Gale Warning 173, NWS Juneau, AK

040 
FZAK52 PAJK 041827 CCA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1025 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-050100-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTH OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY.
ANOTHER STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY
NIGHT AND OVER THE PANHANDLE TUESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-050100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-050100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING
TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-050100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-050100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-050100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. S SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

118 
FZAK52 PAJK 042332
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. A
STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SE SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. S SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW
SWELL. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

203 
FZAK52 PAJK 050349 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051600-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. A
STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-051600-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051600-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051600-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051600-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SE SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051600-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
749 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. S SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW
SWELL. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

009 
FZAK52 PAJK 050641 AAB
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-051400-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT WILL DISSIPATE OVER THE PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. A
STRONGER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
PANHANDLE THROUGH TUESDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-051400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S
SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-051400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
S SWELL. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-051400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE LATE
EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-051400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SE SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-051400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1041 PM AKDT MON APR 4 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. S SWELL SHIFTING TO THE SW IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. SW
SWELL. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

213 
FZAK52 PAJK 051147
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-060100-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE FAR EASTERN GULF WILL DISSIPATE
TUESDAY MORNING AS IT MOVES INLAND ACROSS THE PANHANDLE. A RIDGE
OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD NORTHWARD ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-060100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING
TO 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-060100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AND DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO S GALE 35 KT LATE. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-060100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SW SWELL.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT
SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-060100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS
LATE.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-060100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKDT TUE APR 5 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. SHOWERS EARLY IN
THE MORNING. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
230 PM AKDT SUN APR 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...A LOW WILL BE TRACKING NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN
GULF OF ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT THAT WEAKENS INTO AN OPEN TROUGH
MONDAY MORNING. THE FRONTAL BAND OF THE LOW IS SLOWLY WORKING NORTH
OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND INTO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE
ON MONDAY. A TRAILING TROUGH/FRONT WITH AN ORGANIZING TRIPLE
POINT FEATURE WILL BE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE PACIFIC TO BE NEAR
50/140 MONDAY AFTERNOON SPREADING RAIN INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECIPITABLE WATER SAMPLING BY SATELLITE SUGGESTING 0.5 TO 0.7
INCHES OF WATER AVAILABLE WITH THE FIRST FRONT BAND WHICH IS MORE
THAT 2 TIMES NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THINK THAT THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WILL SEE ABOUT A THIRD TO A HALF INCH OF RAIN TONIGHT
AND ROUGHLY A QUARTER TO A THIRD OF AN INCH FOR THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE ON MONDAY. ENOUGH RAIN TO WET THE GROUND AND BUMP THE
RIVER AND STREAMS LEVELS SLIGHTLY WITH RUNOFF ALTHOUGH SHOULD NOT
LEAD TO FLOODING ISSUES AS THE FLOW LEVELS ARE LOW.

WINDS IN THE EASTERN GULF AND INNER CHANNELS AT 10 TO 20 KT
GENERALLY...WITH A FEW AREAS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT
WINDS NEAR THE FRONT AND DIMINISHING AS IT PASSES. AS THE LOW AND
FRONT MOVES NORTHWARD THERE IS AN INCREASE IN THE EASTERLY FLOW
AROUND JUNEAU AND THROUGH TAKU INLET. DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS
SHOULD SEE GUSTY WINDS TO 30 MPH LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING BEFORE THE FLOW SHIFTS AND WINDS WEAKEN DURING THE DAY.
CROSS SOUND WILL ALSO SEE THE ENHANCED EASTERLY FLOW INTO THE GULF
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AND WILL BE ISSUING A SMALL CRAFT FOR THAT
AREA.

.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE FORECAST CONTINUES TO LOOK WET THROUGH
LATE WEEK AS THE WEST COAST RIDGE REMAINS MOSTLY STATIONARY. THE
RESULTING SW FLOW DIRECTS AT LEAST TWO WAVES INTO THE PANHANDLE
TUE THROUGH THU. THEN THE PATTERN SLIGHTLY CHANGES FRI INTO SAT AS
THE WEST COAST RIDGE RETROGRADES WEST TO A POSITION OVER THE
EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE. THIS RESULTS IN A DRIER FORECAST FOR
NEXT WEEKEND AND EARLY THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

SOME RATHER SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NEEDED OVER THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AS MID RANGE MODELS SHUFFLE WAVE POSITIONS AND STRENGTHS
AROUND A BIT. FIRST MAJOR CHANGE CONCERNS THE WAVE COMING INTO THE
SE GULF ON TUE. A STRONGER 100 KT 500 MB JET STREAK WEST OF HAIDA
GWAII HAS CAUSED THIS FEATURE TO STRENGTHEN IN RECENT MODEL RUNS.
CURRENT FORECAST HAS A WEAK LOW DEVELOPING WEST OF HAIDA GWAII
EARLY TUE BEFORE IT MOVES NE INTO BARANOF ISLAND BY TUE AFTERNOON
(THOUGH STRENGTH OF THE FEATURE VARIES BETWEEN 1005 MB AND 998 MB
BETWEEN MODELS). MAIN CHANGES HERE, BESIDES A STRONGER FEATURE,
WERE AN INCREASE IN WINDS ACROSS THE SE GULF AND SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE WITH MIN GALES NOW EXPECTED IN CLARENCE STRAIT TUE AS
THIS FEATURE MOVES THROUGH.

SECOND CHANGE OF NOTE IS FOR THE LOW THAT IS HEADING TOWARD THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST ON WED INTO THU. MODEL AGREEMENT HAS GOTTEN
BETTER BUT DIFFERENCES REMAIN (GEM AND NAM FAVOR A WEAKER LOW
INTO CAPE EDGECOMBE WHILE THE GFS AND ECMWF FAVOR A STRONGER LOW
WITH A TRACK NORTH ALONG 140 W). CURRENT SCENARIOS ARE MUCH
SLOWER THEN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST AND FAVOR A LOW TRACK FURTHER
EAST. GENERALLY THE GFS AND ECMWF SCENARIO HAS BEEN RATHER
CONSISTENT RECENTLY SO DECIDED TO HEAD IN THAT DIRECTION FOR THE
NEW FORECAST. THE RESULTING CHANGES IN THE WIND FIELD SHOWED MIN
GALES FORMING IN THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS WED
NIGHT. A ROBUST TROPICAL MOISTURE PLUME ACCOMPANYING THIS SYSTEM
WILL ALSO BRING SOME RATHER HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE PANHANDLE WED
NIGHT INTO THU WITH A FEW INCHES OF QPF EXPECTED IN ABOUT A 24
HOUR PERIOD. WE WILL CONTINUE TO REFINE THE FORECAST AS NEW MODEL
RUNS COME IN.

ONCE WE GET PAST THU, THE UPPER RIDGE SHIFT WEST AND BEGINS TO DRY
THE PANHANDLE OUT FOR THE WEEKEND. CURRENT LONG RANGE GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THIS DRY PERIOD LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT
MON, BUT HAVE DIFFERENT SCENARIOS ON WHEN AND HOW IT WILL END
NEXT WEEK. GENERALLY FAVORED WPC WITH ITS ENSEMBLE APPROACH FOR
EXTENDED RANGE UPDATES.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-031-036-041>043-051-052.
&&

BEZENEK/EAL

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