Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 232, NWS Juneau, AK

September 15, 2016

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 15, 2016, 11:38 AM AKDT. It was in force for 9 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2016, 11:38 AM AKDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
Sep 15, 2016, 9:07 PM AKDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

537 
FZAK51 PAJK 151938 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-160200-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A FRONT OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE WILL SLOWLY MOVE
E THU. A SECOND FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE
PANHANDLE BY THU NIGHT EVENTUALLY OVERTAKING THE FIRST FRONT
EARLY FRI. 

$$

PKZ011-160200-
GLACIER BAY-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-160200-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ013-160200-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-160200-
ICY STRAIT-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-160200-
CROSS SOUND-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-160200-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-160200-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-160200-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-160200-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-160200-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-160200-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1138 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$
2 follow-up statements
063 
FZAK51 PAJK 152325
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-161400-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY EVENING. A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-161400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-161400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-161400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-161400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ022-161400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-161400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-161400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-161400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-161400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-161400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-161400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$
562 
FZAK51 PAJK 160507 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-161430-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY EVENING. A RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT.  

$$

PKZ011-161430-
GLACIER BAY-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-161430-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING N 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-161430-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-161430-
ICY STRAIT-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ022-161430-
CROSS SOUND-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-161430-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-161430-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NW 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-161430-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-161430-
FREDERICK SOUND-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ035-161430-
SUMNER STRAIT-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-161430-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
907 PM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 SUBSIDING
TO 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 15, 5:36 AM AKDT, 6 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 5:36 AM AKDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
536 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

.SHORT TERM...Very wet night across the inner channels last night.
A band of moderate rain is currently spread across the central
inner channels with some embedded convection here and there.
Heaviest rainfall has been in the northern and central inner
channels with some areas receiving up to 2 inches of rain in the
last 12 hours. Highest amounts were reported around Sitka (half an
inch of rain fell in one hour at one point at the airport). That
band is currently slowly sinking SE. Some wind has been seen with
this system as well but currently no gusts higher then 25 kt have
been observed.

The next 24 hours will mainly be dominated by the system that is
currently over the panhandle and by the next front that is over
the gulf. The front currently over the panhandle will slowly slide
SE through tonight taking its rain with it. Moderate rain is
expected to start up across the southern panhandle this morning
and may linger around the Hyder area into tonight. Expected
rainfall amounts will be in the inch to 2 inch range through
tonight. There is also some gusty winds that will linger in the
southern panhandle due to this system. Clarence Strait is expected
to take the brunt of it but only winds to 30 kt at most are
currently expected.

More rain and wind will be incoming with the next front that is
currently over the central gulf. This system will be heading east
across the eastern gulf today and will be in the panhandle by
tonight. Not as much moisture associated with this front but
there is still enough that a period of moderate rain is not out of
the question for most areas tonight. Expected rainfall amounts
(around 1 to 1.5 inches) are not as high as the current system
will not linger as it moves over the panhandle and into Canada.
Some wind with this front as well with 25 kt winds across a large
swath of the northern gulf today with that spreading into the
inner channels tonight. Several small craft advisories up as a
result.

Short range models were in good agreement for the next 24 hours.
used mainly some NAM and GFS for updates with some high-res model
guidance for inner channel wind speeds.

.LONG TERM...An upper trough over the western gulf will eject
across the gulf as another trough digs south into the west gulf
Sat into Sun. This feature will then slide ESE across the gulf Sun
into Mon. Models in fair agreement in minor impulses ejecting out
of these troughs, but differ significantly on the timing of the
waves. Guidance continues to show cool mid level temps, so
maintained showers through the weekend. Pattern will begin to
change Mon as the upper low slides south of the region. Upper
level ridging will build over the gulf and push E through early
next week favoring dry weather Tue.

Model solutions in fairly good agreement on synoptic features
through the weekend, but differ on surface features. NAM/GFS
depict a closed low sliding SE along the coast Sun while EC shows
an open wave. Majority of GEFS perturbations maintain an open wave
similar to EC, so used EC to adjust inherited forecast Sun into
Tue depicting an open trough sliding down the coast before
surface ridge builds over the gulf and migrates east. Continued
trend of lowering PoPs early next week and also decreased sky
cover and lowered min temps a few degrees as a result.

Model solutions diverge by the middle of next week but the general
trend is for the ridge to slide east as a trough deepens over the
western gulf. This will shift the upper flow to S-SW bringing
increasing chances of precip for the second half of next week.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...The band of moderate rain caused some spikes in river
levels overnight particularly around Juneau and Sitka. Most rivers
did stay in their banks however the Indian River in Sitka did
reach bankfull after rising around 3 feet in about 3 hours. Rivers
will be on the rise in the southern panhandle today as the
moderate rain band moves south and east. Meanwhile the next
incoming front tonight will bring more moderate rain to the
northern and central inner channels so expect more high water
levels on area rivers and streams. No flooding is expected at this
time but localized areas of heavy rainfall could change that.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-031>036-041>043-051-052.
&&

EAL/BC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 15, 9:08 AM AKDT, 2 hours 30 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
908 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

AKZ018-023-025-160300-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SKAGWAY...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...
JUNEAU
908 AM AKDT THU SEP 15 2016

...STREAM...RIVER...AND LAKE LEVELS RISING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN HAS OCCURRED ACROSS THE REGION DURING
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE INDIAN RIVER AT SITKA HAS RISEN
SHARPLY TO NEAR BANKFUL. THE WATER LEVEL FOR THE MENDENHALL LAKE
IN JUNEAU IS ALSO STEADILY RISING TO NEAR BANKFUL. FINALLY...THE
TAIYA RIVER NEAR SKAGWAY IS FORECAST TO RISE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE
THURSDAY NIGHT. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED
AS SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 14, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 days
Sep 14, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK20 hr
Sep 14, 6:30 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK10 hr
Sep 15, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Sep 15, 9:32 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Sep 15, 3:39 PM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAJK12 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.