Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 101, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 30, 2016, 1:46 PM AKDT. It was in force for 38 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 30, 2016, 1:46 PM AKDT (21:46 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 2, 2016, 4:11 AM AKDT
- In force
- 38 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted.
350 FZAK52 PAFG 302146 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-011300- 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A 992 MB LOW OVER SIBERIA AND A 1032 MB RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 984 MB LOW EAST OF ATKA WILL MOVE N INTO THE BERING SEA TONIGHT...TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS BY SAT MORNING...AND INTO THE GULF OF ANADYR SAT NIGHT AT 980 MB. $$ PKZ200-011300- NORTON SOUND- 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .SAT NIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ210-011300- DALL POINT TO WALES- 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FOG. .SAT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG...RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FOG...RAIN. .SUN...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ215-011300- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED...S WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ220-011300- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 146 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ MAK/CCC SEP 16
3 follow-up statements
938 FZAK52 PAFG 011219 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-020045- 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 979 MB LOW CENTER STRETCHING FROM NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND TO NEAR THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF OF ANADYR SUN MORNING AT 980 MB. A WEAK 1000 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 100 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL SUN EVENING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND WEAKEN MON. $$ PKZ200-020045- NORTON SOUND- 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG...RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .SUN...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG...RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ210-020045- DALL POINT TO WALES- 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FOG...RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FOG...RAIN. .SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ215-020045- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ220-020045- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 419 AM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ LTH/DJH OCT 16
204 FZAK52 PAFG 012306 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-021215- 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 977 MB LOW CENTER STRETCHING FROM NEAR ST MATTHEW ISLAND TO NEAR THE PRIBILOFS WILL MOVE NORTH INTO THE GULF OF ANADYR SUN MORNING. A WEAK 1000 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 100 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND WEAKEN MON. $$ PKZ200-021215- NORTON SOUND- 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG. .SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ210-021215- DALL POINT TO WALES- 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 15 FT. FOG...RAIN. .SUN...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .TUE...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ215-021215- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ220-021215- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 306 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... .TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ NTS/MAK OCT 16
139 FZAK52 PAFG 021211 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-030030- 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A 977 MB LOW CENTER OVER THE GULF OF ANADYR AND ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH AND WEST WHILE WEAKENING TODAY. A 1005 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 100 NM SOUTH OF GAMBELL THIS EVENING AND THEN MOVE NORTH OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND WEAKEN MON. $$ PKZ200-030030- NORTON SOUND- 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 .TODAY...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ210-030030- DALL POINT TO WALES- 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ215-030030- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ220-030030- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 411 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON... .TODAY...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ LTH/DJH OCT 16
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 30, 1:01 PM AKDT, 45 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 30, 1:01 PM AKDT, 45 minutes before
Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 101 PM AKDT FRI SEP 30 2016 .DISCUSSION... The 12z model suite initialized well against the 12z analysis and verified well against the 18z analysis. Model spread remains minimal in the short range and is reasonable in the mid range and increases significantly in the long range. Aloft, at 500 hpa a high amplitude ridge currently located along a Kodiak to Barrow axis will nudge east to be centered along the ALCAN border Saturday. A strong shortwave rotating around an 515 DAM low over Siberia races rapidly to the north and east and will be over Cold Bay saturday morning and will be along a St Lawrence Island to Nunivak Island Saturday evening. This shortwave combined with a weak upper level low moving south along the ALCAN border will weaken the ridge currently over the interior. A complex upper level pattern evolves early next week as a more progressive weather pattern develops over northern Alaska. The dry pattern over the interior will break down with a more moist southwest flow developing by the middle of next week. Model guidance continues to indicate the potential for a strong storm developing over the central Aleutians. On the surface, a 981 mb low currently over the central Aleutians will race rapidly north and west and weaken to around 985 mb as it passes over the Gulf of Anadyr Saturday evening. The occluded front ahead of the low will stretch and weaken with rain showers expected over the west coast south of the Seward Peninsula Saturday. Warm and dry conditions will continue in the interior through early next week. Strong wind headlines are hoisted for the west coast as the pressure gradient between high pressure system in the Yukon and the low moving north into the Bering increases. Gale fore southeast flow develops tonight and continues saturday over Norton Sound and through the Bering Strait. Surge values are expected to increase to the 1 to 3 feet above normal tides to the west of Golovin westward through the Bering Strait. Short Duration combined with short fetch will limit high surf potential in these areas. Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...Continue to monitor track and strength of a storm developing the middle of next week. && .HYDROLOGY...None. && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230- PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245. Gale Warning for PKZ200-PKZ210. && CCC SEP 16
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 4:07 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 59 hr | |
| Sep 30, 1:46 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFG | 49 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.