Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 160, NWS Juneau, AK

March 10, 2016

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 10, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Mar 11, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted.

562 
FZAK52 PAJK 110020
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-111400-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
AS A CENTRAL GULF LOW WEAKENS THIS EVENING...AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL APPROACH SE ALASKA TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE BY FRI MORNING. MEANWHILE ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS OVER NW CANADA. 

$$

PKZ041-111400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-111400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-111400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. S SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-111400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-111400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$
4 follow-up statements
538 
FZAK52 PAJK 110240 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-111400-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
AS A CENTRAL GULF LOW WEAKENS THIS EVENING...AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL APPROACH SE ALASKA TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE BY FRI MORNING. MEANWHILE ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS OVER NW CANADA. 

$$

PKZ041-111400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-111400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING
TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-111400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-111400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-111400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
540 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
987 
FZAK52 PAJK 110614 AAB
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-111400-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
AS A CENTRAL GULF LOW WEAKENS THIS EVENING...AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
WILL APPROACH SE ALASKA TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE BY FRI MORNING. MEANWHILE ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE NE
INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
STRENGTHENS OVER NW CANADA. 

$$

PKZ041-111400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016


...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE.
GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-111400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 13 FT
BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-111400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-111400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-111400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
914 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING LATE TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 



$$
471 
FZAK52 PAJK 111232
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-120100-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH FRI
MORNING. MEANWHILE A LOW TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN GULF WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-120100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-120100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-120100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-120100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-120100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$
359 
FZAK52 PAJK 111837 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-120100-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH FRI
MORNING. MEANWHILE A LOW TRACKING INTO THE WESTERN GULF WILL
MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST GULF THROUGH SATURDAY. 

$$

PKZ041-120100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

...GALE WARNING THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-120100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-120100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-120100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-120100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
937 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. S SWELL IN THE MORNING. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 10, 3:50 PM AKST, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 3:50 PM AKST, 10 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...RAIN AND SHOWERS ARE USUALLY GIVENS ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTHEAST. BUT OCCASIONALLY THERE COMES A TIME WHEN THE WINDOWS
OF OPPORTUNITY ARE SMALL. THE PLAYERS ARE FEW IN THIS SETUP. ONE,
WE HAVE A LOW MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST ACROSS THE BC MOUNTAINS.
CLOUD COVER FROM THIS SYSTEM ADVANCED AS FAR AS JUNEAU MID-DAY
BUT LATELY HAS BEGUN RETREATING AS THE SYSTEM WEAKENS AND PUSHES
AWAY. THE RAIN FROM THIS SYSTEM HAD TROUBLE MOVING WEST OF HYDER
AND WRANGELL. TWO, WE ALSO HAVE A COMPLICATING RIDGE. HOW MUCH OF
A PLAYER WILL IT BE? WE THINK IT WILL HAVE A SAY IN KEEPING
THINGS DRY FOR AT LEAST THE EARLY EVENING FOR MOST LOCATIONS. BUT
AS THE SYSTEM TO THE EAST WEAKENS...ITS TRAILING RIDGE WILL AS
WELL. THE THIRD PLAYER IS AN AGING UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA SUPPORTING RAIN SHOWERS THAT APPEAR TO BE INCREASING IN
COVERAGE AND TRYING TO ADVANCE TOWARD OUR SHORES. THE SOUTHERLY
FLOW JUST WEST OF US IS WAITING FOR THE ONSHORE GATES TO OPEN,
AND THIS WILL HAPPEN ONCE THE COMPLICATING RIDGE MOVES
SUFFICIENTLY EAST. MID TO LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE RELEASED
INTO THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT AND WITH SOME HELP FROM OROGRAPHICS,
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP.

NOW FOR THURSDAY AND HOW THIS WINDOW BEGINS TO CLOSE. THIS OLD
UPPER LOW IN THE GULF WILL BEGIN DISSIPATING TONIGHT AS A NEW
SYSTEM SAPS ITS ENERGY WELL OUT INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF. THIS NEW
SYSTEM WILL SEND A FRONT WELL OUT AHEAD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF,
BACKING WINDS SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND KEEPING
THINGS BRISK. FOR THE PANHANDLE INCREASING OFFSHORE WINDS AT THE
MID- LEVELS WILL HELP DRY THINGS OUT BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND
THUS WE NOW FORECAST THE SUN TO RE-EMERGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON
FROM JUNEAU-SITKA-KETCHIKAN EASTWARD. YAKUTAT MEANWHILE WILL STAY
SHOWERY FROM TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. LIKEWISE SHOWERS
ALONG THE COAST WILL BE THE LAST TO END.

GUIDANCE FROM THE HIGH RES SUPPORTED AN INCREASE IN WINDS
OVERNIGHT SO WE ADDED SOME SMALL CRAFT SOUTHERLIES IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT. WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH TOMORROW AND WILL TURN MORE
OFFSHORE BY THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE WE RELIED ON THE NAM AND
ECMWF FOR SMALL ADJUSTMENTS TO A FAIRLY SOLID FORECAST.
CONFIDENCE IS GOOD BUT IFFY ON SHOWER COVERAGE TONIGHT. TIMING
WAS DELIBERATELY LEFT BROAD DESCRIBING WHEN SHOWERS WILL ACTUALLY
DEVELOP.

.LONG TERM...UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. AT THAT TIME, AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTH AND BE CENTERED OVER THE
EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE RIDGE WILL BECOME MORE
AMPLIFIED TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK AS IT IS IMPINGED UPON BY
ANOTHER UPPER LOW THAT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. MODELS DIVERGE ON
THE TRACK OF THIS SECOND LOW, AND THE RESULTANT DISPOSITION OF THE
UPPER RIDGE. ECMWF DEPICTS A STRONG NEGATIVE TILT DEVELOPING WITH
THE UPPER LOW RIDING UP THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE RIDGE. GFS TIPS
THE RIDGE NEGATIVELY EVEN MORE SO AND UNDERCUTS THE FEATURE WITH
THE UPPER LOW WEST OF OREGON.

AT THE SURFACE, THE UPPER PATTERN SUPPORTS A SURFACE LOW REMAINING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF AND ROTATING SHOWERS NORTH OVER THE
PANHANDLE UNTIL IT FINALLY WEAKENS TUESDAY MORNING. MODE AGREEMENT
ON THIS FEATURE IS GOOD UNTIL IT BEGINS TO WEAKEN. GFS AND THE
CANADIAN NH TAKE IT EAST INTO CANADIAN COASTLINE SOUTH OF HAIDA
GWAII WHEREAS DRIFTS IT NORTH AND INLAND AS A DYING LOW OVER THE
CENTRAL OUTER COAST. AT THIS POINT, ECMWF DIVERGES FROM BOTH GFS
AND THE CANADIAN NH, WHICH BOTH TRACK YET ANOTHER SURFACE LOW
INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. FARTHER SOUTH AND
WEST, MODES ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON A MUCH STRONGER LOW
APPROACHING THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH BY THURSDAY MORNING. GFS KEEPS
THE SURFACE FEATURE SOUTH OF 50N AND TRACKS IT SLOWLY TO THE EAST
THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY MORNING. ECMWF TRACKS IT NORTH AND THEN
NORTHWEST INTO THE WESTERN GULF. THE TREATMENT OF THIS FEATURE AT
THE SURFACE IS CONSISTENT WITH EACH MODELS' UPPER LEVEL PATTERNS.
PREFER THE GFS SOLUTION AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE UPPER LEVEL
UNDERCUTTING THE RIDGE VICE RIDING UP THE VERY NEGATIVELY TILTED
RIDGE AS DEPICTED BY ECMWF.

EITHER WAY, THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST FEATURES SEVERAL DRY DAYS
FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE WITH ONLY CHANCE POPS
EXTENDING AS FAR NORTH AS SITKA ON THE OUTSIDE AND ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN ZONES SATURDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
WILL PUNCTUATE MOSTLY CLOUDY AND DRY DAYS AND NIGHTS FOR MUCH OF
THE COMING WEEK. BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO FALL TO
NEAR FREEZING OR BELOW THROUGH NEXT MONDAY. DAYTIME HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. STRONG NORTHEASTERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL KEEP MARINE WINDS OVER THE INNER CHANNELS AT 20 TO 25 KTS
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND 15 KTS OR SO THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
STRONG WINDS LIKELY IN SKAGWAY ON SATURDAY.

CHANGES TO THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST LIMITED TO MONDAY AND
ONWARD, WHERE THE LATEST WPC WAS USED FOR PRESSURE AND WIND. TEMPS
ADJUSTED USING BIAS CORRECTED GFS AND SREF AS WELL AS GFS ENSEMBLE
MOS. QPF FROM CANADIAN NH AND ECMWF. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE
IS AVERAGE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043-052.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-022-031-033-035-036-051-053.
&&

JWA/FRITSCH

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Mar 10, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Mar 10, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Mar 10, 10:28 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK18 hr
Mar 11, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Mar 11, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Mar 11, 9:37 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.