Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016
Small Craft Advisory 63, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jun 30, 2016, 2:31 PM AKDT. It was in force for 37 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 30, 2016, 2:31 PM AKDT (22:31 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2016, 3:28 AM AKDT
- In force
- 37 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
744 FZAK51 PAFG 302231 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-011230- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... AN ARCTIC FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO BARROW WILL MOVE TO BARTER ISLAND TO DEADHORSE NORTH BY 4PM FRI AND THEN MOVE NORTH OF THE COAST SAT. A 1025 MB HIGH NORTH OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST WILL MOVE EAST OVER BANKS ISLAND FRI. $$ PKZ225-011230- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ230-011230- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ235-011230- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-011230- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG. .FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. .MON...N WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 25 KT. $$ PKZ245-011230- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 231 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. .FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. .FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ JUN 16
4 follow-up statements
481 FZAK51 PAFG 011114 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-020215- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... AN ARCTIC FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO DEADHORSE NORTH WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE COAST SAT. $$ PKZ225-020215- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-020215- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ235-020215- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...W WINDS 25 KT. .TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-020215- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...NW WINDS 25 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-020215- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 314 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ RM/RF JUL 16
336 FZAK51 PAFG 011638 AAA CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 UPDATED ZONES 203 AND 204 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-020315- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... AN ARCTIC FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO DEADHORSE NORTH WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE COAST SAT. $$ PKZ225-020315- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ230-020315- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ235-020315- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT. .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...W WINDS 25 KT. .TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-020315- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. .MON...NW WINDS 25 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-020315- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 838 AM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG. VSBY LESS THAN 1NM. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ RM/RF/JB JUL 16
506 FZAK51 PAFG 012329 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-021215- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... AN ARCTIC WARM FRONT FROM BARTER ISLAND TO DEADHORSE WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE COAST SAT. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE EAST TO BARROW TO CAPE LISBURNE THEN WEST BY 4PM SAT...TO DEADHORSE TO A 1007 MB LOW NEAR POINT HOPE BY 4AM SUN...AND THEN REMAIN STATIONARY. $$ PKZ225-021215- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ230-021215- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ235-021215- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...W WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. .MON...S WINDS 20 KT. .MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. .WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ240-021215- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 .TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SAT...SE WINDS 10 KT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG. .SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. .MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. .WED...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ245-021215- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 329 PM AKDT FRI JUL 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ JUL 16
336 FZAK51 PAFG 021128 CWFNSB COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ298-030230- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL MOVE EAST TO BARROW TO CAPE LISBURNE THEN WEST BY 4PM SAT AND THEN REMAIN STATIONARY. $$ PKZ225-030230- CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ230-030230- CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .MON NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ235-030230- POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING W. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. .SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. FOG. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG. .MON NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. $$ PKZ240-030230- CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. .MON NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ245-030230- FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT- 328 AM AKDT SAT JUL 2 2016 .TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ RM/RF JUL 16
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jun 30, 1:53 PM AKDT, 38 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 1:53 PM AKDT, 38 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 153 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Aloft... A ridge of high pressure that stretches from NW Canada west across Northern Alaska will slowly weaken through the weekend but persist into next week. A low in the Gulf of Alaska will will drift slowly east on the weekend. A series of short wave troughs spinning NW from this low will move west across the Alaska Range and Interior Alaska through the weekend. Bands of showers and thunderstorms associated with these troughs will move west across the southern Interior and Alaska Range through the weekend. The highest moisture levels and strongest instability will be across the Alaska Range and southern Interior and those areas will see significant rain through the weekend. The heaviest rain will be in SE interior and Alaska Range SE of Eagle to Big Delta to Minchumina. Temperatures will remain near to just above normal through the weekend. A weak short wave trough from Mcgrath to Galena will move to Bethel to Anvik late tonight. Scattered Thunderstorms with frequent lighting and small hail are occuring along this trough and will continue through tonight. A second short wave trough from Beaver Creek to Eagle will move to Denali to Coldfoot by 4am Fri and to McGrath to Huslia by 4pm Fri. There are widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms that will spread west with the trough through Fri. Showers will be isolated to scattered over the northern Interior. A third and stronger short wave trough over the southern Yukon Territory will move to Glennallen to Northway by 4am Fri...to Denali to Old Crow by 4pm Fri...to McGrath to Old Crow by 4am Sat and to Telida to Fort Yukon by 4pm Sat. There will be heavy showers with this trough across the southern Interior and Alaska Range with isolated to scattered showers to the north. A fourth short wave will rotate NE to the SE Interior and SE Alaska Range on Sat and then persist through Sun. This will cause more widespread showers over the SE Interior and SE Alaska Range Sat into Sun. Surface... An Arctic front from Barter Island to Barrow will move to Barter Island to Deadhorse north by 4pm Fri and then moving north of the coast Sat. A 1025 mb high north of the eastern Arctic Coast will move east over Banks Island Fri. Will see stratus and fog along the Arctic front move north of the coast as the front moves north. A 1020 mb high over the northern Bering Sea will persist through Sat. This will cause winds to be NW along the West Coast of Alaska and cause areas of stratus and fog over the southern Chukchi Sea and the Bering Strait and St Lawrence Island through Sat. && .DISCUSSION... Models similar solutions at 500 mb through the weekend. Slight differences in speed and location of short wave trough leads to significant differences in location and amounts of precipitation through the weekend. We went along with the GFS but smoothed out the precipitation amounts with the NAM and EMCF. All models show the heaviest rainfall tonight and Fri in the Alaska Range and that makes the most sense at this point. There may be heavier rain north of the Alaska Range but due to the convective nature it cannot be pinpointed until convection occurs. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. && .FIRE WEATHER... Significant number of lighting strikes occuring today across the southern Interior. In the southern Interior RH will remain above 30% with significant rain. In the northern Interior Rh will drop below 30% on the weekend with temperatures reaching near 80. && .HYDROLOGY... 1 to 2 inches of rain likely through Fri southeast of Eagle to Minchumina with the heaviest amounts in the Alaska Range with the heaviest rain tonight and Fri. At this time it looks like most of that area will get 1 to 2 inches of rain through Fri...but in the Alaska Range a few locations could get as much as 3 inches. The locations of the higher amounts is very uncertain due to the convective nature of these events and rainfall amounts will need to be watched closely. At this time no flooding is expected...but small streams in the Alaska Range are expected to rise rapidly on Fri with mudslides possible along steep slopes. Larger rivers across the southeast Interior and Alaska Range will be rising through the weekend as well. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Small Craft Advisory for PKZ240-PKZ245. && JB JUN 16
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 30, 2:14 PM AKDT, 17 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 214 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 AKZ223>226-020030- DELTANA AND TANANA FLATS- UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY-DENALI- EASTERN ALASKA RANGE- INCLUDING...SALCHA...DELTA JUNCTION...FORT GREELY... HARDING/BIRCH LAKE...DRY CREEK...DOT LAKE...HEALY LAKE...TOK... TANACROSS...EAGLE...TETLIN...NORTHWAY...ALCAN...CHICKEN... BOUNDARY...HEALY...DENALI NATIONAL PARK...CARLO CREEK... KANTISHNA...MENTASTA LAKE...BLACK RAPIDS...DONNELLY DOME... TRIMS CAMP...EAGLE TRAIL...MINERAL LAKE 214 PM AKDT THU JUN 30 2016 ...HEAVY RAINS IN THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... SEVERAL BANDS OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR AND ALASKA RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY OVER THE UPPER TANANA VALLEY AND FORTYMILE COUNTRY...THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...AND THE ALASKA RANGE INCLUDING DENALI PARK. LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE ALASKA RANGE. THESE RAINS WILL CAUSE WATER LEVELS TO RISE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THIS WEEKEND ON RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE FORTYMILE COUNTRY...THE DELTA JUNCTION AREA...AND THE ALASKA RANGE. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE ALASKA RANGE WHERE SMALL STREAMS COULD RISE RAPIDLY FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. NO FLOODING IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...BUT THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT AND LOCATION OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED THROUGH FRIDAY. PEOPLE VENTURING INTO THE ABOVE AREAS THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF RAPIDLY RISING STREAMS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES ALONG STEEP SLOPES. FOR THE LATEST FORECASTS GO TO WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FAIRBANKS.
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.