Gale Warning 80, NWS Fairbanks, AK

962 
FZAK51 PAFG 191216
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-200200-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 998 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN BEAUFORT SEA WILL MOVE SE OVER BANKS
ISLAND BY WED MORNING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
ARCTIC PLAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AS THE LOW MOVES E
WITH RIDGING EXTENDING NW OVER THE ARCTIC. THE RIDGING WILL BUILD
SE ACROSS THE ARCTIC THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ225-200200-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-200200-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-200200-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-200200-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-200200-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
416 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SDB/NTS JUL 16

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
144 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Models in decent agreement through 60 hours. Strong cold upper
level low in the high arctic about 450 NM north of Demarcation
Point is moving southeast and will be on the southwestern tip of
Banks Island by early Wednesday morning. The trailing arctic front
is currently positioned over Northern Alaska and lies just to the
north of Seward peninsula and along the south crest of the Brooks
Range.

The front will continue to sag further south but weaken through
Tuesday. The strong westerly flow aloft and the lift provided by
the front has produced a large area of heavy precipitation from
the Seward Peninsula to the Middle Tanana Valley and the
precipitation band is moving eastward.

As the front weakens... the precipitation will diminish on
Tuesday. But the upper level low will send down another
reinforcing cold shot to Northern Alaska but will not likely push
as far sough as the Central Interior. The Eastern Brooks Range
will see temperatures cold enough for snowfall by Tue night though.

Precipitation has turned over to snow at Barrow today but will
likely revert back to rain showers by evening.

Another low awaiting its turn is positioned in the North Pacific.
It will move into the Bering Sea by early Wednesday morning.
Although the surface low dos not appear to advance onto land it
will remain in the Western Bering. The occluded front will push
inland and shover the ridge of high pressure eastward. It will
send a decent precipitation shield through the Central Interior on
Thursday and Friday.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Stratiform precipitation continues over the southern interior
tonight, while the atmosphere farther north continues to
destabilize. It still appears likely to become unstable enough
to allow the development of isolated thunderstorms in at least
the eastern half of zone 220 this evening, but really really
isolated. By this time Tuesday, expect all of the eastern interior
to be in a showery regime, but mostly just low- topped stuff, with
thunderstorm potential limited to zones 220 and 224.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A Flood Watch remains in effect through Thursday morning for the
Middle Tanana Valley. The Chena River and the Little Chena River
are expected to be near bankfull and may cause minor flooding is
some areas based on the amount of rainfall already received which
in many places is in excess of 2 inches. A wide swath of
precipitation in excess of 1 inch exists between Eielson AFB and
the Seward Peninsula based on model data. More rain is in store
for the remainder of the week.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flood Watch for AKZ222.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ245.

Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ235-PKZ240.
&&

CF JUL 16