Small Craft Advisory 33, NWS Fairbanks, AK

054 
FZAK51 PAFG 062259
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-071515-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH SLOPE OF ALASKA WILL MOVE EAST OVER
CANADA TONIGHT. A 998 MB LOW NORTH OF WRANGEL ISLAND WILL MOVE TO
600 NM NORTH OF BARROW AS A 994 MB LOW BY 4PM TUE...REMAIN QUASI-
STATIONARY THROUGH WED...AND THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST TO SEVERAL
HUNDRED NM NORTH OF DEMARCATION POINT BY THU. A COLD FRONT
STRETCHING SOUTHWEST FROM THE LOW WILL MOVE TO BARTER ISLAND TO
THE BERING STRAIT BY 4PM TUE...AND THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST TO THE
YUKON DELTA BY 4PM WED.

$$

PKZ225-071515-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. 
.WED...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-071515-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TUE...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-071515-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT.  
.TUE...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT.  FOG. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT.  FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT.  
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-071515-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.  
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-071515-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
259 PM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

JUN 16

583 
FZAK51 PAFG 071128
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-080230-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 995 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE TO 300 NM NORTH
OF DEADHORSE BY 4 AM THU WEAKENING TO 1004 MB. A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD EASTWARD ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST
TUE NIGHT.


$$

PKZ225-080230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-080230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-080230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-080230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WINDS 20 KT BECOMING W. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-080230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
328 AM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

RF/ET JUN 16

159 
FZAK51 PAFG 072235
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-081230-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 994 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL DRIFT EAST THROUGH 4 PM
WED...THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST TO BE 200 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY AT
4 PM THU. A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAS MOVED
SOUTHEAST OVER THE ALASKAN ARCTIC COAST AS FAR EAST AS PRUDHOE
BAY AND WILL CONTINUE EAST TO LIE FROM MACKENZIE BAY SOUTHWEST
THEN WEST OVER THE BROOKS RANGE AT 4 AM WED. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE SOUTH OVER THE SOUTHERN SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE LATER
WED THEN BECOME STATIONARY WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-081230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-081230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-081230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-081230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT EAST OF PRUDHOE BAY THIS
EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-081230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
235 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT...DIMINISHING AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.WED...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

DJH JUN 16

930 
FZAK51 PAFG 081052
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-090200-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 998 MB LOW CENTERED 400 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY WILL WEAKEN
TO A 1006 MB LOW CENTERED 200 NM NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE ARCTIC SLOPE
TODAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY.


$$

PKZ225-090200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-090200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-090200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.SAT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-090200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. FOG.
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-090200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
252 AM AKDT WED JUN 8 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 5 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND FOG.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

RF/RM JUN 16

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
334 AM AKDT MON JUN 6 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...There has been good run to run continuity, but the
models did not perform very well with the rapidly moving system
that moved across the state yesterday. With the pattern not being
as active today, they should do better. They did initialize well
against the 06Z surface analysis, but are still struggling beyond
78 hours as they diverge significantly.

ALOFT...At 500 HPA...571 dam high center 200 west of the Gulf of
Anadyr will move slowly south and west while a ridge extends
southeast over Unimak Island. A 533 dam low 250 nm north of
Demarcation Point will move north and be absorbed by a low moving
out of the high arctic over the western arctic. The associated
trough extends southwest over Iliamna lake and will very slowly
move southeast to be over the yukon territory by Wednesday
morning. A 539 dam low will develop in the trough over Minto this
morning and move over the upper Yukon flats by Tuesday morning and
dissipate. A ridge axis will move over the northwest coast this
today and lie from Norton Sound to Kaktovik by Tuesday morning,
and over the central part of the state by Tuesday evening. A
developing low near the pole will deepen to 518 dam tonight as it
moves to 400 nm north of Wrangel Island, and to 515 dam by
Wednesday morning as it moves to 400 nm north of Barrow. The first
shortwave associated with the low will move over the northwest
coast late Tuesday moving east across the arctic to the Beaufort
Sea by mid day Wednesday. A second, stronger shortwave,
associated with the low will move over the Chukchi Sea early
Wednesday and over the northwest coast and Bering Strait by
Wednesday afternoon and move across the arctic by Thursday
afternoon. Ridging south of the Brooks range will keep most of the
energy associated with the shortwaves over the arctic. AT 850
HPA...Zero isotherm lies from Dawson Yukon to Nikolai to Kaltag to
Wainwright this morning and will move north today, and by Tuesday
morning the zero isotherm will only be over the northwest coast as
warmer air surges over the rest of the state. It will start moving
south Tuesday night and will lie from Shingle Point Yukon to
Gambell as cooler air surges south, then stalls.

SURFACE...A trough lies over the southern interior along the
north slopes of the Alaska range and in the upper Tanana
valley this morning, and will continue to slowly move south and
east. Ridging continues to build in over the northwest part of
the state behind the front and will move east and south. A 1015
mb center develops over the arctic plain this morning and moves to
the northern Yukon Territory late this evening. Ridging will move
south of the Brooks range later this morning and persist into
Tuesday before being pushed out as the next frontal system
develops over the Brooks range with a 1006 mb low near Coldfoot
developing and moving east into the Yukon early Thursday.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...Flow changing trough the day from
onshore to offshore to easterly later this evening over most of
the area. Not much change in conditions except the winds. Lots of
stratus on the GOES MVFR/IFR probability products at 06/0915Z.
May see a few breaks in the inland areas, but the coastal areas
will be cloudy. The next front will make its way to the northwest
coast Tuesday morning and spread rain to the area west of Barrow.
Precipitation will initially be rain, but cold air surging in
behind the front will change it to a mix of rain and snow Tuesday
night on the coast and in the Brooks range. Areas in the Brooks
range will see another round of heavy snowfall with 2 to 5 inches
possible Tuesday night into Wednesday.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...A weak shortwave will move south
over the Chukchi Sea and Bering strait this afternoon and evening
spreading some isolated showers to the area, otherwise most areas
will be mostly sunny today. The next front will move to the area
Tuesday afternoon moving south across the Chukchi Sea and
spreading showers to the western interior early Tuesday morning as
it weakens. Warmer the next day or so as some warm air surges
north in advance of the front. Winds generally northwest to north
at 5 to 15 mph with slightly stronger winds on the coast and with
the weather front. No significant rainfall is expected with this
next system.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the east and south of Fairbanks will slowly come
to an end as the system that moved through the central interior
yesterday moves east into the Yukon. Patchy dense fog this
morning. Winds generally light and variable. Temperatures slowly
warming. The next system will move to the area on Wednesday
afternoon spreading isolated showers and thunderstorms to the
area.

&&

.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Pretty quiet and expected to stay that way. Some
Isolated thunderstorm activity today over the southeast interior,
and with the next system that moves across the area Wednesday
afternoon and evening. Temperatures a bit warmer the next few
days, but generally near normal for early June. No significant
winds, but they could be gusty with the next weather front that
moves across the state.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Some pretty heavy rains Sunday, but most rivers and
streams well below normal levels and they should be able to
absorb the runoff. No significant rainfall expected with the next
weather system.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ245.

&&

SDB JUN 16