Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 167, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 25, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 25, 2016, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 26, 2016, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
301 FZAK51 PAJK 252337 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-261400- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FRONT WILL APPROACH SE ALASKA FROM THE S FRI NIGHT. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF ON SAT. $$ PKZ011-261400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-261400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-261400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-261400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-261400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-261400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-261400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-261400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-261400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-261400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-261400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
693 FZAK51 PAJK 261159 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-270100- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FRONT WILL REMAIN OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA THROUGH SATURDAY AS A LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES NORTH. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF SATURDAY NIGHT AND A RIDGE WILL SHIFT EAST TO THE EASTERN GULF ON SUNDAY. $$ PKZ011-270100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-270100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AND BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT BY THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-270100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-270100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-270100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ031-270100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-270100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 .TODAY...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SHOWERS. .SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-270100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SUN...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-270100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. STRONGEST WINDS SE OF CAPE FANSHAW. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-270100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-270100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT SAT MAR 26 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .SUN...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 25, 2:03 PM AKDT, 1 hour 57 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 2:03 PM AKDT, 1 hour 57 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
203 PM AKDT FRI MAR 25 2016
.SHORT TERM...AN OCCLUDED FRONT WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN GULF
TONIGHT. A COMPLEX LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN
GULF SAT. BLENDED THE 12Z ECMWF WITH PREVIOUS FORECAST...MAINLY
TO MAKE SLIGHT SYSTEM INTENSITY TWEAKS.
MAIN FORECAST CONCERNS WILL BE PRECIP POTENTIAL AND WINDS. THE
SHOWERY REGIME CURRENTLY OVER THE INNER CHANNELS WILL BE REPLACED
BY STEADIER RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS FRONT
MOVES IN. THIS RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO SAT WITH THE COMPLEX LOW
PRESSURE AREA MOVING INTO THE EASTERN GULF.
WINDS WILL BE A TRICKIER FORECAST. BETWEEN TERRAIN EFFECTS ON THE
LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND SMALLER SIZE OF SYSTEMS COMING
IN...HITTING THE HIGHEST WINDS AT THE RIGHT TIME WILL BE
DIFFICULT. LOOKS LIKE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ALONG THE FAR ERN
GULF AND ADJACENT INNER CHANNEL AREAS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH
25-30 KT WINDS EXPECTED. CLARENCE STRAIT WILL BE EVEN STRONGER
WITH WINDS UP TO 35 KT BY LATE TONIGHT. THINK THE WINDS WILL DROP
OFF SOME ON SAT...BUT THIS WILL DEPEND ON EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH
OF THE VARIOUS SMALL LOWS OVER THE EASTERN GULF. MODELS HAVE BEEN
STRUGGLING WITH THIS SO THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOWERS ON SAT OVER
THE GULF. OTHER AREA OF CONCERN IS AROUND NORTHERN LYNN
CANAL...WHICH IS SEEING SOME ENHANCED WINDS DUE TO MID-LEVEL SW
FLOW INDUCING A LEE TROF NEAR PAGY. DECIDED TO START THEM AT 20
KT BUT THEY COULD REACH SCA LEVEL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. AS THE
MID-LEVEL FLOW BACKS FROM SW TO S TONIGHT...THE LEE TROF NEAR PAGY
WILL WEAKEN AND WINDS AROUND NORTHERN LYNN CANAL SHOULD DECREASE
TO 10-15 KT.
OTHERWISE...IT SHOULD REMAIN FAIRLY MILD TONIGHT WITH TEMPS
REMAINING IN THE 40S FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. MAY NOT SEE MUCH RISE
IN TEMPS ON SAT WITH THE RAIN CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY.
CURRENTLY NOT EXPECTING ANY SIGNIFICANT FOG GIVEN STRENGTH OF LOW
LEVEL FLOW KEEPING NEAR SURFACE LAYER MIXED.
.LONG TERM...MODELS REMAIN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON PATTERN
EVOLUTION OVER THE NEXT WEEK. THERE REMAINS LITTLE SPREAD IN THE
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS LEADING TO ABOVE AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE.
THEREFORE FEW CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. USED THE
12Z ECMWF FOR UPDATES THROUGH DAY 4 THEN TRANSITIONED TO THE
LATEST WPC GUIDANCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG RANGE.
THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG RANGE FEATURES A TROUGH LIFTING INTO
CANADA ON SATURDAY NIGHT WITH PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN ONGOING OVER
THE PANHANDLE. PRECIPITATION WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY
AS THE UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS PUSH EAST OF THE AREA. A VERY STRONG
UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF NEXT WEEK FROM THE SOUTH AND
DRIFT TO THE EAST AS IT STRENGTHENS. THE PATTERN WILL EVOLVE INTO
AN OMEGA BLOCK BY THE END OF THE WEEK WITH AN UPPER LOW ANCHORED
SOUTH OF ALEUTIANS AND ANOTHER OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS HIGH
WILL ADVECT VERY WARM TEMPERATURES INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA FROM MID
NEXT WEEK THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. MODELS HAVE REMAINED
CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS INDICATING 850 MB
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO 12 C WHICH IS ABOUT 3-5 STD DEV
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE MARCH. TO GO ALONG WITH THE VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE ON THE DRY SIDE
WITH VERY STRONG SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE RIDGE. YAKUTAT WILL BE ON
THE ONSHORE SIDE OF THE HIGH EARLY IN THE WEEK AND HAS A CHANCE OF
SEEING HEAVY RAINFALL ON MONDAY BEFORE THE STREAM OF MOISTURE GETS
PUSHED TO THE WEST AS THE HIGH CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN.
A QUICK LOOK AT RECORD DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR MID TO LATE
NEXT WEEK INDICATES THERE IS A HIGH LIKELIHOOD FOR A SIGNIFICANT
PORTION OF THE AREA TO BREAK THESE. CURRENTLY HAVE FORECASTED
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S FOR WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY.
AT THIS TIME...THE WARMEST DAYS LOOK LIKE THEY WILL BE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. IT SHOULD ALSO BE NOTED THE RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE
EVER RECORDED FOR THE MONTH OF MARCH AT THE JUNEAU AIRPORT IS 61
DEGREES. THE EXPECTED SYNOPTIC SETUP WITH VERY WARM AIR ALOFT
COULD PUT THIS RECORD IN JEOPARDY NEXT THURSDAY. STAY TUNED...
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ022-033>035-041>043-051.
&&
RWT/TPS
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Mar 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 7 days | |
| Mar 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 16 hr | |
| Mar 26, 9:32 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.