Gale Warning 208, NWS Juneau, AK

910 
FZAK51 PAJK 230503 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-231415-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE NW GULF WILL DEEPEN AS IT MOVES
INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OVERNIGHT WITH INCREASING WINDS AND
SEAS. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH SAT. 

$$

PKZ011-231415-
GLACIER BAY-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ012-231415-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS
5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-231415-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING AND SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING THEN
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ021-231415-
ICY STRAIT-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-231415-
CROSS SOUND-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN
IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-231415-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ032-231415-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ033-231415-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR
LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ034-231415-
FREDERICK SOUND-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-231415-
SUMNER STRAIT-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

PKZ036-231415-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
903 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 



$$

050 
FZAK51 PAJK 231136
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-240100-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NW GULF WILL DEEPEN AS ACROSS THE  NORTH
CENTRAL GULF SATURDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN RISING WINDS AND
BUILDING SEAS AS THE ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE PANHANDLE
SAT. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK.  

$$

PKZ011-240100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ012-240100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-240100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT THEN
SUBSIDING. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ021-240100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN UNTIL AFTERNOON...THEN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-240100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING...
THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING EARLY IN THE MORNING. SEAS
10 FT. S SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-240100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-240100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-240100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-240100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-240100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT...BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-240100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...SUBSIDING TO 5 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS LATE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

455 
FZAK51 PAJK 232331
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-241400-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NE GULF WILL START TO WEAKEN BY SUNDAY
MORNING. A RIDGE WILL THEN BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH
MONDAY. 

$$

PKZ011-241400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-241400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-241400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-241400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-241400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-241400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ032-241400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ033-241400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ034-241400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ035-241400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ036-241400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS TO 3 FT. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
511 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.SHORT TERM...Strong upper trof will move into the far western gulf
by late this afternoon...then reach the central gulf by late
tonight. surface low will develop over the northwest gulf this
afternoon...then move to the north-central gulf tonight while
slowly deepening. Ahead of the upper trof and low...several
shortwave trofs aloft and surface trofs will move across the area
through this evening. Models were generally close on main
features...with the 00z NAM and ECMWF in best agreement...so those
models were used for pressures and winds.

Main forecast concerns will be precip amounts and winds. Precip
potential will be high across the area through tonight...even
though there will probably be some breaks in between the various
shortwaves. There is potential for locally heavy rain in spots
through tonight with the best potential along the west and south
facing terrain. More organized heavy rain will likely affect a
larger part of the area late tonight as a stronger trof moves into
the far eastern gulf. Rainfall up to 1.5 inches will be possible
at lower elevations along the Coast Mtns and northeast gulf coast.
Higher elevations along the Coast Mtns could see up to 3 inches of
rain.

Winds will fluctuate to some degree today with several trofs
moving through the area. A more general increase in winds will
occur tonight as low deepens and moves to the north-central gulf
and stronger trof moves into the eastern gulf. Think most inner
channels will rise to SCA levels tonight with much of the gulf
also getting to SCA levels. Before that though...Lynn Canal will
see south winds increase to SCA levels this afternoon as enhanced
west to southwest flow in mid-levels lowers pressures near
Skagway. Much of the remaining channels will increase to 15-20 KT
by late this afternoon with a more general pressure gradient
increase.

.LONG TERM...Period begins with a near gale low pressure
dissipating as it moves across the northern gulf pushing a
frontal boundary into the panhandle Sat night into Sun. Model
solutions remain in good agreement with this and 00Z guidance
depicted the upper and surface features a little stronger.
Strongest winds with this system will be from early Sat through
the afternoon with most inner channels experiencing advisory level
winds, except for PKZ036 where gales are expected late Sat morning
into the afternoon. The slightly stronger model solutions raised
potential for some tstms as instability increases. Mid level
lapse rates steepen to 8-9C/km and CAPE values increase to
500-600J/kg as the upper low moves across the N gulf. Given the
good model agreement added a slight chance of thunder over the
gulf Sat. This system is also tapping into some subtropical
moisture and will result in locally heavy rainfall Sat diminishing
from NW-SE Sat afternoon into Sun. Rain will transition to showers
as the system moves inland late Sat. Continued onshore flow Sun
will maintain shower activity across the panhandle with additional
precip amounts generally 1/4-1/2" expected Sun.
Model solutions remain in fair agreement with upper trough
deepening s of the Aleutians into midweek, then begin to diverge.
SE Alaska will remain in SW flow aloft with ridge axis centered
over Yukon/BC. With the strengthening low over the W gulf, models
hint at some ridging building into the southern panhandle. This
could result in a better chance of dry and mostly cloudy days
early next week, but confidence in strength of ridge is too low
attm to drop mention of precip.
Inherited forecast represented this thinking well and used EC/NAM
to update Sat-Sun pressure fields depicting the stronger surface
low in the N gulf.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Salmon River near Hyder continues to rise due to
glacial dammed lake release. As of 3:30 AM, the river has risen
to 25.1 feet. Still expect it to peak in the 26.5 to 28 foot range
Sat before falling slowly afterward. Other area streams and rivers
will also rise due to the rainfall, but not expecting any
flooding through tonight, although some streams could approach
bankfull levels where heaviest rain occurs.

&&

.AJK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-013-021-031>036-041-042-051-052.
&&

RWT/BC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
104 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

AKZ029-230915-
MISTY FJORDS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...HYDER
104 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GLACIER DAM RELEASE ON THE SALMON RIVER CONTINUES...

GAUGE DATA FOR THE SALMON RIVER NEAR HYDER SHOWS THAT A GLACIAL
DAM RELEASE FROM SUMMIT LAKE ON THE SALMON GLACIER IS ON GOING. THE
RIVER HAS RISEN TO AROUND 25.7 FEET AS OF NOON FRIDAY. BASED ON 5
YEARS OF PAST DATA THE BEST ESTIMATE FOR THE CREST HEIGHT IS
BETWEEN 26.5 TO 28 FEET. THERE IS POTENTIAL OF WATER GOING OVER
THE ROADWAY AT 9 MILE WHEN THE RIVER NEARS ITS HIGHEST LEVELS.
DEBRIS HAS BEEN REPORTED FLOWING DOWN THE RIVER INTO PORTLAND
CANAL.