Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 116, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 10, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 10, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 11, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
108 FZAK52 PAJK 110045 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-111400- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... AS A GALE FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT A SECONDARY LOW ON A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE S CAUSING GALES OUTSIDE. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE EASTERN GULF CAUSING GALES ON THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-111400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-111400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-111400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-111400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-111400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
322 FZAK52 PAJK 110745 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120145- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... AS A GALE FORCE LOW MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT A SECONDARY LOW ON A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OFFSHORE WATERS FROM THE S CAUSING GALES OUTSIDE. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE EASTERN GULF CAUSING GALES ON THU NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-120145- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-120145- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-120145- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-120145- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-120145- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1045 PM AKST WED FEB 10 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
475 FZAK52 PAJK 111247 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120100- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... AS A GALE FORCE FRONT EXITS TOWARD THE W THIS MORNING...A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF LATE TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-120100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-120100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-120100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-120100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-120100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING THIS MORNING... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
293 FZAK52 PAJK 111925 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120100- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... AS A GALE FORCE FRONT EXITS TOWARD THE W THIS MORNING...A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE N INTO THE CENTRAL GULF LATE TONIGHT. $$ PKZ041-120100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ042-120100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-120100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-120100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-120100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1025 AM AKST THU FEB 11 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE GALE TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 10, 6:13 AM AKST, 9 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 6:13 AM AKST, 9 hours 47 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
613 AM AKST WED FEB 10 2016
.SHORT TERM...THE COMPLICATED PATTERN CONTINUES. ONE FRONT LIES
STRETCHED ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA FROM THE FAR NORTHERN GULF
SOUTHEAST TO KETCHIKAN. RAIN BANDS HAVE BEEN MODERATE TO HEAVY AT
TIMES FOR THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS BUT AS THE RAIN SPREADS
FARTHER NORTH OFFSHORE FLOW INHIBITS AMOUNTS. DRAINAGE WINDS OUT
OF THE CHILKAT VALLEY HAVE FORMED A COLD AIR WEDGE TO THE NORTH
THAT IS KEEPING PRECIPITATION SNOW IN HAINES. BUT WARMING THIS
AFTERNOON SHOULD HELP ERODE THIS LOCAL COLD AIR DOME THIS
AFTERNOON TO ALLOW A CHANGEOVER TO RAIN NEAR LYNN CANAL. THE
HIGHWAY THOUGH COULD RECEIVE AN INCH TODAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
1 TO 3 INCHES TONIGHT. THE SIMPLE FORECAST OF RAIN TODAY BELIES
SOME COMPLEXITY WHICH WE WILL ATTEMPT TO EXPLAIN. THE FIRST FRONT
WILL LIFT NORTH OF SOUTHEAST ALASKA THIS MORNING. BUT A SECOND
FRONT FOLLOWS QUICKLY ON ITS HEALS TO BRING MORE RAIN FOR THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREADING NORTHWARD QUICKLY
INTO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THUS...FOR THE
NORTH WE EXPRESS THE RAIN AS DIMINISHING THIS MORNING...WHILE
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH LIKE PRINCE OF WALES WE HAVE RAIN
ENDING...THEN REDEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. SO FOR THOSE IN THE
SOUTH, WE EXPECT A BRIEF BREAK IN THE RAIN THIS MORNING WITH MORE
ON THE WAY IN THE AFTERNOON. AND FOR THE NORTH...WE EXPECT A BREAK
AROUND LATE MORNING THROUGH MID-DAY WITH RAIN POSSIBLY
REDEVELOPING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON...WHICH IS WHY WE DID NOT WANT
TO REMOVE IT ENTIRELY DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THE SECOND FRONT WILL HERALD AT LEAST SOME WEAK COOLING ALOFT AND
WILL SUPPORT A CHANGE IN CHARACTER OF THE RAINFALL TO SHOWERS.
MEANWHILE A THIRD DISTURBANCE OR FRONT MAY ACTUALLY SUPPORT A
SLIGHT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND INCREASE
WINDS TO GALE ALONG THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE COASTLINE LATE TONIGHT.
WIND FORECAST FOR THE INSIDE HAS ESSENTIALLY NOT CHANGED MUCH. WE
INCREASED SOME SOUTHERLIES OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE THIS
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE SECOND FRONT AND SPREAD GALES ALONG THE
OFFSHORE WATERS FARTHER NORTH IN LINE WITH THE GFS/GEM OVER THE
SLOWER NAM/GEM SOLUTION FROM YESTERDAY.
TEMPERATURE ONCE AGAIN PROVIDED SOME HEADACHES. METLAKATLA REACHED
61 DEGREES YESTERDAY. OOPS...WE WERE 9 DEGREES OFF IN YESTERDAY'S
FORECAST. SITKA AND KLAWOCK LOOK TO HAVE BROKEN DAILY RECORDS. WE
DID NOT DEVIATE TEMPERATURES TOO MUCH FROM FORECAST AS THE RAPID
WARM AIR ADVECTION APPEARS TO BE BEHIND US...ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES
WILL STILL REMAIN VERY MILD TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY DROP
TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH OTHER THAN THE HIGHWAYS, WE DO NOT EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW FREEZING.
USED GFS/GEM FOR GUIDANCE TODAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...A VERY LARGE AND NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER
SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND KEEP THE PANHANDLE WET FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THIS WEEK. THE UPPER LOW WILL BREAK DOWN BY EARLY THIS
WEEKEND...ONLY TO BE REPLACED BY ANOTHER SUCH FEATURE THAT WILL
MOVE IN FROM SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY. A VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE IN ADVANCE OF THE SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FRONT THAT WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT SOUTHEAST ALASKA
SATURDAY EVENING. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS
FRONT BUT THEN DIVERGE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER SHORT WAVE AND
FRONT TO MOVE IN FROM THE GULF ON SUNDAY.
LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR AND THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST FEATURES DAYTIME
HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S THROUGH AT LEAST
SATURDAY. SNOW LEVELS CORRESPONDINGLY HIGH. OVERNIGHT LOWS FOR
SATURDAY NIGHT MAY SUPPORT ACCUMULATING SNOW SATURDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE, SNOW WILL BE LIMITED PRIMARILY TO THE FAR NORTHERN
INNER CHANNELS AND THE HYDER AREA OF MISTY FJORDS.
FREQUENT FRONTAL PASSAGES WILL RESULT IN GALES OVER THE COASTAL
MARINE ZONES FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. ALSO HAVE SOME GALES
FOR PORTIONS OF THE INNER CHANNELS...PARTICULARLY FOR THURSDAY
NIGHT.
USED BLENDS OF NAM, GFS22, THE CANADIAN NH AND ECMWF FOR UPDATES
TO PRESSURE, POP, QPF AND WIND THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPS
UPDATED PRIMARILY WITH GFS MOS. OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS
AVERAGE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041>043-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-021-022-033-036-052-053.
&&
JWA/FRITSCH
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Feb 10, 4:58 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 84 min | |
| Feb 10, 6:22 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Feb 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Feb 11, 10:25 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.