Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Fairbanks, AK

067 
FZAK52 PAFG 072232
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-081345-
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MON. AN OCCLUDED FRONT IN THE SOUTHEAST BERING
SEA WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA TONIGHT...TO THE GULF
OF ANADYR TO GAMBELL TO NUNIVAK ISLAND BY 4PM SUN...AND TO POINT
HOPE TO MCGRATH BY 4PM MON.

$$

PKZ200-081345-
NORTON SOUND-
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-081345-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG... RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-081345-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT TURNING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. FOG.
.SUN...SE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-081345-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
232 PM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING N. FOG SOUTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN
WITH VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG SOUTH OF CAPE KRUSENSTERN WITH VSBY 1
NM OR LESS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CF/DJH MAY 16

595 
FZAK52 PAFG 081159
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-090030-
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT FROM THE BERING STRAIT TO KOTZEBUE TO THE BROOKS
RANGE WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA TODAY AND TO POINT
LAY TONIGHT. A SECOND WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA
WILL MOVE NORTH TO THE BERING STRAIT TO YUKON DELTA BY 4AM
MON AND TO POINT LAY BY 4PM MON. A THIRD FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA MON AND TO GAMBELL TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 4AM
TUE.

$$

PKZ200-090030-
NORTON SOUND-
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-090030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FOG. VSBY LESS
THAN 1 NM. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-090030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-090030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
359 AM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

MAY 16

521 
FZAK52 PAFG 082306
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-091515-
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE NORTH TO LIE
FROM THE BERING STRAIT TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 4AM MON AND TO POINT
LAY BY 4PM MON. A SECOND FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN BERING SEA
MON AND TO GAMBELL TO THE YUKON DELTA BY 4AM TUE.

$$

PKZ200-091515-
NORTON SOUND-
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-091515-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.MON...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG... RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.   
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-091515-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...SE WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG. 
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...S WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-091515-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
306 PM AKDT SUN MAY 8 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT THIS EVENING BECOMING
SOUTHEAST 15 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
.MON...S WINDS 25 KT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG...RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT.  
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT.  
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

LTH/DJH MAY 16

244 
FZAK52 PAFG 091225
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-100030-
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE
BERING STRAIT TO YUKON DELTA BY 4AM TUE...TO CAPE LISBURNE TO THE
YUKON DELTA BY 4PM TUE...AND REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY THROUGH WED
AND THEN DRIFT EAST THU.

$$

PKZ200-100030-
NORTON SOUND-
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-100030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG. 
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-100030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. RAIN.
.WED...S WINDS 25 KT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-100030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
425 AM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. RAIN. FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. RAIN. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. RAIN. FOG.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

MAY 16

666 
FZAK52 PAFG 092319
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-101430-
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE
BERING STRAIT TO YUKON DELTA BY 4AM TUE...TO CAPE LISBURNE TO THE
YUKON DELTA BY 4PM TUE...AND REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ200-101430-
NORTON SOUND-
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.WED...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-101430-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...S WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG... RAIN.
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-101430-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
.TUE...SE WINDS 25 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-101430-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
319 PM AKDT MON MAY 9 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG...RAIN.
.TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. FOG...RAIN.
.WED...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

LTH/DJH MAY 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
349 AM AKDT SAT MAY 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL PROGRESS EAST
OVER THE BERING SEA AND NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
A LONG WAVE RIDGE BUILDING STRONGLY OVER EASTERN ALASKA THROUGH
THE WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE A STRONG WARMING AND DRYING TREND OVER
THE INTERIOR AND NORTH SLOPE THROUGH WEEK WHILE THE WEST COAST
REMAINS NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURE WISE BUT BECOMES MUCH WETTER.

IN THE SHORTER TERM A SHORT WAVE TROUGH FROM GLENNALLEN TO MAYO
WILL MOVE EAST OF THE ALCAN BORDER TODAY. A BROAD AREA OF SHOWERS
IN THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WILL TAPER OFF FROM
THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON.

A SECOND SHORT WAVE FROM ABLER TO ANVIK WILL MOVE TO ATIGUN PASS
TO MCGRATH BY 4PM SAT AND TO THE ALCAN BORDER BY 4AM SUN. A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE BUT DRY AIR MASS EAST OF THE TROUGH WILL
ALLOW ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT. THERE WILL BE ISOLATED
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF THE TROUGH
IN THE LIFT PROVIDED BY THE TROUGH.

STRONG SHORT WAVE RIDGING BUILDING OVER THE INTERIOR WEST OF THE
SECOND SHORT WAVE TROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL CAUSE CLEARING
AND SHOULD SUPPRESS MOST CONVECTION WEST OF THE TROUGH.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM +3C OVER THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TO
-8C OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST. WEST COAST AND NORTH SLOPE
WARMING GRADUALLY THROUGH MON WITH LITTLE CHANGE INTERIOR.

SURFACE...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MON. THIS WILL KEEP STRATUS AND FOG ALONG THE
NORTH SLOPE THROUGH MON...AND OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA FROM POINT HOPE
TO DEERING WEST THROUGH SUN AM.

AN ARCTIC FRONT FROM GAMBELL TO BUCKLAND TO NOATAK TO ATIGUN PASS
TO BARTER ISLAND WILL PERSIST TODAY THEM MOVE TO WALES TO POINT
HOPE TO INUVIK BY 4AM SUN...TO CAPE LISBURNE TO UMIAT TO INUVIK
BY 4PM SUN...THEN PUSHING ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST FROM BARROW EAST
BY MON. THERE IS AN AREA OF FREEZING DRIZZLE IN ZONE 203 WITH THE
FRONT THIS AM...AND SNOW IN ZONE 204 TODAY.

A THERMAL TROUGH FROM ANVIK TO TANANA TO EAGLE WILL PERSIST
TODAY...MOVE TO UNALAKLEET TO TANANA TO EAGLE BY 4AM SUN...TO
BUCKLAND TO EAGLE BY 4PM SUN...AND TO BARROW TO ANAKTUVUK PASS
EAGLE BY 4PM MON. THERE WILL BE ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE THERMAL
TROUGH ALONG WITH CONVERGING WINDS. WINDS WILL GUST TO 20 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING INTO THIS TROUGH. WILL SEE SOUTH WIDNS
GUSTING 35 MPH THROUGH ALASKA RANGE PASSES SUN AND MON.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT ON THE SOUTHEAST BERING SEA WILL MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA TONIGHT...TO THE GULF OF ANADYR TO GAMBELL TO
NUNIVAK ISLAND BY 4PM SUN...AND TO POINT HOPE TO MCGRATH BY 4PM
MON. EXPECT A BROAD AREA OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT SPREADING TO THE
WEST COAST SUN AND TO THE WESTERN INTERIOR SUN NIGHT AND MON. ALSO
EXPECT SOUTHEAST WINDS 15-25KT WITH THE FRONT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH
MON. GFS AGAIN A BIT TOO WIDESPREAD IN AREAL EXTEND OF
PRECIPITATION FOR TODAY AND POPS TOO HIGH FOR MOST AREAS OF THE
INTERIOR...SIMILAR TO WHAT GFS DID YESTERDAY. FAVOR AREA OF
SHOWERS CLOSE TO WHAT SHOWN BY GFS THROUGH TONIGHT BUT WITH MUCH
LOWER POPS...EXCEPT FOR SE INTERIOR WHERE SHOWERS ARE NOW
OCCURING.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH WAS IN THE 18-28 PERCENT RANGE FRI OVER THE TANANA
VALLEY..AND OVER 30 PERCENT REMAINDER. EXPECT RH ABOVE 30 PERCENT
MOST OF INTERIOR TODAY. WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT WARMING AND DRYING
THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
BREAKUP UP EARLIER THAN NORMAL WITH LOWER THAN NORMAL CHANCE OF
FLOODING SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE.

ON THE NORTH SLOPE...THE STRONG WARM UP NEXT WEEK ON THE NORTH
SLOPE WILL CAUSE SIGNIFICANT MELTING NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL
OF BREAK UP FLOODING OVER THE NORTH SLOPE THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. THE SAG RIVER WITH ITS HEAVY AUFEIS CONTENT WILL SEE HIGHER
THAN NORMAL CHANCE OF FLOODING STARTING LATE NEXT WEEK WHICH COULD
AFFECT THE DALTON HIGHWAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

JB MAY 16