Gale Warning 199, NWS Juneau, AK

530 
FZAK52 PAJK 050348 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST GULF WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S SWELL
LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN
THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
748 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING S GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

125 
FZAK52 PAJK 051130
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060100-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF THURSDAY AND
CROSS THE PANHANDLE ON FRIDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-060100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-060100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-060100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-060100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-060100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN
BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

357 
FZAK52 PAJK 052337
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-061400-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IN THE GULF WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE BEFORE DISSIPATING JUST WEST OF CROSS SOUND
SATURDAY.  

$$

PKZ041-061400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-061400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-061400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-061400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-061400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT THU MAY 5 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

405 
FZAK52 PAJK 061156
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-070100-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SE ALASKA THROUGH FRI NIGHT.
THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IN THE SW GULF WILL MOVE NE AND
DISSIPATE JUST W OF CROSS SOUND SAT. 

$$

PKZ041-070100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-070100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-070100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SHOWERS LATE. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-070100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE
MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-070100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT FRI MAY 6 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
S SWELL. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH THE NEXT 24+ HOURS. THIS
AFTERNOON ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE PASSING OVER THE AREA WITH SUNNY
BREAKS IN BETWEEN. GUSTY WINDS HAVE ACCOMPANIED THE SHOWERS.
EXPECT THAT TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING ALONG WITH SOME
SEA BREEZES. THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL SEE SHOWERS DIMINISHING
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WITH DECREASING CLOUDS. MEANWHILE A
FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE NE GULF WITH RAIN ON THE DOORSTEP OF
YAKUTAT. EXPECT THIS RAIN BAND TO MOVE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT...MAINLY NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND. THE
NORTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS WILL SEE S-SE 25-35KT WINDS ALONG THIS
FIRST FRONT THIS EVENING...THEN DECREASE FOR A SHORT TIME BEFORE
THE NEXT STRONGER FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF FOR THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HAVE WINDS ON THE ORDER OF 30-40KT FOR A MUCH
LARGER PORTION OF THE GULF.

BY MORNING THE TWO FRONTAL SYSTEMS WILL MERGE TOGETHER WITH A
SHORT BREAK IN PRECIP FOR YAKUTAT BUT NO DISCERNIBLE BREAK FOR
THE NORTH/CENTRAL PANHANDLE INCLUDING JUNEAU. THE UPPER LEVEL JET
POINTS THE LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE AT THE NE GULF COAST BY THE
AFTERNOON WITH RAIN BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES IN YAKUTAT AND MOD-HVY
AT TIMES FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION. THE FAR SOUTHERN
AREAS LOOK TO STAY OUT OF THE FIRE HOSE FOR NOW...AND SHOULD SEE
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS THURSDAY.

MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM. ONLY MADE SMALL
CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BASED ON CURRENT CONDITIONS AND LOCAL
EFFECTS. ONE FORECAST CHALLENGE HAS BEEN WITH THE GUSTY WINDS NEAR
SHOWERS AND ENHANCEMENT MY SEA BREEZES.

.LONG TERM.../ THURSDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY / MAIN RAIN EVENT TO
IMPACT SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING THEN STARTING TO
IMPROVE. RAIN TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND NORTHEAST GULF COAST IN A 24 TO 30 HOUR
PERIOD. WILL NEED TO KEEP A GOOD EYE ON STREAMS AND RIVERS FOR
THIS SITUATION AS THE RAPID RISES ON THE STREAMS AND RIVERS COULD
REACH OR EXCEED BANKFULL LEVELS. HAVE CONTINUED THE SPECIAL
WEATHER WEATHER STATEMENT PER COORDINATION WITH RIVER FORECAST
CENTER FOR THE HEAVY RAINS LEADING TO THE WEEKEND.

THE FRONTAL BAND WILL SLIDE SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
FRIDAY TO EARLY SATURDAY. EXPECT RAINS OF 1 TO 3 TENTHES AN HOUR FOR
THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. SHOWERS IN THE ONSHORE FLOW AND ROTATING
ABOUT THE WEAKENING SURFACE FEATURE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND
AND INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY AND ENDING
FROM THE WEST SATURDAY NIGHT.

BEHIND THE LOW AS IT DISSIPATES ALONG THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE IS
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GULF. THIS APPEARS TO HINT AT A
PATTERN SHIFT FOR THE AREA. MODEL SOLUTIONS DIFFER SOME ON THE
PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE / HIGH HEADED INTO NEXT WEEK HOWEVER THE
OVERALL IDEA IS THE THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL FLOW PATTERN WILL BE
DIVERTED SOUTH OF THE GULF. LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS ARE SHOWING DRY
WEATHER...ALTHOUGH NOT NECESSARY SUNNY SKIES.

GALE FORCES TO MAX SMALL CRAFT WINDS FOR THE OUTER GULF COAST
WATERS SPREADING IN THURSDAY EVENING TO EARLY FRIDAY. WILL NEED
TO KEEP AND EYE FOR THE GUSTY LOCATIONS TO SEE IF A STRONG WIND
HEADLINE OR TWO IS NEEDED.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ043-051-052.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-041-042.
&&

FERRIN/BEZENEK

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU