Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 209, NWS Juneau, AK

July 26, 2016

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jul 26, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 27 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 26, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 27, 2016, 6:37 PM AKDT
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

688 
FZAK52 PAJK 262325
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-271400-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL
PERSIST OVER THE PANHANDLE. 

$$

PKZ041-271400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-271400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-271400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-271400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-271400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016 

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
164 
FZAK52 PAJK 271147
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-280100-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL PERSIST OVER THE PANHANDLE. 

$$

PKZ041-280100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-280100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-280100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT.
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-280100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-280100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
425 
FZAK52 PAJK 272310
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-281400-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. 

$$

PKZ041-281400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-281400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-281400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-281400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. S
SWELL LATE. RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-281400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT. S
SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
357 
FZAK52 PAJK 280237 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-281400-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL LINGER OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. 

$$

PKZ041-281400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE
EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-281400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-281400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
IN THE EVENING.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS
LATE. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-281400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9
FT. S SWELL LATE. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-281400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
637 PM AKDT WED JUL 27 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL.
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jul 26, 2:11 PM AKDT, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 26, 2:11 PM AKDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
211 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...An upper trough extended southward from SRN interior
AK to the NCNTRL PAC Tuesday afternoon, which places SERN AK
beneath an expansive zone of southwesterly flow aloft. WV imagery
also showed a shortwave impulse rounding the base of the larger-
scale trough, and is forecast to cause the upper trough to eject
northeastward across the gulf during Wednesday.

As this occurs, surface low pressure will move north over the
central/western gulf, resulting in strengthening deep-layer
southerly flow, which will aid in transporting PW values from 1 to
1.4 inches northward to the panhandle. This moisture combined
with increasing large-scale and orographic ascent will favor a
large area of moderate rainfall developing over the central and
northern panhandle during Wednesday afternoon. Locally heavy rain
will also be possible, particularly over AKZ017/Yakutat area,
where mesoscale forcing for ascent will be augmented due to an
easterly barrier jet and terrain enhanced lift upwind from the
Saint Elias Mountains.

Small craft wind speeds are probable over much of the coastal
marine zones with the previously mentioned barrier jet, which
will develop late this evening and persist through Wednesday
afternoon. In addition, gale force winds are expected to develop
late Wednesday afternoon over marine zone 52.

Inherited pressure grids were nudged to the 12Z NAM and GFS. POP
and QPF were based on an ensemble of hi-res and coarse-res
guidance, as well as support from RFC. Temperatures during Tuesday
afternoon did not warm significantly, and expect Wednesday will be
similar due to widespread rain and clouds.

.LONG TERM...A low will move north into the western gulf Wed
evening, then weaken and drift east across the gulf for late
week. Models differ on how strong the low will get
initially, then diverge on how much of it will be left as it
tracks across the gulf. Current forecast looked like a good
compromise amongst the models for the latter part of the week so
little change was made to it for then. Bigger differences develop
by the weekend with another upper trof that moves toward the gulf
from the northwest, with the ECMWF model the most aggressive
digging the trof into the gulf, while other models split the
energy more upstream and show little in the way of the trof
getting into the gulf. Kept current forecast going for now as it
was good middle ground compromise for the weekend and beyond at
this point.

Watching for locally heavy rainfall for Wed night into Thu morning
with occluded front then a trof moving across the area. Rainfall could
reach 2 inches near sea level over the northwest half of the area
with locally higher amounts in the mountains. Much less rain is
expected over the far southeast area. Precip will transition to
showers late Wed night and be mainly showers for Thu. There is
potential for TSTMS for the north-central gulf Wed night but not
confident enough to include them at this point due to model
differences in intensity of the surface low and upper vort
maxima(and associated cold pool aloft). See hydrology section
below for impacts on area rivers and streams.

For the weekend and beyond, does seem like a lesser threat for
precip but this will depend on whether the ECMWF or the other
models is correct in handling of upper trof moving toward the gulf
from the northwest. Even with a lower precip threat, does not
appear to be any offshore lower level flow into early next week so
still looks like a fairly cloudy time frame.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast to
spread across the northern half of the panhandle Wednesday and
Wednesday night. This will cause area creeks, streams, rivers, and
lakes to rise, including the Taiya River, which is forecast to
reach moderate flood stage Wednesday night. As a result, a flood
watch has been issued for the Taiya River, which is in effect from
4pm Wednesday through 6am Friday. Refer to the latest flood
statement and SPS for additional information.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...Flood Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late Thursday night
     for AKZ018.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ052.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ042-043-051.
&&

Garner/RWT

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 26, 11:40 AM AKDT, 4 hours 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1140 AM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

AKZ017-019>026-262145-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-GLACIER BAY-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
1140 AM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

...AREA RIVERS AND LAKES EXPECTED TO RISE THROUGH THURSDAY...

ALREADY SATURATED SOILS, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN FALLING TODAY,
AND HEAVIER RAINFALL ARRIVING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
CAUSE RIVER AND LAKE LEVELS TO RISE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
HOWEVER RIVERS AND LAKES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT BANKFULL.
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 11:42 AM AKDT, 4 hours 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1142 AM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

AKZ017-019>026-271500-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-GLACIER BAY-
EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...HOONAH...
ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...ANGOON...JUNEAU...
PETERSBURG...WRANGELL...KAKE
1142 AM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

...AREA RIVERS AND LAKES EXPECTED TO RISE THROUGH THURSDAY...

ALREADY SATURATED SOILS, LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN FALLING TODAY,
AND HEAVIER RAINFALL ARRIVING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
CAUSE RIVER AND LAKE LEVELS TO RISE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
HOWEVER RIVERS AND LAKES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT BANKFULL.
Special weather statement, Jul 26, 1:40 PM AKDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
140 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

AKZ018-262245-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SKAGWAY
140 PM AKDT TUE JUL 26 2016

...A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TAIYA RIVER...

A FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TAIYA RIVER FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. PLEASE SEE FLOOD WATCH
STATEMENT FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 26, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Jul 27, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jul 27, 9:59 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jul 27, 12:46 PM AKDTAreal Flood WarningAJK36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.