from the S Fri afternoon as low
moves into the far N gulf and warmer air aloft moves in to the S
gulf.

The main wind threat will be from low moving N through the gulf.
expect gale force winds around this low as it moves N. Inner
channels will see strongest winds late tonight and Fri with 25-35
KT winds likely over much of the area. There will be some leftover
gales early this evening for Clarence Strait and along the far NW
part of the gulf coastal waters. Not going with strong wind
headlines at this point, but gusts could be close especially late
tonight and Fri.

Otherwise, temps will not fall too much tonight given well mixed
airmass persisting, and there will not be much of a rise on Fri.
About the only threat for snow will be near White Pass, and that
will be mainly in the highest part of it. They could get around a
couple inches of snow through Fri though.

.LONG TERM...Active pattern continues with multiple fronts
affecting the panhandle over the coming week. Dry weather looks
promising beginning next Thursday...at least over some locations.
Root cause for this is an upper level jet stream which continues
to steer a series of upper lows into the gulf. As each low fills,
it is replaced by another upper low. Most, if not all, of these
lows are vertically stacked barotropic systems, meaning that the
associated surface low is located very nearly underneath the
corresponding upper feature. Additionally, each system has a
mature front associated with it. Southerly or southeasterly winds
generally will remain at small craft intensity with frequent
periods of gales. Periods of gales on the inside as well with
directions typical for an offshore pattern with deep low pressure
over the gulf.

Warm low level air will be advected in from the south with each of
the fronts, keeping snow levels high enough to prevent snow
anywhere except the higher elevations of the two highways.
Temperatures expected to fall somewhat by mid week next week, but
PoP dries up by then, so chances for snow entering the second half
of November not looking good right now.

Used a NAM/ECMWF blend for pressures Friday night through Sunday
afternoon. Used ECMWF overnight Sunday to Monday afternoon.
Blended EC to existing grids for Monday night, then went with WPC
thereafter. Winds from NAM through Sunday afternoon. Most of the
remainder of the forecast left unchanged. Overall forecast
confidence is average.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND until 3 PM AKST this afternoon for AKZ027-028.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ031-034>036-041>043-051>053.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ011>013-021-022-032-033.
&&

RWT/Fritsch

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