Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Fairbanks, AK

April 27, 2016

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Apr 27, 2016, 4:21 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 27, 2016, 4:21 AM AKDT (12:21 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2016, 4:03 AM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

822 
FZAK52 PAFG 271221
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-280030-
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 974 MB LOW 110 NM S OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 175 SW OF NIKOLSKI BY
LATE WED AT 978 MB...AND 75 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT 991 MB BY THU
EVENING. INVERTED TROUGH PERSISTS OVER THE WEST COAST...BERING
STRAIT...AND CHUKCHI SEA. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CHUKOTSK
PENINSULA WILL PUSH SE AND TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE
BERING STRAIT AND CHUKCHI SEA THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ200-280030-
NORTON SOUND-
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-280030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AND BLOWING
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AND BLOWING
SNOW.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-280030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-280030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
421 AM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RF/NTS APR 16
4 follow-up statements
924 
FZAK52 PAFG 272244
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-281400-
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR ATKA WILL MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB BY
THURSDAY EVENING. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING
STRAIT THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ200-281400-
NORTON SOUND-
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-281400-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY
AND BLOWING SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-281400-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-281400-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
244 PM AKDT WED APR 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

APR 16
504 
FZAK52 PAFG 281206
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-290015-
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR ATKA WILL MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB BY
THURSDAY EVENING. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING
STRAIT THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ200-290015-
NORTON SOUND-
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-290015-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT LOCALLY 25 KT NEAR THE BERING
STRAIT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF SLEDGE ISLAND.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-290015-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
NOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-290015-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
406 AM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT OVER THE OUTER WATERS.
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

DJH APR 16
139 
FZAK52 PAFG 282136
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-291215-
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 975 MB LOW NEAR ATKA WILL MOVE EAST AND WEAKEN TO 992 MB BY
THURSDAY EVENING. AN INVERTED TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE BERING
STRAIT THROUGH FRIDAY. WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
INTERIOR.

$$

PKZ200-291215-
NORTON SOUND-
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-291215-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-291215-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 5 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-291215-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
136 PM AKDT THU APR 28 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

APR 16
943 
FZAK52 PAFG 291203
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-300030-
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A 995 MB LOW SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL DISSIPATE AS A STRONGER
LOW TO THE SOUTH MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. THAT LOW
WILL BE ABOUT 983 MB 300 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 4AM SAT...THEN TURN
NORTH TO BE 988 MB 50 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 4PM SAT. AN INVERTED
TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST ALASKA.

$$

PKZ200-300030-
NORTON SOUND-
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ210-300030-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ215-300030-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 15 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
ESPENBERG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT W WINDS 10 KT SOUTH OF CAPE
.SAT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...W WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-300030-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
403 AM AKDT FRI APR 29 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 10 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM CAPE THOMPSON
NORTH AND WELL OFFSHORE SOUTH OF CAPE THOMPSON. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 0 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT FROM CAPE THOMPSON NORTH
AND WELL OFFSHORE SOUTH OF CAPE THOMPSON. FOG.
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NW WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

DJH APR 16

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Apr 26, 12:57 PM AKDT, 15 hours 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 26, 12:57 PM AKDT, 15 hours 24 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1257 PM AKDT TUE APR 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS...VERY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE FIRST 72 HOURS AND MAINTAINS
REASONABLE AGREEMENT THROUGH 144 HOURS. JUST NOT SEEING A LOT OF
CHANGES AT THE SURFACE AS MODELS MAINTAIN THE CYCLONIC FLOW OVER
THE STATE WITH LEESIDE TROUGHING NORTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND
OVER THE ARCTIC COAST. THERMAL LOW ENHANCES THE LEESIDE TROUGH
DURING THE DAY AND WEAKENS OVERNIGHT. WILL USE AN EQUAL BLEND FOR
THE SHORT TERM FORECASTS...BUT MAKE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE
TEMPERATURE FORECASTS THAT HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED TO BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL ALREADY. AS FAR AS PRECIPITATION THE GFS AND ECMWF
ARE WAY OVERDOING THE COVERAGE...SO WILL USE MAINLY THE AKNAMDNG5
WITH SOME MINOR POST EDITING TO ADD A LITTLE MORE COVERAGE. NOT
MUCH SHOWING UP FOR CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL UNTIL AT LEAST FRIDAY.
THERE ARE INDICATIONS OF POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERY ACTIVITY THOUGH.

ALOFT...AT 500 HPA...RIDGING OVER THE BROOKS RANGE IS SLOWLY
SLIDING NORTH AND WILL BE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. AN ELONGATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH SEVERAL LOW REMAINS
OVER THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. A 521 DAM LOW
400 NM SOUTH OF HOMER AND A 518 DAM LOW OVER COLD BAY WILL WEAKEN
AND BE ABSORBED INTO THE 508 DAM LOW THAT WILL BE 200 NM SOUTH OF
ATKA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE
SOUTHCENTRAL BERING SEA EAST OVER KODIAK ISLAND THEN SOUTHEAST.
THE LOW WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY EAST TO BE 50 NM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI BY
WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH THE TROUGH MOVING NORTH TO LIE FROM THE
PRIBILOFS TO ANCHORAGE TO WATSON LAKE YUKON...THEN BY THURSDAY
MORNING THE LOW WILL BE 100 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WITH THE
TROUGH LYING FROM CAPE NEWENHAM TO FAIRBANKS TO FORT MCPHERSON
YUKON BY THURSDAY MORNING AS IT CONTINUE TO ROTATE TO THE
NORTHWEST PUSHING THE RIDGING JUST OFFSHORE. AT 850 HPA...SLIGHT
COOLING ACROSS THE INTERIOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BRING THE
TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO CELSIUS...THEN THEY WARM BACK UP TO AROUND
THE ZERO MARK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

SURFACE...SAME GENERAL PATTERN OF THE PAST COUPLE WEEKS HOLDS
THROUGH THIS WEEK WITH WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE STATE AND
LEESIDE...THERMAL TROUGH NORTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE AND WEAK
TROUGHING OVER THE ARCTIC COAST...AS WELL AS AN INVERTED TROUGH
OVER THE WEST COAST. DECAYING FRONTS MOVING NORTH OUT OF THE GULF
WILL ENHANCE THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THROUGH THE WEEK...BUT NOT
SEEING ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT UNTIL THE WEEKEND WHEN WE COULD SEE
SOME THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

ARCTIC COAST AND BROOKS RANGE...JUST NOT SEEING ANYTHING TO CHANGE
FROM CONTINUITY. STRATUS ON THE 26/1601Z SPORT NPP VIIRS
NIGHTTIME MICROPHYSICS IMAGE APPEARS TO BE PRETTY MUCH IN THE SAME
PLACE IT WAS ON MONDAY AND NO REASON FOR IT TO CHANGE IN THE SHORT
TERM. NORTHEAST TO EAST FLOW CONTINUES ALONG THE COAST WITH WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH FOR MOST AREAS. WINDS IN THE BROOKS RANGE AND OVER
THE FLATS ARE LIGHTER. EXPECT A FEW FLURRIES WITH THE
STRATUS...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION. CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN THE BROOKS RANGE.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...INVERTED TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE
COAST...THIS DOES PROVIDE FOR A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE
AREA...BUT THEY WILL BE LIGHT. THE DECAYING FRONT MOVING OVER THE
LOWER YUKON DELTA WILL ALSO PROVIDE A CHANCE OF SCATTERED LIGHT
RAINSHOWERS. WILL BE MIXED WITH SNOW DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO COOL BELOW FREEZING OVERNIGHT IN
MANY AREAS. WINDS MAINLY NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH...THE EXCEPTION
OF COURSE IS ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THE BERING STRAIT COAST WHICH
WILL HAVE WINDS IN THE 30 TO 40 MPH RANGE AS RIDGING OVER CHUKOTKA
TIGHTENS THE GRADIENT UP OVER THE AREA.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF ISOLATED
SHOWERS AROUND FAIRBANKS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER THE HILLS.
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SLIGHT CHANCE OVER THE FORTYMILE
COUNTRY AS WELL AS SOUTH OF FORT YUKON AND IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS.
ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND
FORTYMILE COUNTRY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE SAME AREAS
WEDNESDAY...THEN MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH WITH THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ON THURSDAY. SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS...BUT STILL AT OR ABOVE NORMAL.
SOME PATCHY FOG IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AROUND AREAS WHERE THE
WATER IS OPENING UP. NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR
MOST AREAS AT 5 TO 15 MPH...EXCEPT IN THE ALASKA RANGE WHERE WINDS
WILL BE SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOONS GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH AS THE
THERMAL LOW STRENGTHENS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...JUST SLIGHT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY UNTIL
THE WEEKEND. MODELS HAVE NOT BEEN VERY GOOD WITH THE EARLY SEASON
CONVECTIVE NUMBERS SO NOT PUTTING A LOT OF WEIGHT IN THEM.
SLIGHTLY COOLER AND THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SOME SCATTERED
SHOWERS WITH THE DECAYING FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA. TEMPERATURES A LITTLE COOLER AND DEWPOINTS RISE
A BIT THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. GREENUP IN THE TANANA VALLEY WAS
RECORDED BY THE FAIRBANKS OFFICE TODAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

GALE WARNING FOR ZONES PKZ210-PKZ220.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.

&&

SDB APR 16

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 27, 9:56 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFG45 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.