Flood Watch 2, NWS Fairbanks, AK

436 
WGAK69 PAFG 190535
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
935 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2016

AKZ203-200000-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160522T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
935 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

* THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A
FLOOD WATCH FOR THE COLVILLE RIVER AT COLVILLE VILLAGE.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

*THERE IS AN ICE JAM ON THE COLVILLE RIVER, ROUGHLY 20 RIVER MILES
 UPSTREAM OF THE DELTA. ICE IN THE EAST AND NIGLIQ CHANNELS
 REMAINS IN PLACE. IF THE ICE JAM WERE TO BREAK SUDDENLY, IT WOULD
 LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING IN THE DELTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

223 
WGAK69 PAFG 191925
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1125 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2016

AKZ203-202000-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160522T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1125 AM AKDT THU MAY 19 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
  WATCH FOR THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* AS OF THURSDAY MORNING...AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
  COLVILLE RIVER APPROXIMATELY 20 RIVER MILES UPSTREAM OF THE
  DELTA. IN ADDITION...ICE IN THE EAST AND NIGLIQ CHANNELS REMAINS
  IN PLACE. WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO INCREASE SNOWMELT
  RUNOFF AND RESULT IN RISING WATER LEVELS ON THE COLVILLE RIVER.

* WATER LEVELS ON THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA HAVE RECEDED SLIGHTLY
  SINCE WEDNESDAY BUT ARE EXPECTED TO FLUCTUATE UNTIL THE ICE JAMS
  UPSTREAM RELEASE. IF THE ICE JAM WERE TO BREAK SUDDENLY...IT
  WOULD LIKELY CAUSE FLOODING IN THE DELTA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

466 
WGAK69 PAFG 202023
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1223 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

AKZ203-212000-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160522T0000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1223 PM AKDT FRI MAY 20 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
  WATCH FOR THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

* AS OF FRIDAY MORNING...AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
  COLVILLE RIVER APPROXIMATELY 20 RIVER MILES UPSTREAM OF THE
  DELTA.

* WATER LEVELS ON THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA HAVE RECEDED SLIGHTLY
  SINCE THURSDAY...BUT FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF
  THE DELTA AFTER THE ICE JAM RELEASES AND A SURGE OF WATER MOVES
  DOWNSTREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

740 
WGAK69 PAFG 211950
FFAAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1150 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

DEFAULT OVERVIEW SECTION
AKZ203-222000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160524T0000Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1150 AM AKDT SAT MAY 21 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AS OF SATURDAY MORNING...AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
  COLVILLE RIVER APPROXIMATELY 20 RIVER MILES UPSTREAM OF THE
  DELTA. WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN ON COLVILLE DELTA SINCE
  FRIDAY...BUT HAVE RISEN ON THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE RIVER DUE
  TO MELTING SNOW. ALSO...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE
  COLVILLE RIVER DRAINAGE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY
  THROUGH SUNDAY.

* WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE UPPER COLVILLE RIVER
  THROUGH SUNDAY...AND WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RISE ON THE COLVILLE
  DELTA ON SUNDAY. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE
  DELTA AFTER THE ICE JAM RELEASES AND A SURGE OF WATER MOVES
  DOWNSTREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

150 
WGAK69 PAFG 222000
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1200 PM AKDT SUN MAY 22 2016

AKZ203-230400-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160524T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1200 PM AKDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA

* THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON

* AS OF SATURDAY MORNING...AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
  COLVILLE RIVER APPROXIMATELY 20 RIVER MILES UPSTREAM OF THE
  DELTA. WATER LEVELS HAVE FALLEN ON COLVILLE DELTA SINCE
  FRIDAY...BUT HAVE RISEN ON THE UPPER PORTIONS OF THE RIVER DUE
  TO MELTING SNOW. ALSO...SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS EXPECTED IN THE
  COLVILLE RIVER DRAINAGE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND POSSIBLY
  THROUGH SUNDAY.

* WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ON THE UPPER COLVILLE RIVER
  THROUGH SUNDAY...AND WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO RISE ON THE COLVILLE
  DELTA ON SUNDAY. FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE
  DELTA AFTER THE ICE JAM RELEASES AND A SURGE OF WATER MOVES
  DOWNSTREAM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

969 
WGAK69 PAFG 222021
FFAAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1221 PM AKDT SUN MAY 22 2016

AKZ203-232100-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160525T0000Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1221 PM AKDT SUN MAY 22 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON

* AS OF SUNDAY MORNING...AN ICE JAM REMAINS IN PLACE ON THE
  COLVILLE RIVER APPROXIMATELY 20 RIVER MILES UPSTREAM OF THE
  DELTA. WATER LEVELS FURTHER UPSTREAM AT UMIAT HAVE BEEN
  INCREASING OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS DUE TO SNOWMELT AND RAIN. AS
  THIS WATER FLOWS DOWNSTREAM IT WILL INCREASE THE STAGE AT THE
  ICE JAM AND HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE THE ICE JAM TO MOVE.  

* FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE COLVILLE DELTA
  WHERE SOME ICE IS STILL IN PLACE...IF THE UPSTREAM ICE JAM WERE
  TO RELEASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

836 
WGAK69 PAFG 231848
FFAAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1048 AM AKDT MON MAY 23 2016

AKZ203-242000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160525T1800Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1048 AM AKDT MON MAY 23 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE
COLVILLE RIVER DELTA...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* AS OF MONDAY MORNING...THE WATER LEVEL ON THE COLVILLE RIVER AT
  UMIAT HAS INCREASED 6 FEET SINCE SATURDAY DUE TO SNOWMELT AND
  RAIN. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW RISING AT THE COLVILLE DELTA AND ARE
  EXPECTED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN
  ADDITION TO THE HIGH WATER...ICE STILL REMAINS IN PLACE ON SOME
  CHANNELS ALONG THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA AND MAY CAUSE WATER TO
  BACK UP.

* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE COLVILLE
  RIVER DELTA BY TUESDAY AS THE SURGE OF WATER MOVES DOWNRIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

246 
WGAK69 PAFG 241818
FFAAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1018 AM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AKZ203-251800-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160525T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
1018 AM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE
COLVILLE RIVER DELTA...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* AS OF TUESDAY MORNING...THE WATER LEVEL ON THE COLVILLE RIVER AT
  UMIAT HAS INCREASED 7 FEET SINCE SATURDAY DUE TO SNOWMELT AND
  RAIN. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW RISING AT THE COLVILLE DELTA AND ARE
  EXPECTED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN
  ADDITION TO THE HIGH WATER...ICE STILL REMAINS IN PLACE ON SOME
  CHANNELS ALONG THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA AND MAY CAUSE WATER TO
  BACK UP.

* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE COLVILLE
  RIVER DELTA BY TUESDAY EVENING AS THE SURGE OF WATER MOVES 
  DOWNRIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

703 
WGAK69 PAFG 250452
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
852 PM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2016

AKZ203-252000-
/O.CON.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160525T2000Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
852 PM AKDT TUE MAY 24 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE
COLVILLE RIVER DELTA...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA.

* THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING

* AS OF TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE WATER LEVEL ON THE COLVILLE RIVER
  AT UMIAT HAS INCREASED 7 FEET SINCE SATURDAY DUE TO SNOWMELT AND
  RAIN. WATER LEVELS ARE NOW RISING AT THE COLVILLE DELTA AND ARE
  EXPECTED TO RISE SIGNIFICANTLY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOST
  WATER IS NOW FLOWING THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
  DELTA...WITH ICE IN PLACE IN THE EASTERN CHANNEL.

* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE COLVILLE 
  RIVER DELTA BY TUESDAY EVENING AS THE SURGE OF WATER MOVES 
  DOWNRIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

019 
WGAK69 PAFG 251748
FFAAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
948 AM AKDT WED MAY 25 2016

AKZ203-262000-
/O.EXT.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160526T2000Z/
/00000.0.SM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
948 AM AKDT WED MAY 25 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA

* THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* AS OF TUESDAY AFTERNOON...SNOWMELT AND RAIN HAVE SIGNIFICANT
  RISES OF THE WATER LEVEL ON THE COLVILLE RIVER AT UMIAT. AS OF
  YESTERDAY MORNING WATER WAS FLOWING THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTIONS
  OF THE DELTA...WITH ICE IN PLACE IN THE EASTERN CHANNEL. WATER
  LEVELS IN THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA AREA WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH 
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN LOW LYING AREAS OF THE COLVILLE 
  RIVER DELTA. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

939 
WGAK69 PAFG 261756
FFAAFG

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
956 AM AKDT THU MAY 26 2016


AKZ203-261900-
/O.CAN.PAFG.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160526T2000Z/
/00000.0.IC.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL BEAUFORT SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...NUIQSUT...PRUDHOE BAY...ALPINE...DEADHORSE...KUPARUK
956 AM AKDT THU MAY 26 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE COLVILLE RIVER DELTA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ALTHOUGH THERE WILL BE SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN THE COLVILLE RIVER
DUE TO SOME ICE FLOWING DOWNSTREAM FROM VARIOUS
CHANNELS...MAJORITY OF THE ICE HAS MELTED. THUS THE FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE COLVILLE RIVER OVER THE UPCOMING
HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS WARMER TEMPERATURES MAY POTENTIALLY CAUSE
RIVER RISES DUE TO ADDITIONAL SNOWMELT IN THE MOUNTAINS.

$$

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
Issued by National Weather Service Juneau AK
305 PM AKDT WED MAY 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...Model solutions remain fairly well clustered
through the short term with an upper low over the Bering deepening
slightly as upper ridge over the Arctic Ocean weakens and merges
with ridge building over the northern Gulf of Alaska and into
south central into the weekend.

In the interior...gusty east and northeast winds...especially
over summits and channeled terrain will continue to diminish
through this evening as the gradient relaxes. A weak stationary
boundary will drift north as the ridge builds providing a focus
for diurnal showers Thu and Fri over the interior. The building
ridge will also bring a slow warming trend into the weekend with
850H temperatures warming to 6C over PAFA. Although clearing was
slower to develop today, continue to expect gradually clearing as
southerly flow creates a weak Chinook. As temperatures rise with
additional sunshine expect the thermal trough to develop again
over the upper Tanana Valley Thursday and extend westward into the
middle Tanana Valley Friday. Also introduced isolated thunderstorms
over the upper Tanana Valley and eastern Alaska Range Thu and Fri
afternoon.

The north slope will continue to experience low ceilings, stratus
and fog and/or freezing fog into Thursday before southerly
Chinook winds off of the Brooks Range help to scour out low
ceilings and fog. Ongoing strong winds over the eastern north
slope will continue to diminish this afternoon and evening as the
gradient weakens in response to high pressure drifting south and
east.

On the west coast, the weak low will persist offshore with onshore
flow bringing increased clouds and scattered showers over the
area. No thunder is expected as atmosphere is too stable.
Temperatures are expected to remain below average through the end
of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A moderately cold upper level low complex over
the Bering Strait will remain nearly stationary through Friday.
With high pressure building over the Eastern Gulf, the last of an
area of warm air aloft over the Eastern Interior will dissipate by
Friday night allowing some instability. The same ridge will help
to establish a thermal low over the Tanana River. The previous
forecasts with warming and drying are on track, but would like to
add isolated thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening and
especially Friday to the eastern-most zones. The pressure pattern
is weak enough for only light termally driven winds.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Water levels on the Porcupine River at Fort Yukon
are near bankfull. Water from the Porcupine River has filled the
sloughs and low lying areas in the Fort Yukon area but generally
water remains within bank. The Porcupine River at the Canadian
border crested Monday morning. Water levels at Fort Yukon are
expected to remain steady through today...and then gradually
start to fall as the crest passes.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Small Craft Advisory for PKZ210-PKZ245.
Brisk Wind Advisory for PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230-PKZ240.

&&

BC/JCC MAY 16